1 00:00:01,416 --> 00:00:03,205 ♪ [music] ♪ 2 00:00:09,076 --> 00:00:11,394 - [Alex] Now that we know how to find the profit 3 00:00:11,394 --> 00:00:13,805 maximization point, we're going to show 4 00:00:13,805 --> 00:00:18,706 the amount of profit on the diagram using the average cost curve. 5 00:00:23,516 --> 00:00:25,398 So as I said in the last lecture, 6 00:00:25,398 --> 00:00:27,928 average cost is the cost per unit of output. 7 00:00:28,295 --> 00:00:32,792 That is, average cost is total cost divided by Q. 8 00:00:33,140 --> 00:00:36,041 Now remember also that total cost can be broken down 9 00:00:36,041 --> 00:00:38,842 into fixed costs plus variable costs. 10 00:00:39,219 --> 00:00:42,681 So we can also write average cost in a slightly longer format. 11 00:00:42,681 --> 00:00:45,507 Average cost is equal to fixed cost divided by Q 12 00:00:45,507 --> 00:00:49,588 plus the variable cost divided by Q, the units of output. 13 00:00:50,194 --> 00:00:53,702 That's a little bit useful because we're able to see, 14 00:00:53,702 --> 00:00:57,188 get some intuition, for the shape of a typical average cost curve. 15 00:00:57,557 --> 00:01:02,324 Notice that the fixed costs don't change with Q. 16 00:01:02,456 --> 00:01:04,261 That's why they're fixed. 17 00:01:04,261 --> 00:01:07,312 So when Q is small -- this number, 18 00:01:07,312 --> 00:01:09,143 suppose fixed cost is 100, 19 00:01:09,143 --> 00:01:12,292 and Q is small -- then this number is going to be big 20 00:01:12,292 --> 00:01:14,431 like 100 divided by 1. 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As Q gets larger, however, this number -- 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 fixed cost divided by Q -- is going to get smaller, 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So when Q is 10, this number 100 divided by 10 becomes 10. 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So it goes from 100, and it goes down, down, down, down, 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 get's lower and lower and lower all the time as you divide 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by a bigger quantity. 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 On the other hand, the variable costs increase with quantity. 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Moreover, what we saw with the marginal cost curve 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is that at some point, your variable costs are going 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to increase faster than quantity. 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So what's going to happen is that this number at some point -- 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 variable cost divided by quantity -- is going to get bigger 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and bigger and bigger. 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So you have two things, one force is driving average cost down. 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That's going to be particularly strong at the beginning. 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Eventually, however, the second force here is going 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to drive average cost up. 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So that's going to be our typical shape of an average cost curve -- 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 falling, reaches a minimum, and then rising. 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So let's draw it like that. 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Okay, here's our typical marginal cost curve, 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and here is our marginal revenue curve, equal to price. 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We know that the profit maximizing point is where marginal revenue 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is equal to marginal cost. 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Here is our average cost curve and notice it has the shape 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which I described -- it starts off high, it falls, 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 reaches a minimum, and then goes right back up again. 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Couple of other points to notice is that the minimum point, 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the marginal cost curve goes through the minimum point 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the average cost curve. 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now that's just a mathematical fact, but let me give you some intuition. 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Instead of cost I want to talk about average grade 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and marginal grade. 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So suppose that your average grade is 80%. 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You're doing really pretty good, but then on your next test 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you only get 60% -- lower. 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What is that going to do to your average? 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, it's going to drive your average down. 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Indeed whenever your marginal is below your average, 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the average must be falling. 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 On the other hand, suppose that you're getting 80%, 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and on your next test you get 90%. 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Great, but what does that do to your average? 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It drives your average up. 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Indeed whenever your marginal is above the average, 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the average must be rising. 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now suppose what happens when you're getting let's say 80%, 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and on your next test, you also get 80%. 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well then your marginal is equal to your average grade, 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and your average grade is flat -- it doesn't change, it's flat. 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But what is true for average and marginal grades is also true 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for average cost and marginal cost. 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Whenever the marginal cost is below the average, 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the average is falling. 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Whenever the marginal cost is above the average, 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the average is rising. 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And where marginal is just equal to average, 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the average is flat. 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In other words, we are at the minimum point 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the average cost curve. 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Okay, now I said we could use the average cost curve 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to figure out profit -- show profit on the diagram. 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We can do that with just a little bit of rearranging. 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Remember that profit is equal to total revenue minus total cost 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and total revenue is price times quantity -- P times Q. 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We also know that average cost is equal 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to total cost divided by quantity. 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's just rearrange that to tell us that total cost is equal 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to average cost times quantity. 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So just take this one and multiply both sides by Q. 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's now make these substitutions into our profit equation. 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If we do that, then profit is equal to total revenue -- 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 price times quantity -- minus total cost -- 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 average cost times quantity. 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now let's take Q out of both parts of this equation, 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and we find that profit can also be written as price 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 minus average cost, all of that times quantity. 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That's nice because we can find 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 all of these elements on our diagram. 100 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Here's the price. 101 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Here's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 102 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's just show that. There's the price. 103 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 104 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So profit at the profit maximizing quantity is 105 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this green area right here -- 106 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 price minus average cost times quantity. 107 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So now we have a nice way of showing in a diagram 108 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 exactly how much profit is. 109 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's use this tool some more. 110 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Here's another example of the average cost curve in action. 111 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Remember, I said that profit maximization doesn't necessarily 112 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 mean the firm is making a positive profit. 113 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Sometimes the best you can do is to minimize your losses. 114 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You may have to take a loss. 115 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For example, suppose that the price is below $17. 