WEBVTT 00:00:00.555 --> 00:00:03.555 ♪ [music] ♪ 00:00:14.300 --> 00:00:19.440 [Alex] On September 15, 2008, 00:00:19.440 --> 00:00:21.780 the world's financial system was shaken to its core 00:00:21.780 --> 00:00:24.780 when the investment bank, Lehman Brothers, 00:00:24.780 --> 00:00:27.080 filed for bankruptcy. 00:00:27.080 --> 00:00:30.080 The impact was great not simply because Lehman was big, 00:00:30.080 --> 00:00:36.240 but also because it was an important financial intermediary, 00:00:36.240 --> 00:00:37.240 an institution that helps bridge the gap 00:00:37.240 --> 00:00:38.700 between savers and borrowers. 00:00:38.700 --> 00:00:41.700 The failure of Lehman marked the beginning of a series of events 00:00:41.700 --> 00:00:46.970 that signaled the worst economic downturn 00:00:46.970 --> 00:00:49.060 since the Great Depression. 00:00:49.060 --> 00:00:50.060 And while there's several significant angles 00:00:50.060 --> 00:00:52.060 to the Great Recession, 00:00:52.060 --> 00:00:53.060 one of them was the decreased efficacy 00:00:53.060 --> 00:00:55.290 of financial intermediation. 00:00:55.290 --> 00:00:56.840 Now, some later videos are going to go through this 00:00:56.840 --> 00:00:59.840 in more detail. 00:00:59.840 --> 00:01:03.840 But for now, we want to start with some basic observations 00:01:03.840 --> 00:01:08.620 as to why financial intermediation is so important. 00:01:08.620 --> 00:01:12.980 We'll start with the supply of savings 00:01:16.025 --> 00:01:17.770 and the demand to borrow, 00:01:17.770 --> 00:01:18.770 and the market which brings them together, 00:01:18.770 --> 00:01:20.770 the Market for 00:01:20.770 --> 00:01:26.430 So why do people borrow and save at all? 00:01:26.430 --> 00:01:31.580 Well, let's imagine a world without borrowing and saving. 00:01:31.580 --> 00:01:37.610 Most people's incomes don't stay flat their entire lives. 00:01:37.610 --> 00:01:39.220 They change in predictable ways. 00:01:39.220 --> 00:01:40.220 Here's a typical pattern, 00:01:40.220 --> 00:01:41.220 showing a person's income over their life, 00:01:41.220 --> 00:01:42.220 with their income on the vertical axis 00:01:42.220 --> 00:01:46.820 and time on the horizontal axis. 00:01:46.820 --> 00:01:49.440 When you're young and still in school, 00:01:49.440 --> 00:01:50.440 you might make a little bit of money, 00:01:50.440 --> 00:01:52.440 waiting tables or occasionally mowing lawns. 00:01:52.440 --> 00:01:56.250 Your first job out of school, it's going to pay more, 00:01:56.250 --> 00:01:58.170 and after a few years of experience 00:01:58.170 --> 00:01:59.170 and hopefully a few raises along the way, 00:01:59.170 --> 00:02:01.170 you make more than you ever have. 00:02:01.170 --> 00:02:05.630 Then, as you age, you look forward to retirement, 00:02:05.630 --> 00:02:07.500 when your income falls. 00:02:07.500 --> 00:02:08.500 But you're no longer working 00:02:08.500 --> 00:02:10.500 and you could really enjoy your golden years. 00:02:10.500 --> 00:02:13.090 [Estelle from “Seinfeld” TV series] “We're moving to Florida!” 00:02:13.090 --> 00:02:16.390 [George] “What? You're moving to Florida? 00:02:16.390 --> 00:02:19.390 Ah-hah! That's wonderful! I'm so happy! 00:02:19.390 --> 00:02:23.370 For you! I'm so happy for you!” 00:02:23.370 --> 00:02:26.720 [Alex] Now, let's imagine 00:02:26.720 --> 00:02:29.720 if your consumption followed the same path as your income 00:02:29.720 --> 00:02:35.140 and you never saved or borrowed. 00:02:35.140 --> 00:02:36.930 You'd struggle when young, 00:02:36.930 --> 00:02:39.930 and you'd be unable to invest in an education. 00:02:39.930 --> 00:02:42.490 Then, you'd spend every cent you make 00:02:42.490 --> 00:02:45.490 during your prime working years. 00:02:45.490 --> 00:02:47.910 Well, that sounds like a lot of fun. 00:02:47.910 --> 00:02:48.910 But without savings, your income will drop suddenly 00:02:48.910 --> 00:02:50.910 when you retire, and so will your consumption. 00:02:50.910 --> 00:02:52.500 Your golden years wouldn't be so golden. 