WEBVTT 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:03.000 ♪ [music] ♪ 00:00:09.170 --> 00:00:11.010 - [Alex] Now that we know how to find the profit 00:00:11.010 --> 00:00:14.010 maximization point, we're going to show 00:00:14.010 --> 00:00:18.807 the amount of profit on the diagram using the average cost curve. 00:00:23.960 --> 00:00:25.590 So as I said in the last lecture, 00:00:25.590 --> 00:00:28.090 average cost is the cost per unit of output. 00:00:28.090 --> 00:00:32.780 That is, average cost is total cost divided by Q. 00:00:32.780 --> 00:00:36.110 Now remember also that total cost can be broken down 00:00:36.110 --> 00:00:39.018 into fixed costs plus variable costs. 00:00:39.018 --> 00:00:42.546 So we can also write average cost in a slightly longer format. 00:00:42.546 --> 00:00:46.460 Average cost is equal to fixed cost divided by Q 00:00:46.460 --> 00:00:52.710 variable cost divided by Q -- the units of output. 00:00:52.890 --> 00:00:57.660 we're able to see, get some intuition, for the shape of a typical average cost curve. 00:00:57.840 --> 00:01:05.280 Notice that the fixed costs don't change with Q. That's why they're fixed. So when Q 00:01:05.459 --> 00:01:11.140 is small, this number, suppose fixed cost is a hundred and Q is small, then this 00:01:11.320 --> 00:01:18.080 number is going to be big like 100 divided by 1. As Q gets larger, however, this number - 00:01:18.260 --> 00:01:23.220 fixed cost divided Q - is going to get smaller, so when Q is 10 this number 100 00:01:23.400 --> 00:01:29.170 divided by 10 becomes 10. So it goes from 100 and it goes down, down, down, down, 00:01:29.350 --> 00:01:32.340 get's lower and lower and lower all the time as you divide by a bigger 00:01:32.520 --> 00:01:39.271 quantity. On the other hand, the variable costs increase with quantity. Moreover, 00:01:39.271 --> 00:01:44.259 what we saw with the marginal cost curve is that at some point your variable costs 00:01:44.259 --> 00:01:48.922 are going to increase faster than quantity. So what's going to happen is 00:01:48.922 --> 00:01:52.934 that this number at some point - variable cost divided by quantity - is going to get 00:01:52.934 --> 00:01:58.291 bigger and bigger and bigger. So you have two things one force is driving average 00:01:58.291 --> 00:02:03.040 cost down. That's going to be particularly strong at the beginning. 00:02:03.220 --> 00:02:09.699 Eventually however, the second force here is going to drive average cost, uh, up. So 00:02:09.880 --> 00:02:13.110 that's going to be our typical shape of an average cost curve - falling reaches a 00:02:13.290 --> 00:02:17.640 minimum and then rising. So let's draw it like that. Okay here's our typical 00:02:17.820 --> 00:02:22.830 marginal cost curve and here is our marginal revenue curve equal to price. We 00:02:23.010 --> 00:02:27.020 know that the profit maximizing point is where marginal revenue is equal to 00:02:27.200 --> 00:02:31.980 marginal cost. Here is our average cost curve and notice it has the shape, which I 00:02:32.160 --> 00:02:36.850 described, it starts off high, it falls, reaches a minimum, and then goes right back 00:02:37.030 --> 00:02:43.520 up again. Couple of other points to notice is that the minimum point, the marginal 00:02:43.700 --> 00:02:49.160 cost curve goes through the minimum point of the average cost curve. Now that's just 00:02:49.340 --> 00:02:53.730 a mathematical fact, but let me give you some intuition. Instead of cost I want to 00:02:53.910 --> 00:02:59.930 talk about average grade and marginal grade. So suppose that your average grade 00:03:00.110 --> 00:03:05.640 is 80%. You're doing really pretty good. But then on your next test you only get 00:03:05.820 --> 00:03:11.602 60% - lower. What is that going to do to your average? Well, it's going to drive 00:03:11.602 --> 00:03:18.640 your average down. Indeed whenever your marginal is below your average, the average 00:03:18.820 --> 00:03:24.730 must be falling. On the other hand, suppose that you're getting, uh, 80% and on 00:03:24.910 --> 00:03:30.600 your next test you get 90%. Great, but what does that do to your average? It drives your 00:03:30.780 --> 00:03:36.710 average up. Indeed whenever your marginal is above the average, the average must be 00:03:36.890 --> 00:03:42.340 rising. Now suppose what happens when you're getting let's say 80%, and on your 00:03:42.520 --> 00:03:49.630 next test you also get 80%. Well then your marginal is equal to your average grade 00:03:49.810 --> 00:03:55.700 and your average grade is flat - it doesn't change, it's flat. But what is true for 00:03:55.880 --> 00:04:01.240 average and marginal grades is also true for average cost and marginal cost. 00:04:01.420 --> 00:04:09.180 