1 00:00:01,416 --> 00:00:03,205 ♪ [music] ♪ 2 00:00:09,076 --> 00:00:11,394 - [Alex] Now that we know how to find the profit 3 00:00:11,394 --> 00:00:13,805 maximization point, we're going to show 4 00:00:13,805 --> 00:00:18,706 the amount of profit on the diagram using the average cost curve. 5 00:00:23,516 --> 00:00:25,398 So as I said in the last lecture, 6 00:00:25,398 --> 00:00:27,928 average cost is the cost per unit of output. 7 00:00:28,295 --> 00:00:32,792 That is, average cost is total cost divided by Q. 8 00:00:33,140 --> 00:00:36,041 Now remember also that total cost can be broken down 9 00:00:36,041 --> 00:00:38,842 into fixed costs plus variable costs. 10 00:00:39,219 --> 00:00:42,681 So we can also write average cost in a slightly longer format. 11 00:00:42,681 --> 00:00:45,507 Average cost is equal to fixed cost divided by Q 12 00:00:45,507 --> 00:00:49,588 plus the variable cost divided by Q, the units of output. 13 00:00:50,194 --> 00:00:53,702 That's a little bit useful because we're able to see, 14 00:00:53,702 --> 00:00:57,188 get some intuition, for the shape of a typical average cost curve. 15 00:00:57,557 --> 00:01:02,324 Notice that the fixed costs don't change with Q. 16 00:01:02,456 --> 00:01:04,261 That's why they're fixed. 17 00:01:04,261 --> 00:01:07,312 So when Q is small -- this number, 18 00:01:07,312 --> 00:01:09,143 suppose fixed cost is 100, 19 00:01:09,143 --> 00:01:12,292 and Q is small -- then this number is going to be big 20 00:01:12,292 --> 00:01:14,431 like 100 divided by 1. 21 00:01:14,981 --> 00:01:17,991 As Q gets larger, however, this number -- 22 00:01:17,991 --> 00:01:20,412 fixed cost divided by Q -- is going to get smaller, 23 00:01:20,412 --> 00:01:25,320 So when Q is 10, this number 100 divided by 10 becomes 10. 24 00:01:25,674 --> 00:01:29,099 So it goes from 100, and it goes down, down, down, down, 25 00:01:29,099 --> 00:01:31,812 get's lower and lower and lower all the time as you divide 26 00:01:31,812 --> 00:01:33,489 by a bigger quantity. 27 00:01:33,626 --> 00:01:38,154 On the other hand, the variable costs increase with quantity. 28 00:01:38,154 --> 00:01:41,774 Moreover, what we saw with the marginal cost curve 29 00:01:41,774 --> 00:01:44,925 is that at some point, your variable costs are going 30 00:01:44,925 --> 00:01:47,397 to increase faster than quantity. 31 00:01:47,397 --> 00:01:50,676 So what's going to happen is that this number at some point -- 32 00:01:50,676 --> 00:01:52,857 variable cost divided by quantity -- is going to get bigger 33 00:01:52,857 --> 00:01:54,196 and bigger and bigger. 34 00:01:54,241 --> 00:01:58,824 So you have two things, one force is driving average cost down. 35 00:01:59,412 --> 00:02:02,365 That's going to be particularly strong at the beginning. 36 00:02:03,123 --> 00:02:06,784 Eventually, however, the second force here is going 37 00:02:06,784 --> 00:02:09,404 to drive average cost up. 38 00:02:09,562 --> 00:02:12,191 So that's going to be our typical shape of an average cost curve -- 39 00:02:12,191 --> 00:02:14,554 falling, reaches a minimum, and then rising. 40 00:02:14,666 --> 00:02:16,241 So let's draw it like that. 41 00:02:16,452 --> 00:02:18,790 Okay, here's our typical marginal cost curve, 42 00:02:19,082 --> 00:02:22,366 and here is our marginal revenue curve, equal to price. 43 00:02:22,676 --> 00:02:26,405 We know that the profit maximizing point is where marginal revenue 44 00:02:26,405 --> 00:02:28,006 is equal to marginal cost. 45 00:02:28,216 --> 00:02:31,699 Here is our average cost curve, and notice it has the shape 46 00:02:31,699 --> 00:02:35,157 which I described -- it starts off high, it falls, 47 00:02:35,157 --> 00:02:37,656 reaches a minimum, and then goes right back up again. 48 00:02:37,815 --> 00:02:42,644 Couple of other points to notice is that the minimum point, 49 00:02:42,644 --> 00:02:46,396 the marginal cost curve goes through the minimum point 50 00:02:46,396 --> 00:02:48,415 of the average cost curve. 51 00:02:48,415 --> 00:02:52,046 Now that's just a mathematical fact, but let me give you some intuition. 52 00:02:52,046 --> 00:02:54,958 Instead of cost, I want to talk about average grade 53 00:02:54,958 --> 00:02:56,867 and marginal grade. 54 00:02:57,143 --> 00:03:01,545 So suppose that your average grade is 80%. 55 00:03:01,545 --> 00:03:05,034 You're doing really pretty good, but then on your next test 56 00:03:05,034 --> 00:03:08,165 you only get 60% -- lower. 57 00:03:08,165 --> 00:03:10,568 What is that going to do to your average? 