All of us live in the shadow of an ominous future. None of us can be certain what the years and decades ahead will bring... but fleeting glimpses have begun to appear in the here-and-now. And they are terrifying. Fires ravaging Brazil and it’s Amazon rainforest Super-typhoon Haiyan has made a direct hit. In this Mozambique port city of Beira, an inland ocean Continental Europe is baking. feels like you’re sitting in an oven. For years, climate scientists’ increasingly urgent warnings have fallen on the deaf ears of capitalist technocrats from the extractive industries, and their acolytes in the halls of state power. Faced with the apparent inaction of these decision-makers, environmental activists and non-profits have opted to simply shout louder... seemingly unaware that they’re speaking the wrong language. The most dire predictions of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, have repeatedly failed to keep up with the pace and trajectory of ecological devastation. This problem stems from a persistent inability to predict and account for the cascading, mutually-reinforcing nature of runaway feedback loops. With each passing year, this situation gets worse. As glaciers recede and ice-shelves collapse, record-breaking forest fires in Alaska and Siberia foreshadow the thawing of the Arctic permafrost — a volatile wildcard with the potential to dump more carbon into the atmosphere than the sum total released during the past two centuries of human activity. Heatwaves and droughts claim the lives of millions of people each year, a majority of whom are children from the Global South. And while the great mass of humanity swelters here on land, temperatures are rising even more rapidly in the oceans. This is leading to mass die-offs in what were once some of the richest areas of biodiversity on the planet, and spawning more frequent and violent mega-storms. And yet, despite the incredibly drastic situation that we face, much of the mainstream discourse around climate change remains aimed at competing with oil industry propaganda to convince the public that the phenomenon even exists. And despite the vast amount of time and resources devoted to this task, millions of people continue to loudly claim that global warming is a hoax, including the President of the United States. Over the next thirty minutes, we’ll take a closer look at some of the potential implications and underlying causes of this slowly unfolding disaster. Along the way, we’ll talk to a number of individuals as they share their personal experiences fighting their alienation from the natural world, pushing back against ecologically-destructive industrial development projects... and making a whole lot of trouble. The climate emergency is affecting people here and now all over the world. There’s still this portrayal and thinking along the lines of “oh, we still have eight years or ten years to really respond.” or maybe even change things, or quote unquote you still hear “save the earth,” which is, an enormous amount of hubris that goes along with that, as well as just being factually inaccurate. You can look out your window anywhere you are on the planet right now and see it’s upon us now. We need to behave accordingly because of that and not pretend that it’s out in the future and there’s still time to avoid what’s upon us. Worldwide all of the climates together, they act together. What happens on the other side of the world affects us here. Climate change, we’re already seeing the effects on animals that are in our region that don’t normally live here. We also have a great deal of changes in the water temperatures, so it affects salmon numbers. The habitats of the salmon are being changed with soil erosion as well as deforestation from industry. Most of these industries don’t clean up any of their messes. Whether it’s the amazon or if it’s the arctic, all of those different ecosystems are now as a result, moving outside of the equilibrium that they’ve been in for, say, several hundred thousand years that have allowed us to live on this planet in the way that we do in this kind of harmony. That means huge shifts in the now and where humans and other animals area able to live. This process is being exacerbated by capitalism. Glaciers receding around the planet dramatically is the perfect illustration of the impact that industrialization and corporate capitalism is having. Just in the Himalayas alone, there’s 1.5 billion people that at current rates of ice loss in the Himalayas and in the Hindu Kush specifically, that by 2100 may not have any water for drinking and irrigation. And that’s just talking about glaciers, I mean we could say similar things when we talk about ocean acidification, the warming of the oceans, sea level rise, all these other really, really dramatic and obvious impacts of the climate crisis. The latest now, on that state of emergency in Venice. Water levels are even higher this morning, the city’s worst flooding in more than 50 years. The Indonesian capital Jakarta is slowly sinking. By 2030, half of the city will be below sea level. The simplest way to explain a feedback loop is, the more something happens, the more something happens. The most famous and easy to explain feedback loop perhaps is the loss of summer sea ice in the arctic. So when the sea ice is there, it reflects most of the sun rays back into space and that solar radiation, the heat, with it. As the atmosphere warms and the sea ice melts, then the ocean around it more is exposed and it absorbs more of that sunlight and heat, which then makes the ice melt faster which then means the ocean absorbs more heat, and so it goes. According to a new report experts say that we have until 2030 to avoid catastrophe. It also says if unprecedented changes are not made soon, there will be irreversible damage to the planet. The report focuses on what could happen if