Whenever the marginal cost is below the average, the average is falling. Whenever 00:04:09.360 --> 00:04:15.090 the marginal cost is above the average, the average is rising. And where marginal is 00:04:15.270 --> 00:04:21.209 just equal to average, the average is flat. In other words we are at the minimum point 00:04:21.390 --> 00:04:26.600 of the average cost curve. Okay, now I said we could use the average cost curve 00:04:26.780 --> 00:04:30.800 to figure out profit - show profit on the diagram. We can do that with just a little 00:04:30.980 --> 00:04:36.400 bit of rearranging. Remember that profit is equal to total revenue minus total cost 00:04:36.580 --> 00:04:41.720 and total revenue is price times quantity - P times Q. We also know that average cost 00:04:41.900 --> 00:04:46.830 is equal to total cost divided by quantity. Let's just rearrange that to 00:04:47.010 --> 00:04:51.890 tell us that total cost is equal to average cost times quantity. So just take 00:04:52.070 --> 00:04:58.420 this one and multiply both sides by Q. So, let's now make these substitutions into 00:04:58.600 --> 00:05:04.320 our profit equation. If we do that, then profit is equal to total revenue - price 00:05:04.500 --> 00:05:10.550 times quantity - minus total cost - average cost times quantity. Now let's take Q out 00:05:10.730 --> 00:05:16.520 of both parts of this equation and we find that profit can also be written as price 00:05:16.700 --> 00:05:22.810 minus average cost, all of that times quantity. That's nice because we can find 00:05:22.990 --> 00:05:30.570 all of these elements on our diagram. Here's the price. Here's the average cost 00:05:30.750 --> 00:05:36.420 at the profit maximizing quantity. Let's just show that. There's the price. There's 00:05:36.600 --> 00:05:42.190 the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. So profit at the profit 00:05:42.370 --> 00:05:51.110 maximizing quantity is this green area right here. Price minus average cost times 00:05:51.290 --> 00:05:56.260 quantity. So now we have a nice way of showing in a diagram exactly how much 00:05:56.440 --> 00:06:02.090 profit is. Let's use this tool some more. Here's another example of the average cost 00:06:02.270 --> 00:06:06.710 curve in action. Remember I said that profit maximization doesn't necessarily 00:06:06.890 --> 00:06:11.450 mean the firm is making a positive profit. Sometimes the best you can do is to 00:06:11.630 --> 00:06:16.630 minimize your losses. You may have to take a loss. For example, suppose that the 00:06:16.810 --> 00:06:22.720 price is below $17. That is, here's the market price, which is equal to the firm's marginal 00:06:22.900 --> 00:06:27.750 revenue curve. How does the firm profit maximize? It chooses the quantity where 00:06:27.930 --> 00:06:33.390 marginal revenue is equal to marginal cost. In that case, this quantity is one. Now 00:06:33.570 --> 00:06:40.000 what's the profit for the firm? Well, as usual we measure profit as price minus 00:06:40.180 --> 00:06:47.910 average cost times quantity. But notice that price is below the average cost at 00:06:48.090 --> 00:06:54.980 the profit maximizing quantity of one. Since price is below average cost, this is 00:06:55.160 --> 00:07:03.920 a loss. It's a negative quantity. It is a loss. In fact, notice that the breakeven 00:07:04.100 --> 00:07:10.680 price is $17, which is the minimum of the average cost curve. In order to make a 00:07:10.860 --> 00:07:17.920 profit, the firm at least has to meet the minimum of it's average cost curve. So at 00:07:18.100 --> 00:07:23.260 any price below $17 we'll be profit maximizing at a point where price is equal 00:07:23.440 --> 00:07:29.050 to marginal cost, and notice that all of these prices are below average cost. So 00:07:29.230 --> 00:07:35.370 all of this area down here, even the profit maximizing quantity, will mean a 00:07:35.550 --> 00:07:41.940 loss. On the other hand, once we get above $17, above the minimum of the average cost 00:07:42.120 --> 00:07:47.600 curve, then we can price equal to marginal cost. We can chose the quantities such the 00:07:47.780 --> 00:07:52.640 price is equal to marginal cost. That price will be above average cost so we'll be 00:07:52.820 --> 00:08:00.360 taking a profit. Therefore, $17, the minimum of the average cost curve, is the 00:08:00.540 --> 00:08:04.190 breakeven point. If the price is less than the minimum of 00:08:04.370 --> 00:08:08.970 the average cost curve, we're going to be taking a loss. If the price is bigger than 00:08:09.150 --> 00:08:13.490 the minimum of the average cost curve, then we can make a profit. So when should a 00:08:13.670 --> 00:08:19.370 firm enter or exit an industry? In the long run, the firms will enter when price 