1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,000 ♪ [music] ♪ 2 00:00:09,170 --> 00:00:11,010 - [Alex] Now that we know how to find the profit 3 00:00:11,010 --> 00:00:14,010 maximization point, we're going to show 4 00:00:14,010 --> 00:00:18,807 the amount of profit on the diagram using the average cost curve. 5 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:25,590 So as I said in the last lecture, 6 00:00:25,590 --> 00:00:28,090 average cost is the cost per unit of output. 7 00:00:28,090 --> 00:00:32,780 That is, average cost is total cost divided by Q. 8 00:00:32,780 --> 00:00:36,110 Now remember also that total cost can be broken down 9 00:00:36,110 --> 00:00:39,018 into fixed costs plus variable costs. 10 00:00:39,018 --> 00:00:42,546 So we can also write average cost in a slightly longer format. 11 00:00:42,546 --> 00:00:45,770 Average cost is equal to fixed cost divided by Q 12 00:00:45,770 --> 00:00:50,230 plus the variable cost divided by Q, the units of output. 13 00:00:50,230 --> 00:00:53,790 That's a little bit useful because we're able to see, 14 00:00:53,790 --> 00:00:57,660 get some intuition, for the shape of a typical average cost curve. 15 00:00:57,660 --> 00:01:02,459 Notice that the fixed costs don't change with Q. 16 00:01:02,459 --> 00:01:04,079 That's why they're fixed. 17 00:01:04,079 --> 00:01:07,330 So when Q is small -- this number, 18 00:01:07,330 --> 00:01:09,260 suppose fixed cost is 100, 19 00:01:09,260 --> 00:01:11,980 and Q is small -- then this number is going to be big 20 00:01:11,980 --> 00:01:14,700 like 100 divided by 1. 21 00:01:14,700 --> 00:01:18,260 As Q gets larger, however, this number -- 22 00:01:18,260 --> 00:01:20,850 fixed cost divided by Q -- is going to get smaller, 23 00:01:20,850 --> 00:01:25,630 So when Q is 10, this number 100 divided by 10 becomes 10. 24 00:01:25,630 --> 00:01:29,220 So it goes from 100, and it goes down, down, down, down, 25 00:01:29,220 --> 00:01:31,890 get's lower and lower and lower all the time as you divide 26 00:01:31,890 --> 00:01:33,371 by a bigger quantity. 27 00:01:33,371 --> 00:01:38,411 On the other hand, the variable costs increase with quantity. 28 00:01:38,411 --> 00:01:41,761 Moreover, what we saw with the marginal cost curve 29 00:01:41,761 --> 00:01:44,869 is that at some point, your variable costs are going 30 00:01:44,869 --> 00:01:47,322 to increase faster than quantity. 31 00:01:47,322 --> 00:01:50,494 So what's going to happen is that this number at some point -- 32 00:01:50,494 --> 00:01:52,954 variable cost divided by quantity -- is going to get bigger 33 00:01:52,954 --> 00:01:54,341 and bigger and bigger. 34 00:01:54,341 --> 00:01:59,521 So you have two things, one force is driving average cost down. 35 00:01:59,521 --> 00:02:03,140 That's going to be particularly strong at the beginning. 36 00:02:03,140 --> 00:02:06,770 Eventually, however, the second force here is going 37 00:02:06,770 --> 00:02:09,300 to drive average cost up. 38 00:02:09,300 --> 00:02:12,340 So that's going to be our typical shape of an average cost curve -- 39 00:02:12,340 --> 00:02:14,750 falling, reaches a minimum, and then rising. 40 00:02:14,750 --> 00:02:16,560 So let's draw it like that. 41 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:19,030 Okay, here's our typical marginal cost curve, 42 00:02:19,030 --> 00:02:22,770 and here is our marginal revenue curve, equal to price. 43 00:02:22,770 --> 00:02:26,390 We know that the profit maximizing point is where marginal revenue 44 00:02:26,390 --> 00:02:28,190 is equal to marginal cost. 45 00:02:28,190 --> 00:02:31,900 Here is our average cost curve and notice it has the shape 46 00:02:31,900 --> 00:02:35,010 which I described -- it starts off high, it falls, 47 00:02:35,010 --> 00:02:37,890 reaches a minimum, and then goes right back up again. 48 00:02:37,890 --> 00:02:42,770 Couple of other points to notice is that the minimum point, 49 00:02:42,770 --> 00:02:46,340 the marginal cost curve goes through the minimum point 50 00:02:46,340 --> 00:02:48,400 of the average cost curve. 51 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:52,530 Now that's just a mathematical fact, but let me give you some intuition. 52 00:02:52,530 --> 00:02:57,110 Instead of cost I want to talk about average grade 53 00:02:57,110 --> 00:02:58,110 and marginal grade. 54 00:02:58,110 --> 00:03:00,110 So suppose that your average grade is 80%. 55 00:03:00,110 --> 00:03:05,640 You're doing really pretty good, but then on your next test 56 00:03:05,820 --> 00:03:08,602 you only get 60% -- lower. 57 00:03:08,602 --> 00:03:09,602 What is that going to do to your average? 