1 00:00:00,882 --> 00:00:03,482 Just after Christmas last year, 2 00:00:03,482 --> 00:00:07,320 132 kids in California got the measles 3 00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:09,333 by either visiting Disneyland 4 00:00:09,333 --> 00:00:12,282 or being exposed to someone who'd been there. 5 00:00:12,282 --> 00:00:15,486 The virus then hopped the Canadian border, 6 00:00:15,486 --> 00:00:18,922 infecting more than 100 children in Quebec. 7 00:00:18,922 --> 00:00:21,871 One of the tragic things about this outbreak 8 00:00:21,871 --> 00:00:27,490 is that measles, which can be fatal to a child with a weakened immune system, 9 00:00:27,490 --> 00:00:31,275 is one of the most easily preventable diseases in the world. 10 00:00:31,275 --> 00:00:33,272 An effective vaccine against it 11 00:00:33,272 --> 00:00:36,638 has been available for more than half a century, 12 00:00:36,638 --> 00:00:39,912 but many of the kids involved in the Disneyland outbreak 13 00:00:39,912 --> 00:00:41,886 had not been vaccinated 14 00:00:41,886 --> 00:00:44,138 because their parents were afraid 15 00:00:44,138 --> 00:00:47,157 of something allegedly even worse: 16 00:00:47,157 --> 00:00:48,875 autism. 17 00:00:48,875 --> 00:00:52,658 But wait -- wasn't the paper that sparked the controversy 18 00:00:52,658 --> 00:00:54,981 about autism and vaccines 19 00:00:54,981 --> 00:00:56,978 debunked, retracted, 20 00:00:56,978 --> 00:00:59,450 and branded a deliberate fraud 21 00:00:59,450 --> 00:01:01,158 by the British Medical Journal? 22 00:01:01,158 --> 00:01:03,201 Don't most science-savvy people 23 00:01:03,201 --> 00:01:07,520 know that the theory that vaccines cause autism is B.S.? 24 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:09,377 I think most of you do, 25 00:01:09,377 --> 00:01:11,955 but millions of parents worldwide 26 00:01:11,955 --> 00:01:16,573 continue to fear that vaccines put their kids at risk for autism. 27 00:01:16,923 --> 00:01:18,047 Why? 28 00:01:18,827 --> 00:01:20,290 Here's why. 29 00:01:20,290 --> 00:01:25,375 This is a graph of autism prevalence estimates rising over time. 30 00:01:25,375 --> 00:01:27,488 For most of the 20th century, 31 00:01:27,488 --> 00:01:31,180 autism was considered an incredibly rare condition. 32 00:01:31,180 --> 00:01:34,500 The few psychologists and pediatricians who'd even heard of it 33 00:01:34,500 --> 00:01:37,217 figured they would get through their entire careers 34 00:01:37,217 --> 00:01:39,724 without seeing a single case. 35 00:01:40,364 --> 00:01:43,602 For decades, the prevalence estimates remained stable 36 00:01:43,602 --> 00:01:46,853 at just three or four children in 10,000. 37 00:01:46,853 --> 00:01:48,919 But then, in the 1990s, 38 00:01:48,919 --> 00:01:51,380 the numbers started to skyrocket. 39 00:01:51,380 --> 00:01:54,608 Fundraising organizations like Autism Speaks 40 00:01:54,608 --> 00:01:57,696 routinely refer to autism as an epidemic, 41 00:01:57,696 --> 00:02:01,365 as if you could catch it from another kid at Disneyland. 42 00:02:01,365 --> 00:02:02,967 So what's going on? 43 00:02:02,967 --> 00:02:06,194 If it isn't vaccines, what is it? 44 00:02:06,194 --> 00:02:10,165 If you ask the folks down at the Centers for Disease Control in Atlanta 45 00:02:10,165 --> 00:02:11,860 what's going on, 46 00:02:11,860 --> 00:02:16,370 they tend to rely on phrases like "broadened diagnostic criteria" 47 00:02:16,370 --> 00:02:18,134 and "better case finding" 48 00:02:18,134 --> 00:02:20,711 to explain these rising numbers. 49 00:02:20,711 --> 00:02:22,731 But that kind of language 50 00:02:22,731 --> 00:02:25,680 doesn't do much to allay the fears of a young mother 51 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:30,324 who is searching her two-year-old's face for eye contact. 52 00:02:30,324 --> 00:02:33,319 If the diagnostic criteria had to be broadened, 53 00:02:33,319 --> 00:02:36,152 why were they so narrow in the first place? 