WEBVTT 00:00:01.416 --> 00:00:03.205 ♪ [music] ♪ 00:00:09.076 --> 00:00:11.394 - [Alex] Now that we know how to find the profit 00:00:11.394 --> 00:00:13.805 maximization point, we're going to show 00:00:13.805 --> 00:00:18.706 the amount of profit on the diagram using the average cost curve. 00:00:23.516 --> 00:00:25.398 So as I said in the last lecture, 00:00:25.398 --> 00:00:27.928 average cost is the cost per unit of output. 00:00:28.295 --> 00:00:32.792 That is, average cost is total cost divided by Q. 00:00:33.140 --> 00:00:36.041 Now remember also that total cost can be broken down 00:00:36.041 --> 00:00:38.842 into fixed costs plus variable costs. 00:00:39.219 --> 00:00:42.681 So we can also write average cost in a slightly longer format. 00:00:42.681 --> 00:00:45.507 Average cost is equal to fixed cost divided by Q 00:00:45.507 --> 00:00:49.588 plus the variable cost divided by Q, the units of output. 00:00:50.194 --> 00:00:53.702 That's a little bit useful because we're able to see, 00:00:53.702 --> 00:00:57.188 get some intuition, for the shape of a typical average cost curve. 00:00:57.557 --> 00:01:02.324 Notice that the fixed costs don't change with Q. 00:01:02.456 --> 00:01:04.261 That's why they're fixed. 00:01:04.261 --> 00:01:07.312 So when Q is small -- this number, 00:01:07.312 --> 00:01:09.143 suppose fixed cost is 100, 00:01:09.143 --> 00:01:12.292 and Q is small -- then this number is going to be big 00:01:12.292 --> 00:01:14.431 like 100 divided by 1. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 As Q gets larger, however, this number -- 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 fixed cost divided by Q -- is going to get smaller, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So when Q is 10, this number 100 divided by 10 becomes 10. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So it goes from 100, and it goes down, down, down, down, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 get's lower and lower and lower all the time as you divide 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 by a bigger quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 On the other hand, the variable costs increase with quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Moreover, what we saw with the marginal cost curve 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is that at some point, your variable costs are going 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to increase faster than quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So what's going to happen is that this number at some point -- 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 variable cost divided by quantity -- is going to get bigger 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and bigger and bigger. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So you have two things, one force is driving average cost down. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 That's going to be particularly strong at the beginning. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Eventually, however, the second force here is going 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to drive average cost up. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So that's going to be our typical shape of an average cost curve -- 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 falling, reaches a minimum, and then rising. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So let's draw it like that. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Okay, here's our typical marginal cost curve, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and here is our marginal revenue curve, equal to price. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 We know that the profit maximizing point is where marginal revenue 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is equal to marginal cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Here is our average cost curve and notice it has the shape 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 which I described -- it starts off high, it falls, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 reaches a minimum, and then goes right back up again. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Couple of other points to notice is that the minimum point, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the marginal cost curve goes through the minimum point 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 of the average cost curve. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Now that's just a mathematical fact, but let me give you some intuition. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Instead of cost I want to talk about average grade 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and marginal grade. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So suppose that your average grade is 80%. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 You're doing really pretty good, but then on your next test 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 you only get 60% -- lower. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 What is that going to do to your average? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Well, it's going to drive your average down. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Indeed whenever your marginal is below your average, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the average must be falling. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 On the other hand, suppose that you're getting 80%, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and on your next test you get 90%. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Great, but what does that do to your average? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 It drives your average up. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Indeed whenever your marginal is above the average, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the average must be rising. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Now suppose what happens when you're getting let's say 80%, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and on your next test, you also get 80%. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Well then your marginal is equal to your average grade, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and your average grade is flat -- it doesn't change, it's flat. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 But what is true for average and marginal grades is also true 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 for average cost and marginal cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Whenever the marginal cost is below the average, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the average is falling. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Whenever the marginal cost is above the average, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the average is rising. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 And where marginal is just equal to average, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the average is flat. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 In other words, we are at the minimum point 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 of the average cost curve. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Okay, now I said we could use the average cost curve 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to figure out profit -- show profit on the diagram. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 We can do that with just a little bit of rearranging. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Remember that profit is equal to total revenue minus total cost 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and total revenue is price times quantity -- P times Q. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 We also know that average cost is equal 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to total cost divided by quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Let's just rearrange that to tell us that total cost is equal 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to average cost times quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So just take this one and multiply both sides by Q. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Let's now make these substitutions into our profit equation. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 If we do that, then profit is equal to total revenue -- 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 price times quantity -- minus total cost -- 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 average cost times quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Now let's take Q out of both parts of this equation, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and we find that profit can also be written as price 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 minus average cost, all of that times quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 That's nice because we can find 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 all of these elements on our diagram. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Here's the price. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Here's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Let's just show that. There's the price. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 There's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So profit at the profit maximizing quantity is 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 this green area right here -- 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 price minus average cost times quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So now we have a nice way of showing in a diagram 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 exactly how much profit is. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Let's use this tool some more. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Here's another example of the average cost curve in action. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Remember, I said that profit maximization doesn't necessarily 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 mean the firm is making a positive profit. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Sometimes the best you can do is to minimize your losses. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 You may have to take a loss. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 For example, suppose that the price is below $17. