0:00:15.650,0:00:17.268 Hello, everyone. How are you? 0:00:17.728,0:00:19.218 My name is Ataka. 0:00:20.289,0:00:26.959 I was asked to come here today[br]to speak about Japan's current situation, 0:00:26.969,0:00:29.797 and our prospects for the future. 0:00:29.797,0:00:32.772 My talk is titled "Japan Resurgence." 0:00:32.772,0:00:33.587 (Laughter) 0:00:33.587,0:00:36.352 Soon you will see why I chose this title. 0:00:36.352,0:00:41.272 Let me recap our current situation. 0:00:41.883,0:00:47.394 I think the biggest change in the world[br]over the past 30 years 0:00:47.394,0:00:50.506 is that people carry portable computers. 0:00:50.506,0:00:54.116 30 years ago, the fastest supercomputer[br]of the time was built by Cray. 0:00:54.116,0:00:57.246 Now, you carry something[br]over 10 times faster in your pocket. 0:00:57.246,0:00:59.336 iPhone 6 is 20 times faster. 0:00:59.336,0:01:01.086 iPhone 7 and over is even faster. 0:01:01.086,0:01:04.225 Everyone is carrying around [br]an unbelievably fast computer. 0:01:04.745,0:01:08.766 Bandwidth is also increasing[br]at a tremendous rate, 0:01:08.776,0:01:11.492 over 1,000-fold during the last decade. 0:01:11.492,0:01:14.032 In the 20 years since[br]the start of "Yahoo! Japan," 0:01:14.032,0:01:16.008 it has become over 10,000 times faster. 0:01:16.008,0:01:17.955 And with the arrival of 5G, 0:01:17.955,0:01:20.822 the speed is set to be[br]another 1,000 times faster. 0:01:20.822,0:01:21.842 OK? 0:01:21.842,0:01:25.182 Recently, the biggest packet plan[br]increased from 15GB to 50GB. 0:01:25.182,0:01:29.482 In 5 to 10 years, a 1-month plan[br]will be something like 5 terabytes. 0:01:29.482,0:01:31.486 The age of the 5TB plan is coming! 0:01:31.486,0:01:32.326 (Laughter) 0:01:32.326,0:01:33.736 What an amazing era! 0:01:34.069,0:01:36.119 This is called "big data". 0:01:36.119,0:01:39.139 A tremendous amount of data is emerging. 0:01:39.139,0:01:44.189 Fortunately, computers are evolving[br]at an incredible speed. 0:01:44.539,0:01:48.009 The number of chips is increasing[br]with remarkable momentum, 0:01:48.009,0:01:50.089 so processing capability increases, too. 0:01:50.089,0:01:51.819 Here is another lucky thing, 0:01:51.819,0:01:55.467 which is mostly thanks to[br]the computers and data. 0:01:55.897,0:02:00.087 We can now visualize data[br]which was previously impossible to see. 0:02:00.594,0:02:04.374 We are running neural networks,[br]which couldn't be done before, 0:02:04.374,0:02:06.584 and deep learning is up and running. 0:02:06.784,0:02:09.776 So, all kinds of abnormal patterns[br]which were invisible before, 0:02:09.776,0:02:13.036 hidden in a huge amount of data, 0:02:13.036,0:02:15.516 these patterns are now becoming visibile. 0:02:15.516,0:02:21.036 As a result, we live in a unique time,[br]close to an industrial revolution. 0:02:21.766,0:02:26.596 The industrial revolution occurred[br]over the course of a few hundred years. 0:02:26.596,0:02:29.916 Around the turn of the 19th century, 0:02:29.916,0:02:33.086 over 90% of Japanese, Americans[br]and people in other areas 0:02:33.086,0:02:36.716 were engaged in primary industry. 0:02:36.716,0:02:38.976 96% in the U.S. at that time. 0:02:38.976,0:02:41.014 But now, only a small percentage does. 0:02:41.014,0:02:44.817 In spite of that, our current productivity[br]is much higher. 0:02:44.817,0:02:50.857 Similarly, we now use most of our time [br]for information processing, 0:02:50.857,0:02:55.157 but with the next industrial revolution,[br]we will be released from that burden. 0:02:55.157,0:03:00.816 I think we live in an extremely important,[br]and interesting time. 0:03:00.816,0:03:03.906 We need to embrace living in this time. 0:03:03.906,0:03:06.753 It is ridiculously lucky,[br]and super interesting. 