1 00:00:00,030 --> 00:00:01,830 ♪ [音乐] ♪ 2 00:00:03,630 --> 00:00:05,630 欢迎来到诺贝尔谈话 3 00:00:06,930 --> 00:00:10,300 本集中 Josh Angrist 和 Guido Imbens 4 00:00:10,300 --> 00:00:13,380 将会和 Isaiah Andrews 一同探讨 5 00:00:13,380 --> 00:00:16,700 他们获得诺贝尔奖的合作中的一些关键部分 6 00:00:16,700 --> 00:00:19,590 7 00:00:19,590 --> 00:00:20,620 8 00:00:20,620 --> 00:00:23,190 9 00:00:23,190 --> 00:00:24,778 10 00:00:24,778 --> 00:00:25,986 11 00:00:25,986 --> 00:00:28,900 12 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:32,600 13 00:00:32,900 --> 00:00:34,300 14 00:00:35,210 --> 00:00:36,650 15 00:00:36,650 --> 00:00:38,500 16 00:00:38,500 --> 00:00:40,964 17 00:00:40,964 --> 00:00:43,600 18 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:46,470 19 00:00:46,790 --> 00:00:50,624 20 00:00:50,624 --> 00:00:52,740 21 00:00:52,740 --> 00:00:54,600 22 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:56,280 23 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:58,336 24 00:00:58,336 --> 00:00:59,830 25 00:00:59,830 --> 00:01:03,000 26 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:04,900 27 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,470 28 00:01:08,470 --> 00:01:11,123 29 00:01:11,135 --> 00:01:13,940 30 00:01:13,940 --> 00:01:16,700 31 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:19,474 32 00:01:19,474 --> 00:01:20,828 33 00:01:21,089 --> 00:01:23,411 34 00:01:23,411 --> 00:01:26,941 35 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:32,900 36 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:38,220 37 00:01:38,580 --> 00:01:39,600 38 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:41,900 39 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:46,056 40 00:01:46,056 --> 00:01:49,810 41 00:01:49,810 --> 00:01:52,990 42 00:01:52,990 --> 00:01:55,700 43 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:59,776 44 00:01:59,776 --> 00:02:04,578 45 00:02:04,578 --> 00:02:06,990 46 00:02:07,470 --> 00:02:08,880 47 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:10,938 48 00:02:10,938 --> 00:02:14,834 49 00:02:14,834 --> 00:02:16,700 50 00:02:16,700 --> 00:02:20,774 51 00:02:22,030 --> 00:02:25,040 52 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:27,200 53 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:29,456 54 00:02:29,456 --> 00:02:31,212 55 00:02:31,212 --> 00:02:33,360 56 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:36,027 57 00:02:36,441 --> 00:02:37,800 58 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:39,460 59 00:02:39,460 --> 00:02:41,850 60 00:02:41,850 --> 00:02:43,800 61 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:46,410 62 00:02:46,860 --> 00:02:48,760 63 00:02:49,510 --> 00:02:51,912 64 00:02:52,500 --> 00:02:55,450 65 00:02:55,450 --> 00:02:59,072 66 00:03:00,330 --> 00:03:03,300 67 00:03:03,300 --> 00:03:05,562 68 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:08,728 69 00:03:09,993 --> 00:03:11,500 70 00:03:11,500 --> 00:03:13,250 71 00:03:13,250 --> 00:03:16,460 72 00:03:16,460 --> 00:03:17,915 73 00:03:17,915 --> 00:03:19,580 74 00:03:19,580 --> 00:03:22,753 75 00:03:22,753 --> 00:03:24,850 76 00:03:24,850 --> 00:03:27,200 77 00:03:27,200 --> 00:03:29,710 78 00:03:29,710 --> 00:03:31,800 79 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:34,560 80 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:38,081 