58 00:03:09,602 --> 00:03:11,602 Well, it's going to drive your average down. 59 00:03:11,602 --> 00:03:18,640 Indeed whenever your marginal is below your average, 60 00:03:18,820 --> 00:03:21,910 the average must be falling. 61 00:03:21,910 --> 00:03:24,910 On the other hand, suppose that you're getting 80%, 62 00:03:24,910 --> 00:03:25,910 and on your next test you get 90%. 63 00:03:25,910 --> 00:03:28,780 Great, but what does that do to your average? 64 00:03:28,780 --> 00:03:30,780 It drives your average up. 65 00:03:30,780 --> 00:03:36,710 Indeed whenever your marginal is above the average, 66 00:03:36,890 --> 00:03:39,520 the average must be rising. 67 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:40,520 Now suppose what happens when you're getting let's say 80%, 68 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:42,520 and on your next test, you also get 80%. 69 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:49,630 Well then your marginal is equal to your average grade, 70 00:03:49,810 --> 00:03:55,700 and your average grade is flat -- it doesn't change, it's flat. 71 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,420 But what is true for average and marginal grades is also true 72 00:03:58,420 --> 00:04:01,420 for average cost and marginal cost. 73 00:04:01,420 --> 00:04:06,360 Whenever the marginal cost is below the average, 74 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,360 the average is falling. 75 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:10,360 Whenever the marginal cost is above the average, 76 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:12,270 the average is rising. 77 00:04:12,270 --> 00:04:15,270 And where marginal is just equal to average, 78 00:04:15,270 --> 00:04:18,390 the average is flat. 79 00:04:18,390 --> 00:04:21,390 In other words, we are at the minimum point 80 00:04:21,390 --> 00:04:23,780 of the average cost curve. 81 00:04:23,780 --> 00:04:26,780 Okay, now I said we could use the average cost curve 82 00:04:26,780 --> 00:04:27,980 to figure out profit -- show profit on the diagram. 83 00:04:27,980 --> 00:04:30,980 We can do that with just a little bit of rearranging. 84 00:04:30,980 --> 00:04:36,400 Remember that profit is equal to total revenue minus total cost 85 00:04:36,580 --> 00:04:41,720 and total revenue is price times quantity -- P times Q. 86 00:04:41,900 --> 00:04:44,010 We also know that average cost is equal 87 00:04:44,010 --> 00:04:47,010 to total cost divided by quantity. 88 00:04:47,010 --> 00:04:49,070 Let's just rearrange that to tell us that total cost is equal 89 00:04:49,070 --> 00:04:52,070 to average cost times quantity. 90 00:04:52,070 --> 00:04:55,600 So just take this one and multiply both sides by Q. 91 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,600 Let's now make these substitutions into our profit equation. 92 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:04,280 If we do that, then profit is equal to total revenue -- 93 00:05:04,280 --> 00:05:05,280 price times quantity -- minus total cost -- 94 00:05:05,280 --> 00:05:07,730 average cost times quantity. 95 00:05:07,730 --> 00:05:10,730 Now let's take Q out of both parts of this equation, 96 00:05:10,730 --> 00:05:16,520 and we find that profit can also be written as price 97 00:05:16,700 --> 00:05:19,990 minus average cost, all of that times quantity. 98 00:05:19,990 --> 00:05:22,990 That's nice because we can find 99 00:05:22,990 --> 00:05:27,750 all of these elements on our diagram. 100 00:05:27,750 --> 00:05:30,750 Here's the price. 101 00:05:30,750 --> 00:05:33,600 Here's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 102 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,600 Let's just show that. There's the price. 103 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:42,190 There's the average cost at the profit maximizing quantity. 104 00:05:42,370 --> 00:05:45,290 So profit at the profit maximizing quantity is 105 00:05:45,290 --> 00:05:48,290 this green area right here -- 106 00:05:48,290 --> 00:05:51,290 price minus average cost times quantity. 107 00:05:51,290 --> 00:05:56,260 So now we have a nice way of showing in a diagram 108 00:05:56,440 --> 00:05:59,270 exactly how much profit is. 109 00:05:59,270 --> 00:06:00,270 Let's use this tool some more. 110 00:06:00,270 --> 00:06:02,270 Here's another example of the average cost curve in action. 111 00:06:02,270 --> 00:06:06,710 Remember, I said that profit maximization doesn't necessarily 112 00:06:06,890 --> 00:06:08,630 mean the firm is making a positive profit. 113 00:06:08,630 --> 00:06:11,630 Sometimes the best you can do is to minimize your losses. 114 00:06:11,630 --> 00:06:16,630 You may have to take a loss. 115 00:06:16,810 --> 00:06:19,900 For example, suppose that the price is below $17. 