global temperatures rise by more than 1.5 degrees Celcius, or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit. The problem is the IPCC fails to include the rapidity of the feedback loops and the non-linear nature. So it’s not just things are increasing like this, but they're increasing like that. And I think that’s a concept that’s very important for people to understand, and also one that unfortunately a lot of people don’t understand, and it’s because their simply not being told by the corporate press. There’s this idea that climate disaster is going to level systems of power. That we are going to be affected at the same rate and thus have the ability to build power as politicians and elites are simultaneously dis-empowered. But this is not how it’s worked so far. People who have the incentive to fight against climate change are going to be fighting the rise of fascists and militant citizen groups trying to hoard and protect resources, as well as the militarization of the state and natural disasters. Dealing with climate change means dealing with inequality, means dealing with systems of injustice. The impacts are disproportionate and intersectional right. The impacts of the climate emergency are especially felt by low-income communities, by racialized communities, by people in the global south. People of color, indigenous people in particular, are most likely the most impacted by climate change and industrial disasters. I think what we’re now starting to realize is that climate change is more than just about carbon. it’s about a way of life, a way of being, it’s about an understanding of the world, the understanding of nature, the understanding of who we are. And what we’re starting to realize is that in order for us to change our approach to the climate, we really have to change everything that we do. Looking at climate change, looking at solutions, is a lot more than just thinking about techno fixes, it’s about re-writing our entire operating system. On Friday September 20th, 2019, millions of people from more than 160 countries took to the streets, in what’s been described as the largest climate protests in human history. These rallies and demonstrations were led by young people, particularly high school students responding to 16 year old Swedish activist Greta Thunberg’s call to skip class and participate in what was dubbed a ‘climate strike’. Thunberg, who has been skipping class herself every Friday for the past year to protest politicians’ inaction on climate change, is an impressive figure. Her withering speeches to world leaders, in which she berates them for their shameless insincerity and their crimes against future generations, resonate with a public that has grown increasingly frustrated by their so-called leaders’ inability to stop this slow-moving apocalypse. But as impressive as this massive upsurge in mobilization and awareness has been, these rallies will accomplish very little in and of themselves, other than provide yet another exercise in recuperation and an opportunity for political re-branding. And that is because they are premised on a comforting, naive, and ultimately false conception of how the world works. The true mechanisms of power that are driving us down the path of climate destruction are not swayed by protests. Capitalism, as it turns out, also has a pretty strong survival instinct. And its drive for self-preservation is based on perpetual economic growth... a principle that every single state and the entire architecture of global finance exists to uphold. Ridding ourselves of the fairy tale notion that we can somehow avoid the worst effects of global warming if we organize a big enough rally does not necessarily entail giving up, or succumbing to fatalistic despair. Instead it can and should serve as a sobering call to brace ourselves to the harsh reality that politicians aren’t going to save us. And that we need to start acting accordingly. Climate change is like the earth going into shock from a gunshot wound. And it makes no sense to try to talk about solving the problem without talking about the bullet, which is our current capitalist, extractive resource-dependent civilization. I don’t see us rapidly changing soon enough to stop climate change. It’s not just running a vehicle that’s creating climate change. The mass amount of industrialization and disconnect from our planet is what’s creating the climate change. We just feel that ‘oh, I’m entitled to this.’ That the way we live today in a modern life—that that has to keep existing. People know the basics of climate change and ecological destruction at this point, and I think we need to abandon this insistence on education, or raising awareness. Education is great, for a while, but I think what is needed is groups of people who trust each other to feel empowered and act. And supported when they do. I mean does anyone really, taking a sober assessment of the situation in this country today politically, think that any pressure can be brought to bear to change a system where fascists essentially rule the White House, the Supreme Court and the Senate? Does it make sense to use traditional methods of information-spreading and organization to try to apply pressure to an authoritarian regime? Would it make a whole lot of sense for there to be a traditionally-organized environmental movement in Russia trying to apply pressure to President Putin to have better climate policy? And anyone that’s gonna really argue differently about that in this country is just not taking a very clear, honest look at the situation this country’s already in. Movements in other countries know that politicians don’t willingly give up their power. Incapacitating systems that harm them is really what changes things. I would say my main critique of the mainstream environmental movement in general is that it’s too liberal. The mainstream