WEBVTT 00:00:01.416 --> 00:00:03.205 ♪ [music] ♪ 00:00:09.076 --> 00:00:11.394 - [Alex] Now that we know how to find the profit 00:00:11.394 --> 00:00:13.805 maximization point, we're going to show 00:00:13.805 --> 00:00:18.706 the amount of profit on the diagram using the average cost curve. 00:00:23.816 --> 00:00:25.398 So as I said in the last lecture, 00:00:25.398 --> 00:00:27.928 average cost is the cost per unit of output. 00:00:28.295 --> 00:00:32.792 That is, average cost is total cost divided by Q. 00:00:33.140 --> 00:00:36.041 Now remember also that total cost can be broken down 00:00:36.041 --> 00:00:38.842 into fixed costs plus variable costs. 00:00:39.219 --> 00:00:42.681 So we can also write average cost in a slightly longer format. 00:00:42.681 --> 00:00:45.507 Average cost is equal to fixed cost divided by Q 00:00:45.507 --> 00:00:49.588 plus the variable cost divided by Q, the units of output. 00:00:50.194 --> 00:00:53.702 That's a little bit useful because we're able to see, 00:00:53.702 --> 00:00:57.188 get some intuition, for the shape of a typical average cost curve. 00:00:57.557 --> 00:01:02.324 Notice that the fixed costs don't change with Q. 00:01:02.456 --> 00:01:04.261 That's why they're fixed. 00:01:04.261 --> 00:01:07.312 So when Q is small -- this number, 00:01:07.312 --> 00:01:09.143 suppose fixed cost is 100, 00:01:09.143 --> 00:01:12.292 and Q is small -- then this number is going to be big 00:01:12.292 --> 00:01:14.431 like 100 divided by 1. 00:01:14.981 --> 00:01:17.991 As Q gets larger, however, this number -- 00:01:17.991 --> 00:01:20.412 fixed cost divided by Q -- is going to get smaller, 00:01:20.412 --> 00:01:25.320 So when Q is 10, this number 100 divided by 10 becomes 10. 00:01:25.674 --> 00:01:29.099 So it goes from 100, and it goes down, down, down, down, 00:01:29.099 --> 00:01:31.812 get's lower and lower and lower all the time as you divide 00:01:31.812 --> 00:01:33.489 by a bigger quantity. 00:01:33.626 --> 00:01:38.154 On the other hand, the variable costs increase with quantity. 00:01:38.154 --> 00:01:41.774 Moreover, what we saw with the marginal cost curve 00:01:41.774 --> 00:01:44.925 is that at some point, your variable costs are going 00:01:44.925 --> 00:01:47.397 to increase faster than quantity. 00:01:47.397 --> 00:01:50.676 So what's going to happen is that this number at some point -- 00:01:50.676 --> 00:01:52.857 variable cost divided by quantity -- is going to get bigger 00:01:52.857 --> 00:01:54.196 and bigger and bigger. 00:01:54.241 --> 00:01:58.824 So you have two things, one force is driving average cost down. 00:01:59.412 --> 00:02:02.365 That's going to be particularly strong at the beginning. 00:02:03.123 --> 00:02:06.784 Eventually, however, the second force here is going 00:02:06.784 --> 00:02:09.404 to drive average cost up. 00:02:09.562 --> 00:02:12.191 So that's going to be our typical shape of an average cost curve -- 00:02:12.191 --> 00:02:14.554 falling, reaches a minimum, and then rising. 00:02:14.666 --> 00:02:16.241 So let's draw it like that. 00:02:16.452 --> 00:02:18.790 Okay, here's our typical marginal cost curve, 00:02:19.082 --> 00:02:22.366 and here is our marginal revenue curve, equal to price. 00:02:22.676 --> 00:02:26.405 We know that the profit maximizing point is where marginal revenue 00:02:26.405 --> 00:02:28.006 is equal to marginal cost. 00:02:28.216 --> 00:02:31.699 Here is our average cost curve, and notice it has the shape 00:02:31.699 --> 00:02:35.157 which I described -- it starts off high, it falls, 00:02:35.157 --> 00:02:37.656 reaches a minimum, and then goes right back up again. 00:02:37.815 --> 00:02:42.644 Couple of other points to notice is that the minimum point, 00:02:42.644 --> 00:02:46.396 the marginal cost curve goes through the minimum point 00:02:46.396 --> 00:02:48.415 of the average cost curve. 00:02:48.415 --> 00:02:52.046 Now that's just a mathematical fact, but let me give you some intuition. 00:02:52.046 --> 00:02:54.958 Instead of cost, I want to talk about average grade 00:02:54.958 --> 00:02:56.867 and marginal grade. 00:02:57.143 --> 00:03:01.545 So suppose that your average grade is 80%. 