[Script Info] Title: [Events] Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text Dialogue: 0,0:00:00.00,0:00:03.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So it's 1995, Dialogue: 0,0:00:03.00,0:00:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm in college, Dialogue: 0,0:00:05.00,0:00:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and a friend and I go on a road trip Dialogue: 0,0:00:08.00,0:00:10.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from Providence, Rhode Island Dialogue: 0,0:00:10.00,0:00:12.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to Portland, Oregon. Dialogue: 0,0:00:12.00,0:00:15.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And you know, we're young and unemployed, Dialogue: 0,0:00:15.00,0:00:17.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,so we do the whole thing on back roads Dialogue: 0,0:00:17.00,0:00:19.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,through state parks Dialogue: 0,0:00:19.00,0:00:22.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and national forests -- Dialogue: 0,0:00:22.00,0:00:25.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,basically the longest route we can possibly take. Dialogue: 0,0:00:26.00,0:00:29.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And somewhere in the middle of South Dakota, Dialogue: 0,0:00:29.00,0:00:32.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I turn to my friend Dialogue: 0,0:00:32.00,0:00:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I ask her a question Dialogue: 0,0:00:34.00,0:00:36.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that's been bothering me Dialogue: 0,0:00:36.00,0:00:39.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for 2,000 miles. Dialogue: 0,0:00:40.00,0:00:44.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"What's up with the Chinese character I keep seeing by the side of the road?" Dialogue: 0,0:00:47.00,0:00:51.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,My friend looks at me totally blankly. Dialogue: 0,0:00:51.00,0:00:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There's actually a gentleman in the front row Dialogue: 0,0:00:53.00,0:00:56.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,who's doing a perfect imitation of her look. Dialogue: 0,0:00:56.00,0:00:59.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:00:59.00,0:01:01.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And I'm like, "You know, Dialogue: 0,0:01:01.00,0:01:03.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,all the signs we keep seeing Dialogue: 0,0:01:03.00,0:01:06.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with the Chinese character on them." Dialogue: 0,0:01:07.00,0:01:10.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,She just stares at me for a few moments, Dialogue: 0,0:01:10.00,0:01:13.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and then she cracks up, Dialogue: 0,0:01:13.00,0:01:15.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because she figures out what I'm talking about. Dialogue: 0,0:01:15.00,0:01:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And what I'm talking about is this. Dialogue: 0,0:01:18.00,0:01:24.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:01:24.00,0:01:28.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Right, the famous Chinese character for picnic area. Dialogue: 0,0:01:28.00,0:01:30.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:01:30.00,0:01:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I've spent the last five years of my life Dialogue: 0,0:01:34.00,0:01:36.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,thinking about situations Dialogue: 0,0:01:36.00,0:01:39.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,exactly like this -- Dialogue: 0,0:01:39.00,0:01:41.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,why we sometimes misunderstand Dialogue: 0,0:01:41.00,0:01:43.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the signs around us, Dialogue: 0,0:01:43.00,0:01:46.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and how we behave when that happens, Dialogue: 0,0:01:46.00,0:01:50.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and what all of this can tell us about human nature. Dialogue: 0,0:01:50.00,0:01:52.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In other words, as you heard Chris say, Dialogue: 0,0:01:52.00,0:01:54.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I've spent the last five years Dialogue: 0,0:01:54.00,0:01:57.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,thinking about being wrong. Dialogue: 0,0:01:57.00,0:02:00.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This might strike you as a strange career move, Dialogue: 0,0:02:00.00,0:02:03.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but it actually has one great advantage: Dialogue: 0,0:02:03.00,0:02:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,no job competition. Dialogue: 0,0:02:05.00,0:02:07.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:02:07.00,0:02:10.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In fact, most of us do everything we can Dialogue: 0,0:02:10.00,0:02:13.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to avoid thinking about being wrong, Dialogue: 0,0:02:13.00,0:02:15.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or at least to avoid thinking about the possibility Dialogue: 0,0:02:15.00,0:02:17.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that we ourselves are wrong. Dialogue: 0,0:02:17.00,0:02:19.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We get it in the abstract. Dialogue: 0,0:02:19.00,0:02:21.