1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,000 Going with my habit of overly simplified economy let's imagine economy that 2 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:07,000 has only two actors in it: so that's Mr Farmer right over here 3 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:12,000 I'll do my best to draw the farmer, maybe he has the mustache of some kind 4 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:15,000 so that's Mr Farmer right over here, he's got a hat on 5 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:20,000 so it has Mr Farmer So that is the Farmer 6 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:24,000 in this economy, and we'll also have a Builder 7 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:27,000 so this economy they are producing two things: they are producing food and this Builder 8 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:31,000 can help mantain stuff so maybe 9 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:38,000 so maybe this is Mr Builder right over here 10 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:40,000 is Mr Builder. And let's say, for the sake of 11 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:44,000 do here let's say that for this economy it kind of a constant that 12 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:47,000 either of these fellows gets an extra dollar to spend 13 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:51,000 he is going to spend 60% of it so I'll introduce a formal word that 14 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:55,000 that really is another way of saying that: in this economy 15 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:59,000 the marginal propensity to consume: MPC 16 00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:03,000 propensity to 17 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:07,000 consume is 18 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:12,000 open parentesis is often MPC 19 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:16,000 that is equal to say 60% 20 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:18,000 and or is equal to 0.6 21 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:23,000 And all this thing if someone in this economy somehow finds another dollar 22 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,000 in their pocket they're going to spend 0.6 of that or 23 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:31,000 60% of that, so if you give the Builder, if the builder gets some extra dollar 24 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:35,000 he is going to spend another 60 cents on another things Farmer 25 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:39,000 if the Farmer gets another dollar he is going to spend 60% 26 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:43,000 or 60 cents with the builder. Now, given this assumption let's 27 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:47,000 think about what'll happen in this economy if all of the sudden one of them decided to 28 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:49,000 increase their spending over there: so all the sum 29 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:55,000 economy let's say the farmer discovers 30 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:58,000 a sac in a drawer that he didn't realise was there 31 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:02,000 currency maybe get a 32 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:09,000 maybe currency in that is 33 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:09,000 dollar and the farmer discovers that he 34 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:16,000 he discovers a big power dollar in the sac 35 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:19,000 and he say and do some repairs to my building 36 00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:23,000 so let's we have this kind of increase in 37 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:27,000 spending that's going on, so the farmer says I'm going to spend 38 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:31,000 I'm going to spend 1000 dollars and I'm going to 39 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:33,000 give it to the builder, now the builder says 40 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:40,000 1000 dol, I have the marginal propensity to consume or 0.6 41 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:42,000 he is going to spend 42 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:50,000 with the farmer he is going to spend 60% 43 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:56,000 times 1000 dol, which is equal to 600 dol 44 00:02:56,000 --> 00:03:00,000 well now the farmer says 45 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:03,000 1000 somehow the builder to spend 46 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:06,000 more on me much more 47 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:12,000 I had 600 more I have the marginal propensity 48 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:15,000 to consume of 0.6 or 60% so I'll spend 49 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,000 60% of that 600 dol that I've just got 50 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:23,000 it will be 60% of that thing so it will be 51 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:27,000 60 decimal so it will be 0.6 52 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:32,000 times this thing which is 0.6 53 00:03:32,000 --> 00:03:35,000 times 1000 or you can say 60% 54 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:38,000 of this 600 dol which is going to equal to 360 dol. 55 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:43,000 now the builder says 56 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:48,000 I gave the initial 600 dol another 360 dollars 57 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:52,000 and I have the amrginal propensity to consume of 0.6 so I'll 58 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:54,000 spend 60% of that bothered on this spending 59 00:03:54,000 --> 00:04:00,000 he also spends 60% of this right over here and 60% of this 60 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:03,000 is 0.6 times this whole thing 61 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:07,000 0.6 times this thing 62 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:12,000 times 0.6 times this thing - times 0.6 63 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:16,000 times 1000 dol. Now this 64 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:20,000 number right over here 60% of 360 dol 65 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:24,000 I'd like to calculator to figure what it is exactly 66 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:28,000 so let's say that I have 67 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:34,000 it's 0.6 to the 3rd power 68 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:37,000 0.6 to the third 69 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:40,000 multiply that times 1000 70 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:44,000 gives us 216 dollars. so this guy 71 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:46,000 write it over here 72 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:52,000 