0:00:00.555,0:00:03.555 ♪ [music] ♪ 0:00:14.300,0:00:19.440 [Alex] On September 15, 2008, 0:00:19.440,0:00:21.780 the world's financial system[br]was shaken to its core 0:00:21.780,0:00:24.780 when the investment bank,[br]Lehman Brothers, 0:00:24.780,0:00:27.080 filed for bankruptcy. 0:00:27.080,0:00:30.080 The impact was great not simply[br]because Lehman was big, 0:00:30.080,0:00:36.240 but also because it was[br]an important financial intermediary, 0:00:36.240,0:00:37.240 an institution that[br]helps bridge the gap 0:00:37.240,0:00:38.700 between savers and borrowers. 0:00:38.700,0:00:41.700 The failure of Lehman marked[br]the beginning of a series of events 0:00:41.700,0:00:46.970 that signaled[br]the worst economic downturn 0:00:46.970,0:00:49.060 since the Great Depression. 0:00:49.060,0:00:50.060 And while there's several[br]significant angles 0:00:50.060,0:00:52.060 to the Great Recession, 0:00:52.060,0:00:53.060 one of them was[br]the decreased efficacy 0:00:53.060,0:00:55.290 of financial intermediation. 0:00:55.290,0:00:56.840 Now, some later videos[br]are going to go through this 0:00:56.840,0:00:59.840 in more detail. 0:00:59.840,0:01:03.840 But for now, we want to start[br]with some basic observations 0:01:03.840,0:01:08.620 as to why financial intermediation[br]is so important. 0:01:08.620,0:01:12.980 We'll start[br]with the supply of savings 0:01:16.025,0:01:17.770 and the demand to borrow, 0:01:17.770,0:01:18.770 and the market[br]which brings them together, 0:01:18.770,0:01:20.770 the Market for 0:01:20.770,0:01:26.430 So why do people borrow[br]and save at all? 0:01:26.430,0:01:31.580 Well, let's imagine a world[br]without borrowing and saving. 0:01:31.580,0:01:37.610 Most people's incomes[br]don't stay flat their entire lives. 0:01:37.610,0:01:39.220 They change in predictable ways. 0:01:39.220,0:01:40.220 Here's a typical pattern, 0:01:40.220,0:01:41.220 showing a person's income[br]over their life, 0:01:41.220,0:01:42.220 with their income[br]on the vertical axis 0:01:42.220,0:01:46.820 and time on the horizontal axis. 0:01:46.820,0:01:49.440 When you're young[br]and still in school, 0:01:49.440,0:01:50.440 you might make[br]a little bit of money, 0:01:50.440,0:01:52.440 waiting tables[br]or occasionally mowing lawns. 0:01:52.440,0:01:56.250 Your first job out of school,[br]it's going to pay more, 0:01:56.250,0:01:58.170 and after a few years[br]of experience 0:01:58.170,0:01:59.170 and hopefully[br]a few raises along the way, 0:01:59.170,0:02:01.170 you make more than you ever have. 0:02:01.170,0:02:05.630 Then, as you age,[br]you look forward to retirement, 0:02:05.630,0:02:07.500 when your income falls. 0:02:07.500,0:02:08.500 But you're no longer working 0:02:08.500,0:02:10.500 and you could really enjoy [br]your golden years. 0:02:10.500,0:02:13.090 [Estelle from “Seinfeld” TV series] [br]“We're moving to Florida!” 0:02:13.090,0:02:16.390 [George] “What?[br]You're moving to Florida? 0:02:16.390,0:02:19.390 Ah-hah! That's wonderful![br]I'm so happy! 0:02:19.390,0:02:23.370 For you! I'm so happy for you!” 0:02:23.370,0:02:26.720 [Alex] Now, let's imagine 0:02:26.720,0:02:29.720 if your consumption followed[br]the same path as your income 0:02:29.720,0:02:35.140 and you never saved or borrowed. 0:02:35.140,0:02:36.930 You'd struggle when young, 0:02:36.930,0:02:39.930 and you'd be unable[br]to invest in an education. 0:02:39.930,0:02:42.490 Then, you'd spend[br]every cent you make 0:02:42.490,0:02:45.490 during your prime working years. 0:02:45.490,0:02:47.910 Well, that sounds[br]like a lot of fun. 0:02:47.910,0:02:48.910 But without savings,[br]your income will drop suddenly 0:02:48.910,0:02:50.910 when you retire,[br]and so will your consumption. 0:02:50.910,0:02:52.500 Your golden years[br]wouldn't be so golden. 