81 00:03:38,081 --> 00:03:41,505 82 00:03:41,505 --> 00:03:42,835 83 00:03:43,410 --> 00:03:45,096 84 00:03:45,096 --> 00:03:46,883 85 00:03:46,883 --> 00:03:48,790 86 00:03:48,790 --> 00:03:50,610 87 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:56,651 88 00:03:56,651 --> 00:03:58,640 89 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:00,169 90 00:04:00,169 --> 00:04:01,558 91 00:04:01,558 --> 00:04:03,300 92 00:04:03,300 --> 00:04:06,600 93 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:09,260 94 00:04:09,260 --> 00:04:11,600 95 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:13,020 96 00:04:13,020 --> 00:04:15,444 97 00:04:16,130 --> 00:04:17,900 98 00:04:18,370 --> 00:04:21,411 99 00:04:21,411 --> 00:04:23,110 100 00:04:23,110 --> 00:04:25,500 101 00:04:25,500 --> 00:04:27,701 102 00:04:28,262 --> 00:04:30,712 103 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:35,805 104 00:04:36,300 --> 00:04:39,200 105 00:04:39,700 --> 00:04:42,933 106 00:04:42,933 --> 00:04:46,020 107 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:49,859 108 00:04:49,859 --> 00:04:54,539 109 00:04:55,770 --> 00:05:00,695 110 00:05:00,695 --> 00:05:02,966 111 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:07,457 112 00:05:07,457 --> 00:05:09,887 113 00:05:10,340 --> 00:05:13,020 114 00:05:13,020 --> 00:05:15,514 115 00:05:15,900 --> 00:05:18,500 116 00:05:18,500 --> 00:05:22,771 117 00:05:22,771 --> 00:05:26,163 118 00:05:26,633 --> 00:05:28,880 119 00:05:28,880 --> 00:05:32,212 120 00:05:32,212 --> 00:05:33,920 121 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:36,641 122 00:05:37,810 --> 00:05:39,360 123 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:41,655 124 00:05:41,655 --> 00:05:43,610 125 00:05:43,610 --> 00:05:45,000 126 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:47,465 127 00:05:47,870 --> 00:05:51,421 128 00:05:51,421 --> 00:05:55,411 129 00:05:57,110 --> 00:06:00,200 130 00:06:00,500 --> 00:06:03,800 131 00:06:04,830 --> 00:06:06,300 132 00:06:06,300 --> 00:06:07,300 133 00:06:07,300 --> 00:06:11,930 134 00:06:11,930 --> 00:06:14,890 135 00:06:14,890 --> 00:06:16,970 136 00:06:16,970 --> 00:06:19,240 137 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:20,940 138 00:06:20,940 --> 00:06:22,353 139 00:06:23,100 --> 00:06:24,410 140 00:06:24,410 --> 00:06:26,890 141 00:06:26,890 --> 00:06:28,170 142 00:06:28,170 --> 00:06:30,900 143 00:06:30,900 --> 00:06:32,100 144 00:06:32,100 --> 00:06:34,860 145 00:06:34,860 --> 00:06:36,250 146 00:06:36,250 --> 00:06:38,569 147 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:42,738 148 00:06:42,738 --> 00:06:46,500 149 00:06:46,500 --> 00:06:48,805 150 00:06:49,390 --> 00:06:51,774 151 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:57,724 152 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:00,985 153 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:05,050 154 00:07:05,050 --> 00:07:06,900 155 00:07:09,370 --> 00:07:11,754 156 00:07:12,071 --> 00:07:14,820 157 00:07:15,565 --> 00:07:18,688 158 00:07:19,250 --> 00:07:21,400 159 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:24,821 160 00:07:25,500 --> 00:07:29,800 161 00:07:30,100 --> 00:07:34,500 162 00:07:34,700 --> 00:07:37,829 163 00:07:37,829 --> 00:07:42,400 164 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:45,679 165 