00:03:01.545 --> 00:03:05.034 You're doing really pretty good, but then on your next test 00:03:05.034 --> 00:03:08.165 you only get 60% -- lower. 00:03:08.165 --> 00:03:10.568 What is that going to do to your average? 00:03:10.568 --> 00:03:13.464 Well, it's going to drive your average down. 00:03:13.464 --> 00:03:18.045 Indeed whenever your marginal is below your average, 00:03:18.045 --> 00:03:20.395 the average must be falling. 00:03:20.395 --> 00:03:24.326 On the other hand, suppose that you're getting 80%, 00:03:24.326 --> 00:03:26.944 and on your next test you get 90%. 00:03:26.944 --> 00:03:29.534 Great, but what does that do to your average? 00:03:29.534 --> 00:03:31.948 It drives your average up. 00:03:31.948 --> 00:03:35.846 Indeed whenever your marginal is above the average, 00:03:35.846 --> 00:03:37.776 the average must be rising. 00:03:37.776 --> 00:03:41.486 Now suppose what happens when you're getting let's say 80%, 00:03:41.486 --> 00:03:45.347 and on your next test, you also get 80%. 00:03:45.347 --> 00:03:49.319 Well then your marginal is equal to your average grade, 00:03:49.319 --> 00:03:54.465 and your average grade is flat -- it doesn't change, it's flat. 00:03:54.465 --> 00:03:58.197 But what is true for average and marginal grades is also true 00:03:58.197 --> 00:04:00.666 for average cost and marginal cost. 00:04:00.791 --> 00:04:06.868 Whenever the marginal cost is below the average, 00:04:06.868 --> 00:04:08.698 the average is falling. 00:04:08.698 --> 00:04:11.867 Whenever the marginal cost is above the average, 00:04:11.867 --> 00:04:13.623 the average is rising. 00:04:13.623 --> 00:04:16.857 And where marginal is just equal to average, 00:04:16.857 --> 00:04:18.386 the average is flat. 00:04:18.448 --> 00:04:21.084 In other words, we are at the minimum point 00:04:21.084 --> 00:04:22.966 of the average cost curve. 00:04:23.818 --> 00:04:26.738 Okay, now I said we could use the average cost curve 00:04:26.747 --> 00:04:29.378 to figure out profit -- show profit on the diagram. 00:04:29.477 --> 00:04:32.522 We can do that with just a little bit of rearranging. 00:04:32.522 --> 00:04:35.976 Remember that profit is equal to total revenue minus total cost 00:04:35.976 --> 00:04:39.574 and total revenue is price times quantity -- P times Q. 00:04:39.574 --> 00:04:42.114 We also know that average cost is equal 00:04:42.114 --> 00:04:44.804 to total cost divided by quantity. 00:04:44.804 --> 00:04:48.834 Let's just rearrange that to tell us that total cost is equal 00:04:48.834 --> 00:04:51.293 to average cost times quantity. 00:04:51.293 --> 00:04:54.404 So just take this one and multiply both sides by Q. 00:04:54.783 --> 00:04:59.744 Let's now make these substitutions into our profit equation. 00:04:59.814 --> 00:05:03.896 If we do that, then profit is equal to total revenue -- 00:05:03.896 --> 00:05:06.442 price times quantity -- minus total cost -- 00:05:06.442 --> 00:05:08.215 average cost times quantity. 00:05:08.323 --> 00:05:12.285 Now let's take Q out of both parts of this equation, 00:05:12.285 --> 00:05:16.604 and we find that profit can also be written as price 00:05:16.604 --> 00:05:19.982 minus average cost, all of that times quantity. 00:05:20.593 --> 00:05:22.604 That's nice because we can find 00:05:22.604 --> 00:05:26.316 all of these elements on our diagram. 00:05:26.783 --> 00:05:28.336 Here's the price. 00:05:28.336 --> 00:05:32.414 Here's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 00:05:32.874 --> 00:05:35.125 Let's just show that. There's the price. 00:05:35.544 --> 00:05:40.094 There's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 00:05:40.094 --> 00:05:44.144 So profit at the profit maximizing quantity is 00:05:44.144 --> 00:05:47.404 this green area right here -- 00:05:47.742 --> 00:05:52.041 price minus average cost times quantity. 00:05:52.041 --> 00:05:54.696 So now we have a nice way of showing in a diagram 00:05:54.696 --> 00:05:57.237 exactly how much profit is. 00:05:57.746 --> 00:05:59.662 Let's use this tool some more. 00:06:00.291 --> 00:06:03.146 Here's another example of the average cost curve in action. 00:06:03.169 --> 00:06:06.669 Remember, I said that profit maximization doesn't necessarily 00:06:06.669 --> 00:06:09.241 mean the firm is making a positive profit. 