0:02:52.500,0:02:53.476 [Doug from “King of Queens” TV series] 0:02:53.476,0:02:54.453 [Kevin] If you're so smart, 0:02:54.453,0:02:55.430 why don't you tell them that [br]you live in my basement? 0:02:55.430,0:02:56.900 [Arthur] Why don't you tell them [br]you're enormous? 0:02:56.900,0:02:57.900 [Doug] Why don't you tell them 0:02:57.900,0:03:00.570 that your total salary[br]last year was $12? 0:03:00.570,0:03:03.730 [Arthur] That was after taxes. 0:03:03.730,0:03:07.990 [Alex] So instead,[br]people tend to follow 0:03:07.990,0:03:10.990 a life cycle theory of savings. 0:03:10.990,0:03:17.960 A person can start out consuming[br]more than she makes, 0:03:17.960,0:03:20.620 borrowing to fill that gap -- 0:03:20.620,0:03:21.620 and to pay for things[br]like an education. 0:03:21.620,0:03:23.620 Then, during[br]her prime working years, 0:03:23.620,0:03:27.470 she makes more than she consumes,[br]paying down her debt 0:03:27.470,0:03:30.470 and saving the extra income[br]for retirement. 0:03:30.470,0:03:36.600 And when retirement comes,[br]she can spend those savings 0:03:36.600,0:03:38.860 and enjoy the golden years[br]even without working. 0:03:38.860,0:03:41.860 Now of course, many people[br]deviate from this exact path, 0:03:41.860,0:03:43.690 depending on details. 0:03:43.690,0:03:47.310 Most people, for example,[br]they consume less in college 0:03:47.310,0:03:50.860 than they do as professionals. 0:03:50.860,0:03:53.860 Ramen noodles are no longer[br]a staple of my diet. 0:03:53.860,0:04:02.250 But generally speaking,[br]many people follow a pattern 0:04:02.250,0:04:04.100 of borrowing, saving,[br]and dissaving 0:04:04.100,0:04:05.100 to smooth their consumption path[br]over their lifetime. 0:04:05.100,0:04:07.100 Of course, just like some people[br]can't wait until after dinner 0:04:07.100,0:04:11.720 to reach for that cookie jar, 0:04:11.720,0:04:16.800 not everyone saves and spends[br]in the same way. 0:04:16.800,0:04:19.250 How much you save and borrow[br]depends upon your time preference. 0:04:19.250,0:04:20.250 Some people -- they're more[br]impatient than others. 0:04:20.250,0:04:22.250 We all know someone[br]who spends everything they've got 0:04:22.250,0:04:27.050 and doesn't save enough. 0:04:27.050,0:04:28.420 On the other hand,[br]if you're keeping to a budget 0:04:28.420,0:04:31.420 and not spending too much[br]so that you can go to college, 0:04:31.420,0:04:35.640 well that's an example[br]of being patient 0:04:35.640,0:04:38.640 and waiting[br]for higher consumption later. 0:04:38.640,0:04:42.800 We've also learned[br]from behavioral economics 0:04:42.800,0:04:49.520 that saving is not just a matter[br]of weighing costs and benefits. 0:04:49.520,0:04:52.330 Nudges can matter. 0:04:52.330,0:04:55.330 If your employer automatically[br]enrolls you in a retirement plan, 0:04:55.330,0:04:56.870 or sets a high[br]default contribution rate, 0:04:56.870,0:04:57.870 you'll probably end up saving more 0:04:57.870,0:04:59.870 than if you have to choose yourself, 0:04:59.870,0:05:02.070 even if choosing yourself[br]would only take a few hours of work 0:05:02.070,0:05:05.070 once in your lifetime. 0:05:05.070,0:05:10.360 Another important reason to borrow[br]is to make big investments. 0:05:10.360,0:05:13.370 Just as students borrow[br]to invest in education, 0:05:13.370,0:05:16.370 businesses borrow[br]to invest in big projects. 0:05:16.370,0:05:18.950 Entrepreneurs with great ideas[br]but not much money, 0:05:18.950,0:05:21.950 they may have to borrow[br]or sell a stake in their idea 0:05:21.950,0:05:27.450 just to get their venture[br]off the ground. 0:05:27.450,0:05:30.280 For example, Howard Schultz[br]built Starbucks into a global brand 0:05:30.280,0:05:33.280 by borrowing and raising capital 0:05:33.280,0:05:36.690 through several different types[br]of financial intermediaries. 