58 00:03:10,568 --> 00:03:13,464 Well, it's going to drive your average down. 59 00:03:13,464 --> 00:03:18,045 Indeed whenever your marginal is below your average, 60 00:03:18,045 --> 00:03:20,395 the average must be falling. 61 00:03:20,395 --> 00:03:24,326 On the other hand, suppose that you're getting 80%, 62 00:03:24,326 --> 00:03:26,944 and on your next test you get 90%. 63 00:03:26,944 --> 00:03:29,534 Great, but what does that do to your average? 64 00:03:29,534 --> 00:03:31,948 It drives your average up. 65 00:03:31,948 --> 00:03:35,846 Indeed whenever your marginal is above the average, 66 00:03:35,846 --> 00:03:37,776 the average must be rising. 67 00:03:37,776 --> 00:03:41,486 Now suppose what happens when you're getting let's say 80%, 68 00:03:41,486 --> 00:03:45,347 and on your next test, you also get 80%. 69 00:03:45,347 --> 00:03:49,319 Well then your marginal is equal to your average grade, 70 00:03:49,319 --> 00:03:54,465 and your average grade is flat -- it doesn't change, it's flat. 71 00:03:54,465 --> 00:03:58,197 But what is true for average and marginal grades is also true 72 00:03:58,197 --> 00:04:00,666 for average cost and marginal cost. 73 00:04:00,791 --> 00:04:06,868 Whenever the marginal cost is below the average, 74 00:04:06,868 --> 00:04:08,698 the average is falling. 75 00:04:08,698 --> 00:04:11,867 Whenever the marginal cost is above the average, 76 00:04:11,867 --> 00:04:13,623 the average is rising. 77 00:04:13,623 --> 00:04:16,857 And where marginal is just equal to average, 78 00:04:16,857 --> 00:04:18,386 the average is flat. 79 00:04:18,448 --> 00:04:21,084 In other words, we are at the minimum point 80 00:04:21,084 --> 00:04:22,966 of the average cost curve. 81 00:04:23,818 --> 00:04:26,738 Okay, now I said we could use the average cost curve 82 00:04:26,747 --> 00:04:29,378 to figure out profit -- show profit on the diagram. 83 00:04:29,477 --> 00:04:32,522 We can do that with just a little bit of rearranging. 84 00:04:32,522 --> 00:04:35,976 Remember that profit is equal to total revenue minus total cost 85 00:04:35,976 --> 00:04:39,574 and total revenue is price times quantity -- P times Q. 86 00:04:39,574 --> 00:04:42,114 We also know that average cost is equal 87 00:04:42,114 --> 00:04:44,804 to total cost divided by quantity. 88 00:04:44,804 --> 00:04:48,834 Let's just rearrange that to tell us that total cost is equal 89 00:04:48,834 --> 00:04:51,293 to average cost times quantity. 90 00:04:51,293 --> 00:04:54,404 So just take this one and multiply both sides by Q. 91 00:04:54,783 --> 00:04:59,744 Let's now make these substitutions into our profit equation. 92 00:04:59,814 --> 00:05:03,896 If we do that, then profit is equal to total revenue -- 93 00:05:03,896 --> 00:05:06,442 price times quantity -- minus total cost -- 94 00:05:06,442 --> 00:05:08,215 average cost times quantity. 95 00:05:08,323 --> 00:05:12,285 Now let's take Q out of both parts of this equation, 96 00:05:12,285 --> 00:05:16,604 and we find that profit can also be written as price 97 00:05:16,604 --> 00:05:19,982 minus average cost, all of that times quantity. 98 00:05:20,593 --> 00:05:22,604 That's nice because we can find 99 00:05:22,604 --> 00:05:26,316 all of these elements on our diagram. 100 00:05:26,783 --> 00:05:28,336 Here's the price. 101 00:05:28,336 --> 00:05:32,414 Here's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 102 00:05:32,874 --> 00:05:35,125 Let's just show that. There's the price. 103 00:05:35,544 --> 00:05:40,094 There's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 104 00:05:40,094 --> 00:05:44,144 So profit at the profit maximizing quantity is 105 00:05:44,144 --> 00:05:47,404 this green area right here -- 106 00:05:47,742 --> 00:05:52,041 price minus average cost times quantity. 107 00:05:52,041 --> 00:05:54,696 So now we have a nice way of showing in a diagram 108 00:05:54,696 --> 00:05:57,237 exactly how much profit is. 109 00:05:57,746 --> 00:05:59,662 Let's use this tool some more. 110 00:06:00,291 --> 00:06:03,146 Here's another example of the average cost curve in action. 111 00:06:03,169 --> 00:06:06,669 Remember, I said that profit maximization doesn't necessarily 112 00:06:06,669 --> 00:06:09,241 mean the firm is making a positive profit. 113 00:06:09,539 --> 00:06:12,889 Sometimes the best you can do is to minimize your losses. 114 00:06:12,889 --> 00:06:14,768 You may have to take a loss. 115 00:06:14,768 --> 00:06:18,919 For example, suppose that the price is below $17. 116 00:06:18,919 --> 00:06:22,169 That is, here's the market price, which is equal to the firm's 117 00:06:22,169 --> 00:06:23,789 marginal revenue curve. 