1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,000 ♪ [music] ♪ 2 00:00:09,170 --> 00:00:11,010 - [Alex] Now that we know how to find the profit 3 00:00:11,010 --> 00:00:14,010 maximization point, we're going to show 4 00:00:14,010 --> 00:00:18,807 the amount of profit on the diagram using the average cost curve. 5 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:25,590 So as I said in the last lecture, 6 00:00:25,590 --> 00:00:28,090 average cost is the cost per unit of output. 7 00:00:28,090 --> 00:00:32,780 That is, average cost is total cost divided by Q. 8 00:00:32,780 --> 00:00:36,110 Now remember also that total cost can be broken down 9 00:00:36,110 --> 00:00:39,018 into fixed costs plus variable costs. 10 00:00:39,018 --> 00:00:42,546 So we can also write average cost in a slightly longer format. 11 00:00:42,546 --> 00:00:45,770 Average cost is equal to fixed cost divided by Q 12 00:00:45,770 --> 00:00:50,230 plus the variable cost divided by Q, the units of output. 13 00:00:50,230 --> 00:00:53,790 That's a little bit useful because we're able to see, 14 00:00:53,790 --> 00:00:57,660 get some intuition, for the shape of a typical average cost curve. 15 00:00:57,660 --> 00:01:02,459 Notice that the fixed costs don't change with Q. 16 00:01:02,459 --> 00:01:04,079 That's why they're fixed. 17 00:01:04,079 --> 00:01:07,330 So when Q is small -- this number, 18 00:01:07,330 --> 00:01:09,260 suppose fixed cost is 100, 19 00:01:09,260 --> 00:01:11,980 and Q is small -- then this number is going to be big 20 00:01:11,980 --> 00:01:14,700 like 100 divided by 1. 21 00:01:14,700 --> 00:01:18,260 As Q gets larger, however, this number -- 22 00:01:18,260 --> 00:01:20,850 fixed cost divided by Q -- is going to get smaller, 23 00:01:20,850 --> 00:01:25,630 So when Q is 10, this number 100 divided by 10 becomes 10. 24 00:01:25,630 --> 00:01:29,220 So it goes from 100, and it goes down, down, down, down, 25 00:01:29,220 --> 00:01:31,890 get's lower and lower and lower all the time as you divide 26 00:01:31,890 --> 00:01:33,371 by a bigger quantity. 27 00:01:33,371 --> 00:01:38,411 On the other hand, the variable costs increase with quantity. 28 00:01:38,411 --> 00:01:41,761 Moreover, what we saw with the marginal cost curve 29 00:01:41,761 --> 00:01:44,869 is that at some point, your variable costs are going 30 00:01:44,869 --> 00:01:47,322 to increase faster than quantity. 31 00:01:47,322 --> 00:01:50,494 So what's going to happen is that this number at some point -- 32 00:01:50,494 --> 00:01:52,954 variable cost divided by quantity -- is going to get bigger 33 00:01:52,954 --> 00:01:54,341 and bigger and bigger. 34 00:01:54,341 --> 00:01:59,521 So you have two things, one force is driving average cost down. 35 00:01:59,521 --> 00:02:03,140 That's going to be particularly strong at the beginning. 36 00:02:03,140 --> 00:02:06,770 Eventually, however, the second force here is going 37 00:02:06,770 --> 00:02:09,300 to drive average cost up. 38 00:02:09,300 --> 00:02:12,340 So that's going to be our typical shape of an average cost curve -- 39 00:02:12,340 --> 00:02:14,750 falling, reaches a minimum, and then rising. 40 00:02:14,750 --> 00:02:16,560 So let's draw it like that. 41 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:19,030 Okay, here's our typical marginal cost curve, 42 00:02:19,030 --> 00:02:22,770 and here is our marginal revenue curve, equal to price. 43 00:02:22,770 --> 00:02:26,390 We know that the profit maximizing point is where marginal revenue 44 00:02:26,390 --> 00:02:28,190 is equal to marginal cost. 45 00:02:28,190 --> 00:02:31,900 Here is our average cost curve and notice it has the shape 46 00:02:31,900 --> 00:02:35,010 which I described -- it starts off high, it falls, 47 00:02:35,010 --> 00:02:37,890 reaches a minimum, and then goes right back up again. 48 00:02:37,890 --> 00:02:43,520 Couple of other points to notice is that the minimum point, 49 00:02:43,700 --> 00:02:46,340 the marginal cost curve goes through the minimum point 50 00:02:46,340 --> 00:02:49,340 of the average cost curve. 51 00:02:49,340 --> 00:02:53,730 Now that's just a mathematical fact, but let me give you some intuition. 52 00:02:53,910 --> 00:02:59,930 Instead of cost I want to talk about average grade and marginal grade. So suppose that your average grade 53 00:03:00,110 --> 00:03:05,640 is 80%. You're doing really pretty good. But then on your next test you only get 54 00:03:05,820 --> 00:03:11,602 60% - lower. What is that going to do to your average? Well, it's going to drive 55 00:03:11,602 --> 00:03:18,640 your average down. Indeed whenever your marginal is below your average, the average 56 00:03:18,820 --> 00:03:24,730 must be falling. On the other hand, suppose that you're getting, uh, 80% and on 57 00:03:24,910 --> 00:03:30,600 your next test you get 90%. Great, but what does that do to your average? It drives your 58 00:03:30,780 --> 00:03:36,710 average up. Indeed whenever your marginal is above the average, the average must be 59 00:03:36,890 --> 00:03:42,340 rising. Now suppose what happens when you're getting let's say 80%, and on your 60 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:49,630 next test you also get 80%. Well then your marginal is equal to your average grade 