WEBVTT 00:00:00.254 --> 00:00:03.854 ♪ [music] ♪ 00:00:14.153 --> 00:00:16.655 [Alex] On September 15, 2008, 00:00:16.655 --> 00:00:20.320 the world's financial system was shaken to its core 00:00:20.320 --> 00:00:22.167 when the investment bank, Lehman Brothers, 00:00:22.167 --> 00:00:24.122 filed for bankruptcy. 00:00:24.122 --> 00:00:27.543 The impact was great, not simply because Lehman was big, 00:00:27.543 --> 00:00:31.818 but also because it was an important financial intermediary, 00:00:31.818 --> 00:00:34.871 an institution that helps bridge the gap 00:00:34.871 --> 00:00:37.286 between savers and borrowers. 00:00:37.791 --> 00:00:41.494 The failure of Lehman marked the beginning of a series of events 00:00:41.494 --> 00:00:44.058 that signaled the worst economic downturn 00:00:44.058 --> 00:00:45.919 since the Great Depression. 00:00:46.376 --> 00:00:48.310 And while there's several significant angles 00:00:48.310 --> 00:00:49.738 to the Great Recession, 00:00:49.738 --> 00:00:52.733 one of them was the decreased efficacy 00:00:52.733 --> 00:00:55.051 of financial intermediation. 00:00:55.051 --> 00:00:57.052 Now, some later videos are going to go through this 00:00:57.052 --> 00:00:58.491 in more detail. 00:00:58.491 --> 00:01:02.324 But for now, we want to start with some basic observations 00:01:02.324 --> 00:01:05.831 as to why financial intermediation is so important. 00:01:06.434 --> 00:01:08.360 We'll start with the supply of savings 00:01:08.360 --> 00:01:09.896 and the demand to borrow, 00:01:09.896 --> 00:01:12.325 and the market which brings them together -- 00:01:12.325 --> 00:01:14.455 the Market for Loanable Funds. 00:01:14.455 --> 00:01:16.209 And then we'll work our way up 00:01:16.209 --> 00:01:18.813 to an examination of The Great Recession. 00:01:20.603 --> 00:01:24.080 So why do people borrow and save at all? 00:01:24.505 --> 00:01:27.709 Well, let's imagine a world without borrowing and saving. 00:01:28.279 --> 00:01:32.528 Most people's incomes don't stay flat their entire lives. 00:01:32.528 --> 00:01:34.667 They change in predictable ways. 00:01:35.532 --> 00:01:37.173 Here's a typical pattern, 00:01:37.173 --> 00:01:39.454 showing a person's income over their life, 00:01:39.454 --> 00:01:41.491 with their income on the vertical axis 00:01:41.491 --> 00:01:43.795 and time on the horizontal axis. 00:01:44.485 --> 00:01:46.371 When you're young and still in school, 00:01:46.371 --> 00:01:48.175 you might make a little bit of money, 00:01:48.175 --> 00:01:51.384 waiting tables or occasionally mowing lawns. 00:01:51.384 --> 00:01:54.118 Your first job out of school -- it's going to pay more, 00:01:54.118 --> 00:01:56.126 and after a few years of experience 00:01:56.126 --> 00:01:58.386 and hopefully a few raises along the way, 00:01:58.386 --> 00:02:00.397 you make more than you ever have. 00:02:00.641 --> 00:02:03.309 Then, as you age, you look forward to retirement, 00:02:03.309 --> 00:02:04.841 when your income falls. 00:02:04.841 --> 00:02:06.194 But you're no longer working, 00:02:06.194 --> 00:02:08.918 and you could really enjoy your golden years. 00:02:10.124 --> 00:02:12.602 [Estelle from “Seinfeld” TV series] “We're moving to Florida!” 00:02:12.602 --> 00:02:15.858 [George] “What? You're moving to Florida? 00:02:15.858 --> 00:02:19.724 Ah-hah! That's wonderful! I'm so happy! 00:02:20.423 --> 00:02:22.589 For you! I'm so happy for you!” 00:02:23.506 --> 00:02:24.941 [Alex] Now, let's imagine 00:02:24.941 --> 00:02:29.699 if your consumption followed the same path as your income 00:02:29.699 --> 00:02:31.867 and you never saved or borrowed. 00:02:32.165 --> 00:02:34.099 You'd struggle when young, 00:02:34.099 --> 00:02:37.227 and you'd be unable to invest in an education. 00:02:37.724 --> 00:02:39.490 Then, you'd spend every cent you make 00:02:39.490 --> 00:02:41.791 during your prime working years. 00:02:41.791 --> 00:02:43.849 Well, that sounds like a lot of fun. 00:02:43.849 --> 00:02:46.900 But without savings, your income will drop suddenly 00:02:46.900 --> 00:02:50.175 when you retire, and so will your consumption. 