1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Do you feel trapped 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in a broken economic model? 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A model that's trashing the living world 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and threatens the lives of our descendants? 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A model that excludes billions of people 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 while making a handful unimaginably rich? 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That sorts us into winners and loser, 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and then blames the losers for their misfortune? 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Welcome to neoliberalism, 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the zombie doctrine that never seems to die, 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 however comprehensively it is discredited. 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, you might have imagined that the Financial Crisis of 2008 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 would have led to the collapse of neoliberalism. 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 After all, it exposed its central features, 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which were deregulating, business and finance, 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 tearing down public protections, 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 throwing us into extreme competition with each other, 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as, well, just a little bit flawed. 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And intellectually, it did collapse. 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But still, it dominates our lives. 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Why? 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, I believe the answer is that we have not yet produced 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a new story with which to replace it. 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Stories are the means by which we navigate the world. 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They allow us to interpret its complex and contradictory signals. 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 When we want to make sense of something, 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the sense we seek is not scientific sense 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but narrative fidelity. 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Does what we are hearing reflect the way 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that we expect humans and the world to behave? 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Does it hang together? 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Does it progress 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as a story should progress? 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, we are creatures of narrative, 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and a string of facts and figures, however important facts and figures are -- 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and, you know, I'm an empiricist, I believe in facts and figures -- 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but those facts and figures have no power to displace a persuasive story. 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The only thing that can replace a story 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is a story. 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You cannot take away someone's story 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 without giving them a new one. 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it's not just stories in general that we are attuned to, 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but particular narrative structures. 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There are a number of basic plots that we use again and again, 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and in politics there is one basic plot 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which turns out to be tremendously powerful, 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and I call this "the restoration story." 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It goes as follows. 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Disorder afflicts the land, 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 caused by powerful and nefarious forces 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 working against the interests of humanity. 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but the hero will revolt against this disorder, 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 fight those powerful forces, 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 against the odds overthrow them, 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and restore harmony to the land. 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You've heard this story before. 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's the Bible story. 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's the Harry Potter story. 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's the Lord of the Rings story. 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's the Narnia story. 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But it's also the story 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that has accompanied almost every political and religious transformation 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 going back millennia. 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In fact, we could go as far as to say 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that without a powerful new restoration story, 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a political and religious transformation 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 might not be able to happen. 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's that important. 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 After laissez-faire economics triggered the Great Depression, 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 John Maynard Keynes sat down to write a new economics, 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and what he did was to tell a restoration story, 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it went something like this. 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Disorder afflicts the land! 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (Laughter) 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Caused by the powerful and nefarious forces of the economic elite, 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which have captured the world's wealth. 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But the hero of the story, 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the enabling state, supported by working class and middle class people, 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will contest that disorder, 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will fight those powerful forces by redistributing wealth, 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and through spending public money on public goods 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will generate income and jobs, 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 restoring harmony to the land. 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, like all good restoration stories, 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 this one resonated across the political spectrum. 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Democrats and Republicans, labor and conservatives, 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 left and right all became, broadly, Keynesian. 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Then, when Keynesian ran intro trouble 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in the 1970s, 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the neoliberals, people like Friedrich Hayek and Milton Friedman 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 came forward with their new restoration story, 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it went something like this. 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 You'll never guess what's coming. 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (Laughter) 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Disorder afflicts the land! 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Caused by the powerful and nefarious forces 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the over-mighty state, 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 whose collectivizing tendencies crush freedom and individiualism 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and opportunity. 100 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But the hero of the story, the entrepreneur, 101 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will fight those powerful forces, 102 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 roll back the state, 103 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and through creating wealth and opportunity, 104 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 restore harmony to the land. 105 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And that story also resonated across the political spectrum. 106 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Republicans and Democrats, conservatives and labor, 107 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 they all became, broadly, neoliberal. 108 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Opposite stories 109 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 with an identical narrative structure. 110 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Then, in 2008, 111 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the neoliberal story fell apart, 112 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and its opponents came forward with... 113 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 nothing. 114 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 No new restoration story! 115 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The best they had to offer was a watered-down neoliberalism 116 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or a microwaved Keynesianism. 117 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And that is why we're stuck. 118 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Without that new story, 119 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we are stuck with the old failed story 120 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that keeps on failing. 121 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Despair is the state we fall into 122 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when our imagination fails. 123 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 When we have no story that explains the present 124 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and describes the future, 125 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 hope evaporates. 126 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Political failure is at heart 127 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a failure of imagination. 128 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Without a restoration story 129 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that can tell us where we need to go, 130 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 nothing is going to change, 131 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but with such a restoration story, 132 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 almost everything can change. 133 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The story we need to tell 134 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is a story which will appeal to as wide a range of people as possible, 135 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 crossing political fault lines. 136 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It should resonate with deep needs and desires. 137 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It should be simple and intelligible, 138 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it should be grounded in reality. 139 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, I admit that all of this sounds like a bit of a tall order. 140 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But I believe that in Western nations, 141 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there is actually a story like this 142 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 waiting to be told. 143 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Over the past few years, 144 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there's been a fascinating convergence of findings 145 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in several different sciences,