61 00:03:49,810 --> 00:03:55,700 and your average grade is flat - it doesn't change, it's flat. But what is true for 62 00:03:55,880 --> 00:04:01,240 average and marginal grades is also true for average cost and marginal cost. 63 00:04:01,420 --> 00:04:09,180 Whenever the marginal cost is below the average, the average is falling. Whenever 64 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:15,090 the marginal cost is above the average, the average is rising. And where marginal is 65 00:04:15,270 --> 00:04:21,209 just equal to average, the average is flat. In other words we are at the minimum point 66 00:04:21,390 --> 00:04:26,600 of the average cost curve. Okay, now I said we could use the average cost curve 67 00:04:26,780 --> 00:04:30,800 to figure out profit - show profit on the diagram. We can do that with just a little 68 00:04:30,980 --> 00:04:36,400 bit of rearranging. Remember that profit is equal to total revenue minus total cost 69 00:04:36,580 --> 00:04:41,720 and total revenue is price times quantity - P times Q. We also know that average cost 70 00:04:41,900 --> 00:04:46,830 is equal to total cost divided by quantity. Let's just rearrange that to 71 00:04:47,010 --> 00:04:51,890 tell us that total cost is equal to average cost times quantity. So just take 72 00:04:52,070 --> 00:04:58,420 this one and multiply both sides by Q. So, let's now make these substitutions into 73 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:04,320 our profit equation. If we do that, then profit is equal to total revenue - price 74 00:05:04,500 --> 00:05:10,550 times quantity - minus total cost - average cost times quantity. Now let's take Q out 75 00:05:10,730 --> 00:05:16,520 of both parts of this equation and we find that profit can also be written as price 76 00:05:16,700 --> 00:05:22,810 minus average cost, all of that times quantity. That's nice because we can find 77 00:05:22,990 --> 00:05:30,570 all of these elements on our diagram. Here's the price. Here's the average cost 78 00:05:30,750 --> 00:05:36,420 at the profit maximizing quantity. Let's just show that. There's the price. There's 79 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:42,190 the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. So profit at the profit 80 00:05:42,370 --> 00:05:51,110 maximizing quantity is this green area right here. Price minus average cost times 81 00:05:51,290 --> 00:05:56,260 quantity. So now we have a nice way of showing in a diagram exactly how much 82 00:05:56,440 --> 00:06:02,090 profit is. Let's use this tool some more. Here's another example of the average cost 83 00:06:02,270 --> 00:06:06,710 curve in action. Remember I said that profit maximization doesn't necessarily 84 00:06:06,890 --> 00:06:11,450 mean the firm is making a positive profit. Sometimes the best you can do is to 85 00:06:11,630 --> 00:06:16,630 minimize your losses. You may have to take a loss. For example, suppose that the 86 00:06:16,810 --> 00:06:22,720 price is below $17. That is, here's the market price, which is equal to the firm's marginal 87 00:06:22,900 --> 00:06:27,750 revenue curve. How does the firm profit maximize? It chooses the quantity where 88 00:06:27,930 --> 00:06:33,390 marginal revenue is equal to marginal cost. In that case, this quantity is one. Now 89 00:06:33,570 --> 00:06:40,000 what's the profit for the firm? Well, as usual we measure profit as price minus 90 00:06:40,180 --> 00:06:47,910 average cost times quantity. But notice that price is below the average cost at 91 00:06:48,090 --> 00:06:54,980 the profit maximizing quantity of one. Since price is below average cost, this is 92 00:06:55,160 --> 00:07:03,920 a loss. It's a negative quantity. It is a loss. In fact, notice that the breakeven 93 00:07:04,100 --> 00:07:10,680 price is $17, which is the minimum of the average cost curve. In order to make a 94 00:07:10,860 --> 00:07:17,920 profit, the firm at least has to meet the minimum of it's average cost curve. So at 95 00:07:18,100 --> 00:07:23,260 any price below $17 we'll be profit maximizing at a point where price is equal 96 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:29,050 to marginal cost, and notice that all of these prices are below average cost. So 97 00:07:29,230 --> 00:07:35,370 all of this area down here, even the profit maximizing quantity, will mean a 98 00:07:35,550 --> 00:07:41,940 loss. On the other hand, once we get above $17, above the minimum of the average cost 99 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:47,600 curve, then we can price equal to marginal cost. We can chose the quantities such the 100 00:07:47,780 --> 00:07:52,640 price is equal to marginal cost. That price will be above average cost so we'll be 101 00:07:52,820 --> 00:08:00,360 taking a profit. Therefore, $17, the minimum of the average cost curve, is the 102 00:08:00,540 --> 00:08:04,190 breakeven point. If the price is less than the minimum of 103 00:08:04,370 --> 00:08:08,970 the average cost curve, we're going to be taking a loss. If the price is bigger than 104 00:08:09,150 --> 00:08:13,490 the minimum of the average cost curve, then we can make a profit. So when should a 105 00:08:13,670 --> 00:08:19,370 firm enter or exit an industry? In the long run, the firms will enter