0:00:00.322,0:00:02.130 ♪ [music] ♪ 0:00:11.228,0:00:14.932 - [Narrator] "Infinity War" is known [br]for its spectacular special effects. 0:00:14.977,0:00:17.457 But we can pretty certain[br]that in a couple of decades. 0:00:17.457,0:00:18.939 they'll look old and outdated. 0:00:18.964,0:00:20.813 That's just the way it goes with movies. 0:00:20.813,0:00:24.626 - [Ian] The first adult movie 0:00:24.626,0:00:30.259 that I ever saw was [br]the original "Jaws" in summer camp. 0:00:30.259,0:00:32.991 It was terrifying, 0:00:33.588,0:00:36.710 and now you go back 0:00:36.710,0:00:41.333 and look at the mechanical shark 0:00:41.333,0:00:43.688 that jumped onto the boat, 0:00:43.688,0:00:48.281 the great white, [br]over 20 feet long, thrashing about, 0:00:48.281,0:00:53.900 and you go, "That is a ridiculous, [br]stupid-looking thing." 0:00:55.146,0:01:00.444 So, I feel pretty clear [br]that we have come a long way 0:01:00.464,0:01:05.569 since the '70s in terms [br]of graphics. 0:01:05.569,0:01:07.998 - [Narrator] This constant [br]improvement is not limited 0:01:07.998,0:01:09.291 to special effects -- 0:01:09.291,0:01:11.902 sound quality, picture quality, [br]theater seats. 0:01:11.902,0:01:14.594 You name it, [br]it seems to have improved. 0:01:14.594,0:01:16.657 Well, maybe not the acting. 0:01:16.657,0:01:21.104 - [Edward] Oh no, not the bees![br]Not the bees! Ahh! 0:01:21.104,0:01:23.414 - [Narrator] Economists have a term[br]for this type of improvement -- 0:01:23.475,0:01:25.191 "creative destruction." 0:01:25.608,0:01:28.171 - [Tyler] Creative destruction was [br]a term in Economics 0:01:28.171,0:01:31.429 coined by an Austrian economist,[br]Joseph Schumpeter, 0:01:31.429,0:01:33.460 early in the 20th century. 0:01:33.460,0:01:37.338 It's really become [br]a central driving idea in Economics. 0:01:37.338,0:01:40.835 - [Narrator] Creative destruction[br]describes the continual process 0:01:40.835,0:01:44.926 of innovation in which new products[br]and services replace outdated ones. 0:01:47.054,0:01:49.364 Take photos -- we live in a world 0:01:49.382,0:01:52.107 of smartphones, Instagram,[br]and augmented reality. 0:01:52.379,0:01:55.349 How we got here reveals[br]a long and winding path 0:01:55.349,0:01:57.015 of creative destruction. 0:01:57.015,0:01:59.533 - When I was a kid, [br]you take a photo, 0:01:59.533,0:02:01.913 and the Polaroid comes out, 0:02:01.913,0:02:05.959 you wave it around because you think[br]it's going to make it dry faster. 0:02:05.968,0:02:07.564 I don't know [br]if that actually worked. 0:02:07.564,0:02:09.443 And it's several minutes later, 0:02:09.443,0:02:10.928 and it probably doesn't [br]look very good, 0:02:10.928,0:02:11.944 but you have it! 0:02:11.944,0:02:16.153 And 10 years later, it's all faded, [br]and it probably doesn't keep. 0:02:16.153,0:02:18.638 - [Narrator] Before the digital era,[br]you might have a Polaroid 0:02:18.638,0:02:21.148 or you might buy film,[br]typically from Kodak. 0:02:21.148,0:02:23.144 You had to pay [br]a few dollars for film, 0:02:23.144,0:02:24.866 which got you about 20 pictures, 0:02:24.866,0:02:26.574 and then pay more[br]to get them developed. 0:02:26.574,0:02:27.835 - [man] Got double prints with mine! 0:02:27.835,0:02:30.178 - [Narrator] If, whoops, [br]your eyes were shut -- too bad! 0:02:30.178,0:02:32.153 You didn't know until days later. 0:02:32.153,0:02:34.322 And if you accidentally [br]opened your camera, 0:02:34.322,0:02:37.508 poof, your pictures are gone! 0:02:37.508,0:02:40.723 Digital cameras came on the scene[br]at the end of the 20th century. 0:02:40.723,0:02:43.404 Entrepreneurs quickly improved[br]the cameras, the software, 0:02:43.404,0:02:44.714 and the accessories. 0:02:44.714,0:02:47.256 People increasingly switched [br]away from film. 0:02:47.256,0:02:50.032 It was cheaper, easier [br]and more enjoyable. 