0:03:06.753,0:03:08.455 It's like living in a bonus round. 0:03:08.455,0:03:09.398 (Laughter) 0:03:09.398,0:03:10.511 Yes, it is. 0:03:10.511,0:03:15.051 A professor at Berkeley claims[br]to have researched human productivity 0:03:15.051,0:03:18.993 for the past 2,000 years, and actually[br]as far back as a million years. 0:03:19.553,0:03:22.966 I don't know if he is correct,[br]but according to him, 0:03:22.966,0:03:26.128 from the Roman Empire[br]to the industrial revolution, 0:03:26.128,0:03:28.698 in those 2,000 years,[br]human productivity only doubled 0:03:28.698,0:03:31.228 However, during the 150 years after that, 0:03:31.228,0:03:34.876 the productivity skyrocketed[br]by nearly 100 times. 0:03:34.876,0:03:36.176 But looking carefully, 0:03:36.176,0:03:39.276 we are reaching saturation now,[br]from a macroeconomic perspective. 0:03:39.276,0:03:43.646 The way things are right now,[br]we may soon see another big leap. 0:03:44.103,0:03:46.873 Here is a very interesting sign. 0:03:46.873,0:03:49.423 Let's look at market[br]capitalization rankings. 0:03:49.423,0:03:51.323 Top ranks go to ICT companies 0:03:51.323,0:03:54.353 from the information and communications[br]technology industry. 0:03:54.353,0:03:59.557 Alibaba and Amazon are above Toyota,[br]one of the world's top automobile makers. 0:04:00.982,0:04:03.785 As for GDP, measured[br]through gross value added, 0:04:03.785,0:04:06.275 Japan has had no ICT sector[br]for the past 20 years, 0:04:06.275,0:04:08.415 and we have had a shrinking economy. 0:04:08.415,0:04:11.585 Actually, the tendency is similar[br]across the world: 0:04:11.585,0:04:14.845 the ICT sector is the driver for growth. 0:04:15.745,0:04:17.238 The interesting thing is, 0:04:17.238,0:04:21.164 it is not so much the profit,[br]but the market cap that is really big. 0:04:21.164,0:04:24.544 It seems a sense of "changing the world"[br]leads to success. 0:04:24.544,0:04:29.838 In other words, this is an astonishing era[br]in which dreaming creates wealth. 0:04:29.838,0:04:34.388 It is not hard work, but imagination[br]that generates national wealth. 0:04:34.388,0:04:38.587 Keeping that in mind,[br]how should we move forward? 0:04:39.047,0:04:43.470 I think the following three things are[br]very important. 0:04:43.470,0:04:49.499 First, use a massive amount[br]of big data in various fields. 0:04:49.819,0:04:56.269 Second, process the data[br]with tremendous power at affordable costs. 0:04:56.429,0:05:01.949 Third, of course we need[br]world-class scientists and engineers 0:05:01.949,0:05:04.365 to work very hard. 0:05:04.365,0:05:10.145 Here we will need to face an inconvenient[br]truth that is rarely mentioned in Japan. 0:05:10.672,0:05:12.322 The first data is... 0:05:12.322,0:05:14.838 To tell the truth, 0:05:14.838,0:05:17.838 it's really no competition. 0:05:17.838,0:05:24.348 We aren't even close, in any field,[br]when it comes to using data. 0:05:24.348,0:05:28.715 Of course there are autonomous cars[br]and other advanced technologies, 0:05:28.715,0:05:34.015 but in terms of room sharing, car sharing,[br]and other industries that use data, 0:05:34.015,0:05:37.325 personal information protection laws[br]make them impossible. 0:05:37.325,0:05:38.805 In Japan, anyways. 0:05:38.805,0:05:42.375 With autonomous cars, for example,[br]there are other problems. 0:05:42.375,0:05:44.965 There is a high possibility[br]that Japan could make 0:05:44.965,0:05:47.095 the world's top autonomous car. 0:05:47.095,0:05:49.185 But look at Japanese roads - 0:05:49.752,0:05:51.122 impossible! 0:05:51.266,0:05:52.186 (Laughter) 0:05:52.257,0:05:53.338 It is impossible! 