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We all know everybody in this room makes mistakes. Dialogue: 0,0:02:22.00,0:02:25.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The human species, in general, is fallible -- okay fine. Dialogue: 0,0:02:26.00,0:02:29.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But when it comes down to me, right now, Dialogue: 0,0:02:29.00,0:02:31.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to all the beliefs I hold, Dialogue: 0,0:02:31.00,0:02:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,here in the present tense, Dialogue: 0,0:02:34.00,0:02:38.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,suddenly all of this abstract appreciation of fallibility Dialogue: 0,0:02:38.00,0:02:41.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,goes out the window -- Dialogue: 0,0:02:41.00,0:02:44.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I can't actually think of anything I'm wrong about. Dialogue: 0,0:02:45.00,0:02:48.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And the thing is, the present tense is where we live. Dialogue: 0,0:02:48.00,0:02:51.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We go to meetings in the present tense; Dialogue: 0,0:02:51.00,0:02:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we go on family vacations in the present tense; Dialogue: 0,0:02:53.00,0:02:57.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we go to the polls and vote in the present tense. Dialogue: 0,0:02:57.00,0:03:00.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So effectively, we all kind of wind up traveling through life, Dialogue: 0,0:03:00.00,0:03:02.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,trapped in this little bubble Dialogue: 0,0:03:02.00,0:03:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of feeling very right about everything. Dialogue: 0,0:03:06.00,0:03:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I think this is a problem. Dialogue: 0,0:03:08.00,0:03:11.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I think it's a problem for each of us as individuals, Dialogue: 0,0:03:11.00,0:03:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in our personal and professional lives, Dialogue: 0,0:03:14.00,0:03:17.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I think it's a problem for all of us collectively as a culture. Dialogue: 0,0:03:17.00,0:03:19.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So what I want to do today Dialogue: 0,0:03:19.00,0:03:22.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is, first of all, talk about why we get stuck Dialogue: 0,0:03:22.00,0:03:24.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,inside this feeling of being right. Dialogue: 0,0:03:24.00,0:03:27.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And second, why it's such a problem. Dialogue: 0,0:03:27.00,0:03:29.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And finally, I want to convince you Dialogue: 0,0:03:29.00,0:03:31.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that it is possible Dialogue: 0,0:03:31.00,0:03:33.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to step outside of that feeling Dialogue: 0,0:03:33.00,0:03:35.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and that if you can do so, Dialogue: 0,0:03:35.00,0:03:37.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it is the single greatest Dialogue: 0,0:03:37.00,0:03:40.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,moral, intellectual and creative leap you can make. Dialogue: 0,0:03:42.00,0:03:44.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So why do we get stuck Dialogue: 0,0:03:44.00,0:03:46.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in this feeling of being right? Dialogue: 0,0:03:46.00,0:03:49.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,One reason, actually, has to do with a feeling of being wrong. Dialogue: 0,0:03:49.00,0:03:51.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So let me ask you guys something -- Dialogue: 0,0:03:51.00,0:03:55.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or actually, let me ask you guys something, because you're right here: Dialogue: 0,0:03:55.00,0:03:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,How does it feel -- emotionally -- Dialogue: 0,0:03:58.00,0:04:01.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,how does it feel to be wrong? Dialogue: 0,0:04:01.00,0:04:04.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Dreadful. Thumbs down. Dialogue: 0,0:04:04.00,0:04:06.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Embarrassing. Okay, wonderful, great. Dialogue: 0,0:04:06.00,0:04:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Dreadful, thumbs down, embarrassing -- Dialogue: 0,0:04:08.00,0:04:11.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,thank you, these are great answers, Dialogue: 0,0:04:11.00,0:04:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but they're answers to a different question. Dialogue: 0,0:04:14.00,0:04:16.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You guys are answering the question: Dialogue: 0,0:04:16.00,0:04:19.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,How does it feel to realize you're wrong? Dialogue: 0,0:04:19.00,0:04:23.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:04:23.00,0:04:26.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Realizing you're wrong can feel like all of that and a lot of other things, right? Dialogue: 0,0:04:26.00,0:04:29.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I mean it can be devastating, it can be revelatory, Dialogue: 0,0:04:29.00,0:04:31.