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♪ [音乐] ♪

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欢迎来到诺贝尔谈话

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本集中 Josh Angrist [br]和 Guido Imbens

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将会和 Isaiah Andrews [br]一同探讨

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他们获得诺贝尔奖的合作中的一些关键部分

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Josh，Guido，首先恭喜你们[br]获得了诺贝尔奖！

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谢谢

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- [Isaiah] 你们一起完成的工作

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特别是在局部平均处理效应

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或 LATE 框架

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据说是获奖的重要原因之一

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而且，你们在哈佛重合的时间只有一年

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如果我没记错的话——

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跟我们分享一下

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你们是如何开始合作的

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以及是什么让你们的工作关系富有成效

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有没有什么方式让你觉得可以互相称赞

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是什么让事情变得这么有成效？

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我记得你的工作，Guido，没那么有意思

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但我觉得这是一个基于选择的样本

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是的，是的

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我其实是一个非常边缘化的雇员

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因为他们根本没按正常的招聘市场那样面试我

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。

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但我觉得他们非常急切的需要一个人

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来教授这些课程

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其实已经过去好几个研讨会了

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但他们还想找人来教计量经济学

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- 所以 Gary 给我打电话[br]- [Josh] Gary Chamberlain?

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Gary Chamberlain 打给我[br]然后电话面试了我

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他说：“要不你来一趟

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我们谈谈？”

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- [Josh] 我有点印象

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我记得我们和 Gary 一起吃了个晚饭

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我记得我对你的工作经验不是非常满意

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但幸运的是，Gary 的观点占了上风

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没错

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- [Josh] 然后哈佛给了你录取通知

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然后从你1990年秋天来了以后

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我记得我们就经常在一起讲话了，对吧？

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就像我说的，我来了以后[br]没有一个清楚的日常安排

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来了以后我有点被吓到

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但是 Gary 说 “不[br]你应该和 Josh 谈谈”

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你应该去参加劳工研讨会[br]看看这些人是怎么做的

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他们做的事挺有意思的

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我听了 Gary 的

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就像我们一样

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就像我们当年以及之后所做的

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我觉得我们是邻居这点帮了不少忙

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我们都住在哈佛的初级教师宿舍

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部分原因是因为相比我们非常低的薪水来说

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剑桥的住宿费太高了

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我觉得我们都不是来自剑桥这一点

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也帮了不少忙

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那里有很多麻省理工的人

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他们已经有自己的社交圈了

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就像我们的合作者一样

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♪ [音乐] ♪

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- [Josh] 我觉得我们琢磨出

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一套适合我们的工作方式

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我们过的非常规律，所以才能是邻居

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我们经常一起洗衣服

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在我们的公寓里没有洗衣机

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但我们过去经常洗衣服，经常一起聊天

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你有一种非常系统的方式

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来解决我们讨论中会出现的问题

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我印象深刻的一件事是

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我们早期的互动，你会持续跟进

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你会把事情记下来

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回想那段时间，还是挺记忆犹新的

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我有大量的时间去思考

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我现在看到我初级的同事们

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[Guido] 你现在没空思考了

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[Josh] 没有，但是对我来说，这是一回事

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我现在觉得很多初级同事

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没有足够多的时间思考

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人们在做很多项目

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这些项目都很难

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人们出版的压力很大

0:03:34.560,0:03:38.081
我记得我花很多时间坐在我的办公室里

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想着 “我现在应该干什么？”

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[笑声]

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我有很多时间

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去想这些问题

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然后尝试解决它们

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我可以去研讨会

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然后第二天和 Josh 或者 Gary [br]一起喝咖啡或者吃午饭

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然后讨论事情

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- [Isaiah] 你们一起在哈佛的时间

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其实没有那么长

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你们很快就在一起工作了

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你们当时是否都在寻找共同作者的心态

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或者当时正在寻找特定类型的共同作者

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还是比这更偶然？

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- [Josh] 我觉得我们很幸运

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我不记得我在寻找什么

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我觉得这更多是偶然

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我说我进来了，我已经做完了我的就业市场论文

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以及另一篇论文

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我很高兴来到哈佛

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突然间有所有这些研讨会可以参加

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还有很多有趣的人可以交谈

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但这对我来说并不是一件非常有意识的事情

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回想起来，我想有一段时间

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我和 Guido 讨论了

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工具变量、潜在结果、治疗效果

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我们进行了很好的讨论

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之后他也给我发了一些笔记

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这些笔记非常有条理的记录了我们的讨论

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和您的想法

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我们以一种相当正式的方式得出结论

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我想，“嗯，那太好了。”

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光说没用，对吧，但是和...

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- [Guido] 对，但是[br]- 书写了他们的故事

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- [Guido] 对我来说，把事情写下来更好

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我记得和 Josh 一起工作

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坐在我的办公室里，把事情写下来

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你们都和 Gary 说过话

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之后我们需要坐下来

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真正写下事情

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以弄清楚到底发生了什么

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我记得另一件我们一起做的事情，Guido

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我们从应用当中

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得出来很多非常具体的问题

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- [Guido] 对

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