[Script Info]
Title: 
[Events]
Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text
Dialogue: 0,0:00:00.95,0:00:02.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ja sam meteorolog po struci,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:02.74,0:00:05.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,završio sam prvostupnički,\Ndiplomski i doktorski iz meteorologije,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:05.90,0:00:08.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,dakle, ja sam meteorolog,\Nod glave do pete.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:08.44,0:00:13.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I s tim dolaze četiri pitanja, uvijek.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:13.17,0:00:15.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,To je jedno predviđanje\Nkoje uvijek pogodim.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:15.75,0:00:17.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:00:17.63,0:00:19.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A ta pitanja su:
Dialogue: 0,0:00:19.70,0:00:22.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Marshall, na kojem si programu?"
Dialogue: 0,0:00:22.21,0:00:24.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:00:24.05,0:00:26.89,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Dr. Shepherd, \Nkakvo će vrijeme biti sutra?"
Dialogue: 0,0:00:26.91,0:00:27.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:00:27.94,0:00:29.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I, volim ovo:
Dialogue: 0,0:00:29.55,0:00:32.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Moja kći se udaje sljedećeg rujna,\Nsvadba će biti na otvorenom.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:33.02,0:00:34.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Hoće li padati kiša?"
Dialogue: 0,0:00:34.25,0:00:35.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:00:35.66,0:00:38.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ne šalim se, pitaju me to,\Ni ne znam odgovor,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:38.59,0:00:40.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,znanost to još ne zna.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:41.18,0:00:44.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,No, u zadnje vrijeme me često pitaju:
Dialogue: 0,0:00:44.11,0:00:48.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Dr. Shepherd, vjerujete li\Nu klimatske promjene?"
Dialogue: 0,0:00:49.33,0:00:52.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Vjerujete li u globalno zatopljenje?"
Dialogue: 0,0:00:52.81,0:00:56.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Moram se sabrati svaki put\Nkad me to pitaju.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:56.53,0:00:58.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Jer je pitanje loše postavljeno,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:58.32,0:01:00.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,znanost nije sustav vjerovanja.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:00.91,0:01:04.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Moj sin, ima 10 godina,\Nvjeruje u Zubić vilu.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:04.100,0:01:08.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I to treba proći jer gubim novac, brzo.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:08.41,0:01:10.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:01:10.75,0:01:12.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali on vjeruje u Zubić vilu.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:12.60,0:01:14.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Razmislite o ovome.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:15.36,0:01:17.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Zgrada Bank of America u Atlanti.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:17.93,0:01:20.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Nikada nećete čuti da netko kaže:
Dialogue: 0,0:01:20.51,0:01:23.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Vjeruješ li, ako odeš na vrh zgrade
Dialogue: 0,0:01:23.12,0:01:25.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,i s nje baciš loptu, da će ona pasti?"
Dialogue: 0,0:01:25.81,0:01:29.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,To nećete čuti \Njer je gravitacija prihvaćena.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:30.43,0:01:32.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Zašto ne čujemo pitanje:
Dialogue: 0,0:01:32.74,0:01:34.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Vjeruješ li u gravitaciju?"
Dialogue: 0,0:01:34.56,0:01:36.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali naravno, čujemo pitanje,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:36.45,0:01:38.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Vjeruješ li u globalno zatopljenje?"
Dialogue: 0,0:01:40.16,0:01:42.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Pa, razmislite o ovim činjenicama.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:43.80,0:01:46.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Američko društvo\Nza unapređenje znanosti, AAAS,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:46.92,0:01:49.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,jedna od vodećih organizacija u znanosti,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:49.79,0:01:53.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ispitala je znanstvenike i javnost\No različitim znanstvenim temama.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:53.74,0:01:54.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ovo su neke od njih:
Dialogue: 0,0:01:54.96,0:01:58.89,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,GMO, istraživanja na životinjama,\Nljudska evolucija.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:59.71,0:02:02.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Pogledajte što znanstvenici kažu o tome,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:02.23,0:02:04.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ljudi koji proučavaju te teme, crveno,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:04.97,0:02:07.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,u odnosu na sivo, što javnost misli.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:07.62,0:02:09.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Kako smo došli do toga?
Dialogue: 0,0:02:09.98,0:02:11.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Kako smo došli do toga,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:12.74,0:02:16.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,da su znanstvenici i javnost\Ntako podijeljeni u znanstvenim pitanjima?