116 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That is, here's the market price, which is equal to the firm's 117 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 marginal revenue curve. 118 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How does the firm profit maximize? 119 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It chooses the quantity where marginal revenue is 120 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 equal to marginal cost. 121 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In that case, this quantity is one. 122 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now what's the profit for the firm? 123 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, as usual we measure profit as price minus 124 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 average cost times quantity. 125 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But notice that price is below the average cost 126 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 at the profit maximizing quantity of one. 127 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Since price is below average cost, this is a loss. 128 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's a negative quantity. 129 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It is a loss. In fact, notice that the breakeven price is $17, 130 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is the minimum of the average cost curve. 131 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In order to make a profit, the firm at least has to meet 132 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the minimum of its average cost curve. 133 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So at any price below $17, we'll be profit maximizing 134 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 at a point where price is equal to marginal cost, 135 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and notice that all of these prices are below average cost. 136 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So all of this area down here, 137 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 even the profit maximizing quantity, will mean a loss. 138 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 On the other hand, once we get above $17, above the minimum 139 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the average cost curve, then we can price equal to marginal cost. 140 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We can chose the quantities such the price is equal to marginal cost. 141 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That price will be above average cost, so we'll be taking a profit. 142 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Therefore, $17, the minimum of the average cost curve, 143 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is the breakeven point. 144 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If the price is less than the minimum 145 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the average cost curve, we're going to be taking a loss. 146 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If the price is bigger than the minimum 147 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the average cost curve, then we can make a profit. 148 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So when should a firm enter or exit an industry? 149 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In the long run, the firms will enter when price 150 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is above average cost. 151 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If price is somewhere above the average cost curve 152 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 then the firm can make a profit by entering 153 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and that's what firms want to do. 154 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They want to find profit, so they will want to enter 155 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 wherever a profit is possible. 156 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Firms will exit the industry when the price is below 157 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the average cost curve. 158 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Then they're going to be taking a loss, 159 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they're going to want to exit. 160 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Finally, when the price is equal to the minimum 161 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the average cost -- it's just equal to the bottom 162 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the average cost curve, profits are zero, 163 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and there's no incentive 164 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to either exit or enter the industry. 165 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now you might ask, why would firms remain 166 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in an industry if profits are zero? 167 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Zero profits, this is just a matter of terminology, 168 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 means that at the market price the firm is covering all 169 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of its costs, including enough to pay labor and capital, 170 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 their ordinary opportunity cost. 171 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So zero profits means everyone is being paid enough 172 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to make them satisfied. 173 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Zero profits, in other words, is what normal people mean 174 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by normal profits. 175 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So when an economist says zero profits 176 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 just substitute normal profits. 177 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 One more point about entry and exit. 178 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It doesn't always make sense to exit an industry immediately 179 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when price falls below average cost. 180 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Or to enter immediately when price is above average cost. 181 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Why not? Well, there are also entry and exit costs. 182 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For example, suppose that that the price of oil is 183 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 currently above the average cost of pumping oil, 184 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 if you've already got a well. Should you enter the industry? 185 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, maybe not necessarily. 186 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Because entry requires you to drill an oil well, 187 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and drilling an oil well is a sunk cost -- literally in this case. 188 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A sunk cost is a cost that once incurred can never be recovered. 189 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So if you enter the industry and drill the oil well, 190 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you don't get that money back when you later exit the industry. 191 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What this means is you don't want to enter 192 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 unless you expect the price of oil to stay 193 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 above the minimum of the average cost curve 194 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 long enough so that you can also recover your entry costs. 195 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So just because the price goes above the average cost a little bit, 196 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you don't immediately want to jump into that industry. 197 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You have to expect that that price is going to stay 198 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 above average cost long enough for you 199 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to recover your entry costs. 200 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For the same reasons, if there are exit costs, 201 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for example, if you have to shutter up the well 202 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or fill the well with cement when you exit the industry 203 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as you do in the United States, then when price falls 204 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 below average cost, it may be best to weather 205 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the storm at least for sometime before you exit. 206 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Only if you expect the price of oil to stay below your minimum 207 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of average cost for an extended period of time 208 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will you want to exit the industry. 209 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 After all, if the price of oil falls below the average cost 210 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 just for a little bit, and then it goes back up, 211 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the lifetime profits can still be possible. 212 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So, entry and exit could be quite complicated 213 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because you've got to be thinking 214 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about the lifetime profits, not just your immediate profits. 215 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 However, the bottom line is pretty simple. 216 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Firms seek profits and they want to avoid losses. 217 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As a result, firms will enter industries when the price is above 218 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the average cost and they can make a profit, 219 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they will exit when the price is below the average cost. 220 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thanks. 221 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Narrator] If you want to test yourself, click, "Practice Questions." 222 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Or, if you're ready to move on, just click, "Next Video." 223 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 ♪ [music] ♪