0:05:36.690,0:05:39.690 We'll talk more about that[br]in upcoming videos. 0:05:39.690,0:05:40.690 As with any other good, 0:05:40.690,0:05:43.660 we're going to use[br]supply and demand 0:05:43.660,0:05:45.140 to analyze the market[br]for saving and borrowing, 0:05:45.140,0:05:48.140 known as the Market[br]for Loanable Funds. 0:05:48.140,0:05:49.800 As we've seen, there are[br]lots of good reasons 0:05:49.800,0:05:52.800 to save and to borrow. 0:05:52.800,0:05:57.650 But we have failed to mention[br]one big factor -- price. 0:05:57.650,0:06:00.650 What's the price[br]of saving and borrowing? 0:06:00.650,0:06:03.660 It's the interest rate. 0:06:03.660,0:06:06.660 So here's the supply curve[br]showing the supply of savings. 0:06:06.660,0:06:09.110 As the interest rate goes up, 0:06:09.110,0:06:12.110 the quantity[br]of savings supplied increases, 0:06:12.110,0:06:18.010 and here's the demand curve[br]showing the demand to borrow. 0:06:18.010,0:06:21.500 Lower interest rates[br]incentivize borrowing, 0:06:21.500,0:06:22.500 so as the interest rate falls, 0:06:22.500,0:06:24.500 the quantity[br]of borrowing demanded increases. 0:06:24.500,0:06:27.560 As with any other[br]supply and demand graph, 0:06:27.560,0:06:30.560 different factors[br]will shift the curves. 0:06:30.560,0:06:31.930 If a lot of people decide[br]that it'd be a good idea 0:06:31.930,0:06:34.930 to increase their savings,[br]for example, 0:06:34.930,0:06:40.070 then the supply of savings[br]will shift outward. 0:06:40.070,0:06:45.300 As you can see, this would[br]cause interest rates to fall. 0:06:45.300,0:06:46.300 This is what we saw in countries[br]like South Korea and China, 0:06:46.300,0:06:48.080 as their populations saved more. 0:06:48.080,0:06:51.060 On the demand side,[br]if investors, say 0:06:51.060,0:06:54.060 became less optimistic[br]for some reason, 0:06:54.060,0:06:57.820 the demand to borrow[br]would shift inward, 0:06:57.820,0:07:00.820 causing the interest rate to fall. 0:07:00.820,0:07:02.720 But if, say an investment tax credit[br]from the government 0:07:02.720,0:07:05.720 increased the demand to invest, 0:07:05.720,0:07:09.720 then the demand curve will shift[br]in the opposite direction, 0:07:09.720,0:07:12.050 up and to the right,[br]pushing interest rates up. 0:07:12.050,0:07:16.790 Thinking about the Market[br]for Loanable Funds helps us 0:07:16.790,0:07:21.430 to see the big picture[br]and understand the raw factors 0:07:21.430,0:07:23.390 that determine interest rates 0:07:23.390,0:07:24.390 and the quantity[br]of borrowing and lending. 0:07:24.390,0:07:26.980 But there isn't actually[br]one market 0:07:26.980,0:07:29.570 called the Market[br]for Loanable Funds. 0:07:29.570,0:07:32.160 It's not like the New York[br]Stock Exchange. 0:07:32.160,0:07:34.660 Instead, there are many,[br]many, many markets 0:07:34.660,0:07:37.660 for different kinds of borrowers[br]and different kinds of lenders. 0:07:37.660,0:07:42.190 And there are different types[br]of institutions like banks, 0:07:42.190,0:07:44.180 bond markets, and stock markets 0:07:44.180,0:07:47.180 that connect[br]the two sides of the market. 0:07:47.180,0:07:51.000 We're going to delve more deeply 0:07:51.530,0:07:54.530 into the different kinds[br]of financial intermediaries, 0:07:54.530,0:07:57.000 [Narrator] If you want[br]to test yourself, 0:07:57.000,0:08:00.000 click "Practice Questions." 0:08:00.000,0:08:01.800 Or, if you're ready to move on, 0:08:01.800,0:08:04.800 you can click [br]"Go to the Next Video." 0:08:04.800,0:08:12.000 You can also visit MRUniversity.com 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 to see our entire library[br]of videos and resources. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 ♪ [music] ♪