1 00:00:03,497 --> 00:00:07,430 - [Alex] Why is this house selling for more than $2.5 million? 2 00:00:08,240 --> 00:00:09,640 Or this apartment, 3 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:12,945 renting for almost $3,000 a month? 4 00:00:13,444 --> 00:00:15,541 Is it greed? Conspiracy? 5 00:00:16,124 --> 00:00:17,134 No. 6 00:00:17,374 --> 00:00:21,600 Just a powerful economic concept, the elasticity of supply. 7 00:00:22,540 --> 00:00:25,500 Sounds complex, but it's actually quite simple. 8 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:28,680 In the United States and around the world, 9 00:00:29,165 --> 00:00:30,624 many industries and jobs 10 00:00:30,624 --> 00:00:33,840 have been concentrating in a few dynamic cities, 11 00:00:34,300 --> 00:00:37,540 like tech in Silicon Valley, entertainment in LA, 12 00:00:38,220 --> 00:00:40,330 and pharmaceuticals in Boston. 13 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:42,215 So more and more people -- 14 00:00:42,215 --> 00:00:44,480 they want to live in these dynamic cities, 15 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:47,220 and that increases the demand for housing. 16 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,816 And remember, what happens with an increase in demand? 17 00:00:50,816 --> 00:00:53,060 The demand curve shifts to the right, 18 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,880 and buyers are willing to buy more at any given price. 19 00:00:58,980 --> 00:01:01,590 This leads to a new equilibrium, 20 00:01:01,590 --> 00:01:04,200 with a higher quantity sold at a higher price. 21 00:01:05,140 --> 00:01:07,400 But which increase will be larger? 22 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:10,760 The quantity change, or the price change? 23 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:13,364 That depends upon 24 00:01:13,364 --> 00:01:17,200 whether the supply is elastic or inelastic. 25 00:01:17,740 --> 00:01:19,717 If the supply is elastic, 26 00:01:19,717 --> 00:01:23,201 meaning that producers can easily produce more housing, 27 00:01:23,201 --> 00:01:26,180 then the quantity supplied will increase a lot, 28 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:29,524 and the price will only increase a little. 29 00:01:30,220 --> 00:01:33,753 But if the supply is inelastic -- 30 00:01:34,340 --> 00:01:37,940 that means it's not easy to produce more housing, 31 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:41,120 and our supply curve looks more like this. 32 00:01:41,940 --> 00:01:43,090 In this case, 33 00:01:43,090 --> 00:01:46,479 the quantity supplied only increases a little, 34 00:01:46,823 --> 00:01:49,539 but the price goes up a lot. 35 00:01:51,140 --> 00:01:53,514 That happens when housing suppliers 36 00:01:53,514 --> 00:01:56,340 can't easily expand their production 37 00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:58,600 in response to the higher price. 38 00:01:59,783 --> 00:02:05,480 Now, unfortunately, many cities have inelastic housing supplies. 39 00:02:06,060 --> 00:02:10,100 So as people flock to these cities, we see higher and higher prices, 40 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:13,400 with little increase in the quantity of housing. 41 00:02:14,180 --> 00:02:15,381 Why? 42 00:02:15,381 --> 00:02:17,910 Well, first, there are natural problems. 43 00:02:18,460 --> 00:02:20,520 Many of the in-demand cities -- 44 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:22,580 they're surrounded by beautiful water. 45 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:26,340 Nice, but that means a limited supply of land. 46 00:02:26,680 --> 00:02:30,900 But we compound natural problems with unnatural ones. 47 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:32,680 In many cities, 48 00:02:32,680 --> 00:02:35,526 zoning laws and other regulations 49 00:02:35,526 --> 00:02:38,740 prevent builders from creating more housing. 50 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:41,405 Take San Francisco, for example -- 51 00:02:41,655 --> 00:02:44,940 it's surrounded by water, so there's limited land. 52 00:02:45,530 --> 00:02:48,980 But if you can't build out, how about building up? 53 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:51,855 There's plenty of land in the sky. 54 00:02:52,860 --> 00:02:55,474 San Francisco's zoning laws, however, 55 00:02:55,474 --> 00:02:58,300 have made it impossible or very expensive 56 00:02:58,640 --> 00:03:01,915 to build taller buildings in many parts of the city. 57 00:03:02,860 --> 00:03:07,325 Even changing single-family homes to duplexes or fourplexes 58 00:03:07,325 --> 00:03:09,726 has typically been prohibited. 59 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:11,980 And that's not all. 60 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:15,600 Suppose a builder does find a plot of land to use. 61 00:03:16,020 --> 00:03:18,180 Well, next, they need a building permit. 62 00:03:18,580 --> 00:03:21,355 And the process for filing for building permits -- 63 00:03:21,355 --> 00:03:23,480 they can be hard to understand. 64 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:26,700 City officials can leave applicants hanging for years. 65 00:03:27,260 --> 00:03:28,562 In San Francisco, 66 00:03:29,140 --> 00:03:34,730 it takes an average of 627 days 67 00:03:34,730 --> 00:03:37,640 to receive a building permit for a new house. 68 00:03:38,220 --> 00:03:41,400 That delay adds a lot to the costs for builders. 69 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:45,220 And if a builder does get a building permit, it's not over. 70 00:03:45,950 --> 00:03:49,119 Many people can still veto the project: 71 00:03:49,780 --> 00:03:51,160 environmental agencies, 72 00:03:51,900 --> 00:03:53,365 planning commissions, 73 00:03:53,983 --> 00:03:56,160 historic preservation societies, 74 00:03:56,740 --> 00:03:58,948 and groups of existing residents. 