WEBVTT 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:03.000 ♪ [music] ♪ 00:00:09.170 --> 00:00:11.010 - [Alex] Now that we know how to find the profit 00:00:11.010 --> 00:00:14.010 maximization point, we're going to show 00:00:14.010 --> 00:00:18.807 the amount of profit on the diagram using the average cost curve. 00:00:23.960 --> 00:00:25.590 So as I said in the last lecture, 00:00:25.590 --> 00:00:28.090 average cost is the cost per unit of output. 00:00:28.090 --> 00:00:32.780 That is, average cost is total cost divided by Q. 00:00:32.780 --> 00:00:36.110 Now remember also that total cost can be broken down 00:00:36.110 --> 00:00:39.018 into fixed costs plus variable costs. 00:00:39.018 --> 00:00:42.546 So we can also write average cost in a slightly longer format. 00:00:42.546 --> 00:00:45.770 Average cost is equal to fixed cost divided by Q 00:00:45.770 --> 00:00:50.230 plus the variable cost divided by Q, the units of output. 00:00:50.230 --> 00:00:53.790 That's a little bit useful because we're able to see, 00:00:53.790 --> 00:00:57.660 get some intuition, for the shape of a typical average cost curve. 00:00:57.660 --> 00:01:02.459 Notice that the fixed costs don't change with Q. 00:01:02.459 --> 00:01:04.079 That's why they're fixed. 00:01:04.079 --> 00:01:07.330 So when Q is small -- this number, 00:01:07.330 --> 00:01:09.260 suppose fixed cost is 100, 00:01:09.260 --> 00:01:11.980 and Q is small -- then this number is going to be big 00:01:11.980 --> 00:01:14.700 like 100 divided by 1. 00:01:14.700 --> 00:01:18.260 As Q gets larger, however, this number -- 00:01:18.260 --> 00:01:20.850 fixed cost divided by Q -- is going to get smaller, 00:01:20.850 --> 00:01:25.630 So when Q is 10, this number 100 divided by 10 becomes 10. 00:01:25.630 --> 00:01:29.220 So it goes from 100, and it goes down, down, down, down, 00:01:29.220 --> 00:01:31.890 get's lower and lower and lower all the time as you divide 00:01:31.890 --> 00:01:33.371 by a bigger quantity. 00:01:33.371 --> 00:01:38.411 On the other hand, the variable costs increase with quantity. 00:01:38.411 --> 00:01:41.761 Moreover, what we saw with the marginal cost curve 00:01:41.761 --> 00:01:44.869 is that at some point, your variable costs are going 00:01:44.869 --> 00:01:47.322 to increase faster than quantity. 00:01:47.322 --> 00:01:50.494 So what's going to happen is that this number at some point -- 00:01:50.494 --> 00:01:52.954 variable cost divided by quantity -- is going to get bigger 00:01:52.954 --> 00:01:54.341 and bigger and bigger. 00:01:54.341 --> 00:01:59.521 So you have two things, one force is driving average cost down. 00:01:59.521 --> 00:02:03.140 That's going to be particularly strong at the beginning. 00:02:03.140 --> 00:02:06.770 Eventually, however, the second force here is going 00:02:06.770 --> 00:02:09.300 to drive average cost up. 00:02:09.300 --> 00:02:12.340 So that's going to be our typical shape of an average cost curve -- 00:02:12.340 --> 00:02:14.750 falling, reaches a minimum, and then rising. 00:02:14.750 --> 00:02:16.560 So let's draw it like that. 00:02:16.560 --> 00:02:19.030 Okay, here's our typical marginal cost curve, 00:02:19.030 --> 00:02:22.770 and here is our marginal revenue curve, equal to price. 00:02:22.770 --> 00:02:26.390 We know that the profit maximizing point is where marginal revenue 00:02:26.390 --> 00:02:28.190 is equal to marginal cost. 00:02:28.190 --> 00:02:31.900 Here is our average cost curve and notice it has the shape 00:02:31.900 --> 00:02:35.010 which I described -- it starts off high, it falls, 00:02:35.010 --> 00:02:37.890 reaches a minimum, and then goes right back up again. 00:02:37.890 --> 00:02:42.770 Couple of other points to notice is that the minimum point, 00:02:42.770 --> 00:02:46.340 the marginal cost curve goes through the minimum point 00:02:46.340 --> 00:02:48.400 of the average cost curve. 00:02:48.400 --> 00:02:52.530 Now that's just a mathematical fact, but let me give you some intuition. 00:02:52.530 --> 00:02:57.110 Instead of cost I want to talk about average grade 00:02:57.110 --> 00:02:58.110 and marginal grade. 