environmental movement, at least as we see it on television, is really a movement that features people who are fairly comfortable with the status quo—with capitalism, with colonialism and all these other things. And don’t really want to challenge them. It’s exciting to see momentum around the urgency of climate change, but it’s also important to recognize that groups like Extinction Rebellion are still operating from the basic idea that appealing to power is an effective way to bring about change. Really, XR I think needs to be able to engage much more closely with the communities that are affected by these disruptions to understand what kinds of activities would they support. And that means broadening the discussion around climate change, so that people can begin to see it’s not just about extinction in a far-flung future. That it’s something a bit abstract to think about. That that same system is destroying lives here and now. That’s the system that people are worried about. Y’know, they’re struggling to pay their bills. They’re kind of reeling under the impacts of austerity. It’s that same system that is basically destroying the planet, and destroying our ecosystems. The large climate marches that we’ve seen more recently—these marches of hundreds of thousands of people—show me that we have enough human beings who care. The question is whether those people are willing to use the tactics necessary. Whether they’re willing and able to learn from other movements in history, and from more grassroots, direct-action oriented movements. The premise of direct action is that you are not appealing to a larger power than yourself to enact change. You’re taking power into your own hands instead of trying to figure out what you could do that would help someone else make that change happen for you. Direct action from Indigenous-led land defence and water defence has proven over time that we can go back to humble ways of living. We can reduce our consumption. It requires a smaller number of people, but it requires a higher level of risk. And that’s often why people from a more comfortable background don’t want to do that kind of action. Mothers in marginalized communities have historically been on the forefront, because marginalized communities are often receiving the first blow of the horrors of our ecological and social and economic collapse. The project of fighting climate change in the long term also means essentially getting rid of capitalism. That we have to move to other economic systems and overturn the legacy of colonialism that was the original way to impose capitalism on most of the world. We need to look at how we can dismantle these kinds of systems. We have it in us to turn things around, but there’s a lot to let go of. We have to get very very real about the situation that we’re in. And that’s gonna call on something different within each one of us, as far as how committed are we to walking our talk? That’s the action that these kids are really marching for. That’s the real action that needs to happen. A complete overhaul and dismantling of society. According to official statistics from the UN Refugee Agency, 16.1 million people were displaced due to weather-related events in 2018 alone. Notably, this figure does not include those forced from their homes by armed conflicts triggered, or worsened by climate-related factors. A new study, released in October of 2019, suggests that the number of people that will be affected by rising sea levels in the coming decades is more than three times what was previously thought. The updated report projects that 300 million people will experience annual flooding by the year 2050, meaning that many coastal cities will need to be evacuated altogether. These figures are based on countries meeting the emission reduction targets outlined in the Paris Climate Accord, which isn’t going to happen... meaning that the actual figures are likely to be even higher. Much of the displacement from sea level rise is expected to occur in heavily-populated regions in Asia. In Bangladesh alone, the homes of 42 million people are at risk. Given the rise of Hindu nationalism and the acute threat of ethno-religious sectarianism in the neighbouring state of India, the prospects of a mass exodus from Bangladesh are particularly grim. But it’s far from the only potential geopolitical flashpoint. The racist anxieties conjured up by the spectre of unchecked migration has been a windfall for fascist, third-positionist and identitarian movements, nationalist politicians, police forces, military planners and other advocates of increased border militarization all around the world. Unfortunately, over the coming years and decades, this trend is likely going to get much, much worse. The climate crisis is causing and affecting a refugee crisis, or at least adding dramatically to already existing refugee crises. For example, we look at the Arab Spring. One of the foundational causes of the Arab Spring was drought, regional drought. We can remember the Arab Spring was caused by a fruit vendor in Tunisia doing self-immolation, and that was because of food prices and because what’s happening to crops, and because of governments not stepping in to help in anyway. A series of global climate linked food basket failures before the 2011 Arab Spring led to these big food price spikes in the year before the riots broke out. And it was those food price spikes that made basic food, like bread, almost unaffordable for many people in those parts of the world, which was one of the major triggers for the outbreak of riots. People were literally not eating and farmers were literally not making it, and that spread across the whole region, and look at what’s happened today. There’s a huge immigration crisis of people going across the Mediterranean, drowning in boats, and trying to get to Europe, and trying to get to safer