75 00:03:59,380 --> 00:04:02,993 They can slow things down with lawsuits, protests, 76 00:04:03,571 --> 00:04:05,213 and bureaucratic objections. 77 00:04:06,340 --> 00:04:08,300 So now that we better understand 78 00:04:08,300 --> 00:04:10,966 why the supply of housing is inelastic, 79 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,393 let's revisit our supply and demand graph 80 00:04:14,393 --> 00:04:17,199 and illustrate what happens in the housing market 81 00:04:17,199 --> 00:04:18,858 with an increase in demand. 82 00:04:19,399 --> 00:04:21,343 Suppose a city is thriving, 83 00:04:21,343 --> 00:04:24,367 and the demand to live in that city increases. 84 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:27,040 The demand curve shifts to the right. 85 00:04:27,700 --> 00:04:29,214 To keep it simple, 86 00:04:29,214 --> 00:04:32,165 say that ten people want to move into the city. 87 00:04:33,100 --> 00:04:35,599 Builders see the increase in demand, 88 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:37,740 and they try to build more, 89 00:04:38,260 --> 00:04:39,747 but they're stopped 90 00:04:39,747 --> 00:04:41,618 by water, height restrictions, 91 00:04:41,618 --> 00:04:44,340 zoning laws, bureaucracy, lawsuits. 92 00:04:44,700 --> 00:04:47,139 That's our inelastic supply of housing. 93 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:53,080 So imagine, somehow a builder finds a way to construct one home, 94 00:04:53,540 --> 00:04:55,943 increasing the quantity supplied a little. 95 00:04:56,337 --> 00:04:58,400 But ten people want to move in! 96 00:04:59,180 --> 00:05:01,360 So who gets the new home? 97 00:05:02,260 --> 00:05:04,060 Well, the potential new residents -- 98 00:05:04,060 --> 00:05:09,160 they compete to get the new home by bidding up the price. 99 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:11,740 The price for the new home goes up. 100 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:14,057 First, one person drops out, 101 00:05:14,057 --> 00:05:15,952 and then the price goes up some more, 102 00:05:15,952 --> 00:05:17,633 and another person drops out. 103 00:05:18,085 --> 00:05:21,974 The price keeps going higher and higher and higher 104 00:05:21,974 --> 00:05:25,020 until just one person is left, 105 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:27,740 and the high bidder wins the new home. 106 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:30,443 Notice that it's not the owners of housing 107 00:05:30,443 --> 00:05:31,700 jacking up the price -- 108 00:05:32,220 --> 00:05:37,977 it's the buyers who must bid higher to out-compete one another, 109 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:40,267 given the limited supply. 110 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:43,140 An inelastic supply of housing -- 111 00:05:43,140 --> 00:05:46,702 it does mean higher property values for existing residents. 112 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:49,700 So existing property owners -- 113 00:05:49,700 --> 00:05:52,176 they have an incentive to block new construction. 114 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:55,820 And that's one reason why reform is difficult. 115 00:05:56,380 --> 00:05:57,555 And who's harmed? 116 00:05:57,800 --> 00:05:58,980 Well, lots of people, 117 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,014 but most especially the potential residents 118 00:06:02,014 --> 00:06:04,040 who are bid out of the market. 119 00:06:04,460 --> 00:06:09,081 They'll have to live further away, with longer commutes, 120 00:06:09,462 --> 00:06:13,200 or they may not even be able to live near good jobs at all. 121 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:17,278 And notice that the people who are harmed -- 122 00:06:17,636 --> 00:06:18,987 they don't get a vote. 123 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:21,014 By definition, 124 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:23,254 the potential residents -- 125 00:06:23,254 --> 00:06:28,460 they don't live in the city that priced them out of a home. 126 00:06:30,010 --> 00:06:31,771 It's not all bad news, however. 127 00:06:32,137 --> 00:06:35,780 Slowly, some cities are starting to change. 128 00:06:36,500 --> 00:06:38,860 In 2016, Auckland, New Zealand -- 129 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:40,697 they liberalized their laws 130 00:06:40,697 --> 00:06:43,440 to allow upzoning in much of the city. 131 00:06:44,220 --> 00:06:47,369 And the number of new houses skyrocketed, 132 00:06:47,369 --> 00:06:49,635 and housing prices moderated. 133 00:06:50,280 --> 00:06:52,700 The rest of New Zealand is now following suit. 134 00:06:53,807 --> 00:06:57,197 Even San Francisco is starting to allow 135 00:06:57,197 --> 00:06:59,430 new duplexes and fourplexes. 136 00:07:00,060 --> 00:07:02,700 So let's hear it for a more elastic supply of housing. 137 00:07:02,700 --> 00:07:03,700 [cheering] 138 00:07:03,700 --> 00:07:05,740 Okay. There you have it. 139 00:07:06,060 --> 00:07:09,940 If you want to understand why housing prices are rising, 140 00:07:10,580 --> 00:07:14,281 you must first understand the elasticity of supply 141 00:07:14,624 --> 00:07:16,779 and what makes housing supply 142 00:07:16,779 --> 00:07:19,999 in many parts of the world inelastic. 143 00:07:21,380 --> 00:07:24,400 Now, you can test your understanding of elasticity 144 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:26,530 by checking out our practice questions. 145 00:07:26,980 --> 00:07:29,521 We also have test banks and lesson plans 146 00:07:29,521 --> 00:07:30,777 for Economics teachers. 147 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:34,499 Or, if you're ready for more microeconomics, 148 00:07:34,499 --> 00:07:36,178 click for the next video. 149 00:07:36,672 --> 00:07:38,581 ♪ [music] ♪