00:02:52.500 --> 00:02:53.476 [Doug from “King of Queens” TV series] 00:02:53.476 --> 00:02:54.453 [Kevin] If you're so smart, 00:02:54.453 --> 00:02:55.430 why don't you tell them that you live in my basement? 00:02:55.430 --> 00:02:56.900 [Arthur] Why don't you tell them you're enormous? 00:02:56.900 --> 00:02:57.900 [Doug] Why don't you tell them 00:02:57.900 --> 00:03:00.570 that your total salary last year was $12? 00:03:00.570 --> 00:03:03.730 [Arthur] That was after taxes. 00:03:03.730 --> 00:03:07.990 [Alex] So instead, people tend to follow 00:03:07.990 --> 00:03:10.990 a life cycle theory of savings. 00:03:10.990 --> 00:03:17.960 A person can start out consuming more than she makes, 00:03:17.960 --> 00:03:20.620 borrowing to fill that gap -- 00:03:20.620 --> 00:03:21.620 and to pay for things like an education. 00:03:21.620 --> 00:03:23.620 Then, during her prime working years, 00:03:23.620 --> 00:03:27.470 she makes more than she consumes, paying down her debt 00:03:27.470 --> 00:03:30.470 and saving the extra income for retirement. 00:03:30.470 --> 00:03:36.600 And when retirement comes, she can spend those savings 00:03:36.600 --> 00:03:38.860 and enjoy the golden years even without working. 00:03:38.860 --> 00:03:41.860 Now of course, many people deviate from this exact path, 00:03:41.860 --> 00:03:43.690 depending on details. 00:03:43.690 --> 00:03:47.310 Most people, for example, they consume less in college 00:03:47.310 --> 00:03:50.860 than they do as professionals. 00:03:50.860 --> 00:03:53.860 Ramen noodles are no longer a staple of my diet. 00:03:53.860 --> 00:04:02.250 But generally speaking, many people follow a pattern 00:04:02.250 --> 00:04:04.100 of borrowing, saving, and dissaving 00:04:04.100 --> 00:04:05.100 to smooth their consumption path over their lifetime. 00:04:05.100 --> 00:04:07.100 Of course, just like some people can't wait until after dinner 00:04:07.100 --> 00:04:11.720 to reach for that cookie jar, 00:04:11.720 --> 00:04:16.800 not everyone saves and spends in the same way. 00:04:16.800 --> 00:04:19.250 How much you save and borrow depends upon your time preference. 00:04:19.250 --> 00:04:20.250 Some people -- they're more impatient than others. 00:04:20.250 --> 00:04:22.250 We all know someone who spends everything they've got 00:04:22.250 --> 00:04:27.050 and doesn't save enough. 00:04:27.050 --> 00:04:28.420 On the other hand, if you're keeping to a budget 00:04:28.420 --> 00:04:31.420 and not spending too much so that you can go to college, 00:04:31.420 --> 00:04:35.640 well that's an example of being patient 00:04:35.640 --> 00:04:38.640 and waiting for higher consumption later. 00:04:38.640 --> 00:04:42.800 We've also learned from behavioral economics 00:04:42.800 --> 00:04:49.520 that saving is not just a matter of weighing costs and benefits. 00:04:49.520 --> 00:04:52.330 Nudges can matter. 00:04:52.330 --> 00:04:55.330 If your employer automatically enrolls you in a retirement plan, 00:04:55.330 --> 00:04:56.870 or sets a high default contribution rate, 00:04:56.870 --> 00:04:57.870 you'll probably end up saving more 00:04:57.870 --> 00:04:59.870 than if you have to choose yourself, 00:04:59.870 --> 00:05:02.070 even if choosing yourself would only take a few hours of work 00:05:02.070 --> 00:05:05.070 once in your lifetime. 00:05:05.070 --> 00:05:10.360 Another important reason to borrow is to make big investments. 00:05:10.360 --> 00:05:13.370 Just as students borrow to invest in education, 00:05:13.370 --> 00:05:16.370 businesses borrow to invest in big projects. 00:05:16.370 --> 00:05:18.950 Entrepreneurs with great ideas but not much money, 00:05:18.950 --> 00:05:21.950 they may have to borrow or sell a stake in their idea 00:05:21.950 --> 00:05:27.450 just to get their venture off the ground. 00:05:27.450 --> 00:05:30.280 For example, Howard Schultz built Starbucks into a global brand 00:05:30.280 --> 00:05:33.280 by borrowing and raising capital 00:05:33.280 --> 00:05:36.690 through several different types of financial intermediaries. 