116 00:06:19,900 --> 00:06:22,900 That is, here's the market price, which is equal to the firm's 117 00:06:22,900 --> 00:06:24,930 marginal revenue curve. 118 00:06:24,930 --> 00:06:25,930 How does the firm profit maximize? 119 00:06:25,930 --> 00:06:27,930 It chooses the quantity where marginal revenue is 120 00:06:27,930 --> 00:06:30,570 equal to marginal cost. 121 00:06:30,570 --> 00:06:33,570 In that case, this quantity is one. 122 00:06:33,570 --> 00:06:37,180 Now what's the profit for the firm? 123 00:06:37,180 --> 00:06:40,180 Well, as usual we measure profit as price minus 124 00:06:40,180 --> 00:06:45,090 average cost times quantity. 125 00:06:45,090 --> 00:06:48,090 But notice that price is below the average cost 126 00:06:48,090 --> 00:06:54,980 at the profit maximizing quantity of one. 127 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:58,100 Since price is below average cost, this is a loss. 128 00:06:58,100 --> 00:07:01,100 It's a negative quantity. 129 00:07:01,100 --> 00:07:04,100 It is a loss. In fact, notice that the breakeven price is $17, 130 00:07:04,100 --> 00:07:10,680 which is the minimum of the average cost curve. 131 00:07:10,860 --> 00:07:15,100 In order to make a profit, the firm at least has to meet 132 00:07:15,100 --> 00:07:18,100 the minimum of its average cost curve. 133 00:07:18,100 --> 00:07:20,440 So at any price below $17, we'll be profit maximizing 134 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:23,440 at a point where price is equal to marginal cost, 135 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:29,050 and notice that all of these prices are below average cost. 136 00:07:29,230 --> 00:07:32,550 So all of this area down here, 137 00:07:32,550 --> 00:07:35,550 even the profit maximizing quantity, will mean a loss. 138 00:07:35,550 --> 00:07:39,120 On the other hand, once we get above $17, above the minimum 139 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:42,120 of the average cost curve, then we can price equal to marginal cost. 140 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:47,600 We can chose the quantities such the price is equal to marginal cost. 141 00:07:47,780 --> 00:07:52,640 That price will be above average cost, so we'll be taking a profit. 142 00:07:52,820 --> 00:08:00,360 Therefore, $17, the minimum of the average cost curve, 143 00:08:00,540 --> 00:08:01,540 is the breakeven point. 144 00:08:01,540 --> 00:08:02,540 If the price is less than the minimum 145 00:08:02,540 --> 00:08:04,370 of the average cost curve, we're going to be taking a loss. 146 00:08:04,370 --> 00:08:08,970 If the price is bigger than the minimum 147 00:08:09,150 --> 00:08:13,490 of the average cost curve, then we can make a profit. 148 00:08:13,670 --> 00:08:16,550 So when should a firm enter or exit an industry? 149 00:08:16,550 --> 00:08:19,550 In the long run, the firms will enter when price 150 00:08:19,550 --> 00:08:21,040 is above average cost. 151 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:24,040 If price is somewhere above the average cost curve 152 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:25,040 then the firm can make a profit by entering 153 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:28,030 and that's what firms want to do. 154 00:08:28,030 --> 00:08:29,030 They want to find profit, so they will want to enter 155 00:08:29,030 --> 00:08:31,520 wherever a profit is possible. 156 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:33,770 Firms will exit the industry when the price is below 157 00:08:33,770 --> 00:08:36,770 the average cost curve. 158 00:08:36,770 --> 00:08:38,640 Then they're going to be taking a loss, 159 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:41,640 and they're going to want to exit. 160 00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:43,620 Finally, when the price is equal to the minimum 161 00:08:43,620 --> 00:08:46,600 of the average cost -- it's just equal to the bottom 162 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,960 of the average cost curve, profits are zero, 163 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:50,960 and there's no incentive 164 00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:52,870 to either exit or enter the industry. 165 00:08:52,870 --> 00:08:55,870 Now you might ask, why would firms remain 166 00:08:55,870 --> 00:08:59,560 in an industry if profits are zero? 167 00:08:59,560 --> 00:09:02,560 Zero profits, this is just a matter of terminology, 168 00:09:02,560 --> 00:09:07,370 means that at the market price the firm is covering all 169 00:09:07,550 --> 00:09:10,590 of its costs, including enough to pay labor and capital, 170 00:09:10,590 --> 00:09:13,590 their ordinary opportunity cost. 171 00:09:13,590 --> 00:09:18,220 So zero profits means everyone is being paid enough 172 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:21,690 to make them satisfied. 