0:05:53.338,0:05:54.271 (Laughter) 0:05:55.891,0:05:58.311 An old lady comes driving the other way 0:05:58.311,0:06:00.831 yelling at you to get out of the way, 0:06:00.831,0:06:05.691 so you have to pull into a driveway,[br]or back up 10 meters to pass each other. 0:06:05.691,0:06:08.511 Automatic cars can't do that,[br]they completely stop. 0:06:08.511,0:06:11.311 Some say to solve it with technology. 0:06:11.313,0:06:15.723 Sure, we could make flying cars[br]or cars with legs. 0:06:15.723,0:06:19.123 But the car would cost 30 million yen,[br]so it's impossible. 0:06:19.123,0:06:21.713 Even if we try flying drones,[br]look at this. 0:06:21.713,0:06:22.501 See? 0:06:22.501,0:06:23.896 This is Minato-ku, Tokyo. 0:06:23.896,0:06:27.266 It is a mixture of one-story[br]and 50-story buildings. 0:06:27.792,0:06:30.992 Most of buildings in Paris are flat,[br]except for the Eiffel Tower. 0:06:30.992,0:06:34.602 So they can use drone zones[br]to fly, but we can't. 0:06:35.349,0:06:38.449 As for data processing, 0:06:39.493,0:06:44.013 Basically, the only expense[br]for data processing should be electricity. 0:06:44.013,0:06:45.653 But we pay a lot. 0:06:45.653,0:06:48.403 Data processing costs are huge[br]in Japan for some reason. 0:06:48.403,0:06:51.223 And how about data processing solutions? 0:06:51.223,0:06:58.093 These are only a few of the options,[br]but there is no Japanese presence. 0:06:59.313,0:07:02.853 So, Japan is far behind[br]on data processing. 0:07:02.853,0:07:04.973 In fact, the situation is terrible. 0:07:04.973,0:07:11.842 One of the core technologies,[br]deep learning, has a few key centers, 0:07:12.387,0:07:16.447 and experts of ITC industry[br]gather in these areas, 0:07:16.447,0:07:18.025 they are famous. 0:07:18.025,0:07:22.485 They all live abroad,[br]mostly in the U.S. and U.K. 0:07:22.905,0:07:24.455 This is the situation. 0:07:24.455,0:07:28.272 You may think[br]there are engineers in Japan. 0:07:28.272,0:07:30.410 Yes, there are many. 0:07:30.410,0:07:32.400 But only 1/3 as many as the U.S. 0:07:32.400,0:07:35.090 Notice the hidden area in the middle? 0:07:35.090,0:07:38.327 We may think subconsciously[br]that Japan ranks second, after the U.S. 0:07:38.327,0:07:39.457 That is not true. 0:07:39.457,0:07:41.497 We are losing to China and India. 0:07:42.244,0:07:43.314 This is our reality. 0:07:43.314,0:07:45.174 Even fewer people are using big data, 0:07:45.174,0:07:47.697 so we might actually[br]rank around 7th or 8th. 0:07:47.697,0:07:52.987 There is a shortage[br]of people who work with numbers. 0:07:54.355,0:08:00.075 Japan has 100,000 less yearly graduates[br]in science and technology than Korea, 0:08:00.075,0:08:03.575 which has a population[br]of only 50 million. 0:08:03.575,0:08:09.445 Korea and Germany consider themselves[br]to be tech-oriented nations; 0:08:10.165,0:08:12.635 over 60% of their[br]college students major in science 0:08:12.635,0:08:14.025 but only 20% in Japan. 0:08:14.025,0:08:17.101 People like me who study[br]to get PhDs are considered strange, 0:08:17.101,0:08:19.501 like some freak of nature. 0:08:19.501,0:08:22.690 So what caused this situation? 0:08:22.690,0:08:26.980 The number of the people[br]with analytical training is very small, 0:08:26.990,0:08:29.707 1/3 of the number in the U.S.[br]per 100 people. 0:08:29.707,0:08:31.908 Compared to Poland,[br]a math-oriented nation, 0:08:31.908,0:08:33.748 we are one digit column lower. 0:08:33.748,0:08:38.878 We lack not only people,[br]but programs as well. 0:08:39.488,0:08:42.578 The U.S. didn't have any[br]data science programs either, 0:08:42.578,0:08:45.228 but in just one year[br]they started over 500. 