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 That is, here's the market price, which is equal to the firm's 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 marginal revenue curve. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 How does the firm profit maximize? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 It chooses the quantity where marginal revenue is 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 equal to marginal cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 In that case, this quantity is one. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Now what's the profit for the firm? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Well, as usual we measure profit as price minus 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 average cost times quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 But notice that price is below the average cost 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 at the profit maximizing quantity of one. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Since price is below average cost, this is a loss. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 It's a negative quantity. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 It is a loss. In fact, notice that the breakeven price is $17, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 which is the minimum of the average cost curve. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 In order to make a profit, the firm at least has to meet 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the minimum of its average cost curve. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So at any price below $17, we'll be profit maximizing 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 at a point where price is equal to marginal cost, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and notice that all of these prices are below average cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So all of this area down here, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 even the profit maximizing quantity, will mean a loss. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 On the other hand, once we get above $17, above the minimum 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 of the average cost curve, then we can price equal to marginal cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 We can chose the quantities such the price is equal to marginal cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 That price will be above average cost, so we'll be taking a profit. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Therefore, $17, the minimum of the average cost curve, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is the breakeven point. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 If the price is less than the minimum 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 of the average cost curve, we're going to be taking a loss. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 If the price is bigger than the minimum 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 of the average cost curve, then we can make a profit. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So when should a firm enter or exit an industry? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 In the long run, the firms will enter when price 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is above average cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 If price is somewhere above the average cost curve 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 then the firm can make a profit by entering 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and that's what firms want to do. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 They want to find profit, so they will want to enter 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 wherever a profit is possible. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Firms will exit the industry when the price is below 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the average cost curve. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Then they're going to be taking a loss, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and they're going to want to exit. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Finally, when the price is equal to the minimum 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 of the average cost -- it's just equal to the bottom 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 of the average cost curve, profits are zero, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and there's no incentive 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to either exit or enter the industry. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Now you might ask, why would firms remain 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 in an industry if profits are zero? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Zero profits, this is just a matter of terminology, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 means that at the market price the firm is covering all NOTE Paragraph 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 of its costs, including enough to pay labor and capital, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 their ordinary opportunity cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So zero profits means everyone is being paid enough 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to make them satisfied. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Zero profits, in other words, is what normal people mean 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 by normal profits. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So when an economist says zero profits 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 just substitute normal profits. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 One more point about entry and exit. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 It doesn't always make sense to exit an industry immediately 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 when price falls below average cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Or to enter immediately when price is above average cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Why not? Well, there are also entry and exit costs. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 For example, suppose that that the price of oil is 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 currently above the average cost of pumping oil, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 if you've already got a well. Should you enter the industry? 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Well, maybe not necessarily. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Because entry requires you to drill an oil well, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and drilling an oil well is a sunk cost -- literally in this case. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 A sunk cost is a cost that once incurred can never be recovered. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So if you enter the industry and drill the oil well, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 you don't get that money back when you later exit the industry. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 What this means is you don't want to enter 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 unless you expect the price of oil to stay 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 above the minimum of the average cost curve 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 long enough so that you can also recover your entry costs. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So just because the price goes above the average cost a little bit, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 you don't immediately want to jump into that industry. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 You have to expect that that price is going to stay 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 above average cost long enough for you 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 to recover your entry costs. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 For the same reasons, if there are exit costs, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 for example, if you have to shutter up the well 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 or fill the well with cement when you exit the industry 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 as you do in the United States, then when price falls 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 below average cost, it may be best to weather 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the storm at least for sometime before you exit. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Only if you expect the price of oil to stay below your minimum 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 of average cost for an extended period of time 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 will you want to exit the industry. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 After all, if the price of oil falls below the average cost 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 just for a little bit, and then it goes back up, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the lifetime profits can still be possible. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 So, entry and exit could be quite complicated 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 because you've got to be thinking 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 about the lifetime profits, not just your immediate profits. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 However, the bottom line is pretty simple. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Firms seek profits and they want to avoid losses. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 As a result, firms will enter industries when the price is above 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 the average cost and they can make a profit, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 and they will exit when the price is below the average cost. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Thanks. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 - [Narrator] If you want to test yourself, click, "Practice Questions." 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Or, if you're ready to move on, just click, "Next Video." 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 ♪ [music] ♪