0:00:00.000,0:00:03.000 Going with my habit of overly simplified economy let's imagine economy that 0:00:03.000,0:00:07.000 has only two actors in it: so that's Mr Farmer right over here 0:00:07.000,0:00:12.000 I'll do my best to draw the farmer, maybe he has the mustache of some kind 0:00:12.000,0:00:15.000 so that's Mr Farmer right over here, he's got a hat on 0:00:15.000,0:00:20.000 so it has Mr Farmer So that is the Farmer 0:00:20.000,0:00:24.000 in this economy, and we'll also have a Builder 0:00:24.000,0:00:27.000 so this economy they are producing two things: they are producing food and this Builder 0:00:27.000,0:00:31.000 can help mantain stuff so maybe 0:00:31.000,0:00:38.000 so maybe this is Mr Builder right over here 0:00:38.000,0:00:40.000 is Mr Builder. And let's say, for the sake of 0:00:40.000,0:00:44.000 do here let's say that for this economy it kind of a constant that 0:00:44.000,0:00:47.000 either of these fellows gets an extra dollar to spend 0:00:47.000,0:00:51.000 he is going to spend 60% of it so I'll introduce a formal word that 0:00:51.000,0:00:55.000 that really is another way of saying that: in this economy 0:00:55.000,0:00:59.000 the marginal propensity to consume: MPC 0:00:59.000,0:01:03.000 propensity to 0:01:03.000,0:01:07.000 consume is 0:01:07.000,0:01:12.000 open parentesis is often MPC 0:01:12.000,0:01:16.000 that is equal to say 60% 0:01:16.000,0:01:18.000 and or is equal to 0.6 0:01:18.000,0:01:23.000 And all this thing if someone in this economy somehow finds another dollar 0:01:23.000,0:01:26.000 in their pocket they're going to spend 0.6 of that or 0:01:26.000,0:01:31.000 60% of that, so if you give the Builder, if the builder gets some extra dollar 0:01:31.000,0:01:35.000 he is going to spend another 60 cents on another things Farmer 0:01:35.000,0:01:39.000 if the Farmer gets another dollar he is going to spend 60% 0:01:39.000,0:01:43.000 or 60 cents with the builder. Now, given this assumption let's 0:01:43.000,0:01:47.000 think about what'll happen in this economy if all of the sudden one of them decided to 0:01:47.000,0:01:49.000 increase their spending over there: so all the sum 0:01:49.000,0:01:55.000 economy let's say the farmer discovers 0:01:55.000,0:01:58.000 a sac in a drawer that he didn't realise was there 0:01:58.000,0:02:02.000 currency maybe get a 0:02:02.000,0:02:09.000 maybe currency in that is 0:02:09.000,0:02:09.000 dollar and the farmer discovers that he 0:02:09.000,0:02:16.000 he discovers a big power dollar in the sac 0:02:16.000,0:02:19.000 and he say and do some repairs to my building 0:02:19.000,0:02:23.000 so let's we have this kind of increase in 0:02:23.000,0:02:27.000 spending that's going on, so the farmer says I'm going to spend 0:02:27.000,0:02:31.000 I'm going to spend 1000 dollars and I'm going to 0:02:31.000,0:02:33.000 give it to the builder, now the builder says 0:02:33.000,0:02:40.000 1000 dol, I have the marginal propensity to consume or 0.6 0:02:40.000,0:02:42.000 he is going to spend 0:02:42.000,0:02:50.000 with the farmer he is going to spend 60% 0:02:50.000,0:02:56.000 times 1000 dol, which is equal to 600 dol 0:02:56.000,0:03:00.000 well now the farmer says 0:03:00.000,0:03:03.000 1000 somehow the builder to spend 0:03:03.000,0:03:06.000 more on me much more 0:03:06.000,0:03:12.000 I had 600 more I have the marginal propensity 0:03:12.000,0:03:15.000 to consume of 0.6 or 60% so I'll spend 0:03:15.000,0:03:17.000 60% of that 600 dol that I've just got 0:03:17.000,0:03:23.000 it will be 60% of that thing so it will be 0:03:23.000,0:03:27.000 60 decimal so it will be 0.6 0:03:27.000,0:03:32.000 times this thing which is 0.6 0:03:32.000,0:03:35.000 times 1000 or you can say 60% 0:03:35.000,0:03:38.000 of this 600 dol which is going to equal to 360 dol. 0:03:38.000,0:03:43.000 now the builder says 0:03:43.000,0:03:48.000 I gave the initial 600 dol another 360 dollars 0:03:48.000,0:03:52.000 and I have the amrginal propensity to consume of 0.6 so I'll 0:03:52.000,0:03:54.000 spend 60% of that bothered on this spending 0:03:54.000,0:04:00.000 he also spends 60% of this right over here and 60% of this 0:04:00.000,0:04:03.000 is 0.6 times this whole thing 0:04:03.000,0:04:07.000 0.6 times this thing 0:04:07.000,0:04:12.000 times 0.6 times this thing - times 0.6 0:04:12.000,0:04:16.000 times 1000 dol. Now this 0:04:16.000,0:04:20.000 number right over here 60% of 360 dol 0:04:20.000,0:04:24.000 I'd like to calculator to figure what it is exactly 0:04:24.000,0:04:28.000 so let's say that I have 0:04:28.000,0:04:34.000 it's 0.6 to the 3rd power 0:04:34.000,0:04:37.000 0.6 to the third 0:04:37.000,0:04:40.000 multiply that times 1000 0:04:40.000,0:04:44.000 gives us 216 dollars. so this guy 0:04:44.000,0:04:46.000 write it over