1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I believe that the secret to producing extremely drought tolerant crops, 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which should go some way to providing food security in the world, 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 lies in Resurrection plants, 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 pictured here, in an extremely droughted state. 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now you might think that these plants look dead, 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but they're not. 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Give them water, 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they will resurrect, green up, start growing, 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in 12 to 48 hours. 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 No why would I suggest 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that producing drought tolerant crops will go towards providing food security? 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well the current world population is around 7 billion. 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it's estimated that by 2050, 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we'll be between 9 and 10 billion people, 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 with the bulk of this growth happening in Africa. 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The food and agricultural organizations of the world 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 have suggested that we need a 70 percent increase in current agricultural practice 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to meet that demand. 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now given that plants are at the base of the food chain, 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 most of that's going to have to come from plants. 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now that percentage of 70 percent 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 does not take into consideration the potential effects of climate change. 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This is taken from a study by Dye published in 2011, 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 where he took into consideration 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 all the potential effects of climate change 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and expressed them amongst other things, 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 increased aridity due to lack or rain or infrequent rain. 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now the areas in red shown here, 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are areas that until recently, have been very successfully used for agriculture, 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but cannot anymore because of lack of rain fall. 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This is the situation that's predicted to happen in 2050. 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Much of Africa, 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in fact much of the world, 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is going to be in trouble. 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We're going to have to think of some very smart ways of producing food. 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And preferably among them, some drought-tolerant crops. 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The other thing to remember about Africa 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is that most of the agriculture is rain fed. 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now making drought-tolerant crops is not the easiest thing in the world. 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And the reason for this is water. 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Water is essential to life on this planet. 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 All living, actively metabolizing organisms, 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from microbes to you and I, 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are comprised predominately of water, 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 all life reactions happen in water, 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and loss of a small amount of water results in death. 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You and I are 65 percent water, 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we lose one percent of that, we die. 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But we can make behavioral changes to avoid that. 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Plants can't. 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They're stuck in the ground. 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So in the first instance, they have a little bit more water than us, 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about 95 percent water, 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they can lose a little bit more than us, 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 like 10 to about 70 percent, depending on the species, 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but for short periods only. 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Most of them will either try to resist or avoid water loss. 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So extreme examples of resistors can be found in succulents, 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they tend to be small, ver attractive, 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but they hold onto their water at such great cost 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that they grow extremely slowly. 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Examples of avoidance of water loss are found in trees and shrubs. 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They send down very deep roots, 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 mine subterranean water supplies, 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and just keep flushing it through them at all times, 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 keeping themselves hydrated. 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The one on the right is called a Baobab, 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's also called the upside-down tree, 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 simply because the proportion of roots to chutes is so great 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that it looks like the tree is being planted upside down. 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And of course the roots are required for hydration of that plant. 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And probably the most common strategy of avoidance is found in annuals. 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Annuals make up the bulk of our plant food supplies. 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Up the west coast of my country, 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for much the year you don't see much vegetation growth. 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But come the spring rains, 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you get this. 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Flowering of the desert. 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now the strategy in annuals, 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is to grow only in the rainy season. 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 At the end of that season they produce a seed, 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is dry, eight to 10 percent water, 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but very much alive. 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And anything that is that dry and still alive, 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we call desiccation-tolerant. 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The next time the rainy season comes, 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they germinate and grow, 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the whole cycle just starts again. 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's widely believed that the evolution of desiccation-tolerant seeds 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 allowed the colonization and the radiation of flowering plants, or angiosperms, 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 onto land. 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But back to annuals as our major form of food supplies. 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Wheat, rice and maze form 95 percent of our plant food supplies. 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it's been a great strategy, 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because in a short space of time you can produce a lot of seed, 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 seeds are energy-rich so you can store a lot of food calories, 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you can store it in times of plenty for times of famine, 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but there's a down side. 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The vegetative tissues, 100 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the roots and leaves of annuals, 101 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 do not have much by way 102 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of inherent resistance, avoidance or tolerance characteristics. 103 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They just don't need them. 104 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They grow in the rainy season 105 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and they've got a seed to help them survive the rest of the year. 106 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And so despite concerted efforts in agriculture 107 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to make crops with improved properties 108 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of resistance, avoidance and tolerance -- 109 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 particularly resistance and avoidance 110 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because we've had good models to understand how those work -- 111 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we still get images like this. 112 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Maze crop in Africa, 113 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 two weeks without rain, 114 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it's dead. 115 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now there is a solution. 116 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Resurrection plants. 117 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 These plants can lose 95 percent of their cellular water, 118 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 remain in a dry, dead-like state for months to years, 119 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and give them water, 120 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they green up and start growing again. 121 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Like seeds, they are desiccation-tolerant. 122 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Like seeds, these can withstand extremes of environmental conditions. 123 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And this is a really rare phenomenon. 124 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There are only 135 flowering plant species that can do this. 125 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm going to show you a video 126 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the resurrection process of these three species 127 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in that order. 128 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And at the bottom, 129 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there's a time axis so you can see how quickly it happens. 130 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [Video] 131 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (Applause) 132 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Pretty amazing, huh? 133 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So I've spent the last 21 years trying to understand how they do this. 134 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How do these plants dry without dying? 135 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And I work on a variety of different Resurrection plants, 136 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 shown here in the hydrated and dry states, 137 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for a number of reasons. 138 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 One of them being is that each of these plants serve as a model 139 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for a crop that I'd like to make drought-tolerant. 140 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So on the extreme top left for example, 141 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is a grass, it's called Eragrostis Nindensis, 142 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's called a close relative called Eragrostis Tef, 143 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a lot of you might know it as "Tef," 144 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's a staple food in Ethiopia, 145 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's gluten-free, 146 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it's something we would like to make drought-tolerant. 147 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The other reason for looking at a number of plants, 148 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is that, as least initially, 149 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I wanted to find out: do they do the same thing? 150 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Do they all use the same mechanisms 151 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to be able to lose all that water and not die? 152 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So I undertook what we call a Systems Biology approach.