00:02:58.110 --> 00:03:00.110 So suppose that your average grade is 80%. 00:03:00.110 --> 00:03:05.640 You're doing really pretty good, but then on your next test 00:03:05.820 --> 00:03:08.602 you only get 60% -- lower. 00:03:08.602 --> 00:03:09.602 What is that going to do to your average? 00:03:09.602 --> 00:03:11.602 Well, it's going to drive your average down. 00:03:11.602 --> 00:03:18.640 Indeed whenever your marginal is below your average, 00:03:18.820 --> 00:03:21.910 the average must be falling. 00:03:21.910 --> 00:03:24.910 On the other hand, suppose that you're getting 80%, 00:03:24.910 --> 00:03:25.910 and on your next test you get 90%. 00:03:25.910 --> 00:03:28.780 Great, but what does that do to your average? 00:03:28.780 --> 00:03:30.780 It drives your average up. 00:03:30.780 --> 00:03:36.710 Indeed whenever your marginal is above the average, 00:03:36.890 --> 00:03:39.520 the average must be rising. 00:03:39.520 --> 00:03:40.520 Now suppose what happens when you're getting let's say 80%, 00:03:40.520 --> 00:03:42.520 and on your next test, you also get 80%. 00:03:42.520 --> 00:03:49.630 Well then your marginal is equal to your average grade, 00:03:49.810 --> 00:03:55.700 and your average grade is flat -- it doesn't change, it's flat. 00:03:55.880 --> 00:03:58.420 But what is true for average and marginal grades is also true 00:03:58.420 --> 00:04:01.420 for average cost and marginal cost. 00:04:01.420 --> 00:04:06.360 Whenever the marginal cost is below the average, 00:04:06.360 --> 00:04:09.360 the average is falling. 00:04:09.360 --> 00:04:10.360 Whenever the marginal cost is above the average, 00:04:10.360 --> 00:04:12.270 the average is rising. 00:04:12.270 --> 00:04:15.270 And where marginal is just equal to average, 00:04:15.270 --> 00:04:18.390 the average is flat. 00:04:18.390 --> 00:04:21.390 In other words, we are at the minimum point 00:04:21.390 --> 00:04:23.780 of the average cost curve. 00:04:23.780 --> 00:04:26.780 Okay, now I said we could use the average cost curve 00:04:26.780 --> 00:04:27.980 to figure out profit -- show profit on the diagram. 00:04:27.980 --> 00:04:30.980 We can do that with just a little bit of rearranging. 00:04:30.980 --> 00:04:36.400 Remember that profit is equal to total revenue minus total cost 00:04:36.580 --> 00:04:41.720 and total revenue is price times quantity -- P times Q. 00:04:41.900 --> 00:04:44.010 We also know that average cost is equal 00:04:44.010 --> 00:04:47.010 to total cost divided by quantity. 00:04:47.010 --> 00:04:49.070 Let's just rearrange that to tell us that total cost is equal 00:04:49.070 --> 00:04:52.070 to average cost times quantity. 00:04:52.070 --> 00:04:55.600 So just take this one and multiply both sides by Q. 00:04:55.600 --> 00:04:58.600 Let's now make these substitutions into our profit equation. 00:04:58.600 --> 00:05:04.280 If we do that, then profit is equal to total revenue -- 00:05:04.280 --> 00:05:05.280 price times quantity -- minus total cost -- 00:05:05.280 --> 00:05:07.730 average cost times quantity. 00:05:07.730 --> 00:05:10.730 Now let's take Q out of both parts of this equation, 00:05:10.730 --> 00:05:16.520 and we find that profit can also be written as price 00:05:16.700 --> 00:05:19.990 minus average cost, all of that times quantity. 00:05:19.990 --> 00:05:22.990 That's nice because we can find 00:05:22.990 --> 00:05:27.750 all of these elements on our diagram. 00:05:27.750 --> 00:05:30.750 Here's the price. 00:05:30.750 --> 00:05:33.600 Here's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 00:05:33.600 --> 00:05:36.600 Let's just show that. There's the price. 00:05:36.600 --> 00:05:42.190 There's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 00:05:42.370 --> 00:05:45.290 So profit at the profit maximizing quantity is 00:05:45.290 --> 00:05:48.290 this green area right here -- 00:05:48.290 --> 00:05:51.290 price minus average cost times quantity. 