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it can actually be quite funny, Dialogue: 0,0:04:31.00,0:04:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,like my stupid Chinese character mistake. Dialogue: 0,0:04:34.00,0:04:37.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But just being wrong Dialogue: 0,0:04:37.00,0:04:39.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,doesn't feel like anything. Dialogue: 0,0:04:39.00,0:04:42.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'll give you an analogy. Dialogue: 0,0:04:42.00,0:04:44.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Do you remember that Loony Tunes cartoon Dialogue: 0,0:04:44.00,0:04:46.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,where there's this pathetic coyote Dialogue: 0,0:04:46.00,0:04:48.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,who's always chasing and never catching a roadrunner? Dialogue: 0,0:04:48.00,0:04:51.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In pretty much every episode of this cartoon, Dialogue: 0,0:04:51.00,0:04:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,there's a moment where the coyote is chasing the roadrunner Dialogue: 0,0:04:53.00,0:04:55.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and the roadrunner runs off a cliff, Dialogue: 0,0:04:55.00,0:04:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is fine -- he's a bird, he can fly. Dialogue: 0,0:04:58.00,0:05:02.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But the thing is, the coyote runs off the cliff right after him. Dialogue: 0,0:05:02.00,0:05:04.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And what's funny -- Dialogue: 0,0:05:04.00,0:05:06.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,at least if you're six years old -- Dialogue: 0,0:05:06.00,0:05:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is that the coyote's totally fine too. Dialogue: 0,0:05:08.00,0:05:10.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,He just keeps running -- Dialogue: 0,0:05:10.00,0:05:12.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,right up until the moment that he looks down Dialogue: 0,0:05:12.00,0:05:15.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and realizes that he's in mid-air. Dialogue: 0,0:05:15.00,0:05:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That's when he falls. Dialogue: 0,0:05:19.00,0:05:21.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When we're wrong about something -- Dialogue: 0,0:05:21.00,0:05:24.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,not when we realize it, but before that -- Dialogue: 0,0:05:24.00,0:05:27.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we're like that coyote Dialogue: 0,0:05:27.00,0:05:30.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,after he's gone off the cliff and before he looks down. Dialogue: 0,0:05:31.00,0:05:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You know, we're already wrong, Dialogue: 0,0:05:34.00,0:05:36.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we're already in trouble, Dialogue: 0,0:05:36.00,0:05:39.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but we feel like we're on solid ground. Dialogue: 0,0:05:40.00,0:05:43.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So I should actually correct something I said a moment ago. Dialogue: 0,0:05:43.00,0:05:46.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It does feel like something to be wrong; Dialogue: 0,0:05:46.00,0:05:49.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it feels like being right. Dialogue: 0,0:05:49.00,0:05:52.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:05:52.00,0:05:55.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So this is one reason, a structural reason, Dialogue: 0,0:05:55.00,0:05:57.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,why we get stuck inside this feeling of rightness. Dialogue: 0,0:05:57.00,0:05:59.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I call this error blindness. Dialogue: 0,0:05:59.00,0:06:01.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Most of the time, Dialogue: 0,0:06:01.00,0:06:04.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we don't have any kind of internal cue Dialogue: 0,0:06:04.00,0:06:06.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to let us know that we're wrong about something, Dialogue: 0,0:06:06.00,0:06:09.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,until it's too late. Dialogue: 0,0:06:09.00,0:06:12.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But there's a second reason that we get stuck inside this feeling as well -- Dialogue: 0,0:06:12.00,0:06:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and this one is cultural. Dialogue: 0,0:06:15.00,0:06:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Think back for a moment to elementary school. Dialogue: 0,0:06:18.00,0:06:20.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You're sitting there in class, Dialogue: 0,0:06:20.00,0:06:23.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and your teacher is handing back quiz papers, Dialogue: 0,0:06:23.00,0:06:25.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and one of them looks like this. Dialogue: 0,0:06:25.00,0:06:27.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is not mine, by the way. Dialogue: 0,0:06:27.00,0:06:29.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:06:29.00,0:06:32.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So there you are in grade school, Dialogue: 0,0:06:32.00,0:06:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you know exactly what to think Dialogue: 0,0:06:34.00,0:06:37.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about the kid who got this paper. Dialogue: 0,0:06:37.00,0:06:40.