[Script Info] Title: [Events] Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text Dialogue: 0,0:00:00.04,0:00:05.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Música de entrada) Dialogue: 0,0:00:05.92,0:00:07.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Meu nome é Marc Lange Dialogue: 0,0:00:07.50,0:00:10.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Eu ensino na Universidade Da Carolina\Ndo Norte na Chapel Hill. Dialogue: 0,0:00:10.97,0:00:14.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,e hoje quero conversar com vocês sobre\No paradoxo de confirmação. Dialogue: 0,0:00:14.47,0:00:16.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,É também conhecia como o\N"paradoxo dos corvos" Dialogue: 0,0:00:16.83,0:00:20.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,por causa do filosofo Karl Hempel,\Ncujo descobriu o paradoxo, Dialogue: 0,0:00:20.60,0:00:24.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,apresentado primeiramente em termos\Nde um exemplo envolvendo corvos. Dialogue: 0,0:00:24.34,0:00:29.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,O paradoxo afeta confirmação, que é, \Na maneira que hipóteses em ciência Dialogue: 0,0:00:29.95,0:00:33.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,e na vida de todo dia são sustentadas\Npor nossas observações. Dialogue: 0,0:00:33.18,0:00:38.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Como sabemos das estórias de detetives\Num detetive reúne evidências por ou Dialogue: 0,0:00:38.20,0:00:42.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,contra várias hipóteses sobre quem \Ncometeu um crime covarde. Dialogue: 0,0:00:42.73,0:00:45.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Tipicamente, nenhuma das \Npeças individuais Dialogue: 0,0:00:45.38,0:00:47.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,de evidência disponível para o detetive Dialogue: 0,0:00:47.50,0:00:51.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,é suficiente totalmente por si só\Npara provar qual suspeito Dialogue: 0,0:00:51.38,0:00:53.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,cometeu ou não cometeu o crime. Dialogue: 0,0:00:53.14,0:00:57.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ao invés, uma peça de evidência\Npoderia incluir até certo ponto Dialogue: 0,0:00:57.34,0:01:00.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a favor da hipótese de que o\Nmordomo é culpado. Dialogue: 0,0:01:00.69,0:01:04.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A evidência, então dita, para\Nconfirmar a hipótese. Dialogue: 0,0:01:04.23,0:01:08.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Que talvez confirme fortemente a\Nhipótese, ou somente a um grau leve. Dialogue: 0,0:01:08.24,0:01:11.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:11.27,0:01:14.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:14.46,0:01:18.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:18.47,0:01:21.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:21.77,0:01:25.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:25.37,0:01:29.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:29.36,0:01:33.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:33.29,0:01:37.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:37.71,0:01:41.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:41.06,0:01:44.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:44.20,0:01:48.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:48.03,0:01:51.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:51.50,0:01:55.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:55.65,0:01:58.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:01:58.12,0:02:01.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:01.00,0:02:04.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:04.08,0:02:08.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:08.36,0:02:09.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:09.86,0:02:12.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:12.99,0:02:16.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:16.35,0:02:18.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:18.77,0:02:23.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:23.68,0:02:26.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:26.40,0:02:29.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:29.43,0:02:32.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:32.04,0:02:35.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:35.27,0:02:36.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:36.78,0:02:40.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:40.84,0:02:45.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:45.99,0:02:48.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:48.55,0:02:52.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:52.37,0:02:56.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:56.28,0:02:59.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:02:59.46,0:03:03.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:03.63,0:03:07.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:07.37,0:03:10.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:10.17,0:03:12.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:12.47,0:03:16.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:16.20,0:03:19.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:19.42,0:03:22.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:22.99,0:03:27.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:27.92,0:03:32.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:32.54,0:03:37.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:37.72,0:03:44.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:44.11,0:03:49.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:49.58,0:03:52.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:52.40,0:03:57.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:03:57.51,0:04:00.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:00.90,0:04:05.45,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:05.45,0:04:09.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:09.92,0:04:13.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:13.72,0:04:16.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:16.41,0:04:20.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:20.33,0:04:22.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:22.93,0:04:26.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:26.30,0:04:27.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:27.88,0:04:34.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:34.20,0:04:37.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:37.70,0:04:39.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:39.64,0:04:41.89,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:41.89,0:04:45.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:45.37,0:04:49.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:49.71,0:04:53.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 0,0:04:53.08,0:04:57.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,, Dialogue: 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