1 00:00:01,640 --> 00:00:04,779 This is a story about capitalism. 2 00:00:04,779 --> 00:00:06,567 It's a system I love 3 00:00:06,567 --> 00:00:11,291 because of the successes and opportunities it's afforded me and millions of others. 4 00:00:11,791 --> 00:00:18,056 I started in my 20s trading commodities, cotton in particular, in the pits, 5 00:00:18,056 --> 00:00:21,682 and if there was ever a free market free-for-all, this was it, 6 00:00:21,682 --> 00:00:25,300 where men wearing ties but acting like gladiators 7 00:00:25,300 --> 00:00:28,787 fought literally and physically for a profit. 8 00:00:29,437 --> 00:00:32,360 Fortunately, I was good enough that by the time I was 30, 9 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:36,020 I was able to move into the upstairs world of money management, 10 00:00:36,020 --> 00:00:39,572 where I spent the next three decades as a global macro trader. 11 00:00:39,572 --> 00:00:42,846 And over that time, I've seen a lot of crazy things in the markets, 12 00:00:42,846 --> 00:00:47,529 and I've traded a lot of crazy manias. 13 00:00:47,529 --> 00:00:49,638 And unfortunately, 14 00:00:49,638 --> 00:00:52,938 I'm sad to report that right now we might be in the grips 15 00:00:52,938 --> 00:00:56,894 of one of the most disastrous, certainly of my career, 16 00:00:56,894 --> 00:01:00,115 and one consistent takeaway is manias never end well. 17 00:01:00,775 --> 00:01:03,581 Now, over the past 50 years, 18 00:01:03,581 --> 00:01:09,432 we as a society have come to view our companies and corporations 19 00:01:09,432 --> 00:01:14,238 in a very narrow, almost monomaniacal fashion 20 00:01:14,988 --> 00:01:18,255 with regard to how we value them, 21 00:01:18,255 --> 00:01:21,924 and we have put so much emphasis on profits, 22 00:01:21,924 --> 00:01:24,710 on short-term quarterly earnings and share prices, 23 00:01:24,710 --> 00:01:27,550 at the exclusion of all else. 24 00:01:27,550 --> 00:01:32,319 It's like we've ripped the humanity out of our companies. 25 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:36,313 Now, we don't do that -- conveniently reduce something 26 00:01:36,313 --> 00:01:39,521 to a set of numbers that you can play with like Lego toys -- 27 00:01:39,521 --> 00:01:41,869 we don't do that in our individual life. 28 00:01:41,869 --> 00:01:45,072 We don't treat somebody or value them 29 00:01:45,072 --> 00:01:49,213 based on their monthly income or their credit score, 30 00:01:49,213 --> 00:01:51,020 but we have this double standard 31 00:01:51,020 --> 00:01:53,565 when it comes to the way that we value our businesses, 32 00:01:53,565 --> 00:01:55,050 and you know what? 33 00:01:55,050 --> 00:01:58,215 It's threatening the very underpinnings of our society. 34 00:01:58,215 --> 00:01:59,817 And here's how you'll see. 35 00:01:59,817 --> 00:02:04,322 This chart is corporate profit margins going back 40 years 36 00:02:04,322 --> 00:02:06,400 as a percentage of revenues, 37 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:10,707 and you can see that we're at a 40-year high of 12.5 percent. 38 00:02:10,707 --> 00:02:14,259 Now, hooray if you're a shareholder, 39 00:02:14,259 --> 00:02:18,526 but if you're the other side of that, and you're the average American worker, 40 00:02:18,526 --> 00:02:21,833 then you can see it's not such a good thing. 41 00:02:21,833 --> 00:02:25,410 ["U.S. Share of Income Going to Labor vs. CEO-to-Worker Compensation Ratio"] 42 00:02:25,410 --> 00:02:28,527 Now, higher profit margins do not increase societal wealth. 43 00:02:28,527 --> 00:02:33,766 What they actually do is they exacerbate income inequality, 44 00:02:33,766 --> 00:02:36,166 and that's not a good thing. 45 00:02:36,166 --> 00:02:38,627 But intuitively, that makes sense, right? 46 00:02:38,627 --> 00:02:42,250 Because if the top 10 percent of American families 47 00:02:42,250 --> 00:02:44,610 own 90 percent of the stocks, 48 00:02:44,610 --> 00:02:47,571 as they take a greater share of corporate profits, 49 00:02:47,571 --> 00:02:51,514 then there's less wealth left for the rest of society. 50 00:02:51,514 --> 00:02:54,300 Again, income inequality is not a good thing. 51 00:02:54,300 --> 00:02:56,761 This next chart, made by The Equality Trust, 52 00:02:56,761 --> 00:03:01,614 shows 21 countries from Austria to Japan to New Zealand. 53 00:03:01,614 --> 00:03:04,818 On the horizontal axis is income inequality. 54 00:03:04,818 --> 00:03:08,116 The further to the right you go, the greater the income inequality. 55 00:03:08,116 --> 00:03:11,459 On the vertical axis are nine social and health metrics. 56 00:03:11,459 --> 00:03:14,222 The more you go up that, the worse the problems are, 57 00:03:14,222 --> 00:03:19,470 and those metrics include life expectancy, teenage pregnancy, literacy, 58 00:03:19,470 --> 00:03:22,210 social mobility, just to name a few. 59 00:03:22,210 --> 00:03:25,391 Now, those of you in the audience who are Americans may wonder, 60 00:03:25,391 --> 00:03:27,736 well, where does the United States rank? 61 00:03:27,736 --> 00:03:29,593 Where does it lie on that chart? 