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:51,990 166 00:07:52,900 --> 00:07:56,000 167 00:07:56,500 --> 00:07:58,500 168 00:07:59,500 --> 00:08:03,408 169 00:08:03,408 --> 00:08:07,666 170 00:08:07,900 --> 00:08:10,842 171 00:08:10,842 --> 00:08:14,336 172 00:08:16,190 --> 00:08:18,922 173 00:08:18,922 --> 00:08:22,640 174 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:24,700 175 00:08:24,700 --> 00:08:27,602 176 00:08:30,100 --> 00:08:32,070 177 00:08:32,070 --> 00:08:34,250 178 00:08:34,250 --> 00:08:35,270 179 00:08:35,270 --> 00:08:37,460 180 00:08:38,100 --> 00:08:40,651 181 00:08:40,651 --> 00:08:43,070 182 00:08:43,070 --> 00:08:49,230 183 00:08:49,230 --> 00:08:51,100 184 00:08:51,100 --> 00:08:54,260 185 00:08:54,260 --> 00:08:56,480 186 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:58,700 187 00:08:58,700 --> 00:09:00,420 188 00:09:01,180 --> 00:09:03,600 189 00:09:03,930 --> 00:09:08,500 190 00:09:08,500 --> 00:09:11,061 191 00:09:11,431 --> 00:09:12,981 192 00:09:14,712 --> 00:09:17,465 193 00:09:17,465 --> 00:09:19,546 194 00:09:19,546 --> 00:09:23,127 195 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:26,060 196 00:09:26,060 --> 00:09:28,339 197 00:09:28,339 --> 00:09:30,700 198 00:09:30,700 --> 00:09:32,640 199 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:36,131 200 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:40,151 201 00:09:40,151 --> 00:09:42,603 202 00:09:43,583 --> 00:09:45,075 203 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:48,795 204 00:09:49,100 --> 00:09:51,560 205 00:09:51,560 --> 00:09:53,445 206 00:09:54,155 --> 00:09:56,800 207 00:09:56,800 --> 00:09:59,600 208 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:01,310 209 00:10:01,310 --> 00:10:03,896 210 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:08,192 211 00:10:08,963 --> 00:10:10,590 212 00:10:12,700 --> 00:10:14,165 213 00:10:14,165 --> 00:10:16,010 214 00:10:16,010 --> 00:10:18,600 215 00:10:18,600 --> 00:10:21,801 216 00:10:21,801 --> 00:10:22,946 217 00:10:22,946 --> 00:10:26,733 218 00:10:26,733 --> 00:10:29,555 219 00:10:30,570 --> 00:10:33,470 220 00:10:33,470 --> 00:10:36,800 221 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,309 222 00:10:40,330 --> 00:10:44,649 223 00:10:45,150 --> 00:10:46,720 224 00:10:47,390 --> 00:10:51,717 225 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:58,400 226 00:10:59,300 --> 00:11:02,905 227 00:11:03,810 --> 00:11:05,830 228 00:11:05,830 --> 00:11:08,900 229 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:16,559 230 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:20,470 231 00:11:20,470 --> 00:11:22,500 232 00:11:22,500 --> 00:11:25,370 233 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:28,010 234 00:11:28,010 --> 00:11:29,710 235 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:33,000 236 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:37,365 237 00:11:37,779 --> 00:11:39,763 238 00:11:40,220 --> 00:11:43,131 239 00:11:43,131 --> 00:11:46,134 240 00:11:46,134 --> 00:11:49,176 241 00:11:49,730 --> 00:11:56,283 242 00:11:58,500 --> 00:12:00,838 243 00:12:00,838 --> 00:12:02,800 244 00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:04,380 245 00:12:04,680 --> 00:12:07,570 246 00:12:07,570 --> 00:12:10,270 247 00:12:10,270 --> 00:12:11,880 248 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:14,430 