1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Narrator] On his quest to master econometrics, 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Grasshopper Kamal has made great progress 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 stretching his capabilities and outsmarting his foes. 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Alas, today he's despondent. 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For one challenge remains unmet. 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Kamal cannot yet decode the scriptures of academic research, 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 journals like "The American Economic Review" 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and "Econometrica." 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 These seemed to him to be inscribed in an obscure foreign tongue. 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Kamal] Ugh, what the... ? 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Narrator] These volumes are opaque to novice, Kamal, 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but can be deciphered with study. 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let us learn to read them together. 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's dive into the West Point study, 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 published in the "Economics of Education Review." 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This paper reports on a randomized evaluation 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of student electronics use in Economics 101 classrooms. 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 First, a quick review of the research design. 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - Okay. 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Josh] 'Metrics masters teaching at West Point, 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the military college that trains American Army officers 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 designed a randomized trial to answer this question. 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 These masters randomly assigned West Point cadets 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 into Economics classes operating under different rules. 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Unlike most American colleges, 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the West Point default is no electronics. 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For purposes of this experiment, some students were left 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in such traditional technology-free classes, 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 no lap tops, no tablets and no phones! 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 [voice echoes] 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This is the control group, or baseline case. 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Another group was allowed to use electronics. 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This is the treatment group, subject to a changed environment. 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The treatment in this case is the unrestricted use 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of laptops or tablets in class. 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Every causal question has a clear outcome, 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the variables we hope to influence defined in advance of the study. 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The outcomes in the West Point electronics study 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are final exam scores. 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The study seeks to answer the following question, 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 what is the causal effect of classroom electronics on learning 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as measured by exam scores? 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - Economics journal articles usually begin with a table 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of descriptive statistics, giving key facts 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about the study sample. 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - Oh my gosh, I remember this table, so confusing! 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Columns 1 to 3 report mean, or average, characteristics. 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 These give a sense of who we're studying. 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's start with column 1 which describes covariates 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in a control group. 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Covariates are characteristics of the control and treatment groups 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 measured before the experiment begins. 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For example, we see the control group has an average age a bit over 20. 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Many of these covariates are dummy variables. 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A dummy variable can only have two values, a zero or a one. 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For example, student gender is captured by a dummy variable 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that equals one for woman and zero for man. 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The mean of this variable is the proportion female. 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We also see that the control group is 13% Hispanic 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and 19% had prior military service. 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The table notes are key. 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Refer to these as you scan the table. 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 These notes explain what's shown in each column and panel. 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The notes tell us, for example, that standard deviations 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are reported in brackets. 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Standard deviations tell us how spread out the data are. 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For example, a standard deviation of 0.52 tells us that most 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the control group's GPAs fall between 2.35, 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is 0.52 below the mean GPA of 2.87, 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and 3.39, which is 0.52 above 2.87. 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 A lower standard deviation would mean the GPAs were 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 more tightly clustered around the mean. 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Kamal] Yeah, but they're missing from most of the variables. 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 - [Narrator] That's right. 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Masters usually omit standard deviations for dummies.