when price 106 00:08:19,550 --> 00:08:23,860 is above average cost. If price is somewhere above the average cost curve 107 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:27,850 then the firm can make a profit by entering and that's what firms want to do. 108 00:08:28,030 --> 00:08:31,340 They want to find profit, so they will want to enter wherever a profit is 109 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:36,590 possible. Firms will exit the industry when the price is below the average cost 110 00:08:36,770 --> 00:08:41,460 curve. Then they're going to be taking a loss and they're going to want to exit. So 111 00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:45,720 finally, when the price is equal to the minimum of the average cost - it's just 112 00:08:45,900 --> 00:08:50,690 equal to the bottom of the average cost curve, profits are zero and there's no 113 00:08:50,870 --> 00:08:55,690 incentive to either exit or enter the industry. Now you might ask, why would 114 00:08:55,870 --> 00:09:02,380 firms remain in an industry if profits are zero? Zero profits, this is just a matter 115 00:09:02,560 --> 00:09:07,370 of terminology, means that at the market price the firm is covering all of its 116 00:09:07,550 --> 00:09:13,410 costs including enough to pay labor and capital, their ordinary opportunity cost. 117 00:09:13,590 --> 00:09:18,220 So zero profits means everyone is being paid, enough to make 118 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:24,510 them satisfied. Zero profits, in other words, is what normal people mean by normal 119 00:09:24,690 --> 00:09:30,380 profits. So when an economist says zero profits just substitute normal profits. 120 00:09:30,560 --> 00:09:35,040 One more point about entry and exit. It doesn't always make sense to exit an 121 00:09:35,220 --> 00:09:40,890 industry immediately when price falls below average cost. Or to enter immediately 122 00:09:41,070 --> 00:09:48,320 when price is above average cost. Why not? Well, there are also entry and exit costs. 123 00:09:48,500 --> 00:09:53,400 For example, suppose that that the price of oil is currently above the average cost 124 00:09:53,580 --> 00:09:59,260 of pumping oil, if you've already got a well. Should you enter the industry? Well, 125 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:05,250 maybe not necessarily. Because entry requires you to drill an oil well, and 126 00:10:05,430 --> 00:10:08,980 drilling an oil well is a sunk cost - literally in this case. 127 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:15,780 A sunk cost is a cost that once incurred can never be recovered. So if you enter 128 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:20,690 the industry and drill the oil well, you don't get that money back when you later 129 00:10:20,870 --> 00:10:28,160 exit the industry. What this means is you don't want to enter unless you expect the 130 00:10:28,340 --> 00:10:35,860 price of oil to stay above the minimum of the average cost curve long enough so 131 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:41,680 that you can also recover your entry costs. So just because the price goes 132 00:10:41,860 --> 00:10:45,770 above the average cost a little bit, you don't immediately want to jump into that 133 00:10:45,950 --> 00:10:52,120 industry. You have to expect that that price is going to stay above average cost 134 00:10:52,300 --> 00:10:58,900 long enough for you to recover your entry costs. For the same reasons, if there are 135 00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:03,480 exit costs, for example, if you have to shutter up the well or fill the well with 136 00:11:03,660 --> 00:11:07,850 cement when you exit the industry as you do in the United States, then when price 137 00:11:08,030 --> 00:11:13,460 falls below average cost, it may be best to weather the storm at least for sometime 138 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:21,060 before you exit. Only if you expect the price of oil to stay below your minimum of 139 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:26,550 average cost for an extended period of time will you want to exit the industry. 140 00:11:26,730 --> 00:11:31,670 After all, if the price of oil falls below the average cost just for a little bit, and 141 00:11:31,850 --> 00:11:37,320 then it goes back up, the lifetime profits can still be possible. So, entry 142 00:11:37,500 --> 00:11:40,810 and exit could be quite complicated because you've got to be thinking about 143 00:11:40,990 --> 00:11:46,943 the lifetime profits, not just your immediate profits. However, the bottom 144 00:11:46,943 --> 00:11:53,113 line is pretty simple. Firms seek profits and they want to avoid losses. As a 145 00:11:53,113 --> 00:11:57,637 result, firms will enter industries when the price is above the average cost and 146 00:11:57,637 --> 00:12:02,126 they can make a profit, and they will exit when the price is below the average cost. 147 00:12:02,126 --> 00:12:03,891 Thanks. 148 00:12:04,420 --> 00:12:09,410 - [Announcer] If you want to test yourself, click, "Practice Questions," or if you're 149 00:12:09,590 --> 00:12:12,177 ready to move on, just click, "Next Video." 150 00:12:12,177 --> 00:12:15,170 ♪ [music] ♪