countries. The number of migrants and refugees who have lost their lives in the Mediterranean in 2019 is up to 900. ... declared a state of emergency. The summit that’s taking place next week will be looking for new ways to tackle the continent’s biggest influx of migrants since the second world war. The number of asylum seekers are very high. Police now decide who stays and who moves on deeper into Europe and into uncertainty. So we’re already seeing governments around the world move in a direction of policing migrants, in particular, because of the climate emergency and because of its impact. There is a real essential connection and an essential overlap between the migrant crisis and authoritarianism. And we see in North America, and many parts of the world, that authoritarians or would-be authoritarians are using the migrant crisis as an excuse to whip up xenophobia and racism. And using it as an excuse to crack down at borders and crackdown on undocumented people. We look at what’s happening in the United States where so many people coming to the southern border coming up through Mexico are farmers from Central America that just can’t make it- that’s because of drought, that’s because of extreme weather events and things that never used to happen at the level that they’re happening now. Another factor is rising sea-levels. The hard fact is that the amount of sea-level rise that right now is already baked into the system; meaning, if we stopped all C02 emissions on a dime, we have meters of sea-lvel rise that are inevitable now, that means every major coastal city on the planet is gone. The question is not, “if,” it is “when”. So, where are all those hundreds of millions of people going to go? People are becoming more and more paranoid and afraid, thus this human population is becoming more and more fragile. And with that fragility comes more fear-based expansion on the militaries. At the moment, most governments who are looking at climate change... where we’re seeing the real action is that most governments are doing it through the lense of national security. They will look at all the different ways that climate change can amplify traditional security threats- how will climate change amplify conflict? How will climate change destabilize different countries due to impact on water or impact on food? And that sort of thing, so all of the focus ends up expanding... you know you’ll have militarization and police state power in order to be prepared for what happens when climate destabilizes your soc iety. After the Arab spring, we had this massive seismic shifts in politics, very rapidly across the Western world. The election of Donald Trump, the Brexit referendum, the increase in popularity of far-right groups in Europe. And what we know is that this sort of thing is likely to continue happening. We’re gonna see capitalism and neo-fascism both exacerbating and causing these disasters, and being involved in the aftermath whether that be militias or hate crimes occurring. Western world. Fortress Europe. Fortress Britain. Is that the politics we have in store? Are we seeing this worst-case scenario of where doing nothing about climate change leads to the rise of different forms of fascism, and possibly even a form of even eco-fascism... who knows? Given its incredibly vast scale and complexity, and the existential threat that it poses to the future of life on this planet, the spectre of climate catastrophe can take a serious toll on our individual and collective mental health. Unfortunately, matters aren’t helped by the heavily ingrained Western tendency to frame issues in stark, moralistic, all-or-nothing terms. Environmental non-profits repeatedly claiming that humanity has ‘one more chance to save the world’ may encourage people to come out to a rally or a march... for a while. But it doesn’t do much to equip people for the inevitable disillusionment that comes when the world isn’t saved, and business continues as usual. The question is... what comes next? Thankfully, the struggle isn’t a zero-sum game. We need to accept that the effects of climate change are already upon us, and they will continue to get worse for the foreseeable future. In order to stem and begin to reverse this tide, we need to overthrow capitalism, remove the ceaseless drive for profit as the central organizational pillar of the global economy, and build a new, more sustainable civilization in its place. This monumental task is too much for any of us to do on our own. It is a historic challenge that will require a massive shift in global consciousness, and the combined, unshakable determination of millions of people willing to risk their lives. All that each of us can do is play our own small part in this bigger whole. I make it a point to not give suggestions or advice to people about what to do about the climate crisis. Instead I tell people the most important thing to do is to get really really quiet and listen. And really really ask to be shown what is it that I need to do to try to serve and take care of the earth. What is the sense of justice that's really calling to me, that I need to go act upon. I think each one of us is going to get a very very different message. It might be feeling a deep calling to go create music, or be a doctor, or go join extinction rebellion or go do something even much more radical than that. So a big question is what people can do to get involved and take action. Building networks with people you trust right now. Learn skills and share them with people you love. And fight infrastructure projects in our community. And take care of yourself. Recognize the ways that all struggles for liberation are intertwined. And I think primarily supporting people in retaining or getting ownership of their land back is one place to start by supporting indigenous struggles. The highest levels of biodiversity that