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's the dumb kid, the troublemaker, Dialogue: 0,0:06:40.00,0:06:43.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the one who never does his homework. Dialogue: 0,0:06:43.00,0:06:46.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So by the time you are nine years old, Dialogue: 0,0:06:46.00,0:06:48.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you've already learned, first of all, Dialogue: 0,0:06:48.00,0:06:50.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that people who get stuff wrong Dialogue: 0,0:06:50.00,0:06:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,are lazy, irresponsible dimwits -- Dialogue: 0,0:06:53.00,0:06:55.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and second of all, Dialogue: 0,0:06:55.00,0:06:57.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that the way to succeed in life Dialogue: 0,0:06:57.00,0:07:00.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is to never make any mistakes. Dialogue: 0,0:07:01.00,0:07:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We learn these really bad lessons really well. Dialogue: 0,0:07:06.00,0:07:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And a lot of us -- Dialogue: 0,0:07:08.00,0:07:12.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and I suspect, especially a lot of us in this room -- Dialogue: 0,0:07:12.00,0:07:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,deal with them by just becoming Dialogue: 0,0:07:14.00,0:07:16.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,perfect little A students, Dialogue: 0,0:07:16.00,0:07:19.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,perfectionists, over-achievers. Dialogue: 0,0:07:19.00,0:07:21.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Right, Dialogue: 0,0:07:21.00,0:07:25.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Mr. CFO, astrophysicist, ultra-marathoner? Dialogue: 0,0:07:25.00,0:07:32.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:07:32.00,0:07:36.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You're all CFO, astrophysicists, ultra-marathoners, it turns out. Dialogue: 0,0:07:36.00,0:07:38.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Okay, so fine. Dialogue: 0,0:07:38.00,0:07:41.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Except that then we freak out Dialogue: 0,0:07:41.00,0:07:43.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,at the possibility that we've gotten something wrong. Dialogue: 0,0:07:43.00,0:07:46.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Because according to this, Dialogue: 0,0:07:46.00,0:07:48.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,getting something wrong Dialogue: 0,0:07:48.00,0:07:51.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,means there's something wrong with us. Dialogue: 0,0:07:51.00,0:07:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So we just insist that we're right, Dialogue: 0,0:07:53.00,0:07:55.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because it makes us feel smart and responsible Dialogue: 0,0:07:55.00,0:07:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and virtuous and safe. Dialogue: 0,0:07:59.00,0:08:01.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So let me tell you a story. Dialogue: 0,0:08:01.00,0:08:03.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A couple of years ago, Dialogue: 0,0:08:03.00,0:08:06.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a woman comes into Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center for a surgery. Dialogue: 0,0:08:06.00,0:08:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Beth Israel's in Boston. Dialogue: 0,0:08:08.00,0:08:10.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's the teaching hospital for Harvard -- Dialogue: 0,0:08:10.00,0:08:12.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,one of the best hospitals in the country. Dialogue: 0,0:08:12.00,0:08:15.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So this woman comes in and she's taken into the operating room. Dialogue: 0,0:08:15.00,0:08:17.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,She's anesthetized, the surgeon does his thing -- Dialogue: 0,0:08:17.00,0:08:20.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,stitches her back up, sends her out to the recovery room. Dialogue: 0,0:08:20.00,0:08:23.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Everything seems to have gone fine. Dialogue: 0,0:08:23.00,0:08:26.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And she wakes up, and she looks down at herself, Dialogue: 0,0:08:26.00,0:08:30.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and she says, "Why is the wrong side of my body in bandages?" Dialogue: 0,0:08:30.00,0:08:33.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well the wrong side of her body is in bandages Dialogue: 0,0:08:33.00,0:08:35.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because the surgeon has performed a major operation Dialogue: 0,0:08:35.00,0:08:38.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,on her left leg instead of her right one. Dialogue: 0,0:08:39.00,0:08:42.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When the vice president for health care quality at Beth Israel Dialogue: 0,0:08:42.00,0:08:45.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,spoke about this incident, Dialogue: 0,0:08:45.00,0:08:48.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,he said something very interesting. Dialogue: 0,0:08:48.00,0:08:51.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,He said, "For whatever reason, Dialogue: 0,0:08:51.00,0:08:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the surgeon simply felt Dialogue: 0,0:08:53.00,0:08:55.