118 00:06:24,099 --> 00:06:26,133 How does the firm profit maximize? 119 00:06:26,133 --> 00:06:28,848 It chooses the quantity where marginal revenue is 120 00:06:28,848 --> 00:06:30,640 equal to marginal cost. 121 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,172 In that case, this quantity is one. 122 00:06:33,172 --> 00:06:35,056 Now what's the profit for the firm? 123 00:06:35,056 --> 00:06:39,971 Well, as usual we measure profit as price minus 124 00:06:39,971 --> 00:06:42,791 average cost times quantity. 125 00:06:42,791 --> 00:06:46,820 But notice that price is below the average cost 126 00:06:46,820 --> 00:06:50,769 at the profit maximizing quantity of one. 127 00:06:50,769 --> 00:06:55,970 Since price is below average cost, this is a loss. 128 00:06:55,970 --> 00:06:57,700 It's a negative quantity. 129 00:06:57,700 --> 00:07:05,877 It is a loss. In fact, notice that the breakeven price is $17, 130 00:07:05,877 --> 00:07:09,430 which is the minimum of the average cost curve. 131 00:07:09,430 --> 00:07:14,242 In order to make a profit, the firm at least has to meet 132 00:07:14,242 --> 00:07:17,430 the minimum of its average cost curve. 133 00:07:17,430 --> 00:07:21,332 So at any price below $17, we'll be profit maximizing 134 00:07:21,332 --> 00:07:24,101 at a point where price is equal to marginal cost, 135 00:07:24,101 --> 00:07:28,711 and notice that all of these prices are below average cost. 136 00:07:28,711 --> 00:07:30,853 So all of this area down here, 137 00:07:30,853 --> 00:07:35,738 even the profit maximizing quantity, will mean a loss. 138 00:07:36,281 --> 00:07:40,929 On the other hand, once we get above $17, above the minimum 139 00:07:40,929 --> 00:07:45,561 of the average cost curve, then we can price equal to marginal cost. 140 00:07:45,561 --> 00:07:49,271 We can choose the quantities such the price is equal to marginal cost. 141 00:07:49,334 --> 00:07:54,055 That price will be above average cost, so we'll be taking a profit. 142 00:07:54,525 --> 00:07:59,224 Therefore, $17, the minimum of the average cost curve, 143 00:07:59,224 --> 00:08:01,216 is the breakeven point. 144 00:08:01,563 --> 00:08:04,027 If the price is less than the minimum 145 00:08:04,027 --> 00:08:07,277 of the average cost curve, we're going to be taking a loss. 146 00:08:07,372 --> 00:08:09,344 If the price is bigger than the minimum 147 00:08:09,344 --> 00:08:12,244 of the average cost curve, then we can make a profit. 148 00:08:12,982 --> 00:08:15,784 So when should a firm enter or exit an industry? 149 00:08:15,854 --> 00:08:19,322 In the long run, the firms will enter when price 150 00:08:19,322 --> 00:08:21,189 is above average cost. 151 00:08:21,189 --> 00:08:23,989 If price is somewhere above the average cost curve 152 00:08:23,989 --> 00:08:26,258 then the firm can make a profit by entering, 153 00:08:26,258 --> 00:08:27,928 and that's what firms want to do. 154 00:08:27,969 --> 00:08:30,251 They want to find profit, so they will want to enter 155 00:08:30,251 --> 00:08:32,010 wherever a profit is possible. 156 00:08:32,010 --> 00:08:35,640 Firms will exit the industry when the price is below 157 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:37,229 the average cost curve. 158 00:08:37,229 --> 00:08:38,550 Then they're going to be taking a loss, 159 00:08:38,550 --> 00:08:40,269 and they're going to want to exit. 160 00:08:40,364 --> 00:08:44,171 Finally, when the price is equal to the minimum 161 00:08:44,228 --> 00:08:46,930 of the average cost -- it's just equal to the bottom 162 00:08:46,930 --> 00:08:49,758 of the average cost curve, profits are zero, 163 00:08:49,758 --> 00:08:51,277 and there's no incentive 164 00:08:51,277 --> 00:08:54,029 to either exit or enter the industry. 165 00:08:54,163 --> 00:08:56,519 Now you might ask, why would firms remain 166 00:08:56,519 --> 00:08:59,413 in an industry if profits are zero? 167 00:08:59,413 --> 00:09:03,403 Zero profits, this is just a matter of terminology, 168 00:09:03,403 --> 00:09:07,013 means that at the market price the firm is covering all 169 00:09:07,013 --> 00:09:10,871 of its costs, including enough to pay labor and capital, 170 00:09:10,871 --> 00:09:13,134 their ordinary opportunity cost. 171 00:09:13,494 --> 00:09:17,652 So zero profits means everyone is being paid 172 00:09:17,652 --> 00:09:19,573 enough to make them satisfied. 173 00:09:19,715 --> 00:09:23,514 Zero profits, in other words, is what normal people mean 174 00:09:23,514 --> 00:09:25,496 by normal profits. 