still exist on this planet are the places where people still live or have returned to who are indigenous to that area. For folks who are used to and conditioned to having great amounts of advantages, just understand that a lot of your advantages most likely came from our devastation. There's a lot of changes that are going to be coming very soon. There's going to be a lot of things that you're not going to like hearing. It might involve folks that are disadvantaged picking up on some advantages for once in their lives. Support them. Support those movements, support those populations. The capitalist planet is not going to build a big massive ship for us to escape and get to another planet. We don't have any other options. This is our one option. This is our one chance. We don't have to start from scratch, we don't have to reinvent the wheel. Our planet has a rich tradition, a rich history of social movements and of resistance movements, on this continent and around the world on many different time scales. And if we can understand and learn from and celebrate those movements, then we can learn the things that we need to learn in the time that we have to take action. One of the primary shortcomings of the mainstream environmental movement has been its focus on individual action. And individualism really limits what we're able to accomplish. Things like flying less or using less gasoline, I mean these are all fine things to do, consuming less if you're a kind of an affluent, privileged person, but they only go so far. And if we really want to change society and stop catastrophic climate change, that means collective action, that means organizing into groups of people who can confront injustice in really tangible ways. And that means building those groups also into powerful movements. It's really easy to get lost in the sense of overwhelming chaos that's going on in the world every day. And to realize that you can't change all of those things as one person. But what you can do, fundamentally and what no one else can take away from you, is you can completely change yourself, and you can act within the domain around you and change that. When you look at your networks when you look at your friend circles, when you look at the communities that you operate in when you look at your skills and your resources, however limited they might be, what that process of assessment does is it allows you to see that actually you're far more powerful than you might think you are. Avoid getting into climate nihilism. There are definitely a lot of weaknesses in the capitalist and resource extraction machine. I think that folks should just find the easiest exploit for them to go after and find some folks who wanna shut shit down, organize around that exploit and go forth with insurrectionary optimism. I think these are very critical life and death decisions and each one of us needs to take this very very seriously. Because these are decisions that a lot of us are gonna make to literally go put our bodies on the line and try to save what's left of the earth. And that's why I would never try to tell somebody what to do I think that's something that each one of us has to take full responsibility in making that decision for ourselves. We are entering a new era – one that will be inevitably characterized by increasingly hostile weather patterns, rising sea levels, shortages of fresh water, and historically unprecedented levels of forced human migration. Over the coming decades, these pressures will lead to the sudden collapse of states, further exacerbating the cycle of displacement and offering a political justification for the entrenchment of nativist reaction and the further militarization of borders in the Global North. This will be a period of profound social, economic and political strife... and if history is any guide, it will be ugly. Yet even in the tragedy, chaos and bloodshed brought about by these seismic geopolitical shifts, there will be opportunities for solidarity and mutual aid. Humanity has faced incredible hardships before, and we have persevered. As always, the specific form that our future takes will depend, in large part, on our willpower, ingenuity, level of preparation, and capacity to resist. So at this point, we’d like to remind you that Trouble is intended to be watched in groups, and to be used as a resource to promote discussion and collective organizing. Are you interested in incorporating a more radical environmental analysis into an existing organizing project, or in starting a campaign against an ecologically destructive development in your area? Consider getting together with some comrades, organizing a screening of this film, and discussing where to get started. Interested in running regular screenings of Trouble at your campus, infoshop, community centre, or even just at home with friends? Become a Trouble-Maker! For 10 bucks a month, we’ll hook you up with an advance copy of the show, and a screening kit featuring additional resources and some questions you can use to get a discussion going. If you can’t afford to support us financially, no worries! You can stream and/or download all our content for free off our website: sub.media/trouble. If you’ve got any suggestions for show topics, or just want to get in touch, drop us a line at trouble@sub.media. This episode would not have been possible without the generous support of Michael, Carla, Jimmer and the good folks at the Earth First! Journal Collective. We’ll be taking off a month for the holidays, but stay tuned in early 2020 for Trouble 24, where we plan on taking a closer look at anarchist theories, strategies and tactics for organizing. I mean most of the time you see them when they riot. Couple 30 second clips, and that’s about it. What is it like inside these groups... and what motivates their members? Now get out there…. and make some trouble!