00:08:19.550 --> 00:08:23.860 is above average cost. If price is somewhere above the average cost curve 00:08:24.040 --> 00:08:27.850 then the firm can make a profit by entering and that's what firms want to do. 00:08:28.030 --> 00:08:31.340 They want to find profit, so they will want to enter wherever a profit is 00:08:31.520 --> 00:08:36.590 possible. Firms will exit the industry when the price is below the average cost 00:08:36.770 --> 00:08:41.460 curve. Then they're going to be taking a loss and they're going to want to exit. So 00:08:41.640 --> 00:08:45.720 finally, when the price is equal to the minimum of the average cost - it's just 00:08:45.900 --> 00:08:50.690 equal to the bottom of the average cost curve, profits are zero and there's no 00:08:50.870 --> 00:08:55.690 incentive to either exit or enter the industry. Now you might ask, why would 00:08:55.870 --> 00:09:02.380 firms remain in an industry if profits are zero? Zero profits, this is just a matter 00:09:02.560 --> 00:09:07.370 of terminology, means that at the market price the firm is covering all of its 00:09:07.550 --> 00:09:13.410 costs including enough to pay labor and capital, their ordinary opportunity cost. 00:09:13.590 --> 00:09:18.220 So zero profits means everyone is being paid, enough to make 00:09:18.400 --> 00:09:24.510 them satisfied. Zero profits, in other words, is what normal people mean by normal 00:09:24.690 --> 00:09:30.380 profits. So when an economist says zero profits just substitute normal profits. 00:09:30.560 --> 00:09:35.040 One more point about entry and exit. It doesn't always make sense to exit an 00:09:35.220 --> 00:09:40.890 industry immediately when price falls below average cost. Or to enter immediately 00:09:41.070 --> 00:09:48.320 when price is above average cost. Why not? Well, there are also entry and exit costs. 00:09:48.500 --> 00:09:53.400 For example, suppose that that the price of oil is currently above the average cost 00:09:53.580 --> 00:09:59.260 of pumping oil, if you've already got a well. Should you enter the industry? Well, 00:09:59.440 --> 00:10:05.250 maybe not necessarily. Because entry requires you to drill an oil well, and 00:10:05.430 --> 00:10:08.980 drilling an oil well is a sunk cost - literally in this case. 00:10:09.160 --> 00:10:15.780 A sunk cost is a cost that once incurred can never be recovered. So if you enter 00:10:15.960 --> 00:10:20.690 the industry and drill the oil well, you don't get that money back when you later 00:10:20.870 --> 00:10:28.160 exit the industry. What this means is you don't want to enter unless you expect the 00:10:28.340 --> 00:10:35.860 price of oil to stay above the minimum of the average cost curve long enough so 00:10:36.040 --> 00:10:41.680 that you can also recover your entry costs. So just because the price goes 00:10:41.860 --> 00:10:45.770 above the average cost a little bit, you don't immediately want to jump into that 00:10:45.950 --> 00:10:52.120 industry. You have to expect that that price is going to stay above average cost 00:10:52.300 --> 00:10:58.900 long enough for you to recover your entry costs. For the same reasons, if there are 00:10:59.080 --> 00:11:03.480 exit costs, for example, if you have to shutter up the well or fill the well with 00:11:03.660 --> 00:11:07.850 cement when you exit the industry as you do in the United States, then when price 00:11:08.030 --> 00:11:13.460 falls below average cost, it may be best to weather the storm at least for sometime 00:11:13.640 --> 00:11:21.060 before you exit. Only if you expect the price of oil to stay below your minimum of 00:11:21.240 --> 00:11:26.550 average cost for an extended period of time will you want to exit the industry. 00:11:26.730 --> 00:11:31.670 After all, if the price of oil falls below the average cost just for a little bit, and 00:11:31.850 --> 00:11:37.320 then it goes back up, the lifetime profits can still be possible. So, entry 00:11:37.500 --> 00:11:40.810 and exit could be quite complicated because you've got to be thinking about 00:11:40.990 --> 00:11:46.943 the lifetime profits, not just your immediate profits. However, the bottom 00:11:46.943 --> 00:11:53.113 line is pretty simple. Firms seek profits and they want to avoid losses. As a 00:11:53.113 --> 00:11:57.637 result, firms will enter industries when the price is above the average cost and 00:11:57.637 --> 00:12:02.126 they can make a profit, and they will exit when the price is below the average cost. 00:12:02.126 --> 00:12:03.891 Thanks. 00:12:04.420 --> 00:12:09.410 - [Announcer] If you want to test yourself, click, "Practice Questions," or if you're 00:12:09.590 --> 00:12:12.177 ready to move on, just click, "Next Video." 00:12:12.177 --> 00:12:15.170 ♪ [music] ♪