54 00:02:36,152 --> 00:02:39,147 Why were cases of autism so hard to find 55 00:02:39,147 --> 00:02:41,437 before the 1990s? 56 00:02:41,437 --> 00:02:47,172 Five years ago, I decided to try to uncover the answers to these questions. 57 00:02:47,172 --> 00:02:49,216 I learned that what happened 58 00:02:49,216 --> 00:02:53,116 has less to do with the slow and cautious progress of science 59 00:02:53,116 --> 00:02:56,354 than it does with the seductive power of storytelling. 60 00:02:56,544 --> 00:02:58,750 For most of the 20th century, 61 00:02:58,750 --> 00:03:01,211 clinicians told one story 62 00:03:01,211 --> 00:03:04,763 about what autism is and how it was discovered, 63 00:03:04,763 --> 00:03:07,573 but that story turned out to be wrong, 64 00:03:07,573 --> 00:03:09,384 and the consequences of it 65 00:03:09,384 --> 00:03:13,285 are having a devastating impact on global public health. 66 00:03:13,285 --> 00:03:16,814 There was a second, more accurate story of autism 67 00:03:16,814 --> 00:03:19,430 which had been lost and forgotten 68 00:03:19,430 --> 00:03:22,410 in obscure corners of the clinical literature. 69 00:03:22,410 --> 00:03:26,427 This second story tells us everything about how we got here 70 00:03:26,427 --> 00:03:29,032 and where we need to go next. 71 00:03:29,352 --> 00:03:33,996 The first story starts with a child psychiatrist at Johns Hopkins Hospital 72 00:03:33,996 --> 00:03:35,946 named Leo Kanner. 73 00:03:35,946 --> 00:03:39,499 In 1943, Kanner published a paper 74 00:03:39,499 --> 00:03:44,212 describing 11 young patients who seemed to inhabit private worlds, 75 00:03:44,212 --> 00:03:46,302 ignoring the people around them, 76 00:03:46,302 --> 00:03:48,462 even their own parents. 77 00:03:48,462 --> 00:03:50,737 They could amuse themselves for hours 78 00:03:50,737 --> 00:03:53,384 by flapping their hands in front of their faces, 79 00:03:53,384 --> 00:03:55,358 but they were panicked by little things 80 00:03:55,358 --> 00:03:58,970 like their favorite toy being moved from its usual place 81 00:03:58,970 --> 00:04:00,977 without their knowledge. 82 00:04:00,977 --> 00:04:03,693 Based on the patients who were brought to his clinic, 83 00:04:03,693 --> 00:04:07,269 Kanner speculated that autism is very rare. 84 00:04:07,269 --> 00:04:11,727 By the 1950s, as the world's leading authority on the subject, 85 00:04:11,727 --> 00:04:17,300 he declared that he had seen less than 150 true cases of his syndrome 86 00:04:17,300 --> 00:04:21,363 while fielding referrals from as far away as South Africa. 87 00:04:21,363 --> 00:04:23,754 That's actually not surprising, 88 00:04:23,754 --> 00:04:27,130 because Kanner's criteria for diagnosing autism 89 00:04:27,130 --> 00:04:29,443 were incredibly selective. 90 00:04:29,443 --> 00:04:34,621 For example, he discouraged giving the diagnosis to children who had seizures 91 00:04:34,621 --> 00:04:38,382 but now we know that epilepsy is very common in autism. 92 00:04:38,382 --> 00:04:41,424 He once bragged that he had turned nine out of 10 kids 93 00:04:41,424 --> 00:04:45,255 referred to his office as autistic by other clinicians 94 00:04:45,255 --> 00:04:47,883 without giving them an autism diagnosis. 95 00:04:48,503 --> 00:04:50,944 Kanner was a smart guy, 96 00:04:50,944 --> 00:04:53,113 but a number of his theories didn't pan out. 97 00:04:53,113 --> 00:04:56,888 He classified autism as a form of infantile psychosis 98 00:04:56,888 --> 00:05:00,858 caused by cold and unaffectionate parents. 99 00:05:00,858 --> 00:05:02,995 These children, he said, 100 00:05:02,995 --> 00:05:07,313 had been kept neatly in a refrigerator that didn't defrost. 101 00:05:07,313 --> 00:05:09,264 At the same time, however, 102 00:05:09,264 --> 00:05:12,189 Kanner noticed that some of his young patients 103 00:05:12,189 --> 00:05:15,602 had special abilities that clustered in certain areas 104 00:05:15,602 --> 00:05:18,853 like music, math and memory. 