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that he was on the correct side of the patient." Dialogue: 0,0:08:55.00,0:08:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:09:00.00,0:09:02.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The point of this story Dialogue: 0,0:09:02.00,0:09:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is that trusting too much in the feeling Dialogue: 0,0:09:05.00,0:09:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of being on the correct side of anything Dialogue: 0,0:09:08.00,0:09:11.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,can be very dangerous. Dialogue: 0,0:09:11.00,0:09:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This internal sense of rightness Dialogue: 0,0:09:14.00,0:09:16.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that we all experience so often Dialogue: 0,0:09:16.00,0:09:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is not a reliable guide Dialogue: 0,0:09:18.00,0:09:21.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to what is actually going on in the external world. Dialogue: 0,0:09:21.00,0:09:23.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And when we act like it is, Dialogue: 0,0:09:23.00,0:09:27.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we stop entertaining the possibility that we could be wrong, Dialogue: 0,0:09:27.00,0:09:29.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,well that's when we end up doing things Dialogue: 0,0:09:29.00,0:09:33.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,like dumping 200 million gallons of oil into the Gulf of Mexico, Dialogue: 0,0:09:33.00,0:09:36.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or torpedoing the global economy. Dialogue: 0,0:09:37.00,0:09:40.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So this is a huge practical problem. Dialogue: 0,0:09:40.00,0:09:43.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But it's also a huge social problem. Dialogue: 0,0:09:43.00,0:09:47.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Think for a moment about what it means to feel right. Dialogue: 0,0:09:47.00,0:09:49.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It means that you think that your beliefs Dialogue: 0,0:09:49.00,0:09:52.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,just perfectly reflect reality. Dialogue: 0,0:09:52.00,0:09:54.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And when you feel that way, Dialogue: 0,0:09:54.00,0:09:56.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you've got a problem to solve, Dialogue: 0,0:09:56.00,0:09:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is, how are you going to explain Dialogue: 0,0:09:58.00,0:10:01.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,all of those people who disagree with you? Dialogue: 0,0:10:01.00,0:10:04.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It turns out, most of us explain those people the same way, Dialogue: 0,0:10:04.00,0:10:07.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,by resorting to a series of unfortunate assumptions. Dialogue: 0,0:10:08.00,0:10:11.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The first thing we usually do when someone disagrees with us Dialogue: 0,0:10:11.00,0:10:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is we just assume they're ignorant. Dialogue: 0,0:10:14.00,0:10:16.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They don't have access to the same information that we do, Dialogue: 0,0:10:16.00,0:10:19.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and when we generously share that information with them, Dialogue: 0,0:10:19.00,0:10:22.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they're going to see the light and come on over to our team. Dialogue: 0,0:10:22.00,0:10:25.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When that doesn't work, Dialogue: 0,0:10:25.00,0:10:27.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,when it turns out those people have all the same facts that we do Dialogue: 0,0:10:27.00,0:10:29.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and they still disagree with us, Dialogue: 0,0:10:29.00,0:10:31.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,then we move on to a second assumption, Dialogue: 0,0:10:31.00,0:10:33.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is that they're idiots. Dialogue: 0,0:10:33.00,0:10:35.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:10:35.00,0:10:37.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They have all the right pieces of the puzzle, Dialogue: 0,0:10:37.00,0:10:40.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and they are too moronic to put them together correctly. Dialogue: 0,0:10:40.00,0:10:42.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And when that doesn't work, Dialogue: 0,0:10:42.00,0:10:45.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,when it turns out that people who disagree with us Dialogue: 0,0:10:45.00,0:10:47.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,have all the same facts we do Dialogue: 0,0:10:47.00,0:10:50.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and are actually pretty smart, Dialogue: 0,0:10:50.00,0:10:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,then we move on to a third assumption: Dialogue: 0,0:10:53.00,0:10:56.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they know the truth, Dialogue: 0,0:10:56.00,0:10:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and they are deliberately distorting it Dialogue: 0,0:10:58.00,0:11:01.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for their own malevolent purposes. Dialogue: 0,0:11:02.00,0:11:04.