WEBVTT 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 - [Narrator] The path from cause to effect is dark and dangerous. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 But the weapons of Econometrics are strong. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 [Attack] with fierce and flexible instrumental variables 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 when nature blesses you with fortuitous random assignment. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 [gong rings] 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Randomized trials are the surest path to ceteris parabus comparisons. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Alas, this powerful tool is often unavailable. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 But sometimes, randomization happens by accident. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 That's when we turn to instrumental variables, 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 IV for short. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 - [Voice whispers] Instrumental variables. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 - [Narrator] Today's lesson is the first of two on IV. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 Our first IV lesson begins with a story of schools. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 - [Josh] Charter schools are public schools 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 freed from daily district oversight and teacher union contracts. 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 The question of whether charters boost achievement 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 is one of the most important 99:59:59.999 --> 99:59:59.999 in the history of American education reform.