1 00:00:00,926 --> 00:00:03,416 We're at a tipping point in human history, 2 00:00:03,416 --> 00:00:08,943 a species poised between gaining the stars and losing the planet we call home. 3 00:00:09,332 --> 00:00:12,062 Even in just the past few years, we've greatly expanded 4 00:00:12,062 --> 00:00:16,392 our knowledge of how Earth fits within the context of our universe. 5 00:00:16,392 --> 00:00:19,130 NASA's Kepler mission has discovered 6 00:00:19,130 --> 00:00:22,079 thousands of potential planets around other stars, 7 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:26,273 indicating that Earth is but one of billions of planets in our galaxy. 8 00:00:26,273 --> 00:00:28,143 Kepler is a space telescope 9 00:00:28,143 --> 00:00:32,434 that measures the subtle dimming of stars as planets pass in front of them, 10 00:00:32,434 --> 00:00:35,282 blocking just a little bit of that light from reaching us. 11 00:00:35,732 --> 00:00:38,332 Kepler's data reveals planets' sizes 12 00:00:38,332 --> 00:00:41,118 as well as their distance from their parent star. 13 00:00:41,118 --> 00:00:45,158 Together, this helps us understand whether these planets are small and rocky, 14 00:00:45,158 --> 00:00:47,713 like the terrestrial planets in our own Solar System, 15 00:00:47,713 --> 00:00:51,079 and also how much light they receive from their parent sun. 16 00:00:51,079 --> 00:00:54,957 In turn, this provides clues as to whether these planets that we discover 17 00:00:54,957 --> 00:00:57,418 might be habitable or not. 18 00:00:57,418 --> 00:01:01,481 Unfortunately, at the same time as we're discovering this treasure trove 19 00:01:01,481 --> 00:01:03,594 of potentially habitable worlds, 20 00:01:03,594 --> 00:01:07,054 our own planet is sagging under the weight of humanity. 21 00:01:07,054 --> 00:01:11,466 2014 was the hottest year on record. 22 00:01:11,466 --> 00:01:14,809 Glaciers and sea ice that have been with us for millennia 23 00:01:14,809 --> 00:01:17,944 are now disappearing in a matter of decades. 24 00:01:17,944 --> 00:01:23,055 These planetary-scale environmental changes that we have set in motion 25 00:01:23,055 --> 00:01:26,527 are rapidly outpacing our ability to alter their course. 26 00:01:27,347 --> 00:01:31,062 But I'm not a climate scientist, I'm an astronomer. 27 00:01:31,062 --> 00:01:34,432 I study planetary habitability as influenced by stars 28 00:01:34,432 --> 00:01:36,890 with the hopes of finding the places in the universe 29 00:01:36,890 --> 00:01:39,862 where we might discover life beyond our own planet. 30 00:01:39,862 --> 00:01:43,402 You could say that I look for choice alien real estate. 31 00:01:43,902 --> 00:01:48,244 Now, as somebody who is deeply embedded in the search for life in the universe, 32 00:01:48,244 --> 00:01:51,611 I can tell you that the more you look for planets like Earth, 33 00:01:51,611 --> 00:01:55,257 the more you appreciate our own planet itself. 34 00:01:55,257 --> 00:01:57,950 Each one of these new worlds invites a comparison 35 00:01:57,950 --> 00:02:01,572 between the newly discovered planet and the planets we know best: 36 00:02:01,572 --> 00:02:03,662 those of our own Solar System. 37 00:02:03,662 --> 00:02:05,624 Consider our neighbor, Mars. 38 00:02:05,624 --> 00:02:09,409 Mars is small and rocky, and though it's a bit far from the Sun, 39 00:02:09,409 --> 00:02:11,934 it might be considered a potentially habitable world 40 00:02:11,934 --> 00:02:13,936 if found by a mission like Kepler. 41 00:02:13,936 --> 00:02:17,303 Indeed, it's possible that Mars was habitable in the past, 42 00:02:17,303 --> 00:02:20,740 and in part, this is why we study Mars so much. 43 00:02:20,740 --> 00:02:24,130 Our rovers, like Curiosity, crawl across its surface, 44 00:02:24,130 --> 00:02:27,380 scratching for clues as to the origins of life as we know it. 45 00:02:27,380 --> 00:02:30,886 Orbiters like the MAVEN mission sample the Martian atmosphere, 46 00:02:30,886 --> 00:02:34,578 trying to understand how Mars might have lost its past habitability. 