Dialogue: 0,0:02:17.26,0:02:19.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Objasnit ću na nečemu što mi je blisko,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:19.68,0:02:20.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,klimatskim promjenama.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:21.34,0:02:24.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,87 % znanstvenika
Dialogue: 0,0:02:24.26,0:02:28.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,vjeruje da ljudi doprinose\Nklimatskim promjenama.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:29.45,0:02:31.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali samo 50 % javnosti?
Dialogue: 0,0:02:33.32,0:02:34.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Kako smo došli do toga?
Dialogue: 0,0:02:34.73,0:02:36.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Tako dolazimo do pitanja,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:36.06,0:02:40.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,što oblikuje mišljenje o znanosti?
Dialogue: 0,0:02:42.66,0:02:44.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,To je zanimljivo pitanje
Dialogue: 0,0:02:44.07,0:02:46.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,o kojem sam dosta razmišljao.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:48.43,0:02:53.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Mislim da pogled na znanost\Nu javnosti oblikuju
Dialogue: 0,0:02:53.12,0:02:55.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,sustavi vjerovanja i predrasude.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:56.34,0:02:57.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Sustavi vjerovanja i predrasude.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:57.96,0:02:59.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Pratite me na trenutak.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:00.00,0:03:02.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Jer želim govoriti o tri elementa toga:
Dialogue: 0,0:03:02.33,0:03:06.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,sklonosti potvrdi,\NDunning-Krugerovom efektu
Dialogue: 0,0:03:06.18,0:03:08.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,i kognitivnoj disonanci.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:08.07,0:03:12.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Zvuče kao veliki, otmjeni,\Nakademski pojmovi, i jesu.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:12.58,0:03:16.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali kad ih opišem, reći ćete: "O!
Dialogue: 0,0:03:16.24,0:03:19.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Prepoznajem to, čak znam\Nnekoga tko to radi."
Dialogue: 0,0:03:21.36,0:03:22.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Sklonost potvrdi.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:24.26,0:03:28.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Pronalaženje dokaza koji\Npotvrđuju ono što već vjerujemo.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:28.76,0:03:31.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Vjerojatno to svi ponekad radimo.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:33.43,0:03:34.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Pogledajte ovo.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:34.99,0:03:36.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Na Twitteru sam.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:36.33,0:03:38.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I često, kad pada snijeg,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:38.76,0:03:40.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,pošalju mi ovo.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:40.67,0:03:43.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:03:43.17,0:03:46.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Hey, dr. Shepherd, imam 50 cm\Nglobalnog zatopljenja u dvorištu,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:46.92,0:03:49.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,o kakvim klimatskim promjenama\Nvi pričate?"
Dialogue: 0,0:03:49.93,0:03:51.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Često mi to, zapravo, pošalju.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:52.91,0:03:55.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Slatka objava, nasmijem se na to.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:55.87,0:03:59.82,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali je u temelju znanstveno pogrešna.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:00.29,0:04:01.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Jer pokazuje
Dialogue: 0,0:04:01.87,0:04:03.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,da osoba koja to objavi ne razumije
Dialogue: 0,0:04:03.92,0:04:06.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,razliku između vremena i klime.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:07.47,0:04:11.01,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Često kažem, vrijeme je vaše raspoloženje
Dialogue: 0,0:04:11.04,0:04:13.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a klima je osobnost.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:14.98,0:04:15.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Razmislite o tome.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:15.98,0:04:18.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Vrijeme je raspoloženje,\Nklima je osobnost.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:18.62,0:04:22.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Vaše raspoloženje danas ne govori nužno\Ništa o vašoj osobnosti,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:22.63,0:04:25.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,niti mi hladan dan govori išta\No klimatskim promjenama,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:25.43,0:04:27.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ili topao dan isto tako.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:29.97,0:04:31.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Dunning-Kruger.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:31.62,0:04:34.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Dva znanstvenika s Cornella\Nsu izmislila Dunning-Krugerov efekt.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:34.70,0:04:36.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ako pogledate recenziran rad o ovome,
Dialogue: 0,0:04:36.58,0:04:39.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,vidjet ćete svakakvu\Notmjenu terminologiju:
Dialogue: 0,0:04:39.59,0:04:43.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,To je iluzorni kompleks superiornosti,\Nmisliti da znamo stvari.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:43.26,0:04:46.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Drugim riječima, ljudi misle\Nda znaju više nego što znaju.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:47.55,0:04:50.49,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ili podcjenjuju ono što ne znaju.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:50.85,0:04:53.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Zatim imamo kognitivnu disonancu.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:54.83,0:04:57.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Kognitivna disonanca je zanimljiva.
Dialogue: 0,0:04:57.54,0:05:00.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Upravo smo imali Sviščev dan, zar ne?