00:06:09.539 --> 00:06:12.889 Sometimes the best you can do is to minimize your losses. 00:06:12.889 --> 00:06:14.768 You may have to take a loss. 00:06:14.768 --> 00:06:18.919 For example, suppose that the price is below $17. 00:06:18.919 --> 00:06:22.169 That is, here's the market price, which is equal to the firm's 00:06:22.169 --> 00:06:23.789 marginal revenue curve. 00:06:24.099 --> 00:06:26.133 How does the firm profit maximize? 00:06:26.133 --> 00:06:28.848 It chooses the quantity where marginal revenue is 00:06:28.848 --> 00:06:30.640 equal to marginal cost. 00:06:30.640 --> 00:06:33.172 In that case, this quantity is one. 00:06:33.172 --> 00:06:35.056 Now what's the profit for the firm? 00:06:35.056 --> 00:06:39.971 Well, as usual we measure profit as price minus 00:06:39.971 --> 00:06:42.791 average cost times quantity. 00:06:42.791 --> 00:06:46.820 But notice that price is below the average cost 00:06:46.820 --> 00:06:50.769 at the profit maximizing quantity of one. 00:06:50.769 --> 00:06:55.970 Since price is below average cost, this is a loss. 00:06:55.970 --> 00:06:57.700 It's a negative quantity. 00:06:57.700 --> 00:07:05.877 It is a loss. In fact, notice that the breakeven price is $17, 00:07:05.877 --> 00:07:09.430 which is the minimum of the average cost curve. 00:07:09.430 --> 00:07:14.242 In order to make a profit, the firm at least has to meet 00:07:14.242 --> 00:07:17.430 the minimum of its average cost curve. 00:07:17.430 --> 00:07:21.332 So at any price below $17, we'll be profit maximizing 00:07:21.332 --> 00:07:24.101 at a point where price is equal to marginal cost, 00:07:24.101 --> 00:07:28.711 and notice that all of these prices are below average cost. 00:07:28.711 --> 00:07:30.853 So all of this area down here, 00:07:30.853 --> 00:07:35.738 even the profit maximizing quantity, will mean a loss. 00:07:36.281 --> 00:07:40.929 On the other hand, once we get above $17, above the minimum 00:07:40.929 --> 00:07:45.561 of the average cost curve, then we can price equal to marginal cost. 00:07:45.561 --> 00:07:49.271 We can choose the quantities such the price is equal to marginal cost. 00:07:49.334 --> 00:07:54.055 That price will be above average cost, so we'll be taking a profit. 00:07:54.525 --> 00:07:59.224 Therefore, $17, the minimum of the average cost curve, 00:07:59.224 --> 00:08:01.216 is the breakeven point. 00:08:01.563 --> 00:08:04.027 If the price is less than the minimum 00:08:04.027 --> 00:08:07.277 of the average cost curve, we're going to be taking a loss. 00:08:07.372 --> 00:08:09.344 If the price is bigger than the minimum 00:08:09.344 --> 00:08:12.244 of the average cost curve, then we can make a profit. 00:08:12.982 --> 00:08:15.784 So when should a firm enter or exit an industry? 00:08:15.854 --> 00:08:19.322 In the long run, the firms will enter when price 00:08:19.322 --> 00:08:21.189 is above average cost. 00:08:21.189 --> 00:08:23.989 If price is somewhere above the average cost curve 00:08:23.989 --> 00:08:26.258 then the firm can make a profit by entering, 00:08:26.258 --> 00:08:27.928 and that's what firms want to do. 00:08:27.969 --> 00:08:30.251 They want to find profit, so they will want to enter 00:08:30.251 --> 00:08:32.010 wherever a profit is possible. 00:08:32.010 --> 00:08:35.640 Firms will exit the industry when the price is below 00:08:35.640 --> 00:08:37.229 the average cost curve. 00:08:37.229 --> 00:08:38.550 Then they're going to be taking a loss, 00:08:38.550 --> 00:08:40.269 and they're going to want to exit. 00:08:40.364 --> 00:08:44.171 Finally, when the price is equal to the minimum 00:08:44.228 --> 00:08:46.930 of the average cost -- it's just equal to the bottom 00:08:46.930 --> 00:08:49.758 of the average cost curve, profits are zero, 00:08:49.758 --> 00:08:51.277 and there's no incentive 00:08:51.277 --> 00:08:54.029 to either exit or enter the industry. 00:08:54.163 --> 00:08:56.519 Now you might ask, why would firms remain 00:08:56.519 --> 00:08:59.413 in an industry if profits are zero? 00:08:59.413 --> 00:09:03.403 Zero profits, this is just a matter of terminology, 00:09:03.403 --> 00:09:07.013 means that at the market price the firm is covering all NOTE Paragraph 00:09:07.013 --> 00:09:10.871 of its costs, including enough to pay labor and capital, 00:09:10.871 --> 00:09:13.134 their ordinary opportunity cost. 00:09:13.494 --> 00:09:17.652 So zero profits means everyone is being paid 00:09:17.652 --> 00:09:19.573 enough to make them satisfied. 