0:08:45.228,0:08:49.798 In Japan, Shiga University will finally[br]open a program in spring, 2017. 0:08:49.798,0:08:51.488 We have none at all. 0:08:51.488,0:08:55.918 It is a complete shortage of personnel. 0:08:55.918,0:08:59.488 Not only are people difficult to find, 0:08:59.488,0:09:02.328 they don't have much enterprising spirit. 0:09:02.328,0:09:04.978 We live in an era where anyone[br]could be the next Edison, 0:09:04.978,0:09:06.478 and yet people lack motivation. 0:09:06.478,0:09:10.574 We don't need otaku, we need people[br]who want to change the world. 0:09:10.574,0:09:14.527 Of course we need hackers and geeks; 0:09:14.527,0:09:18.843 we don't have enough of them,[br]and that is why we can't compete globally. 0:09:18.843,0:09:20.203 (Laughter) 0:09:20.613,0:09:24.043 We have had such an era before. 0:09:24.043,0:09:27.033 We have had very difficult times. 0:09:27.353,0:09:31.353 Once again, we have[br]almost nothing to offer. 0:09:31.877,0:09:34.487 Do we have no hope in Japan? 0:09:34.487,0:09:36.637 Looking back to the Industrial Revolution, 0:09:36.637,0:09:39.161 it actually had three phases. 0:09:39.161,0:09:43.431 New technologies were invented[br]in the late 1750's, 0:09:43.431,0:09:45.761 and then they were put to practical use. 0:09:45.761,0:09:48.571 Finally they came together even further, 0:09:48.571,0:09:52.225 forming a kind of intricate ecosystem. 0:09:52.225,0:09:54.205 What was Japan doing at that time? 0:09:54.205,0:09:58.115 During Phase 1,[br]samurai were tying up their hair. 0:09:58.115,0:10:00.975 Over 90% of people worked in rice fields. 0:10:00.975,0:10:04.903 That continued for over 100 years,[br]so Japan didn't participate in Phase 1. 0:10:04.903,0:10:08.243 Then Japan suddenly adopted new technology 0:10:08.243,0:10:10.633 and made tremendous progress. 0:10:10.934,0:10:15.724 We made bullet trains and super computers, 0:10:15.724,0:10:18.111 and Japan became a high-tech nation. 0:10:18.111,0:10:22.011 Once again,[br]we have obviously missed Phase 1, 0:10:22.011,0:10:23.971 but let's not worry about that. 0:10:23.971,0:10:25.251 (Laughter) 0:10:25.613,0:10:31.763 We should focus on preparing[br]for the upcoming Phase 2 and 3. 0:10:31.903,0:10:34.263 This is my proposal. 0:10:34.263,0:10:35.433 (Laughter) 0:10:36.351,0:10:38.617 We still have potential. 0:10:38.617,0:10:41.485 Japan didn't experience[br]Phase 1 in the past, either. 0:10:41.485,0:10:43.545 So it's not a problem. 0:10:43.545,0:10:44.385 (Laughter) 0:10:44.385,0:10:47.301 The other big waves,[br]Phase 2 and 3, are coming! 0:10:47.301,0:10:50.921 We should prepare to ride those waves. 0:10:52.061,0:10:56.721 We are full of great concepts in Japan. 0:10:56.721,0:10:59.772 We have Ghost in the Shell, Doraemon... 0:10:59.772,0:11:01.972 there are so many excellent ideas. 0:11:01.972,0:11:04.688 Wouldn't these would be perfect[br]for Phase 2 and Phase 3? 0:11:04.688,0:11:05.405 (Laughter) 0:11:05.405,0:11:06.662 We have material. 0:11:06.662,0:11:08.342 We have ideas. 0:11:08.342,0:11:09.802 We can win again! 0:11:09.802,0:11:11.442 (Laughter) 0:11:12.162,0:11:17.122 Here is an emotional line[br]from a recent film. 0:11:19.195,0:11:22.685 "Japan rose up through scrap and build, 0:11:22.685,0:11:24.927 and we will rise again." 0:11:24.927,0:11:27.957 These are lines[br]from "Godzilla Resurgence." 0:11:27.957,0:11:30.807 We are faced with extreme circumstances, 0:11:30.807,0:11:33.227 and we are almost scrapped. 0:11:33.227,0:11:35.977 But let's try again! 0:11:35.977,0:11:40.997 Let's start fresh,[br]and enjoy the competition. 0:11:40.997,0:11:42.609 That's all I have to say. 0:11:42.869,0:11:44.049 Thank you. 0:11:44.049,0:11:45.989 (Applause)