Dialogue: 0,0:05:01.13,0:05:03.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Nema bolje definicije kognitivne disonance
Dialogue: 0,0:05:03.88,0:05:07.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,nego kad me inteligentni ljudi\Npitaju je li prognoza glodavca točna.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:07.42,0:05:10.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:05:10.17,0:05:12.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali me to stalno pitaju.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:12.74,0:05:13.100,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:05:14.02,0:05:17.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Također čujem za Farmerski almanah.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:17.65,0:05:20.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Odrasli smo s Farmerskim almanahom,\Nljudima je poznat.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:22.26,0:05:25.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Problem je što je samo oko 37 % točan,
Dialogue: 0,0:05:25.70,0:05:28.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,prema studijama Sveučilišta Penn State.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:31.46,0:05:35.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali mi smo u eri znanosti
Dialogue: 0,0:05:35.05,0:05:36.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,i zaista možemo predvidjeti vrijeme.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:36.77,0:05:39.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Vjerovali ili ne, i znam da\Nneki od vas misle: "Da, stvarno",
Dialogue: 0,0:05:39.67,0:05:42.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,u oko 90 % slučajeva ili više,\Ntočni smo s vremenskom prognozom.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:42.88,0:05:46.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Vi obično zapamtite povremene propuste.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:46.28,0:05:47.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:05:50.26,0:05:53.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Sklonost potvrdi, Dunning-Kruger\Ni kognitivna disonanca.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:53.69,0:05:59.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Mislim da oni oblikuju predrasude i\Npercepcije ljudi o znanosti.
Dialogue: 0,0:05:59.62,0:06:01.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,S druge strane, pismenost i dezinformacije
Dialogue: 0,0:06:01.80,0:06:03.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,nam također zatvaraju vidike.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:05.91,0:06:08.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Tijekom sezone uragana 2017. godine,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:08.42,0:06:12.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,mediji su zaista morali zadati novinarima
Dialogue: 0,0:06:12.66,0:06:16.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,da zanemare lažne informacije\No vremenskoj prognozi.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:18.20,0:06:20.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,U takvom razdoblju živimo.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:20.64,0:06:23.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,S time se moram stalno boriti\Nu društvenim medijima.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:23.10,0:06:24.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Netko objavi prognozu -
Dialogue: 0,0:06:24.72,0:06:27.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ovo je prognoza za uragan Irmu,\Nali tu je problem:
Dialogue: 0,0:06:27.68,0:06:29.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,nije ju izdao Centar za uragane.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:30.61,0:06:33.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali ljudi su je objavljivali\Ni dijelili, brzo se širilo.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:33.42,0:06:36.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Nije ju uopće objavio\NNacionalni centar za uragane.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:38.36,0:06:40.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Proveo sam 12 godina karijere u NASA-i
Dialogue: 0,0:06:40.87,0:06:42.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,prije dolaska na Sveučilište Georgia
Dialogue: 0,0:06:42.80,0:06:45.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,i vodio sam Savjetodavni odbor\Nza znanost o Zemlji,
Dialogue: 0,0:06:45.20,0:06:47.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,prošli tjedan sam bio tamo u Washingtonu.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:47.17,0:06:49.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I vidio sam nešto vrlo zanimljivo.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:49.02,0:06:52.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ovo je NASA-in model\Ni znanstveni podaci sa satelita
Dialogue: 0,0:06:52.58,0:06:54.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,koji pokazuju sezonu uragana 2017.
Dialogue: 0,0:06:54.89,0:06:56.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Vidite li tamo uragan Harvey?
Dialogue: 0,0:06:57.65,0:07:00.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Pogledajte svu prašinu\Nkoja dolazi iz Afrike.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:00.62,0:07:05.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Pogledajte sve požare na sjeverozapadu\NSAD-a i na zapadu Kanade.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:05.63,0:07:07.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Evo uragana Irme.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:08.92,0:07:11.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ovo mi je nevjerojatno.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:11.69,0:07:13.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Doduše, ja sam zaljubljenik u vrijeme.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:14.98,0:07:18.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Još važnije, ovo pokazuje\Nda imamo tehnologiju,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:18.48,0:07:21.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ne samo da promatramo\Nvrijeme i klimatski sustav,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:21.08,0:07:22.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,nego da ga i predviđamo.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:22.62,0:07:24.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Postoji znanstveno shvaćanje,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:24.41,0:07:27.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,stoga nema potrebe za nekim\Nod onih percepcija i predrasuda
Dialogue: 0,0:07:27.52,0:07:29.09,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,o kojima smo razgovarali.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:29.12,0:07:30.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Imamo znanje.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:30.34,0:07:31.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali razmislite o ovome...