105 00:05:18,853 --> 00:05:20,734 One boy in his clinic 106 00:05:20,734 --> 00:05:25,328 could distinguish between 18 symphonies before he turned two. 107 00:05:25,796 --> 00:05:28,443 When his mother put on one of his favorite records, 108 00:05:28,443 --> 00:05:31,809 he would correctly declare, "Beethoven!" 109 00:05:31,809 --> 00:05:34,665 But Kanner took a dim view of these abilities, 110 00:05:34,665 --> 00:05:38,242 claiming that the kids were just regurgitating things 111 00:05:38,242 --> 00:05:40,865 they'd heard their pompous parents say, 112 00:05:40,865 --> 00:05:43,465 desperate to earn their approval. 113 00:05:43,465 --> 00:05:48,829 As a result, autism became a source of shame and stigma for families, 114 00:05:48,829 --> 00:05:51,406 and two generations of autistic children 115 00:05:51,406 --> 00:05:54,889 were shipped off to institutions for their own good, 116 00:05:54,889 --> 00:05:58,163 becoming invisible to the world at large. 117 00:05:58,163 --> 00:06:02,400 Amazingly, it wasn't until the 1970s 118 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:07,567 that researchers began to test Kanner's theory that autism was rare. 119 00:06:07,567 --> 00:06:11,305 Lorna Wing was a cognitive psychologist in London 120 00:06:11,305 --> 00:06:14,509 who thought that Kanner's theory of refrigerator parenting 121 00:06:14,509 --> 00:06:17,528 were "bloody stupid," as she told me. 122 00:06:17,528 --> 00:06:21,707 She and her husband John were warm and affectionate people, 123 00:06:21,707 --> 00:06:24,520 and they had a profoundly autistic daughter named Susie. 124 00:06:25,110 --> 00:06:29,822 Lorna and John knew how hard it was to raise a child like Susie 125 00:06:29,822 --> 00:06:31,784 without support services, 126 00:06:31,784 --> 00:06:33,386 special education, 127 00:06:33,386 --> 00:06:37,635 and the other resources that are out of reach without a diagnosis. 128 00:06:37,635 --> 00:06:40,259 To make the case to the National Health Service 129 00:06:40,259 --> 00:06:45,507 that more resources were needed for autistic children and their families, 130 00:06:45,507 --> 00:06:47,643 Lorna and her colleague Judith Gould 131 00:06:47,643 --> 00:06:52,193 decided to do something that should have been done 30 years earlier. 132 00:06:52,193 --> 00:06:57,139 They undertook a study of autism prevalence in the general population. 133 00:06:57,139 --> 00:07:01,435 They pounded the pavement in a London suburb called Camberwell 134 00:07:01,435 --> 00:07:05,100 to try to find autistic children in the community. 135 00:07:05,100 --> 00:07:09,767 What they saw made clear that Kanner's model was way too narrow, 136 00:07:09,767 --> 00:07:14,293 while the reality of autism was much more colorful and diverse. 137 00:07:14,663 --> 00:07:16,806 Some kids couldn't talk at all, 138 00:07:16,806 --> 00:07:21,542 while others waxed on at length about their fascination with astrophysics, 139 00:07:21,542 --> 00:07:25,486 dinosaurs or the genealogy of royalty. 140 00:07:25,486 --> 00:07:30,176 In other words, these children didn't fit into nice, neat boxes, 141 00:07:30,176 --> 00:07:31,871 as Judith put it, 142 00:07:31,871 --> 00:07:33,752 and they saw lots of them, 143 00:07:33,752 --> 00:07:37,537 way more than Kanner's monolithic model would have predicted. 144 00:07:37,537 --> 00:07:41,252 At first, they were at a loss to make sense of their data. 145 00:07:41,252 --> 00:07:44,380 How had no one noticed these children before? 146 00:07:44,380 --> 00:07:47,899 But then Lorna came upon a reference to a paper that had been published 147 00:07:47,899 --> 00:07:50,554 in German in 1944, 148 00:07:50,554 --> 00:07:52,899 the year after Kanner's paper, 149 00:07:52,899 --> 00:07:54,617 and then forgotten, 150 00:07:54,617 --> 00:07:57,194 buried with the ashes of a terrible time 151 00:07:57,194 --> 00:08:00,445 that no one wanted to remember or think about. 