here 0:04:46.000,0:04:52.000 I'm going to spend 60% of that 0:04:52.000,0:04:55.000 is going, and 60% of you see where it's going 0:04:55.000,0:04:56.000 so it's going to be 0.6 0:04:56.000,0:05:02.000 times this thing which is already 0.6 times 0.6 0:05:02.000,0:05:08.000 0.6 times 0.6 to the 3rd power 0:05:08.000,0:05:11.000 0.6 to the 4th power times 0:05:11.000,0:05:16.000 1000 which is whatever sixty 0:05:16.000,0:05:17.000 percent of 0:05:17.000,0:05:24.000 0.6 gives us 115 dollars 0:05:24.000,0:05:27.000 129, and this guy Oh I have 0:05:27.000,0:05:32.000 spend 60% of that, and this goes on and on 0:05:32.000,0:05:35.000 so given this think how much from that incremental 0:05:35.000,0:05:39.000 increase of spending of a 1000 dollars how much total 0:05:39.000,0:05:42.000 new production and spending happen in this economy 0:05:42.000,0:05:46.000 so the way to think about that - so the total 0:05:46.000,0:05:53.000 we can do the either way we can do kind of GDP 0:05:53.000,0:05:56.000 output income expenditure 0:05:56.000,0:06:00.000 these all views because economy is a very thing 0:06:00.000,0:06:03.000 one persone's expenditure turns into another person's income 0:06:03.000,0:06:07.000 we can say total output here measured in our agreed currency 0:06:07.000,0:06:11.000 which is dollars this is now going to be 0:06:11.000,0:06:16.000 original 1000 farmer spend for the builder 0:06:16.000,0:06:21.000 original 1000 plus this 1st right over here 0:06:21.000,0:06:24.000 this that the builder spent 0:06:24.000,0:06:28.000 .6 times 1000 plus 0:06:28.000,0:06:31.000 than we have this time the farmer said I'm 0:06:31.000,0:06:39.000 6 square 0:06:39.000,0:06:40.000 times 1000 and than this guy 0:06:40.000,0:06:42.000 I spend 60% of that 0:06:42.000,0:06:48.000 and spend gives 3rd power 0:06:48.000,0:06:52.000 1000 + 0.6 to the 3rd power times 0:06:52.000,0:06:55.000 1000 and that the last 0:06:55.000,0:06:59.000 keep going on and on forever theoretically 0:06:59.000,0:07:04.000 6 + 0.6 to the 4th power 0:07:04.000,0:07:08.000 times 1000 and this will keep going on and on 0:07:08.000,0:07:11.000 forever plus 0.6 to the 5th power 0:07:11.000,0:07:15.000 0.6 to the 6th power and going on and on forever 0:07:15.000,0:07:21.000 and one of those things about mathematics 0:07:21.000,0:07:24.000 equall multuply is that you can actually sum 0:07:24.000,0:07:28.000 up because this value right over here is less than one 0:07:28.000,0:07:31.000 ends up being infinite sum 0:07:31.000,0:07:35.000 you can actually take this infinite sum and find number so just to simplify this 0:07:35.000,0:07:40.000 the total output from that's kind of original 1000 0:07:40.000,0:07:43.000 we can factured 1000 new colour 0:07:43.000,0:07:48.000 so we can fracturate 1000 left with 0:07:48.000,0:07:52.000 one plus 0.6 plus 0:07:52.000,0:07:57.000 0.6 square + 0.6 0:07:57.000,0:08:01.000 to the third power plus 0.6 to the 4th power 0:08:01.000,0:08:04.000 on and on and on and on the next video 0:08:04.000,0:08:10.000 just for fun, but his write over here it's an infitinite sum 0:08:10.000,0:08:12.000 geometric series and this actually simplify to 0:08:12.000,0:08:17.000 as one over one 0:08:17.000,0:08:20.000 minus 0.6, so whatever this number is 0:08:20.000,0:08:23.000 here that will be 0:08:23.000,0:08:30.000 this will be equal one over 0:08:30.000,0:08:34.000 0.4 and 0.4 0:08:34.000,0:08:37.000 is two fifths one over two fifths 0:08:37.000,0:08:40.000 which is equal to 5 halfs 0:08:40.000,0:08:46.000 so your total output is going to be equal to 0:08:46.000,0:08:50.000 1000 times 5 halfs 0:08:50.000,0:08:54.000 and this the same thing as equal to 1000 times 2,5 0:08:54.000,0:08:58.000 which is equal to 25 hundret (2500) 0:08:58.000,0:09:02.000 there is two interesting ideas going here. one is when people get a bit of more income, they're going to 0:09:02.000,0:09:06.000 spend some of it adn that's the marginal propensity to consume 0:09:06.000,0:09:09.000 how much you 60% of that 0:09:09.000,0:09:13.000 60% it keep going multiplied throw the economy 0:09:13.000,0:09:17.000 multiplier fraction of that get spent 0:09:17.000,0:09:20.000 some fraction of that get spent 0:09:20.000,0:09:24.000 1000 that first 1000 dollars got multiplied 0:09:24.000,0:09:29.000 by 2,5 and that 2,5 was completely a function of what the 0:09:29.000,0:09:34.000 MPC was, so we have this relationship here 0:09:34.000,0:09:37.000 is that whatever the marginal propensity to consumer is that drives 0:09:37.000,0:09:41.000 the multiplier that drives the multiplier 0:09:41.000,0:09:45.000 all the multiplier say if you spend an extra dollar in this economy 0:09:45.000,0:09:49.000 given people's MPC how much 0:09:49.000,0:09:53.000 will than increase total output