Dialogue: 0,0:07:31.60,0:07:34.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ovo je Houston, u Teksasu,\Nnakon uragana Harvey.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:35.74,0:07:38.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Naime, povremeno pišem za časopis Forbes
Dialogue: 0,0:07:38.73,0:07:43.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,i napisao sam članak tjedan\Nprije udara uragana Harvey te naveo,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:43.29,0:07:46.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Vjerojatno će biti 101 do 127\Ncentimetara oborina."
Dialogue: 0,0:07:46.78,0:07:49.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Napisao sam to tjedan prije\Nnego što se dogodilo.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:49.28,0:07:51.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Međutim, kad pričate s ljudima u Houstonu,
Dialogue: 0,0:07:51.30,0:07:54.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,oni govore: "Nismo imali pojma\Nda će biti ovako loše."
Dialogue: 0,0:07:55.09,0:07:56.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Samo...
Dialogue: 0,0:07:56.29,0:07:57.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Uzdah)
Dialogue: 0,0:07:57.50,0:07:58.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:07:58.66,0:07:59.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Tjedan dana prije.
Dialogue: 0,0:07:59.86,0:08:01.04,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali...
Dialogue: 0,0:08:01.07,0:08:03.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Znam, smiješno je, ali zapravo,
Dialogue: 0,0:08:03.59,0:08:09.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,svi se borimo da shvatimo nešto\Niznad naše razine iskustva.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:09.76,0:08:12.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ljudi u Houstonu stalno imaju kišu
Dialogue: 0,0:08:12.05,0:08:13.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,i stalno imaju poplave.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:14.51,0:08:16.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali nikad nisu ovo iskusili.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:17.56,0:08:21.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Houston dobije oko 86 cm oborina\Nza cijelu godinu.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:21.97,0:08:24.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Sad su dobili 127 cm u 3 dana.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:25.30,0:08:28.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Taj događaj je nepravilnost,\Nizvan uobičajenog.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:30.19,0:08:33.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Sustav vjerovanja i predrasude,\Npismenost i dezinformacije.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:33.05,0:08:36.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Kako da izađemo iz okvira koji\Nodređuju naše percepcije?
Dialogue: 0,0:08:38.63,0:08:42.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ne moramo ni ići u Houston,\Nmožemo biti i blizu doma.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:42.39,0:08:43.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:08:43.60,0:08:45.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Sjećate li se "Snijegokalipse?"
Dialogue: 0,0:08:45.53,0:08:47.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:08:47.36,0:08:48.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Snijegmagedona?
Dialogue: 0,0:08:48.88,0:08:50.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Snijegzille?
Dialogue: 0,0:08:50.06,0:08:52.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Kako god to želite zvati.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:52.11,0:08:54.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Svih pet centimetara toga.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:54.45,0:08:57.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:08:57.08,0:08:59.94,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Pet centimetara snijega\Nje zatvorilo cijeli grad Atlantu.
Dialogue: 0,0:08:59.97,0:09:01.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Smijeh)
Dialogue: 0,0:09:02.98,0:09:07.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,U stvarnosti, bili smo\Nu pripremi za snijeg,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:07.26,0:09:09.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,bili smo kod savjetnika za zimsko vrijeme
Dialogue: 0,0:09:09.92,0:09:12.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,i puno ljudi je to shvatilo\Nkao ne toliko važno,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:12.15,0:09:13.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"O, neće biti tako strašno."
Dialogue: 0,0:09:13.80,0:09:17.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Zapravo, percepcija je bila\Nda neće biti tako strašno,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:17.24,0:09:18.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ali je to zapravo bilo pogoršanje.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:18.93,0:09:21.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Situacija se pogoršavala\Nkako su modeli dolazili.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:21.81,0:09:25.61,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I to je primjer kako smo\Npod utjecajem naših percepcija.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:26.16,0:09:28.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Tako nastaje pitanje,
Dialogue: 0,0:09:28.16,0:09:31.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,kako da proširimo naš radijus?
Dialogue: 0,0:09:33.82,0:09:35.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Površina kruga je "π x r na kvadrat".
Dialogue: 0,0:09:35.76,0:09:38.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ako povećamo radijus,\Npovećat ćemo površinu.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:38.02,0:09:42.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Kako da povećamo naš radijus\Nrazumijevanja znanosti?