00:05:51.290 --> 00:05:56.260 So now we have a nice way of showing in a diagram 00:05:56.440 --> 00:05:59.270 exactly how much profit is. 00:05:59.270 --> 00:06:00.270 Let's use this tool some more. 00:06:00.270 --> 00:06:02.270 Here's another example of the average cost curve in action. 00:06:02.270 --> 00:06:06.710 Remember, I said that profit maximization doesn't necessarily 00:06:06.890 --> 00:06:08.630 mean the firm is making a positive profit. 00:06:08.630 --> 00:06:11.630 Sometimes the best you can do is to minimize your losses. 00:06:11.630 --> 00:06:16.630 You may have to take a loss. 00:06:16.810 --> 00:06:19.900 For example, suppose that the price is below $17. 00:06:19.900 --> 00:06:22.900 That is, here's the market price, which is equal to the firm's 00:06:22.900 --> 00:06:24.930 marginal revenue curve. 00:06:24.930 --> 00:06:25.930 How does the firm profit maximize? 00:06:25.930 --> 00:06:27.930 It chooses the quantity where marginal revenue is 00:06:27.930 --> 00:06:30.570 equal to marginal cost. 00:06:30.570 --> 00:06:33.570 In that case, this quantity is one. 00:06:33.570 --> 00:06:37.180 Now what's the profit for the firm? 00:06:37.180 --> 00:06:40.180 Well, as usual we measure profit as price minus 00:06:40.180 --> 00:06:45.090 average cost times quantity. 00:06:45.090 --> 00:06:48.090 But notice that price is below the average cost 00:06:48.090 --> 00:06:54.980 at the profit maximizing quantity of one. 00:06:55.160 --> 00:06:58.100 Since price is below average cost, this is a loss. 00:06:58.100 --> 00:07:01.100 It's a negative quantity. 00:07:01.100 --> 00:07:04.100 It is a loss. In fact, notice that the breakeven price is $17, 00:07:04.100 --> 00:07:10.680 which is the minimum of the average cost curve. 00:07:10.860 --> 00:07:15.100 In order to make a profit, the firm at least has to meet 00:07:15.100 --> 00:07:18.100 the minimum of its average cost curve. 00:07:18.100 --> 00:07:20.440 So at any price below $17, we'll be profit maximizing 00:07:20.440 --> 00:07:23.440 at a point where price is equal to marginal cost, 00:07:23.440 --> 00:07:29.050 and notice that all of these prices are below average cost. 00:07:29.230 --> 00:07:32.550 So all of this area down here, 00:07:32.550 --> 00:07:35.550 even the profit maximizing quantity, will mean a loss. 00:07:35.550 --> 00:07:39.120 On the other hand, once we get above $17, above the minimum 00:07:39.120 --> 00:07:42.120 of the average cost curve, then we can price equal to marginal cost. 00:07:42.120 --> 00:07:47.600 We can chose the quantities such the price is equal to marginal cost. 00:07:47.780 --> 00:07:52.640 That price will be above average cost, so we'll be taking a profit. 00:07:52.820 --> 00:08:00.360 Therefore, $17, the minimum of the average cost curve, 00:08:00.540 --> 00:08:01.540 is the breakeven point. 00:08:01.540 --> 00:08:02.540 If the price is less than the minimum 00:08:02.540 --> 00:08:04.370 of the average cost curve, we're going to be taking a loss. 00:08:04.370 --> 00:08:08.970 If the price is bigger than the minimum 00:08:09.150 --> 00:08:13.490 of the average cost curve, then we can make a profit. 00:08:13.670 --> 00:08:16.550 So when should a firm enter or exit an industry? 00:08:16.550 --> 00:08:19.550 In the long run, the firms will enter when price 00:08:19.550 --> 00:08:21.040 is above average cost. 00:08:21.040 --> 00:08:24.040 If price is somewhere above the average cost curve 00:08:24.040 --> 00:08:25.040 then the firm can make a profit by entering 00:08:25.040 --> 00:08:28.030 and that's what firms want to do. 00:08:28.030 --> 00:08:29.030 They want to find profit, so they will want to enter 00:08:29.030 --> 00:08:31.520 wherever a profit is possible. 00:08:31.520 --> 00:08:33.770 Firms will exit the industry when the price is below 00:08:33.770 --> 00:08:36.770 the average cost curve. 