00:02:50.685 --> 00:02:52.729 Your golden years wouldn't be so golden. 00:02:52.729 --> 00:02:54.195 [Doug from “King of Queens” TV series] If you're so smart, 00:02:54.195 --> 00:02:55.545 why don't you tell them that you live in my basement? 00:02:55.545 --> 00:02:57.505 [Arthur] Why don't you tell them you're enormous? 00:02:57.982 --> 00:03:01.758 [Doug] Why don't you tell them that your total salary last year was $12? 00:03:01.758 --> 00:03:03.349 [Arthur] That was after taxes. 00:03:04.540 --> 00:03:07.083 [Alex] So instead, people tend to follow 00:03:07.083 --> 00:03:09.321 a life-cycle theory of savings. 00:03:09.820 --> 00:03:14.600 A person can start out consuming more than she makes, 00:03:14.984 --> 00:03:17.290 borrowing to fill that gap -- 00:03:17.290 --> 00:03:19.545 and to pay for things like an education. 00:03:20.195 --> 00:03:22.360 Then, during her prime working years, 00:03:22.360 --> 00:03:26.810 she makes more than she consumes, paying down her debt 00:03:26.810 --> 00:03:30.238 and saving the extra income for retirement. 00:03:30.238 --> 00:03:34.480 And when retirement comes, she can spend those savings 00:03:34.480 --> 00:03:38.131 and enjoy the golden years even without working. 00:03:38.656 --> 00:03:41.824 Now of course, many people deviate from this exact path, 00:03:41.824 --> 00:03:43.516 depending on details. 00:03:43.516 --> 00:03:46.644 Most people, for example -- they consume less in college 00:03:46.644 --> 00:03:48.501 than they do as professionals. 00:03:48.855 --> 00:03:52.442 Ramen noodles are no longer a staple of my diet. 00:03:53.030 --> 00:03:56.712 But generally speaking, many people follow a pattern 00:03:56.712 --> 00:04:00.777 of borrowing, saving, and dissaving 00:04:00.777 --> 00:04:04.702 to smooth their consumption path over their lifetime. 00:04:05.301 --> 00:04:08.543 Of course, just like some people can't wait until after dinner 00:04:08.543 --> 00:04:10.259 to reach for that cookie jar, 00:04:10.259 --> 00:04:13.853 not everyone saves and spends in the same way. 00:04:13.853 --> 00:04:17.947 How much you save and borrow depends upon your time preference. 00:04:17.947 --> 00:04:21.203 Some people -- they're more impatient than others. 00:04:21.203 --> 00:04:23.646 We all know someone who spends everything they've got 00:04:23.646 --> 00:04:25.688 and doesn't save enough. 00:04:25.688 --> 00:04:28.197 On the other hand, if you're keeping to a budget 00:04:28.197 --> 00:04:32.224 and not spending too much so that you can go to college, 00:04:32.224 --> 00:04:34.704 well, that's an example of being patient 00:04:34.704 --> 00:04:38.065 and waiting for higher consumption later. 00:04:38.662 --> 00:04:40.767 We've also learned from behavioral economics 00:04:40.767 --> 00:04:45.200 that saving is not just a matter of weighing costs and benefits. 00:04:45.200 --> 00:04:46.803 Nudges can matter. 00:04:47.168 --> 00:04:51.849 If your employer automatically enrolls you in a retirement plan, 00:04:51.849 --> 00:04:55.091 or sets a high default contribution rate, 00:04:55.091 --> 00:04:56.690 you'll probably end up saving more 00:04:56.690 --> 00:04:58.736 than if you have to choose yourself, 00:04:58.736 --> 00:05:02.036 even if choosing yourself would only take a few hours of work 00:05:02.036 --> 00:05:03.956 once in your lifetime. 00:05:04.347 --> 00:05:08.809 Another important reason to borrow is to make big investments. 00:05:08.809 --> 00:05:11.793 Just as students borrow to invest in education, 00:05:11.793 --> 00:05:14.869 businesses borrow to invest in big projects. 00:05:15.286 --> 00:05:19.344 Entrepreneurs with great ideas but not much money, 00:05:19.695 --> 00:05:22.589 they may have to borrow or sell a stake in their idea 00:05:22.589 --> 00:05:24.706 just to get their venture off the ground. 00:05:25.114 --> 00:05:30.298 For example, Howard Schultz built Starbucks into a global brand 00:05:30.298 --> 00:05:32.591 by borrowing and raising capital 00:05:32.591 --> 00:05:35.885 through several different types of financial intermediaries. 