0:02:50.032,0:02:52.654 These entrepreneurs represent [br]the creative side 0:02:52.654,0:02:54.332 of creative destruction. 0:02:54.332,0:02:56.939 But what about the flip side,[br]the destruction? 0:02:56.939,0:03:00.255 Polaroid employed [br]over 20,000 people in their heyday. 0:03:00.255,0:03:04.881 Kodak dwarfed Polaroid,[br]employing over 120,000 employees 0:03:04.881,0:03:07.881 and being one of the most [br]well-known companies in the world. 0:03:07.881,0:03:10.380 The digital age,[br]while rejoiced by consumers, 0:03:10.380,0:03:12.805 ushered them both[br]into bankruptcy. 0:03:12.805,0:03:16.506 - But let's be clear, the people[br]that used to make the Polaroids 0:03:16.506,0:03:20.534 and the Kodaks[br]don't like that development 0:03:20.534,0:03:22.425 because they just lost jobs. 0:03:22.765,0:03:25.059 - [Narrator] Polaroids have had [br]a bit of a resurgence lately 0:03:25.059,0:03:26.395 as a retro product, 0:03:26.395,0:03:27.990 but that's actually [br]not the same company 0:03:27.990,0:03:29.471 that made the originals. 0:03:29.471,0:03:32.076 That Polaroid is long gone. 0:03:32.285,0:03:35.525 See, there are two sides [br]of creative destruction. 0:03:35.525,0:03:38.952 Entrepreneurs inventing new products[br]or ways to save money 0:03:38.952,0:03:41.099 are how we improve [br]our standard of living. 0:03:41.099,0:03:43.891 These improvements are [br]the foundation of prosperity, 0:03:43.891,0:03:47.392 and positively impact [br]generation after generation. 0:03:47.392,0:03:52.212 But the flip side can make jobs[br]or even whole industries go extinct. 0:03:52.212,0:03:55.427 Unlike the games, [br]that pain typically subsides. 0:03:55.427,0:03:57.402 People usually find new jobs. 0:03:57.402,0:04:00.678 Most of those thousands[br]of employees at Polaroid and Kodak 0:04:00.678,0:04:02.508 went on to other types of work. 0:04:02.888,0:04:04.638 When you take the long view, 0:04:04.638,0:04:07.928 these job changes[br]have historically been beneficial. 0:04:08.478,0:04:12.215 In the 1800s, more than half [br]of the United States 0:04:12.215,0:04:14.190 was employed in farming. 0:04:14.820,0:04:17.185 Because of time-saving inventions[br]like the tractor, 0:04:17.185,0:04:20.784 farmers now make up[br]less than 2% of the workforce. 0:04:20.784,0:04:23.323 - Now you might think,[br]"My goodness! Those poor farmers! 0:04:23.323,0:04:27.165 Where did they go? What kind of jobs[br]could they possibly have had?" 0:04:27.165,0:04:31.262 But by liberating that labor,[br]we made it possible for people 0:04:31.262,0:04:34.034 to do things, [br]like produce automobiles, 0:04:34.034,0:04:36.053 produce airplanes, 0:04:36.053,0:04:38.252 for more people [br]to become entertainers 0:04:38.252,0:04:41.714 or movie stars, [br]more people to become doctors. 0:04:42.009,0:04:43.537 - [Narrator] So in the long run, 0:04:43.537,0:04:45.475 we have fewer people[br]working with film 0:04:45.475,0:04:48.167 and more building [br]photo apps and the like. 0:04:48.351,0:04:50.254 However, in the short run, 0:04:50.254,0:04:52.608 the transition can [br]be extremely painful. 0:04:52.608,0:04:56.066 If you've spent your life perfecting [br]the craft of developing film, 0:04:56.066,0:04:59.815 you're not walking out of Kodak[br]and into a sweet gig at Instagram. 0:04:59.815,0:05:02.237 You might just be out of a job[br]and out of luck. 0:05:02.237,0:05:04.736 Creative destruction comes [br]in many forms. 0:05:04.736,0:05:07.100 We often think [br]of the transformative technology, 0:05:07.100,0:05:09.324 like the tractor,[br]or the digital camera, 0:05:09.324,0:05:12.103 or the smartphone,[br]which fundamentally changes 0:05:12.103,0:05:13.537 how we do things. 0:05:13.537,0:05:17.492 Here's a not so obvious source[br]of creative destruction -- trade. 0:05:18.522,0:05:21.760 - Trading with another nation,[br]it is a kind of technology. 