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So this is a catastrophe. Dialogue: 0,0:11:04.00,0:11:07.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This attachment to our own rightness Dialogue: 0,0:11:07.00,0:11:09.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,keeps us from preventing mistakes Dialogue: 0,0:11:09.00,0:11:11.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,when we absolutely need to Dialogue: 0,0:11:11.00,0:11:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and causes us to treat each other terribly. Dialogue: 0,0:11:15.00,0:11:17.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But to me, what's most baffling Dialogue: 0,0:11:17.00,0:11:20.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and most tragic about this Dialogue: 0,0:11:20.00,0:11:24.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is that it misses the whole point of being human. Dialogue: 0,0:11:24.00,0:11:26.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's like we want to imagine Dialogue: 0,0:11:26.00,0:11:29.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that our minds are just these perfectly translucent windows Dialogue: 0,0:11:29.00,0:11:31.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we just gaze out of them Dialogue: 0,0:11:31.00,0:11:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and describe the world as it unfolds. Dialogue: 0,0:11:34.00,0:11:36.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And we want everybody else to gaze out of the same window Dialogue: 0,0:11:36.00,0:11:38.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and see the exact same thing. Dialogue: 0,0:11:38.00,0:11:40.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That is not true, Dialogue: 0,0:11:40.00,0:11:43.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and if it were, life would be incredibly boring. Dialogue: 0,0:11:43.00,0:11:46.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The miracle of your mind Dialogue: 0,0:11:46.00,0:11:49.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,isn't that you can see the world as it is. Dialogue: 0,0:11:50.00,0:11:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's that you can see the world as it isn't. Dialogue: 0,0:11:54.00,0:11:56.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We can remember the past, Dialogue: 0,0:11:56.00,0:11:59.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we can think about the future, Dialogue: 0,0:11:59.00,0:12:01.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and we can imagine what it's like Dialogue: 0,0:12:01.00,0:12:04.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to be some other person in some other place. Dialogue: 0,0:12:04.00,0:12:06.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And we all do this a little differently, Dialogue: 0,0:12:06.00,0:12:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is why we can all look up at the same night sky Dialogue: 0,0:12:08.00,0:12:10.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and see this Dialogue: 0,0:12:10.00,0:12:12.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and also this Dialogue: 0,0:12:12.00,0:12:15.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and also this. Dialogue: 0,0:12:15.00,0:12:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And yeah, it is also why we get things wrong. Dialogue: 0,0:12:19.00,0:12:21.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,1,200 years before Descartes said his famous thing Dialogue: 0,0:12:21.00,0:12:23.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about "I think therefore I am," Dialogue: 0,0:12:23.00,0:12:25.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,this guy, St. Augustine, sat down Dialogue: 0,0:12:25.00,0:12:28.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and wrote "Fallor ergo sum" -- Dialogue: 0,0:12:28.00,0:12:32.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"I err therefore I am." Dialogue: 0,0:12:32.00,0:12:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Augustine understood Dialogue: 0,0:12:34.00,0:12:36.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that our capacity to screw up, Dialogue: 0,0:12:36.00,0:12:38.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it's not some kind of embarrassing defect Dialogue: 0,0:12:38.00,0:12:40.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in the human system, Dialogue: 0,0:12:40.00,0:12:43.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,something we can eradicate or overcome. Dialogue: 0,0:12:43.00,0:12:46.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's totally fundamental to who we are. Dialogue: 0,0:12:46.00,0:12:48.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Because, unlike God, Dialogue: 0,0:12:48.00,0:12:51.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we don't really know what's going on out there. Dialogue: 0,0:12:51.00,0:12:54.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And unlike all of the other animals, Dialogue: 0,0:12:54.00,0:12:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we are obsessed with trying to figure it out. Dialogue: 0,0:12:58.00,0:13:00.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,To me, this obsession Dialogue: 0,0:13:00.00,0:13:02.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is the source and root Dialogue: 0,0:13:02.00,0:13:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of all of our productivity and creativity. Dialogue: 0,0:13:05.00,0:13:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Last year, for various reasons, Dialogue: 0,0:13:08.00,0:13:10.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I found myself listening to a lot of episodes Dialogue: 0,0:13:10.00,0:13:12.