173 00:09:21,690 --> 00:09:24,690 Zero profits, in other words, is what normal people mean 174 00:09:24,690 --> 00:09:27,560 by normal profits. 175 00:09:27,560 --> 00:09:28,560 So when an economist says zero profits 176 00:09:28,560 --> 00:09:30,560 just substitute normal profits. 177 00:09:30,560 --> 00:09:32,220 One more point about entry and exit. 178 00:09:32,220 --> 00:09:35,220 It doesn't always make sense to exit an industry immediately 179 00:09:35,220 --> 00:09:40,890 when price falls below average cost. 180 00:09:41,070 --> 00:09:45,500 Or to enter immediately when price is above average cost. 181 00:09:45,500 --> 00:09:48,500 Why not? Well, there are also entry and exit costs. 182 00:09:48,500 --> 00:09:50,580 For example, suppose that that the price of oil is 183 00:09:50,580 --> 00:09:53,580 currently above the average cost of pumping oil, 184 00:09:53,580 --> 00:09:59,260 if you've already got a well. Should you enter the industry? 185 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:05,250 Well, maybe not necessarily. 186 00:10:05,430 --> 00:10:06,430 Because entry requires you to drill an oil well, 187 00:10:06,430 --> 00:10:09,160 and drilling an oil well is a sunk cost -- literally in this case. 188 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:12,960 A sunk cost is a cost that once incurred can never be recovered. 189 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:15,960 So if you enter the industry and drill the oil well, 190 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:20,690 you don't get that money back when you later exit the industry. 191 00:10:20,870 --> 00:10:25,340 What this means is you don't want to enter 192 00:10:25,340 --> 00:10:28,340 unless you expect the price of oil to stay 193 00:10:28,340 --> 00:10:33,040 above the minimum of the average cost curve 194 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:36,040 long enough so that you can also recover your entry costs. 195 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:41,680 So just because the price goes above the average cost a little bit, 196 00:10:41,860 --> 00:10:45,770 you don't immediately want to jump into that industry. 197 00:10:45,950 --> 00:10:49,300 You have to expect that that price is going to stay 198 00:10:49,300 --> 00:10:50,300 above average cost long enough for you 199 00:10:50,300 --> 00:10:52,300 to recover your entry costs. 200 00:10:52,300 --> 00:10:58,900 For the same reasons, if there are exit costs, 201 00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:00,660 for example, if you have to shutter up the well 202 00:11:00,660 --> 00:11:03,660 or fill the well with cement when you exit the industry 203 00:11:03,660 --> 00:11:07,850 as you do in the United States, then when price falls 204 00:11:08,030 --> 00:11:10,640 below average cost, it may be best to weather 205 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:13,640 the storm at least for sometime before you exit. 206 00:11:13,640 --> 00:11:21,060 Only if you expect the price of oil to stay below your minimum 207 00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:23,730 of average cost for an extended period of time 208 00:11:23,730 --> 00:11:26,730 will you want to exit the industry. 209 00:11:26,730 --> 00:11:28,850 After all, if the price of oil falls below the average cost 210 00:11:28,850 --> 00:11:31,850 just for a little bit, and then it goes back up, 211 00:11:31,850 --> 00:11:37,320 the lifetime profits can still be possible. 212 00:11:37,500 --> 00:11:38,500 So, entry and exit could be quite complicated 213 00:11:38,500 --> 00:11:40,990 because you've got to be thinking 214 00:11:40,990 --> 00:11:43,943 about the lifetime profits, not just your immediate profits. 215 00:11:43,943 --> 00:11:46,943 However, the bottom line is pretty simple. 216 00:11:46,943 --> 00:11:53,113 Firms seek profits and they want to avoid losses. 217 00:11:53,113 --> 00:11:54,637 As a result, firms will enter industries when the price is above 218 00:11:54,637 --> 00:11:57,637 the average cost and they can make a profit, 219 00:11:57,637 --> 00:12:02,126 and they will exit when the price is below the average cost. 220 00:12:02,126 --> 00:12:03,891 Thanks. 221 00:12:04,420 --> 00:12:09,410 - [Announcer] If you want to test yourself, click, "Practice Questions," or if you're 222 00:12:09,590 --> 00:12:12,177 ready to move on, just click, "Next Video." 223 00:12:12,177 --> 00:12:15,170 ♪ [music] ♪