0:05:21.836,0:05:24.488 It's a way of getting [br]something else more cheaply. 0:05:24.488,0:05:26.738 You're taking things [br]you used to produce, 0:05:26.738,0:05:29.004 finding a newer, cheaper way [br]of doing it -- 0:05:29.004,0:05:31.195 be it with tractors, with robots, 0:05:31.195,0:05:33.056 or with foreign trade. 0:05:33.056,0:05:36.195 And they're all technologies[br]enabling us to produce 0:05:36.195,0:05:38.371 new and better things more cheaply. 0:05:38.371,0:05:41.270 - [Narrator] For example,[br]roses used to be grown in the U.S. 0:05:41.270,0:05:43.613 raised in heated greenhouses. 0:05:43.613,0:05:46.477 Now, instead of burning fuel[br]to keep the roses warm, 0:05:46.477,0:05:49.177 most of our roses come [br]from warm weather climates. 0:05:49.807,0:05:52.979 This creative destruction[br]has produced a plentiful supply 0:05:52.979,0:05:54.476 of affordable roses. 0:05:54.587,0:05:57.874 But just like with Kodak,[br]not everyone benefits. 0:05:57.874,0:06:00.437 That rose farmer [br]in Pennsylvania isn't thrilled 0:06:00.437,0:06:02.575 by the introduction of foreign roses. 0:06:02.575,0:06:04.277 She might be out of a job. 0:06:04.277,0:06:07.443 More than ever, better education[br]and training programs are needed 0:06:07.443,0:06:10.535 so that people can transition[br]to new types of work. 0:06:10.855,0:06:13.161 - Why is this so important now? 0:06:13.161,0:06:15.962 I do think there's [br]a very specific reason, 0:06:15.962,0:06:20.092 and that is the nature of jobs[br]and the workplace is changing 0:06:20.092,0:06:21.743 at an accelerating rate. 0:06:21.819,0:06:24.940 So the importance of being able [br]to retrain yourself, 0:06:24.940,0:06:28.667 the importance of being able [br]to learn how to learn 0:06:28.667,0:06:31.636 has never been more important[br]than it is today. 0:06:31.636,0:06:33.713 - [Narrator] Why did Tyler say [br]the workplace is changing 0:06:33.713,0:06:35.355 at an accelerating rate? 0:06:35.355,0:06:37.112 Remember how [br]the information revolution 0:06:37.112,0:06:39.441 allowed companies to slice [br]and dice their factories 0:06:39.441,0:06:41.117 into a global supply chain? 0:06:41.117,0:06:43.810 That has increased competition[br]in the workplace. 0:06:44.400,0:06:48.237 Take Apple -- they're evaluating[br]every link of their supply chain. 0:06:48.665,0:06:50.837 Can they make this step cheaper? 0:06:50.837,0:06:53.001 Can they make this component better? 0:06:53.001,0:06:55.446 Back in the old days, [br]employees just had to worry 0:06:55.446,0:06:58.307 about losing their job[br]to someone nearby. 0:06:58.307,0:07:01.645 Now they might lose it[br]to a person or robot or software 0:07:01.645,0:07:04.383 that could come [br]from anywhere on the planet. 0:07:04.383,0:07:07.685 This means that jobs appear,[br]disappear, and evolve 0:07:07.685,0:07:09.572 more quickly than ever. 0:07:09.572,0:07:11.883 That sounds intimidating,[br]but remember, 0:07:11.883,0:07:14.514 this competition drives[br]the frequent explosions 0:07:14.514,0:07:16.542 of creative destruction[br]that are the signs 0:07:16.542,0:07:18.934 of a healthy, vibrant economy. 0:07:18.934,0:07:21.193 But we can't forget [br]the flip side of the coin. 0:07:21.193,0:07:23.905 There are those that are hurt[br]by these explosions. 0:07:24.335,0:07:27.813 - So there's no question[br]that creative destruction 0:07:27.882,0:07:30.294 has been a great thing [br]for human beings. 0:07:30.294,0:07:34.745 We just need to remember that [br]the people that are displaced -- 0:07:34.745,0:07:37.533 we have to make sure [br]that we don't forget those people. 0:07:37.533,0:07:40.497 We have to make sure [br]that they have opportunities too. 0:07:40.877,0:07:42.212 - [Narrator] Next up, we'll ask 0:07:42.212,0:07:44.877 are there winners and losers[br]of globalization? 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