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Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text
Dialogue: 0,0:00:17.87,0:00:20.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The speed and power\Nof the average computer processor
Dialogue: 0,0:00:20.72,0:00:23.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is doubling every two and a half years.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:23.31,0:00:25.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If this rate of progression continues,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:25.74,0:00:31.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we could create a conscious,\Nself-aware computer by the year 2045,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:31.10,0:00:34.23,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and this point in time\Nis called the singularity,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:34.23,0:00:37.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is the point when a computer\Nbecomes smarter than us.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:38.48,0:00:42.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In this talk I'll be focusing\Non the fact that this computer
Dialogue: 0,0:00:42.38,0:00:45.27,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,could be conscious; so is this possible?
Dialogue: 0,0:00:45.27,0:00:48.71,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,First of all, though we don't know what\Npart of the brain is responsible
Dialogue: 0,0:00:48.71,0:00:51.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for consciousness\Nand much less how it works,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:51.05,0:00:52.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we do know this much;
Dialogue: 0,0:00:53.26,0:00:55.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,your brain is a computer.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:55.11,0:00:57.54,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It sends signals\Nback and forth like wires,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:57.54,0:01:00.74,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it has different parts for doing\Ndifferent patterns of things,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:00.74,0:01:05.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and it has tiny parts call neurons,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:05.51,0:01:08.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that are very comparable\Nto transistors in a computer.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:08.55,0:01:11.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There are parts for memory,\Ncomputation, sensing, and more,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:11.30,0:01:13.39,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and they all communicate\Nwith each other.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:13.39,0:01:16.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So, for what we know,\Nwith enough money, research, and time
Dialogue: 0,0:01:16.55,0:01:17.73,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we could do this.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:18.12,0:01:21.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And if we could do this,\Ncouldn't aliens species do this, too?
Dialogue: 0,0:01:22.52,0:01:25.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Imagine a super-intelligent alien species.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:25.55,0:01:27.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This specie is thousands\Nof years ahead of us,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:27.91,0:01:30.18,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in almost all aspects of technology.\N
Dialogue: 0,0:01:30.18,0:01:32.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It decides to create\Na full universe of simulation,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:32.58,0:01:34.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,accurate down to the Planck length,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:34.51,0:01:37.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which is the smallest conceivable\Ndistance in the universe.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:37.52,0:01:40.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The reasons for doing something\Nlike this could vary,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:40.33,0:01:42.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but some possibilities are:
Dialogue: 0,0:01:42.28,0:01:45.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,one, for a dying civilization.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:45.02,0:01:49.62,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,To create a full universe simulation\Nto test ways to do things
Dialogue: 0,0:01:49.62,0:01:53.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that could be risky and see their effects\Non the universe as a whole.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:53.72,0:01:56.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,To experiment with different\Npossible laws of physics,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:56.68,0:01:59.50,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and to see their effect\Non the universe as a whole,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:59.50,0:02:01.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,or to just entertain a few individuals.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:01.85,0:02:04.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There's also a possibility that requires\Na less advanced society,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:04.91,0:02:09.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,one that is just recently passed\Nthe 2045 singularity,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:09.42,0:02:12.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and they are just researching\Non a few people
Dialogue: 0,0:02:12.93,0:02:17.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in a controlled simulating environment\Nfor research and/or entertainment.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:17.65,0:02:19.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,By now you might be thinking\N
Dialogue: 0,0:02:20.02,0:02:23.22,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that what I've been talking about\Nis the main idea of this talk.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:23.41,0:02:27.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Ultimately, however, the big take-away\NI would like to leave you with tonight
Dialogue: 0,0:02:27.64,0:02:30.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is that dismissing ideas\Nthat seem unrealistic
Dialogue: 0,0:02:30.84,0:02:34.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,does not help us solve\Nthe major problems in the world.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:34.10,0:02:35.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Think about it.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:35.34,0:02:38.30,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So many ideas that now\Nhave became mainstream knowledge,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:38.30,0:02:41.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,like global warming, evolution,\Nthe existence of irrational numbers,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:41.51,0:02:44.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the big bang theory, the fact\Nthat the earth revolves around the sun,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:44.78,0:02:47.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that the universe is larger\Nthat just our solar system,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:47.37,0:02:51.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,these were all originally considered\Nstupid and/or unrealistic ideas.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:51.24,0:02:54.81,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Statistically, there's a better chance\Nthat they do exist but they're not,
Dialogue: 0,0:02:54.81,0:02:56.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but it's hard to prove or disprove.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:56.88,0:03:01.66,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So, remember: any idea,\Nno matter how unrealistic,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:01.66,0:03:02.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,isn't impossible,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:02.64,0:03:06.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and that sometimes, to solve\Nthe major problems in the world,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:06.43,0:03:10.11,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you need to come up\Nwith unrealistic ideas,
Dialogue: 0,0:03:10.11,0:03:13.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,as those ideas could change\Nthe world, as we know it.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:13.02,0:03:14.38,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Thank you.
Dialogue: 0,0:03:14.38,0:03:15.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,(Applause)