[Script Info] Title: [Events] Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text Dialogue: 0,0:00:00.25,0:00:03.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,♪ [music] ♪ Dialogue: 0,0:00:14.35,0:00:16.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Alex] On September 15, 2008, Dialogue: 0,0:00:16.66,0:00:20.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the world's financial system\Nwas shaken to its core Dialogue: 0,0:00:20.32,0:00:22.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,when the investment bank,\NLehman Brothers, Dialogue: 0,0:00:22.17,0:00:24.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,filed for bankruptcy. Dialogue: 0,0:00:24.12,0:00:27.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The impact was great not simply\Nbecause Lehman was big, Dialogue: 0,0:00:27.54,0:00:31.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but also because it was\Nan important financial intermediary, Dialogue: 0,0:00:31.82,0:00:34.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,an institution that\Nhelps bridge the gap Dialogue: 0,0:00:34.68,0:00:37.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,between savers and borrowers. Dialogue: 0,0:00:37.79,0:00:41.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The failure of Lehman marked\Nthe beginning of a series of events Dialogue: 0,0:00:41.49,0:00:44.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that signaled\Nthe worst economic downturn Dialogue: 0,0:00:44.06,0:00:46.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,since the Great Depression. Dialogue: 0,0:00:46.52,0:00:48.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And while there's several\Nsignificant angles Dialogue: 0,0:00:48.31,0:00:49.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to the Great Recession, Dialogue: 0,0:00:49.74,0:00:52.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,one of them was\Nthe decreased efficacy Dialogue: 0,0:00:52.73,0:00:55.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of financial intermediation. Dialogue: 0,0:00:55.18,0:00:57.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now, some later videos\Nare going to go through this Dialogue: 0,0:00:57.03,0:00:58.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in more detail. Dialogue: 0,0:00:58.49,0:01:02.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But for now, we want to start\Nwith some basic observations Dialogue: 0,0:01:02.32,0:01:06.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,as to why financial intermediation\Nis so important. Dialogue: 0,0:01:06.43,0:01:08.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We'll start\Nwith the supply of savings Dialogue: 0,0:01:08.36,0:01:09.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and the demand to borrow, Dialogue: 0,0:01:09.90,0:01:12.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and the market\Nwhich brings them together, Dialogue: 0,0:01:12.46,0:01:14.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the Market for Loanable Funds. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So why do people borrow\Nand save at all? Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, let's imagine a world\Nwithout borrowing and saving. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Most people's incomes\Ndon't stay flat their entire lives. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,They change in predictable ways. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Here's a typical pattern, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,showing a person's income\Nover their life, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,with their income\Non the vertical axis Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and time on the horizontal axis. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,When you're young\Nand still in school, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you might make\Na little bit of money, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,waiting tables\Nor occasionally mowing lawns. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Your first job out of school,\Nit's going to pay more, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and after a few years\Nof experience Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and hopefully\Na few raises along the way, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you make more than you ever have. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Then, as you age,\Nyou look forward to retirement, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,when your income falls. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But you're no longer working Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you could really enjoy \Nyour golden years. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Estelle from “Seinfeld” TV series] \N“We're moving to Florida!” Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[George] “What?\NYou're moving to Florida? Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ah-hah! That's wonderful!\NI'm so happy! Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,For you! I'm so happy for you!” Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Alex] Now, let's imagine Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if your consumption followed\Nthe same path as your income Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you never saved or borrowed. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You'd struggle when young, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and you'd be unable\Nto invest in an education. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Then, you'd spend\Nevery cent you make Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,during your prime working years. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Well, that sounds\Nlike a lot of fun. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But without savings,\Nyour income will drop suddenly Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,when you retire,\Nand so will your consumption. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Your golden years\Nwouldn't be so golden. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Doug from “King of Queens” TV series] Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Kevin] If you're so smart, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,why don't you tell them that \Nyou live in my basement? Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Arthur] Why don't you tell them \Nyou're enormous? Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Doug] Why don't you tell them Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that your total salary\Nlast year was $12? Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Arthur] That was after taxes. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Alex] So instead,\Npeople tend to follow Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a life cycle theory of savings. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A person can start out consuming\Nmore than she makes, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,borrowing to fill that gap -- Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and to pay for things\Nlike an education. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Then, during\Nher prime working years, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,she makes more than she consumes,\Npaying down her debt Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and saving the extra income\Nfor retirement. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And when retirement comes,\Nshe can spend those savings Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and enjoy the golden years\Neven without working. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Now of course, many people\Ndeviate from this exact path, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,depending on details. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Most people, for example,\Nthey consume less in college Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,than they do as professionals. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ramen noodles are no longer\Na staple of my diet. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But generally speaking,\Nmany people follow a pattern Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,of borrowing, saving,\Nand dissaving Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to smooth their consumption path\Nover their lifetime. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Of course, just like some people\Ncan't wait until after dinner Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to reach for that cookie jar, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,not everyone saves and spends\Nin the same way. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,How much you save and borrow\Ndepends upon your time preference. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Some people -- they're more\Nimpatient than others. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We all know someone\Nwho spends everything they've got Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and doesn't save enough. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,On the other hand,\Nif you're keeping to a budget Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and not spending too much\Nso that you can go to college, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,well that's an example\Nof being patient Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and waiting\Nfor higher consumption later. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We've also learned\Nfrom behavioral economics Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that saving is not just a matter\Nof weighing costs and benefits. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Nudges can matter. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If your employer automatically\Nenrolls you in a retirement plan, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or sets a high\Ndefault contribution rate, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you'll probably end up saving more Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,than if you have to choose yourself, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,even if choosing yourself\Nwould only take a few hours of work Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,once in your lifetime. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Another important reason to borrow\Nis to make big investments. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Just as students borrow\Nto invest in education, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,businesses borrow\Nto invest in big projects. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Entrepreneurs with great ideas\Nbut not much money, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they may have to borrow\Nor sell a stake in their idea Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,just to get their venture\Noff the ground. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,For example, Howard Schultz\Nbuilt Starbucks into a global brand Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,by borrowing and raising capital Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,through several different types\Nof financial intermediaries. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We'll talk more about that\Nin upcoming videos. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,As with any other good, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we're going to use\Nsupply and demand Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to analyze the market\Nfor saving and borrowing, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,known as the Market\Nfor Loanable Funds. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,As we've seen, there are\Nlots of good reasons Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to save and to borrow. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But we have failed to mention\None big factor -- price. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,What's the price\Nof saving and borrowing? Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's the interest rate. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So here's the supply curve\Nshowing the supply of savings. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,As the interest rate goes up, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the quantity\Nof savings supplied increases, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and here's the demand curve\Nshowing the demand to borrow. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Lower interest rates\Nincentivize borrowing, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,so as the interest rate falls, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the quantity\Nof borrowing demanded increases. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,As with any other\Nsupply and demand graph, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,different factors\Nwill shift the curves. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If a lot of people decide\Nthat it'd be a good idea Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to increase their savings,\Nfor example, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,then the supply of savings\Nwill shift outward. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,As you can see, this would\Ncause interest rates to fall. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is what we saw in countries\Nlike South Korea and China, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,as their populations saved more. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,On the demand side,\Nif investors, say Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,became less optimistic\Nfor some reason, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the demand to borrow\Nwould shift inward, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,causing the interest rate to fall. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But if, say an investment tax credit\Nfrom the government Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,increased the demand to invest, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,then the demand curve will shift\Nin the opposite direction, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,up and to the right,\Npushing interest rates up. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Thinking about the Market\Nfor Loanable Funds helps us Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to see the big picture\Nand understand the raw factors Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that determine interest rates Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and the quantity\Nof borrowing and lending. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,But there isn't actually\None market Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,called the Market\Nfor Loanable Funds. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's not like the New York\NStock Exchange. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Instead, there are many,\Nmany, many markets Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for different kinds of borrowers\Nand different kinds of lenders. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And there are different types\Nof institutions like banks, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,bond markets, and stock markets Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that connect\Nthe two sides of the market. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,We're going to delve more deeply Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,into the different kinds\Nof financial intermediaries, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[Narrator] If you want\Nto test yourself, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,click "Practice Questions." Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Or, if you're ready to move on, Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you can click \N"Go to the Next Video." Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,You can also visit MRUniversity.com Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to see our entire library\Nof videos and resources. Dialogue: 0,9:59:59.99,9:59:59.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,♪ [music] ♪