249 00:12:14,430 --> 00:12:16,910 250 00:12:16,910 --> 00:12:19,460 251 00:12:20,620 --> 00:12:21,990 252 00:12:21,990 --> 00:12:25,270 253 00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:29,300 254 00:12:30,020 --> 00:12:31,420 255 00:12:31,420 --> 00:12:34,550 256 00:12:34,550 --> 00:12:37,034 257 00:12:38,770 --> 00:12:40,400 258 00:12:41,250 --> 00:12:44,167 259 00:12:44,780 --> 00:12:46,700 260 00:12:46,900 --> 00:12:48,200 261 00:12:48,601 --> 00:12:53,534 262 00:12:53,534 --> 00:12:57,111 263 00:12:57,111 --> 00:13:01,097 264 00:13:02,710 --> 00:13:07,532 265 00:13:07,900 --> 00:13:11,700 266 00:13:11,700 --> 00:13:13,199 267 00:13:13,199 --> 00:13:18,704 268 00:13:19,530 --> 00:13:22,190 269 00:13:22,190 --> 00:13:25,600 270 00:13:25,600 --> 00:13:26,990 271 00:13:26,990 --> 00:13:30,367 272 00:13:30,367 --> 00:13:31,860 273 00:13:31,860 --> 00:13:36,210 274 00:13:37,810 --> 00:13:39,500 275 00:13:39,500 --> 00:13:40,500 276 00:13:40,500 --> 00:13:44,600 277 00:13:45,410 --> 00:13:47,100 278 00:13:47,100 --> 00:13:51,960 279 00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:55,040 280 00:13:55,040 --> 00:13:59,100 281 00:13:59,300 --> 00:14:00,740 282 00:14:00,740 --> 00:14:04,100 283 00:14:04,100 --> 00:14:05,100 284 00:14:05,100 --> 00:14:07,005 285 00:14:07,860 --> 00:14:09,729 286 00:14:10,604 --> 00:14:12,441 287 00:14:14,420 --> 00:14:19,613 288 00:14:19,613 --> 00:14:22,348 289 00:14:22,733 --> 00:14:25,220 290 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,307 291 00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:33,360 292 00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:35,500 293 00:14:35,500 --> 00:14:37,270 294 00:14:37,270 --> 00:14:40,700 295 00:14:40,700 --> 00:14:42,630 296 00:14:42,630 --> 00:14:44,500 297 00:14:44,500 --> 00:14:46,300 298 00:14:46,300 --> 00:14:48,560 299 00:14:48,560 --> 00:14:51,462 300 00:14:51,462 --> 00:14:53,190 301 00:14:53,190 --> 00:14:54,760 302 00:14:55,300 --> 00:14:57,361 303 00:14:58,251 --> 00:15:00,588 304 00:15:00,588 --> 00:15:02,150 305 00:15:02,150 --> 00:15:06,477 306 00:15:06,477 --> 00:15:08,358 307 00:15:08,900 --> 00:15:13,512 308 00:15:13,512 --> 00:15:15,000 309 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:18,731 310 00:15:19,300 --> 00:15:24,314 311 00:15:25,500 --> 00:15:28,400 312 00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:31,300 313 00:15:33,330 --> 00:15:36,885 314 00:15:36,885 --> 00:15:40,300 315 00:15:40,300 --> 00:15:41,949 316 00:15:41,949 --> 00:15:44,000 317 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:48,400 318 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:51,100 319 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:53,300 320 00:15:53,300 --> 00:15:56,600 321 00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,100 322 00:15:59,100 --> 00:16:01,380 323 00:16:01,380 --> 00:16:04,900 324 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:07,250 325 00:16:07,250 --> 00:16:08,690 326 00:16:08,690 --> 00:16:09,813 327 00:16:09,813 --> 00:16:10,831 328 00:16:10,831 --> 00:16:12,240 329 00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:15,100 330 00:16:15,100 --> 00:16:17,300 331 00:16:18,020 --> 00:16:21,707 332 00:16:21,707 --> 00:16:23,814 333 00:16:23,814 --> 00:16:26,900 334 00:16:26,900 --> 00:16:31,000 335 00:16:31,000 --> 00:16:34,000 336 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:35,980 337 00:16:36,290 --> 00:16:37,920 338 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:40,047 339 00:16:40,047 --> 00:16:45,200 340 00:16:46,590 --> 00:16:48,620 341 00:16:49,350 --> 00:16:53,610 342 00:16:53,890 --> 00:16:55,900 343 00:16:55,900 --> 00:16:58,000 344 00:16:58,000 --> 00:16:59,270 345 00:16:59,270 --> 00:17:00,990 346 00:17:00,990 --> 00:17:02,670 347 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:07,664 348 00:17:07,664 --> 00:17:10,600 349 00:17:11,300 --> 00:17:12,500 350 00:17:12,500 --> 00:17:15,940 351 00:17:15,940 --> 00:17:19,000 352 00:17:19,710 --> 00:17:22,000 353 00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:23,260 354 00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:30,758 355 00:17:30,758 --> 00:17:33,098 356 00:17:33,098 --> 00:17:35,448 357 00:17:35,448 --> 00:17:37,128 358 00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:41,000 359 00:17:42,810 --> 00:17:44,310 360 00:17:44,310 --> 00:17:46,310 361 00:17:49,340 --> 00:17:51,710 362 00:17:51,710 --> 00:17:55,550 363 00:17:55,550 --> 00:17:57,000 364 00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:01,530 365 00:18:01,530 --> 00:18:02,530 366 00:18:02,530 --> 00:18:04,300 367 00:18:04,300 --> 00:18:07,730 368 00:18:07,730 --> 00:18:12,887 369 00:18:12,887 --> 00:18:15,687 370 00:18:15,687 --> 00:18:18,267 371 00:18:18,267 --> 00:18:20,678 372 00:18:20,689 --> 00:18:24,300 373 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,550 374 00:18:27,550 --> 00:18:28,790 375 00:18:29,430 --> 00:18:32,810 376 00:18:32,810 --> 00:18:34,800 377 00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:36,800 378 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:39,810 379 00:18:39,810 --> 00:18:42,400 380 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:46,500 381 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:50,350 382 00:18:50,350 --> 00:18:52,210 383 00:18:52,210 --> 00:18:53,500 384 00:18:53,500 --> 00:18:55,480 385 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:57,885 386 00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:02,869 387 00:19:03,270 --> 00:19:06,542 388 00:19:07,500 --> 00:19:11,618 389 00:19:11,990 --> 00:19:13,210 390 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:15,879 391 00:19:16,710 --> 00:19:18,612 392 00:19:20,300 --> 00:19:22,672 393 00:19:22,672 --> 00:19:24,995 394 00:19:26,300 --> 00:19:28,346 395 00:19:28,346 --> 00:19:31,400 396 00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:35,350 397 00:19:35,350 --> 00:19:37,140 398 00:19:37,640 --> 00:19:40,730 399 00:19:41,300 --> 00:19:43,757 400 00:19:43,757 --> 00:19:45,356 401 00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:48,940 402 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:53,400 403 00:19:54,740 --> 00:19:56,011 404 00:19:56,011 --> 00:19:58,022 405 00:19:59,620 --> 00:20:04,133 406 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:09,193 407 00:20:09,193 --> 00:20:11,790 408 00:20:11,790 --> 00:20:13,350 409 00:20:13,350 --> 00:20:14,375 410 00:20:14,375 --> 00:20:15,990 411 00:20:15,990 --> 00:20:18,198 412 00:20:18,198 --> 00:20:20,516 413 00:20:20,516 --> 00:20:23,290 414 00:20:23,845 --> 00:20:26,713 415 00:20:26,713 --> 00:20:28,514 416 00:20:28,514 --> 00:20:30,347