175 00:09:25,496 --> 00:09:27,708 So when an economist says zero profits 176 00:09:27,708 --> 00:09:30,084 just substitute normal profits. 177 00:09:30,344 --> 00:09:32,824 One more point about entry and exit. 178 00:09:32,974 --> 00:09:36,876 It doesn't always make sense to exit an industry immediately 179 00:09:36,938 --> 00:09:38,997 when price falls below average cost, 180 00:09:39,208 --> 00:09:43,127 or to enter immediately when price is above average cost. 181 00:09:43,247 --> 00:09:47,916 Why not? Well, there are also entry and exit costs. 182 00:09:48,279 --> 00:09:50,717 For example, suppose that that the price of oil is 183 00:09:50,717 --> 00:09:55,369 currently above the average cost of pumping oil -- 184 00:09:55,369 --> 00:09:59,011 if you've already got a well, should you enter the industry? 185 00:09:59,269 --> 00:10:01,248 Well, maybe not necessarily. 186 00:10:01,266 --> 00:10:04,776 Because entry requires you to drill an oil well, 187 00:10:04,776 --> 00:10:09,037 and drilling an oil well is a sunk cost -- literally in this case. 188 00:10:09,037 --> 00:10:14,438 A sunk cost is a cost that once incurred can never be recovered. 189 00:10:14,741 --> 00:10:17,849 So if you enter the industry and drill the oil well, 190 00:10:17,849 --> 00:10:21,548 you don't get that money back when you later exit the industry. 191 00:10:22,368 --> 00:10:24,930 What this means is you don't want to enter 192 00:10:24,930 --> 00:10:30,286 unless you expect the price of oil to stay 193 00:10:30,286 --> 00:10:33,658 above the minimum of the average cost curve 194 00:10:33,658 --> 00:10:38,828 long enough so that you can also recover your entry costs. 195 00:10:39,435 --> 00:10:43,530 So just because the price goes above the average cost a little bit, 196 00:10:43,530 --> 00:10:46,498 you don't immediately want to jump into that industry. 197 00:10:46,786 --> 00:10:50,040 You have to expect that that price is going to stay 198 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:53,958 above average cost long enough for you 199 00:10:53,958 --> 00:10:56,039 to recover your entry costs. 200 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For the same reasons, if there are exit costs, 201 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for example, if you have to shutter up the well 202 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or fill the well with cement when you exit the industry 203 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as you do in the United States, then when price falls 204 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 below average cost, it may be best to weather 205 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the storm at least for sometime before you exit. 206 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Only if you expect the price of oil to stay below your minimum 207 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of average cost for an extended period of time 208 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will you want to exit the industry. 209 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 After all, if the price of oil falls below the average cost 210 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 just for a little bit, and then it goes back up, 211 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the lifetime profits can still be possible. 212 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, entry and exit could be quite complicated 213 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because you've got to be thinking 214 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about the lifetime profits, not just your immediate profits. 215 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 However, the bottom line is pretty simple. 216 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Firms seek profits and they want to avoid losses. 217 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As a result, firms will enter industries when the price is above 218 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the average cost and they can make a profit, 219 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they will exit when the price is below the average cost. 220 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thanks. 221 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Narrator] If you want to test yourself, click, "Practice Questions." 222 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Or, if you're ready to move on, just click, "Next Video." 223 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 ♪ [music] ♪