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of the Public Radio show This American Life. Dialogue: 0,0:13:12.00,0:13:15.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And so I'm listening and I'm listening, Dialogue: 0,0:13:15.00,0:13:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and at some point, I start feeling Dialogue: 0,0:13:18.00,0:13:21.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,like all the stories are about being wrong. Dialogue: 0,0:13:22.00,0:13:24.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And my first thought was, Dialogue: 0,0:13:24.00,0:13:26.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"I've lost it. Dialogue: 0,0:13:26.00,0:13:28.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I've become the crazy wrongness lady. Dialogue: 0,0:13:28.00,0:13:30.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I just imagined it everywhere," Dialogue: 0,0:13:30.00,0:13:32.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which has happened. Dialogue: 0,0:13:32.00,0:13:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But a couple of months later, Dialogue: 0,0:13:34.00,0:13:36.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I actually had a chance to interview Ira Glass, who's the host of the show. Dialogue: 0,0:13:36.00,0:13:38.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And I mentioned this to him, Dialogue: 0,0:13:38.00,0:13:41.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and he was like, "No actually, that's true. Dialogue: 0,0:13:41.00,0:13:43.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In fact," he says, Dialogue: 0,0:13:43.00,0:13:45.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"as a staff, we joke Dialogue: 0,0:13:45.00,0:13:47.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that every single episode of our show Dialogue: 0,0:13:47.00,0:13:50.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,has the same crypto-theme. Dialogue: 0,0:13:50.00,0:13:52.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And the crypto-theme is: Dialogue: 0,0:13:52.00,0:13:55.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'I thought this one thing was going to happen Dialogue: 0,0:13:55.00,0:13:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and something else happened instead.' Dialogue: 0,0:13:58.00,0:14:01.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And the thing is," says Ira Glass, "we need this. Dialogue: 0,0:14:01.00,0:14:03.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We need these moments Dialogue: 0,0:14:03.00,0:14:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of surprise and reversal and wrongness Dialogue: 0,0:14:05.00,0:14:07.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to make these stories work." Dialogue: 0,0:14:07.00,0:14:09.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And for the rest of us, audience members, Dialogue: 0,0:14:09.00,0:14:12.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,as listeners, as readers, Dialogue: 0,0:14:12.00,0:14:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we eat this stuff up. Dialogue: 0,0:14:14.00,0:14:17.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We love things like plot twists Dialogue: 0,0:14:17.00,0:14:20.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and red herrings and surprise endings. Dialogue: 0,0:14:20.00,0:14:23.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When it comes to our stories, Dialogue: 0,0:14:23.00,0:14:26.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we love being wrong. Dialogue: 0,0:14:26.00,0:14:28.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But, you know, our stories are like this Dialogue: 0,0:14:28.00,0:14:31.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,because our lives are like this. Dialogue: 0,0:14:31.00,0:14:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We think this one thing is going to happen Dialogue: 0,0:14:34.00,0:14:37.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and something else happens instead. Dialogue: 0,0:14:37.00,0:14:39.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,George Bush thought he was going to invade Iraq, Dialogue: 0,0:14:39.00,0:14:41.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,find a bunch of weapons of mass destruction, Dialogue: 0,0:14:41.00,0:14:44.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,liberate the people and bring democracy to the Middle East. Dialogue: 0,0:14:45.00,0:14:47.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And something else happened instead. Dialogue: 0,0:14:48.00,0:14:50.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And Hosni Mubarak Dialogue: 0,0:14:50.00,0:14:52.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,thought he was going to be the dictator of Egypt for the rest of his life, Dialogue: 0,0:14:52.00,0:14:54.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,until he got too old or too sick Dialogue: 0,0:14:54.00,0:14:57.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and could pass the reigns of power onto his son. Dialogue: 0,0:14:57.00,0:15:00.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And something else happened instead. Dialogue: 0,0:15:01.00,0:15:03.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And maybe you thought Dialogue: 0,0:15:03.00,0:15:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you were going to grow up and marry your high school sweetheart Dialogue: 0,0:15:05.00,0:15:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and move back to your hometown and raise a bunch of kids together. Dialogue: 0,0:15:09.00,0:15:12.