00:09:19.715 --> 00:09:23.514 Zero profits, in other words, is what normal people mean 00:09:23.514 --> 00:09:25.496 by normal profits. 00:09:25.496 --> 00:09:27.708 So when an economist says zero profits 00:09:27.708 --> 00:09:30.084 just substitute normal profits. 00:09:30.344 --> 00:09:32.824 One more point about entry and exit. 00:09:32.974 --> 00:09:36.876 It doesn't always make sense to exit an industry immediately 00:09:36.938 --> 00:09:38.997 when price falls below average cost, 00:09:39.208 --> 00:09:43.127 or to enter immediately when price is above average cost. 00:09:43.247 --> 00:09:47.916 Why not? Well, there are also entry and exit costs. 00:09:48.279 --> 00:09:50.717 For example, suppose that that the price of oil is 00:09:50.717 --> 00:09:55.369 currently above the average cost of pumping oil, 00:09:55.369 --> 00:09:59.011 if you've already got a well. Should you enter the industry? 00:09:59.269 --> 00:10:01.248 Well, maybe not necessarily. 00:10:01.266 --> 00:10:04.776 Because entry requires you to drill an oil well, 00:10:04.776 --> 00:10:09.037 and drilling an oil well is a sunk cost -- literally in this case. 00:10:09.037 --> 00:10:14.438 A sunk cost is a cost that once incurred can never be recovered. 00:10:14.741 --> 00:10:17.849 So if you enter the industry and drill the oil well, 00:10:17.849 --> 00:10:21.548 you don't get that money back when you later exit the industry. 00:10:22.368 --> 00:10:24.930 What this means is you don't want to enter 00:10:24.930 --> 00:10:30.286 unless you expect the price of oil to stay 00:10:30.286 --> 00:10:33.658 above the minimum of the average cost curve 00:10:33.658 --> 00:10:38.828 long enough so that you can also recover your entry costs. 00:10:39.435 --> 00:10:43.530 So just because the price goes above the average cost a little bit, 00:10:43.530 --> 00:10:46.498 you don't immediately want to jump into that industry. 00:10:46.786 --> 00:10:50.040 You have to expect that that price is going to stay 00:10:50.040 --> 00:10:53.958 above average cost long enough for you 00:10:53.958 --> 00:10:56.039 to recover your entry costs. 00:10:56.954 --> 00:10:59.914 For the same reasons, if there are exit costs -- 00:10:59.925 --> 00:11:02.595 for example, if you have to shutter up the well 00:11:02.595 --> 00:11:05.397 or fill the well with cement when you exit the industry 00:11:05.397 --> 00:11:08.393 as you do in the United States -- then when price falls 00:11:08.393 --> 00:11:11.382 below average cost, it may be best to weather 00:11:11.382 --> 00:11:14.532 the storm at least for sometime before you exit. 00:11:14.905 --> 00:11:20.795 Only if you expect the price of oil to stay below your minimum 00:11:20.795 --> 00:11:23.724 of average cost for an extended period of time 00:11:23.724 --> 00:11:26.332 will you want to exit the industry. 00:11:26.596 --> 00:11:30.265 After all, if the price of oil falls below the average cost 00:11:30.265 --> 00:11:32.958 just for a little bit, and then it goes back up, 00:11:32.958 --> 00:11:35.944 the lifetime profits can still be possible. 00:11:36.370 --> 00:11:38.977 So, entry and exit could be quite complicated 00:11:38.977 --> 00:11:40.665 because you've got to be thinking 00:11:40.665 --> 00:11:44.798 about the lifetime profits, not just your immediate profits. 00:11:45.194 --> 00:11:47.874 However, the bottom line is pretty simple. 00:11:47.874 --> 00:11:52.055 Firms seek profits, and they want to avoid losses. 00:11:52.231 --> 00:11:56.241 As a result, firms will enter industries when the price is above 00:11:56.241 --> 00:11:58.577 the average cost and they can make a profit, 00:11:58.577 --> 00:12:02.174 and they will exit when the price is below the average cost. 00:12:02.503 --> 00:12:03.574 Thanks. 00:12:04.630 --> 00:12:08.145 - [Narrator] If you want to test yourself, click, "Practice Questions." 00:12:08.427 --> 00:12:11.989 Or, if you're ready to move on, just click, "Next Video." 00:12:12.509 --> 00:12:14.709 ♪ [music] ♪