152 00:08:00,445 --> 00:08:03,115 Kanner knew about this competing paper, 153 00:08:03,115 --> 00:08:07,860 but scrupulously avoided mentioning it in his own work. 154 00:08:07,860 --> 00:08:10,322 It had never even been translated into English, 155 00:08:10,322 --> 00:08:13,285 but luckily, Lorna's husband spoke German, 156 00:08:13,285 --> 00:08:15,932 and he translated it for her. 157 00:08:15,932 --> 00:08:19,624 The paper offered an alternate story of autism. 158 00:08:19,624 --> 00:08:22,317 Its author was a man named Hans Asperger, 159 00:08:22,317 --> 00:08:25,591 who ran a combination clinic and residential school 160 00:08:25,591 --> 00:08:28,331 in Vienna in the 1930s. 161 00:08:28,331 --> 00:08:32,302 Asperger's ideas about teaching children with learning differences 162 00:08:32,302 --> 00:08:35,436 were progressive even by contemporary standards. 163 00:08:35,436 --> 00:08:39,848 Mornings at his clinic began with exercise classes set to music, 164 00:08:39,848 --> 00:08:43,354 and the children put on plays on Sunday afternoons. 165 00:08:43,354 --> 00:08:46,349 Instead of blaming parents for causing autism, 166 00:08:46,349 --> 00:08:51,202 Asperger framed it as a lifelong, polygenetic disability 167 00:08:51,202 --> 00:08:55,103 that requires compassionate forms of support and accommodations 168 00:08:55,103 --> 00:08:58,510 over the course of one's whole life. 169 00:08:58,510 --> 00:09:01,395 Rather than treating the kids in his clinic like patients, 170 00:09:01,395 --> 00:09:04,460 Asperger called them his little professors, 171 00:09:04,460 --> 00:09:08,245 and enlisted their help in developing methods of education 172 00:09:08,245 --> 00:09:10,729 that were particularly suited to them. 173 00:09:10,729 --> 00:09:16,460 Crucially, Asperger viewed autism as a diverse continuum 174 00:09:16,460 --> 00:09:21,114 that spans an astonishing range of giftedness and disability. 175 00:09:21,584 --> 00:09:25,116 He believed that autism and autistic traits are common 176 00:09:25,116 --> 00:09:26,982 and always have been, 177 00:09:26,982 --> 00:09:32,276 seeing aspects of this continuum in familiar archetypes from pop culture 178 00:09:32,276 --> 00:09:34,612 like the socially awkward scientist 179 00:09:34,612 --> 00:09:37,306 and the absent-minded professor. 180 00:09:37,306 --> 00:09:39,419 He went so far as to say, 181 00:09:39,419 --> 00:09:42,646 it seems that for success in science and art, 182 00:09:42,646 --> 00:09:45,592 a dash of autism is essential. 183 00:09:46,292 --> 00:09:51,214 Lorna and Judith realized that Kanner had been as wrong about autism being rare 184 00:09:51,214 --> 00:09:53,907 as he had been about parents causing it. 185 00:09:53,907 --> 00:09:55,951 Over the next several years, 186 00:09:55,951 --> 00:09:59,364 they quietly worked with the American Psychiatric Association 187 00:09:59,364 --> 00:10:01,964 to broaden the criteria for diagnosis 188 00:10:01,964 --> 00:10:05,981 to reflect the diversity of what they called "the autism spectrum." 189 00:10:05,981 --> 00:10:08,559 In the late '80s and early 1990s, 190 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:10,857 their changes went into effect, 191 00:10:10,857 --> 00:10:13,226 swapping out Kanner's narrow model 192 00:10:13,226 --> 00:10:16,801 for Asperger's broad and inclusive one. 193 00:10:16,801 --> 00:10:19,472 These changes weren't happening in a vacuum. 194 00:10:19,472 --> 00:10:23,326 By coincidence, as Lorna and Judith worked behind the scenes 195 00:10:23,326 --> 00:10:25,160 to reform the criteria, 196 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:30,176 people all over the world were seeing an autistic adult for the first time. 197 00:10:30,176 --> 00:10:33,550 Before "Rain Man" came out in 1988, 198 00:10:33,550 --> 00:10:38,209 only a tiny, ingrown circle of experts knew what autism looked like, 199 00:10:38,209 --> 00:10:42,969 but after Dustin Hoffman's unforgettable performance as Raymond Babbitt 200 00:10:42,969 --> 00:10:46,104 earned "Rain Man" four Academy Awards, 201 00:10:46,104 --> 00:10:48,844 pediatricians, psychologists, 202 00:10:48,844 --> 00:10:53,534 teachers and parents all over the world knew what autism looked like. 203 00:10:53,534 --> 00:10:56,459 Coincidentally, at the same time, 204 00:10:56,459 --> 00:11:01,589 the first easy-to-use clinical tests for diagnosing autism were introduced. 