Dialogue: 0,0:09:42.59,0:09:43.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ja mislim ovako.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:44.72,0:09:47.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Napravite popis svojih predrasuda.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:47.82,0:09:49.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I sve vas izazivam da to napravite.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:49.86,0:09:52.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Napravite popis svojih predrasuda.
Dialogue: 0,0:09:52.90,0:09:54.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Odakle dolaze?
Dialogue: 0,0:09:54.21,0:09:57.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Iz vašeg odrastanja,\Npolitičke perspektive, vjere...
Dialogue: 0,0:09:57.61,0:10:00.03,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Što oblikuje vaše predrasude?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:01.98,0:10:03.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Zatim, ocijenite izvore...
Dialogue: 0,0:10:03.44,0:10:05.89,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,odakle dobivate informacije o znanosti?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:06.55,0:10:08.53,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Što čitate, što slušate
Dialogue: 0,0:10:08.55,0:10:10.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,da dobijete informacije o znanosti?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:11.02,0:10:13.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A onda, važno je da progovorite.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:13.79,0:10:17.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Razgovarajte kako ste ocijenili\Nsvoje predrasude i izvore.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:17.93,0:10:20.70,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Želim da poslušate\Nkratki isječak od 40 sekundi
Dialogue: 0,0:10:20.73,0:10:25.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,jednog od najboljih TV meteorologa\Nu SAD-u, Grega Fishela,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:25.53,0:10:27.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,u Raleighu, iz područja Durhama.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:27.08,0:10:28.75,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Cijenjen je u tom području.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:28.78,0:10:30.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ali je bio skeptik oko klime.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:30.18,0:10:32.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,No, poslušajte što kaže o progovaranju.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:32.47,0:10:34.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Greg Fishel:\NPogreška koju sam činio,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:34.19,0:10:36.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a tek sam je nedavno primijetio,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:36.20,0:10:38.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,bila je što sam tražio samo\None informacije
Dialogue: 0,0:10:38.82,0:10:41.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,koje bi potvrdile ono što sam već mislio
Dialogue: 0,0:10:41.71,0:10:45.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,i nije me zanimalo\Nšto kažu oni suprotnog mišljenja.
Dialogue: 0,0:10:46.56,0:10:48.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I tako sam se probudio jednog jutra
Dialogue: 0,0:10:48.65,0:10:52.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,s jednim pitanjem u glavi,
Dialogue: 0,0:10:52.92,0:10:55.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,"Greg, upuštaš li se ti\Nu sklonost potvrdi?
Dialogue: 0,0:10:55.55,0:10:59.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Tražiš li samo informacije koje\Npotvrđuju ono što već misliš?"
Dialogue: 0,0:11:00.07,0:11:02.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I da budem iskren sa sobom,\Na trudio sam se biti,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:02.52,0:11:04.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,priznao sam da se to događa.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:05.27,0:11:07.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I što sam više razgovarao\Nsa znanstvenicima
Dialogue: 0,0:11:07.81,0:11:09.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,i čitao recenziranu literaturu
Dialogue: 0,0:11:09.89,0:11:14.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,te se pokušavao ponašati onako\Nkako sam naučen ponašati se
Dialogue: 0,0:11:14.62,0:11:16.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,na Penn Stateu gdje sam studirao,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:17.66,0:11:20.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,postalo mi je jako teško braniti argument
Dialogue: 0,0:11:20.38,0:11:22.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,da nismo imali barem nekakvog učinka.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:22.46,0:11:24.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Možda je još bilo sumnje koliko točno,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:24.92,0:11:29.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ali reći "ništa" nije bilo\Nodgovorno od mene
Dialogue: 0,0:11:29.66,0:11:31.46,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,kao znanstvenika ili osobe.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:33.39,0:11:37.25,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,JMS: Greg Fishel je govorio\No proširivanju radijusa
Dialogue: 0,0:11:37.27,0:11:38.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,razumijevanja znanosti.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:38.92,0:11:40.97,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A kad širimo radijus,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:40.100,0:11:44.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ne radi se samo o poboljšanju budućnosti,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:44.22,0:11:47.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,nego o očuvanju života kakvog poznajemo.
Dialogue: 0,0:11:48.18,0:11:53.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I dok razmišljamo o proširivanju\Nnašeg radijusa razumijevanja znanosti,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:54.29,0:11:57.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,ključno je za Atenu u Georgiji,\NAtlantu u Georgiji,
Dialogue: 0,0:11:57.69,0:12:00.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,za državu Georgiju i cijeli svijet.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:00.86,0:12:02.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Stoga proširite svoj radijus.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:02.95,0:12:04.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Hvala.
Dialogue: 0,0:12:04.16,0:12:08.17,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Pljesak)