9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Do you feel trapped 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 in a broken economic model? 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 A model that's trashing the living world 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and threatens the lives[br]of our descendants? 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 A model that excludes billions of people 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 while making a handful unimaginably rich? 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 That sorts us into winners and loser, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and then blames the losers[br]for their misfortune? 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Welcome to neoliberalism, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the zombie doctrine[br]that never seems to die, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 however comprehensively it is discredited. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Now, you might have imagined[br]that the Financial Crisis of 2008 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 would have led to the collapse[br]of neoliberalism. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 After all, it exposed[br]its central features, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 which were deregulating,[br]business and finance, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 tearing down public protections, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 throwing us into extreme[br]competition with each other, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 as, well, just a little bit flawed. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And intellectually, it did collapse. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But still, it dominates our lives. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Why? 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Well, I believe the answer[br]is that we have not yet produced 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 a new story with which to replace it. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Stories are the means by which[br]we navigate the world. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 They allow us to interpret its complex[br]and contradictory signals. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 When we want to make sense of something, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the sense we seek is not scientific sense 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 but narrative fidelity. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Does what we are hearing reflect the way 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 that we expect humans[br]and the world to behave? 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Does it hang together? 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Does it progress 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 as a story should progress? 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Now, we are creatures of narrative, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and a string of facts and figures,[br]however important facts and figures are -- 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and, you know, I'm an empiricist,[br]I believe in facts and figures -- 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 but those facts and figures have no power[br]to displace a persuasive story. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 The only thing that can replace a story 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 is a story. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 You cannot take away someone's story 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 without giving them a new one. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And it's not just stories in general[br]that we are attuned to, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 but particular narrative structures. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 There are a number of basic plots[br]that we use again and again, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and in politics there is one basic plot 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 which turns out to be[br]tremendously powerful, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and I call this "the restoration story." 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 It goes as follows. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Disorder afflicts the land, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 caused by powerful and nefarious forces 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 working against the interests of humanity. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 but the hero will revolt[br]against this disorder, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 fight those powerful forces, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 against the odds overthrow them, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and restore harmony to the land. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 You've heard this story before. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 It's the Bible story. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 It's the Harry Potter story. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 It's the Lord of the Rings story. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 It's the Narnia story. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But it's also the story 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 that has accompanied almost every[br]political and religious transformation 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 going back millennia. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 In fact, we could go as far as to say 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 that without a powerful[br]new restoration story, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 a political and religious transformation 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 might not be able to happen. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 It's that important. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 After laissez-faire economics[br]triggered the Great Depression, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 John Maynard Keynes sat down[br]to write a new economics, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and what he did was to tell[br]a restoration story, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and it went something like this. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Disorder afflicts the land! 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 (Laughter) 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Caused by the powerful and nefarious[br]forces of the economic elite, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 which have captured the world's wealth. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But the hero of the story, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the enabling state, supported[br]by working class and middle class people, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 will contest that disorder, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 will fight those powerful forces[br]by redistributing wealth, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and through spending[br]public money on public goods 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 will generate income and jobs, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 restoring harmony to the land. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Now, like all good restoration stories, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 this one resonated[br]across the political spectrum. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Democrats and Republicans,[br]labor and conservatives, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 left and right all became,[br]broadly, Keynesian. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Then, when Keynesian ran intro trouble 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 in the 1970s, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the neoliberals, people like[br]Friedrich Hayek and Milton Friedman 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 came forward with[br]their new restoration story, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and it went something like this. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 You'll never guess what's coming. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 (Laughter) 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Disorder afflicts the land! 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Caused by the powerful[br]and nefarious forces 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 of the over-mighty state, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 whose collectivizing tendencies[br]crush freedom and individiualism 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and opportunity. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But the hero of the story,[br]the entrepreneur, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 will fight those powerful forces, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 roll back the state, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and through creating[br]wealth and opportunity, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 restore harmony to the land. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And that story also resonated[br]across the political spectrum. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Republicans and Democrats,[br]conservatives and labor, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 they all became, broadly, neoliberal. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Opposite stories 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 with an identical narrative structure. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Then, in 2008, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the neoliberal story fell apart, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and its opponents came forward with... 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 nothing. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 No new restoration story! 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 The best they had to offer[br]was a watered-down neoliberalism 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 or a microwaved Keynesianism. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And that is why we're stuck. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Without that new story, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 we are stuck with the old failed story 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 that keeps on failing. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Despair is the state we fall into 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 when our imagination fails. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 When we have no story[br]that explains the present 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and describes the future, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 hope evaporates. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Political failure is at heart 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 a failure of imagination. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Without a restoration story 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 that can tell us where we need to go, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 nothing is going to change, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 but with such a restoration story, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 almost everything can change. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 The story we need to tell 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 is a story which will appeal[br]to as wide a range of people as possible, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 crossing political fault lines. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 It should resonate[br]with deep needs and desires. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 It should be simple and intelligible, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and it should be grounded in reality. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Now, I admit that all of this sounds[br]like a bit of a tall order. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But I believe that in Western nations, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 there is actually a story like this 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 waiting to be told. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Over the past few years, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 there's been a fascinating[br]convergence of findings 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 in several different sciences,