00:08:36.770 --> 00:08:38.640 Then they're going to be taking a loss, 00:08:38.640 --> 00:08:41.640 and they're going to want to exit. 00:08:41.640 --> 00:08:42.900 Finally, when the price is equal to the minimum 00:08:42.900 --> 00:08:45.900 of the average cost -- it's just equal to the bottom 00:08:45.900 --> 00:08:50.690 of the average cost curve, profits are zero and there's no 00:08:50.870 --> 00:08:55.690 incentive to either exit or enter the industry. Now you might ask, why would 00:08:55.870 --> 00:09:02.380 firms remain in an industry if profits are zero? Zero profits, this is just a matter 00:09:02.560 --> 00:09:07.370 of terminology, means that at the market price the firm is covering all of its 00:09:07.550 --> 00:09:13.410 costs including enough to pay labor and capital, their ordinary opportunity cost. 00:09:13.590 --> 00:09:18.220 So zero profits means everyone is being paid, enough to make 00:09:18.400 --> 00:09:24.510 them satisfied. Zero profits, in other words, is what normal people mean by normal 00:09:24.690 --> 00:09:30.380 profits. So when an economist says zero profits just substitute normal profits. 00:09:30.560 --> 00:09:35.040 One more point about entry and exit. It doesn't always make sense to exit an 00:09:35.220 --> 00:09:40.890 industry immediately when price falls below average cost. Or to enter immediately 00:09:41.070 --> 00:09:48.320 when price is above average cost. Why not? Well, there are also entry and exit costs. 00:09:48.500 --> 00:09:53.400 For example, suppose that that the price of oil is currently above the average cost 00:09:53.580 --> 00:09:59.260 of pumping oil, if you've already got a well. Should you enter the industry? Well, 00:09:59.440 --> 00:10:05.250 maybe not necessarily. Because entry requires you to drill an oil well, and 00:10:05.430 --> 00:10:08.980 drilling an oil well is a sunk cost - literally in this case. 00:10:09.160 --> 00:10:15.780 A sunk cost is a cost that once incurred can never be recovered. So if you enter 00:10:15.960 --> 00:10:20.690 the industry and drill the oil well, you don't get that money back when you later 00:10:20.870 --> 00:10:28.160 exit the industry. What this means is you don't want to enter unless you expect the 00:10:28.340 --> 00:10:35.860 price of oil to stay above the minimum of the average cost curve long enough so 00:10:36.040 --> 00:10:41.680 that you can also recover your entry costs. So just because the price goes 00:10:41.860 --> 00:10:45.770 above the average cost a little bit, you don't immediately want to jump into that 00:10:45.950 --> 00:10:52.120 industry. You have to expect that that price is going to stay above average cost 00:10:52.300 --> 00:10:58.900 long enough for you to recover your entry costs. For the same reasons, if there are 00:10:59.080 --> 00:11:03.480 exit costs, for example, if you have to shutter up the well or fill the well with 00:11:03.660 --> 00:11:07.850 cement when you exit the industry as you do in the United States, then when price 00:11:08.030 --> 00:11:13.460 falls below average cost, it may be best to weather the storm at least for sometime 00:11:13.640 --> 00:11:21.060 before you exit. Only if you expect the price of oil to stay below your minimum of 00:11:21.240 --> 00:11:26.550 average cost for an extended period of time will you want to exit the industry. 00:11:26.730 --> 00:11:31.670 After all, if the price of oil falls below the average cost just for a little bit, and 00:11:31.850 --> 00:11:37.320 then it goes back up, the lifetime profits can still be possible. So, entry 00:11:37.500 --> 00:11:40.810 and exit could be quite complicated because you've got to be thinking about 00:11:40.990 --> 00:11:46.943 the lifetime profits, not just your immediate profits. However, the bottom 00:11:46.943 --> 00:11:53.113 line is pretty simple. Firms seek profits and they want to avoid losses. As a 00:11:53.113 --> 00:11:57.637 result, firms will enter industries when the price is above the average cost and 00:11:57.637 --> 00:12:02.126 they can make a profit, and they will exit when the price is below the average cost. 00:12:02.126 --> 00:12:03.891 Thanks. 00:12:04.420 --> 00:12:09.410 - [Announcer] If you want to test yourself, click, "Practice Questions," or if you're 00:12:09.590 --> 00:12:12.177 ready to move on, just click, "Next Video." 00:12:12.177 --> 00:12:15.170 ♪ [music] ♪