00:05:35.885 --> 00:05:38.755 We'll talk more about that in upcoming videos. 00:05:39.487 --> 00:05:40.788 As with any other good, 00:05:40.788 --> 00:05:42.532 we're going to use supply and demand 00:05:42.532 --> 00:05:45.116 to analyze the market for saving and borrowing, 00:05:45.116 --> 00:05:47.418 known as the Market for Loanable Funds. 00:05:47.418 --> 00:05:49.432 As we've seen, there are lots of good reasons 00:05:49.432 --> 00:05:51.156 to save and to borrow. 00:05:51.156 --> 00:05:55.757 But we have failed to mention one big factor -- price. 00:05:56.562 --> 00:05:59.253 What's the price of saving and borrowing? 00:05:59.632 --> 00:06:01.522 It's the interest rate. 00:06:02.206 --> 00:06:05.732 So here's the supply curve showing the supply of savings. 00:06:06.094 --> 00:06:07.670 As the interest rate goes up, 00:06:07.670 --> 00:06:11.148 the quantity of savings supplied increases. 00:06:11.148 --> 00:06:14.058 And here's the demand curve showing the demand to borrow. 00:06:14.501 --> 00:06:17.716 Lower interest rates incentivize borrowing, 00:06:17.716 --> 00:06:19.475 so as the interest rate falls, 00:06:19.475 --> 00:06:23.252 the quantity of borrowing demanded increases. 00:06:23.834 --> 00:06:26.288 As with any other supply and demand graph, 00:06:26.288 --> 00:06:28.857 different factors will shift the curves. 00:06:29.878 --> 00:06:32.188 If a lot of people decide that it'd be a good idea 00:06:32.188 --> 00:06:34.624 to increase their savings, for example, 00:06:34.624 --> 00:06:38.373 then the supply of savings will shift outward. 00:06:38.373 --> 00:06:41.752 As you can see, this would cause interest rates to fall. 00:06:41.752 --> 00:06:45.116 This is what we saw in countries like South Korea and China 00:06:45.116 --> 00:06:47.597 as their populations saved more. 00:06:47.955 --> 00:06:51.144 On the demand side, if investors, say, 00:06:51.144 --> 00:06:53.963 became less optimistic for some reason, 00:06:53.963 --> 00:06:56.602 the demand to borrow would shift inward, 00:06:56.602 --> 00:06:58.941 causing the interest rate to fall. 00:06:59.775 --> 00:07:03.585 But, if, say an investment tax credit from the government 00:07:03.585 --> 00:07:05.963 increased the demand to invest, 00:07:05.963 --> 00:07:08.606 then the demand curve will shift in the opposite direction, 00:07:08.606 --> 00:07:11.394 up and to the right, pushing interest rates up. 00:07:11.931 --> 00:07:14.670 Thinking about the Market for Loanable Funds helps us 00:07:14.670 --> 00:07:18.837 to see the big picture and understand the raw factors 00:07:18.837 --> 00:07:20.509 that determine interest rates 00:07:20.509 --> 00:07:23.287 and the quantity of borrowing and lending. 00:07:23.287 --> 00:07:25.417 But there isn't actually one market 00:07:25.417 --> 00:07:27.669 called the Market for Loanable Funds. 00:07:27.669 --> 00:07:30.336 It's not like the New York Stock Exchange. 00:07:30.336 --> 00:07:33.519 Instead, there are many, many, many markets 00:07:33.519 --> 00:07:37.441 for different kinds of borrowers and different kinds of lenders. 00:07:37.441 --> 00:07:41.037 And there are different types of institutions, like banks, 00:07:41.037 --> 00:07:43.103 bond markets, and stock markets 00:07:43.103 --> 00:07:46.364 that connect the two sides of the market. 00:07:46.364 --> 00:07:48.003 We're going to delve more deeply 00:07:48.003 --> 00:07:50.883 into the different kinds of financial intermediaries, 00:07:50.883 --> 00:07:53.822 and why they're so important, next. 00:07:55.672 --> 00:07:57.235 [Narrator] If you want to test yourself, 00:07:57.235 --> 00:07:59.188 click "Practice Questions." 00:07:59.188 --> 00:08:00.976 Or, if you're ready to move on, 00:08:00.976 --> 00:08:03.049 you can click "Go to the Next Video." 00:08:06.232 --> 00:08:08.758 You can also visit MRUniversity.com 00:08:08.758 --> 00:08:11.628 to see our entire library of videos and resources. 00:08:11.840 --> 00:08:14.644 ♪ [music] ♪