I'm going to spend 60% of that 73 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:55,000 is going, and 60% of you see where it's going 74 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:56,000 so it's going to be 0.6 75 00:04:56,000 --> 00:05:02,000 times this thing which is already 0.6 times 0.6 76 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:08,000 0.6 times 0.6 to the 3rd power 77 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:11,000 0.6 to the 4th power times 78 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:16,000 1000 which is whatever sixty 79 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:17,000 percent of 80 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:24,000 0.6 gives us 115 dollars 81 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:27,000 129, and this guy Oh I have 82 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:32,000 spend 60% of that, and this goes on and on 83 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:35,000 so given this think how much from that incremental 84 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:39,000 increase of spending of a 1000 dollars how much total 85 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:42,000 new production and spending happen in this economy 86 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:46,000 so the way to think about that - so the total 87 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:53,000 we can do the either way we can do kind of GDP 88 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:56,000 output income expenditure 89 00:05:56,000 --> 00:06:00,000 these all views because economy is a very thing 90 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,000 one persone's expenditure turns into another person's income 91 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:07,000 we can say total output here measured in our agreed currency 92 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:11,000 which is dollars this is now going to be 93 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:16,000 original 1000 farmer spend for the builder 94 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:21,000 original 1000 plus this 1st right over here 95 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:24,000 this that the builder spent 96 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:28,000 .6 times 1000 plus 97 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:31,000 than we have this time the farmer said I'm 98 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:39,000 6 square 99 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:40,000 times 1000 and than this guy 100 00:06:40,000 --> 00:06:42,000 I spend 60% of that 101 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:48,000 and spend gives 3rd power 102 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:52,000 1000 + 0.6 to the 3rd power times 103 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:55,000 1000 and that the last 104 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:59,000 keep going on and on forever theoretically 105 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:04,000 6 + 0.6 to the 4th power 106 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:08,000 times 1000 and this will keep going on and on 107 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:11,000 forever plus 0.6 to the 5th power 108 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:15,000 0.6 to the 6th power and going on and on forever 109 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:21,000 and one of those things about mathematics 110 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:24,000 equall multuply is that you can actually sum 111 00:07:24,000 --> 00:07:28,000 up because this value right over here is less than one 112 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:31,000 ends up being infinite sum 113 00:07:31,000 --> 00:07:35,000 you can actually take this infinite sum and find number so just to simplify this 114 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:40,000 the total output from that's kind of original 1000 115 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,000 we can factured 1000 new colour 116 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:48,000 so we can fracturate 1000 left with 117 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:52,000 one plus 0.6 plus 118 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:57,000 0.6 square + 0.6 119 00:07:57,000 --> 00:08:01,000 to the third power plus 0.6 to the 4th power 120 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:04,000 on and on and on and on the next video 121 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:10,000 just for fun, but his write over here it's an infitinite sum 122 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,000 geometric series and this actually simplify to 123 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:17,000 as one over one 124 00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:20,000 minus 0.6, so whatever this number is 125 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:23,000 here that will be 126 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:30,000 this will be equal one over 127 00:08:30,000 --> 00:08:34,000 0.4 and 0.4 128 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:37,000 is two fifths one over two fifths 129 00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:40,000 which is equal to 5 halfs 130 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:46,000 so your total output is going to be equal to 131 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:50,000 1000 times 5 halfs 132 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:54,000 and this the same thing as equal to 1000 times 2,5 133 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:58,000 which is equal to 25 hundret (2500) 134 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:02,000 there is two interesting ideas going here. one is when people get a bit of more income, they're going to 135 00:09:02,000 --> 00:09:06,000 spend some of it adn that's the marginal propensity to consume 136 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:09,000 how much you 60% of that 137 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:13,000 60% it keep going multiplied throw the economy 138 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:17,000 multiplier fraction of that get spent 139 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:20,000 some fraction of that get spent 140 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:24,000 1000 that first 1000 dollars got multiplied 141 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:29,000 by 2,5 and that 2,5 was completely a function of what the 142 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:34,000 MPC was, so we have this relationship here 143 00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:37,000 is that whatever the marginal propensity to consumer is that drives 144 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:41,000 the multiplier that drives the multiplier 145 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:45,000 all the multiplier say if you spend an extra dollar in this economy 146 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:49,000 given people's MPC how much 147 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:53,000 will than increase total output