205 00:11:01,939 --> 00:11:06,629 You no longer had to have a connection to that tiny circle of experts 206 00:11:06,629 --> 00:11:09,207 to get your child evaluated. 207 00:11:09,207 --> 00:11:11,320 The combination of "Rain Man," 208 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:15,499 the changes to the criteria, and the introduction of these tests 209 00:11:15,499 --> 00:11:17,774 created a network effect, 210 00:11:17,774 --> 00:11:21,304 a perfect storm of autism awareness. 211 00:11:21,304 --> 00:11:24,322 The number of diagnoses started to soar, 212 00:11:24,322 --> 00:11:29,990 just as Lorna and Judith predicted, indeed hoped, that it would, 213 00:11:29,990 --> 00:11:32,106 enabling autistic people and their families 214 00:11:32,106 --> 00:11:35,798 to finally get the support and services they deserved. 215 00:11:35,798 --> 00:11:37,864 Then Andrew Wakefield came along 216 00:11:37,864 --> 00:11:41,719 to blame the spike in diagnoses on vaccines, 217 00:11:41,719 --> 00:11:43,832 a simple, powerful, 218 00:11:43,832 --> 00:11:46,618 and seductively believable story 219 00:11:46,618 --> 00:11:48,986 that was as wrong as Kanner's theory 220 00:11:48,986 --> 00:11:51,239 that autism was rare. 221 00:11:51,239 --> 00:11:54,710 If the CDC's current estimate, 222 00:11:54,710 --> 00:11:59,133 that one in 68 kids in America are on the spectrum, is correct, 223 00:11:59,133 --> 00:12:03,340 autistics are one of the largest minority groups in the world. 224 00:12:03,340 --> 00:12:07,167 In recent years, autistic people have come together on the Internet 225 00:12:07,167 --> 00:12:10,812 to reject the notion that they are puzzles to be solved 226 00:12:10,812 --> 00:12:12,995 by the next medical breakthrough, 227 00:12:12,995 --> 00:12:15,456 coining the term "neurodiversity" 228 00:12:15,456 --> 00:12:18,744 to celebrate the varieties of human cognition. 229 00:12:19,264 --> 00:12:21,655 One way to understand neurodiversity 230 00:12:21,655 --> 00:12:25,324 is to think in terms of human operating systems. 231 00:12:25,324 --> 00:12:30,240 Just because a P.C. is not running Windows doesn't mean that it's broken. 232 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:33,869 By autistic standards, the normal human brain 233 00:12:33,869 --> 00:12:35,889 is easily distractable, 234 00:12:35,889 --> 00:12:37,677 obsessively social, 235 00:12:37,677 --> 00:12:40,997 and suffers from a deficit of attention to detail. 236 00:12:40,997 --> 00:12:43,992 To be sure, autistic people have a hard time 237 00:12:43,992 --> 00:12:46,268 living in a world not built for them. 238 00:12:46,268 --> 00:12:50,520 [Seventy] years later, we're still catching up to Asperger, 239 00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:54,603 who believed that the "cure" for the most disabling aspects of autism 240 00:12:54,603 --> 00:12:57,529 is to be found in understanding teachers, 241 00:12:57,529 --> 00:12:59,665 accommodating employers, 242 00:12:59,665 --> 00:13:01,522 supportive communities, 243 00:13:01,522 --> 00:13:04,866 and parents who have faith in their children's potential. 244 00:13:04,866 --> 00:13:07,908 An autistic woman named Zosia Zaks once said, 245 00:13:07,908 --> 00:13:13,211 "We need all hands on deck to right the ship of humanity." 246 00:13:13,211 --> 00:13:15,764 As we sail into an uncertain future, 247 00:13:15,764 --> 00:13:19,502 we need every form of human intelligence on the planet 248 00:13:19,502 --> 00:13:25,469 working together to tackle the challenges that we face as a society. 249 00:13:25,469 --> 00:13:27,791 We can't afford to waste a brain. 250 00:13:27,791 --> 00:13:30,136 Thank you. 251 00:13:30,136 --> 00:13:34,136 (Applause)