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And something else happened instead. Dialogue: 0,0:15:12.00,0:15:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And I have to tell you Dialogue: 0,0:15:14.00,0:15:16.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that I thought I was writing an incredibly nerdy book Dialogue: 0,0:15:16.00,0:15:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about a subject everybody hates Dialogue: 0,0:15:18.00,0:15:21.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for an audience that would never materialize. Dialogue: 0,0:15:21.00,0:15:23.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And something else happened instead. Dialogue: 0,0:15:23.00,0:15:25.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:15:25.00,0:15:27.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I mean, this is life. Dialogue: 0,0:15:27.00,0:15:29.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,For good and for ill, Dialogue: 0,0:15:29.00,0:15:32.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we generate these incredible stories Dialogue: 0,0:15:32.00,0:15:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,about the world around us, Dialogue: 0,0:15:34.00,0:15:37.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and then the world turns around and astonishes us. Dialogue: 0,0:15:40.00,0:15:43.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,No offense, but this entire conference Dialogue: 0,0:15:43.00,0:15:45.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is an unbelievable monument Dialogue: 0,0:15:45.00,0:15:47.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to our capacity to get stuff wrong. Dialogue: 0,0:15:47.00,0:15:49.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We just spent an entire week Dialogue: 0,0:15:49.00,0:15:51.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,talking about innovations and advancements Dialogue: 0,0:15:51.00,0:15:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and improvements, Dialogue: 0,0:15:53.00,0:15:56.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but you know why we need all of those innovations Dialogue: 0,0:15:56.00,0:15:58.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and advancements and improvements? Dialogue: 0,0:15:58.00,0:16:00.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Because half the stuff Dialogue: 0,0:16:00.00,0:16:03.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that's the most mind-boggling and world-altering -- Dialogue: 0,0:16:03.00,0:16:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,TED 1998 -- Dialogue: 0,0:16:05.00,0:16:07.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,eh. Dialogue: 0,0:16:07.00,0:16:11.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:16:11.00,0:16:13.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Didn't really work out that way, did it? Dialogue: 0,0:16:13.00,0:16:15.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:16:15.00,0:16:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Where's my jet pack, Chris? Dialogue: 0,0:16:18.00,0:16:22.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Laughter) Dialogue: 0,0:16:22.00,0:16:27.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Applause) Dialogue: 0,0:16:27.00,0:16:30.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So here we are again. Dialogue: 0,0:16:30.00,0:16:32.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And that's how it goes. Dialogue: 0,0:16:32.00,0:16:34.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We come up with another idea. Dialogue: 0,0:16:34.00,0:16:37.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We tell another story. Dialogue: 0,0:16:37.00,0:16:40.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We hold another conference. Dialogue: 0,0:16:40.00,0:16:42.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The theme of this one, Dialogue: 0,0:16:42.00,0:16:44.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,as you guys have now heard seven million times, Dialogue: 0,0:16:44.00,0:16:46.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is the rediscovery of wonder. Dialogue: 0,0:16:46.00,0:16:48.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And to me, Dialogue: 0,0:16:48.00,0:16:51.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if you really want to rediscover wonder, Dialogue: 0,0:16:51.00,0:16:53.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you need to step outside Dialogue: 0,0:16:53.00,0:16:59.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of that tiny, terrified space of rightness Dialogue: 0,0:16:59.00,0:17:02.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and look around at each other Dialogue: 0,0:17:02.00,0:17:05.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and look out at the vastness Dialogue: 0,0:17:05.00,0:17:08.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and complexity and mystery Dialogue: 0,0:17:08.00,0:17:11.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of the universe Dialogue: 0,0:17:11.00,0:17:14.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and be able to say, Dialogue: 0,0:17:14.00,0:17:18.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Wow, I don't know. Dialogue: 0,0:17:18.00,0:17:20.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Maybe I'm wrong." Dialogue: 0,0:17:20.00,0:17:22.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Thank you. Dialogue: 0,0:17:22.00,0:17:25.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Applause) Dialogue: 0,0:17:25.00,0:17:27.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Thank you guys. Dialogue: 0,0:17:27.00,0:17:30.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Applause)