00:05:36.690 --> 00:05:39.690 We'll talk more about that in upcoming videos. 00:05:39.690 --> 00:05:40.690 As with any other good, 00:05:40.690 --> 00:05:43.660 we're going to use supply and demand 00:05:43.660 --> 00:05:45.140 to analyze the market for saving and borrowing, 00:05:45.140 --> 00:05:48.140 known as the Market for Loanable Funds. 00:05:48.140 --> 00:05:49.800 As we've seen, there are lots of good reasons 00:05:49.800 --> 00:05:52.800 to save and to borrow. 00:05:52.800 --> 00:05:57.650 But we have failed to mention one big factor -- price. 00:05:57.650 --> 00:06:00.650 What's the price of saving and borrowing? 00:06:00.650 --> 00:06:03.660 It's the interest rate. 00:06:03.660 --> 00:06:06.660 So here's the supply curve showing the supply of savings. 00:06:06.660 --> 00:06:09.110 As the interest rate goes up, 00:06:09.110 --> 00:06:12.110 the quantity of savings supplied increases, 00:06:12.110 --> 00:06:18.010 and here's the demand curve showing the demand to borrow. 00:06:18.010 --> 00:06:21.500 Lower interest rates incentivize borrowing, 00:06:21.500 --> 00:06:22.500 so as the interest rate falls, 00:06:22.500 --> 00:06:24.500 the quantity of borrowing demanded increases. 00:06:24.500 --> 00:06:27.560 As with any other supply and demand graph, 00:06:27.560 --> 00:06:30.560 different factors will shift the curves. 00:06:30.560 --> 00:06:31.930 If a lot of people decide that it'd be a good idea 00:06:31.930 --> 00:06:34.930 to increase their savings, for example, 00:06:34.930 --> 00:06:40.070 then the supply of savings will shift outward. 00:06:40.070 --> 00:06:45.300 As you can see, this would cause interest rates to fall. 00:06:45.300 --> 00:06:46.300 This is what we saw in countries like South Korea and China, 00:06:46.300 --> 00:06:48.080 as their populations saved more. 00:06:48.080 --> 00:06:51.060 On the demand side, if investors, say 00:06:51.060 --> 00:06:54.060 became less optimistic for some reason, 00:06:54.060 --> 00:06:57.820 the demand to borrow would shift inward, 00:06:57.820 --> 00:07:00.820 causing the interest rate to fall. 00:07:00.820 --> 00:07:02.720 But if, say an investment tax credit from the government 00:07:02.720 --> 00:07:05.720 increased the demand to invest, 00:07:05.720 --> 00:07:09.720 then the demand curve will shift in the opposite direction, 00:07:09.720 --> 00:07:12.050 up and to the right, pushing interest rates up. 00:07:12.050 --> 00:07:16.790 Thinking about the Market for Loanable Funds helps us 00:07:16.790 --> 00:07:21.430 to see the big picture and understand the raw factors 00:07:21.430 --> 00:07:23.390 that determine interest rates 00:07:23.390 --> 00:07:24.390 and the quantity of borrowing and lending. 00:07:24.390 --> 00:07:26.980 But there isn't actually one market 00:07:26.980 --> 00:07:29.570 called the Market for Loanable Funds. 00:07:29.570 --> 00:07:32.160 It's not like the New York Stock Exchange. 00:07:32.160 --> 00:07:34.660 Instead, there are many, many, many markets 00:07:34.660 --> 00:07:37.660 for different kinds of borrowers and different kinds of lenders. 00:07:37.660 --> 00:07:42.190 And there are different types of institutions like banks, 00:07:42.190 --> 00:07:44.180 bond markets, and stock markets 00:07:44.180 --> 00:07:47.180 that connect the two sides of the market. 00:07:47.180 --> 00:07:51.000 We're going to delve more deeply 00:07:51.530 --> 00:07:54.530 into the different kinds of financial intermediaries, 00:07:54.530 --> 00:07:57.000 [Narrator] If you want to test yourself, 00:07:57.000 --> 00:08:00.000 click "Practice Questions." 00:08:00.000 --> 00:08:01.800 Or, if you're ready to move on, 00:08:01.800 --> 00:08:04.800 you can click "Go to the Next Video." 00:08:04.800 --> 00:08:12.000 You can also visit MRUniversity.com 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to see our entire library of videos and resources. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 ♪ [music] ♪