47 00:02:34,578 --> 00:02:39,143 Private spaceflight companies now offer not just a short trip to near space 48 00:02:39,143 --> 00:02:42,844 but the tantalizing possibility of living our lives on Mars. 49 00:02:42,844 --> 00:02:44,794 But though these Martian vistas 50 00:02:44,794 --> 00:02:47,349 resemble the deserts of our own home world, 51 00:02:47,349 --> 00:02:52,921 places that are tied in our imagination to ideas about pioneering and frontiers, 52 00:02:52,921 --> 00:02:54,593 compared to Earth 53 00:02:54,593 --> 00:02:57,890 Mars is a pretty terrible place to live. 54 00:02:57,890 --> 00:03:01,164 Consider the extent to which we have not colonized 55 00:03:01,164 --> 00:03:03,068 the deserts of our own planet, 56 00:03:03,068 --> 00:03:05,901 places that are lush by comparison with Mars. 57 00:03:05,901 --> 00:03:08,687 Even in the driest, highest places on Earth, 58 00:03:08,687 --> 00:03:11,287 the air is sweet and thick with oxygen 59 00:03:11,287 --> 00:03:15,374 exhaled from thousands of miles away by our rainforests. 60 00:03:15,374 --> 00:03:21,318 I worry -- I worry that this excitement about colonizing Mars and other planets 61 00:03:21,318 --> 00:03:24,429 carries with it a long, dark shadow: 62 00:03:24,429 --> 00:03:26,449 the implication and belief by some 63 00:03:26,449 --> 00:03:30,002 that Mars will be there to save us from the self-inflicted destruction 64 00:03:30,002 --> 00:03:34,135 of the only truly habitable planet we know of, the Earth. 65 00:03:34,135 --> 00:03:36,573 As much as I love interplanetary exploration, 66 00:03:36,573 --> 00:03:38,918 I deeply disagree with this idea. 67 00:03:38,918 --> 00:03:41,611 There are many excellent reasons to go to Mars, 68 00:03:41,611 --> 00:03:45,025 but for anyone to tell you that Mars will be there to back up humanity 69 00:03:45,025 --> 00:03:48,133 is like the captain of the Titanic telling you that the real party 70 00:03:48,133 --> 00:03:50,504 is happening later on the lifeboats. 71 00:03:50,504 --> 00:03:53,453 (Laughter) 72 00:03:53,453 --> 00:03:56,355 (Applause) 73 00:03:56,355 --> 00:03:59,142 Thank you. 74 00:03:59,142 --> 00:04:02,928 But the goals of interplanetary exploration and planetary preservation 75 00:04:02,928 --> 00:04:05,109 are not opposed to one another. 76 00:04:05,109 --> 00:04:07,640 No, they're in fact two sides of the same goal: 77 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:11,982 to understand, preserve and improve life into the future. 78 00:04:11,982 --> 00:04:16,045 The extreme environments of our own world are alien vistas. 79 00:04:16,045 --> 00:04:17,926 They're just closer to home. 80 00:04:17,926 --> 00:04:22,105 If we can understand how to create and maintain habitable spaces 81 00:04:22,105 --> 00:04:25,495 out of hostile, inhospitable spaces here on Earth, 82 00:04:25,495 --> 00:04:28,932 perhaps we can meet the needs of both preserving our own environment 83 00:04:28,932 --> 00:04:31,161 and moving beyond it. 84 00:04:31,161 --> 00:04:33,471 I leave you with a final thought experiment: 85 00:04:33,471 --> 00:04:35,166 Fermi's paradox. 86 00:04:35,166 --> 00:04:40,028 Many years ago, the physicist Enrico Fermi asked that, given the fact 87 00:04:40,028 --> 00:04:42,875 that our universe has been around for a very long time 88 00:04:42,875 --> 00:04:45,545 and we expect that there are many planets within it, 89 00:04:45,545 --> 00:04:48,633 we should have found evidence for alien life by now. 90 00:04:48,633 --> 00:04:50,676 So where are they? 91 00:04:50,676 --> 00:04:54,043 Well, one possible solution to Fermi's paradox 92 00:04:54,043 --> 00:04:57,526 is that, as civilizations become technologically advanced enough 93 00:04:57,526 --> 00:04:59,848 to consider living amongst the stars, 94 00:04:59,848 --> 00:05:02,332 they lose sight of how important it is 95 00:05:02,332 --> 00:05:06,860 to safeguard the home worlds that fostered that advancement to begin with. 96 00:05:06,860 --> 00:05:11,248 It is hubris to believe that interplanetary colonization alone 97 00:05:11,248 --> 00:05:13,129 will save us from ourselves, 98 00:05:13,129 --> 00:05:16,658 but planetary preservation and interplanetary exploration 99 00:05:16,658 --> 00:05:18,552 can work together. 100 00:05:18,552 --> 00:05:20,675 If we truly believe in our ability 101 00:05:20,675 --> 00:05:24,181 to bend the hostile environments of Mars for human habitation, 102 00:05:24,181 --> 00:05:27,767 then we should be able to surmount the far easier task of preserving 103 00:05:27,767 --> 00:05:29,940 the habitability of the Earth. 104 00:05:29,940 --> 00:05:30,986 Thank you. 105 00:05:30,996 --> 00:05:37,516 (Applause)