0:00:00.299,0:00:04.644 [Instructor] El camino de causa[br]a efecto es oscuro y peligroso, 0:00:05.139,0:00:08.015 pero las armas[br]de la econometría son robustas. 0:00:08.480,0:00:11.734 Atacan con variables instrumentales[br]feroces y flexibles 0:00:11.734,0:00:15.803 caundo la naturaleza te bendice[br]con deberes fortuitos y casuales 0:00:19.393,0:00:21.094 (gong sonando) 0:00:23.653,0:00:26.362 Los ensayos aleatorizados[br]son la vía más segura 0:00:26.362,0:00:28.704 para hacer[br]comparaciones ceteris paribus. 0:00:28.704,0:00:32.640 Pero ¡qué pena!, esta poderosa herramienta[br]no siempre está disponible. 0:00:33.224,0:00:36.940 Sin embargo, la aleatorización[br]a veces pasa por casualidad 0:00:36.940,0:00:40.592 y es cuando utilizamos[br]las variables instrumentales, 0:00:40.592,0:00:41.938 las cuales se abrevian VI. 0:00:41.938,0:00:44.508 (susurros)[br]Variables instrumentales. 0:00:44.508,0:00:48.186 [Instructor] La lección de hoy[br]es la primera de dos lecciones sobre VI. 0:00:48.958,0:00:52.801 La primera lección de VI comienza[br]con una historia sobre las escuelas. 0:00:52.801,0:00:54.348 (timbre de escuela sonando) 0:00:54.348,0:00:56.138 [Josh] Las escuelas chárter[br]son escuelas públicas libres 0:00:56.138,0:01:00.112 de la supervisión diaria[br]del distrito y de los contratos 0:01:00.895,0:01:03.511 de la unión de maestros.[br]La pregunta es si las escuelas chárter 0:01:03.511,0:01:05.161 fomentan el logro es[br]una de las más importantes 0:01:05.161,0:01:07.761 en la historia de la reforma[br]de la educación estadounidense. 0:01:08.145,0:01:12.562 Las escuelas chárter más populares[br]tienen más aspirantes que cupos; 0:01:12.562,0:01:16.462 por lo tanto, el azar en un sorteo decide[br]a quién se le ofrece un cupo. 0:01:16.870,0:01:20.695 Es mucho lo que está en juego[br]para los estudiantes disputandose 0:01:20.695,0:01:25.003 esa opción y esperando[br]que los resultados de la lotería 0:01:25.003,0:01:27.832 les devuelva muchas emociones,[br]que fue lo que se plasmó 0:01:27.832,0:01:29.699 0:01:30.258,0:01:32.916 0:01:37.498,0:01:40.618 0:01:40.948,0:01:43.183 0:01:43.413,0:01:46.586 0:01:46.586,0:01:50.164 0:01:50.164,0:01:52.061 0:01:52.595,0:01:54.729 0:01:55.139,0:01:57.639 0:01:57.639,0:02:00.083 0:02:00.083,0:02:01.784 0:02:01.784,0:02:04.375 0:02:04.375,0:02:07.560 0:02:07.749,0:02:10.667 0:02:11.650,0:02:13.449 0:02:13.449,0:02:14.966 0:02:14.966,0:02:17.235 0:02:17.235,0:02:19.202 0:02:19.202,0:02:22.417 0:02:22.717,0:02:24.684 0:02:24.684,0:02:27.042 0:02:27.042,0:02:28.283 0:02:28.568,0:02:32.039 0:02:32.039,0:02:37.234 0:02:37.234,0:02:40.367 0:02:40.367,0:02:42.344 0:02:45.925,0:02:48.871 0:02:48.871,0:02:52.353 0:02:52.736,0:02:54.937 0:02:54.937,0:02:58.837 0:02:59.104,0:03:01.886 0:03:01.886,0:03:05.620 0:03:05.834,0:03:11.854 0:03:11.854,0:03:15.350 0:03:15.350,0:03:18.805 0:03:18.805,0:03:21.651 0:03:21.967,0:03:26.001 0:03:26.001,0:03:27.852 0:03:27.852,0:03:30.466 0:03:30.466,0:03:33.803 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