62 00:03:29,593 --> 00:03:31,288 And guess what? 63 00:03:31,288 --> 00:03:33,370 We're literally off the chart. 64 00:03:33,970 --> 00:03:35,793 Yes, that's us, 65 00:03:35,793 --> 00:03:37,952 with the greatest income inequality 66 00:03:37,952 --> 00:03:42,248 and the greatest social problems, according to those metrics. 67 00:03:42,248 --> 00:03:44,802 Now, here's a macro forecast that's easy to make, 68 00:03:44,802 --> 00:03:48,401 and that's, that gap between the wealthiest and the poorest, 69 00:03:48,401 --> 00:03:50,421 it will get closed. 70 00:03:50,421 --> 00:03:52,010 History always does it. 71 00:03:52,010 --> 00:03:54,159 It typically happens in one of three ways: 72 00:03:54,159 --> 00:04:00,560 either through revolution, higher taxes, or wars. 73 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:02,889 None of those are on my bucket list. 74 00:04:02,889 --> 00:04:04,025 (Laughter) 75 00:04:04,025 --> 00:04:06,086 Now, there's another way to do it, 76 00:04:06,086 --> 00:04:10,226 and that's by increasing justness in corporate behavior, 77 00:04:10,226 --> 00:04:12,989 but the way that we're operating right now, 78 00:04:12,989 --> 00:04:16,983 that would require a tremendous change in behavior, 79 00:04:16,983 --> 00:04:20,930 and like an addict trying to kick a habit, 80 00:04:20,930 --> 00:04:24,436 the first step is to acknowledge that you have a problem. 81 00:04:24,436 --> 00:04:28,337 And let me just say, this profits mania that we're on 82 00:04:28,337 --> 00:04:30,636 is so deeply entrenched 83 00:04:30,636 --> 00:04:33,167 that we don't even realize how we're harming society. 84 00:04:33,167 --> 00:04:37,184 Here's a small but startling example of exactly how we're doing that: 85 00:04:37,184 --> 00:04:40,247 this chart shows corporate giving 86 00:04:40,247 --> 00:04:45,632 as a percentage of profits, not revenues, over the last 30 years. 87 00:04:45,632 --> 00:04:51,401 Juxtapose that to the earlier chart of corporate profit margins, 88 00:04:51,401 --> 00:04:55,528 and I ask you, does that feel right? 89 00:04:56,758 --> 00:04:59,699 In all fairness, when I started writing this, I thought, 90 00:04:59,699 --> 00:05:02,160 "Oh wow, what does my company, what does Tudor do?" 91 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:07,693 And I realized we give one percent of corporate profits 92 00:05:07,693 --> 00:05:09,423 to charity every year. 93 00:05:09,423 --> 00:05:13,324 And I'm supposed to be a philanthropist. 94 00:05:13,324 --> 00:05:19,623 When I realized that, I literally wanted to throw up. 95 00:05:19,623 --> 00:05:22,101 But the point is, this mania is so deeply entrenched 96 00:05:22,101 --> 00:05:27,263 that well-intentioned people like myself don't even realize that we're part of it. 97 00:05:27,943 --> 00:05:30,274 Now, we're not going to change corporate behavior 98 00:05:30,274 --> 00:05:35,591 by simply increasing corporate philanthropy or charitable contributions. 99 00:05:35,591 --> 00:05:38,725 And oh, by the way, we've since quadrupled that, 100 00:05:38,725 --> 00:05:42,974 but -- (Applause) -- Please. 101 00:05:42,974 --> 00:05:46,713 But we can do it by driving more just behavior. 102 00:05:46,713 --> 00:05:49,754 And one way to do it is actually trusting 103 00:05:49,754 --> 00:05:52,169 the system that got us here in the first place, 104 00:05:52,169 --> 00:05:54,282 and that's the free market system. 105 00:05:54,282 --> 00:05:56,975 About a year ago, some friends of mine and I 106 00:05:56,975 --> 00:06:00,025 started a not-for-profit called Just Capital. 107 00:06:00,025 --> 00:06:01,493 Its mission is very simple: 108 00:06:01,493 --> 00:06:03,988 to help companies and corporations 109 00:06:03,988 --> 00:06:09,263 learn how to operate in a more just fashion by using the public's input 110 00:06:09,263 --> 00:06:15,574 to define exactly what the criteria are for just corporate behavior. 111 00:06:15,574 --> 00:06:17,989 Now, right now, there's no widely accepted standard 112 00:06:17,989 --> 00:06:22,331 that a company or corporation can follow, and that's where Just Capital comes in, 113 00:06:22,331 --> 00:06:27,651 because beginning this year and every year we'll be conducting a nationwide survey 114 00:06:27,651 --> 00:06:31,781 of a representative sample of 20,000 Americans 115 00:06:31,781 --> 00:06:34,701 to find out exactly what they think 116 00:06:34,701 --> 00:06:38,579 are the criteria for justness in corporate behavior. 117 00:06:38,579 --> 00:06:41,591 Now, this is a model that's going to start in the United States 118 00:06:41,591 --> 00:06:44,226 but can be expanded anywhere around the globe, 119 00:06:44,226 --> 00:06:46,107 and maybe we'll find out 120 00:06:46,107 --> 00:06:48,975 that the most important thing for the public 121 00:06:48,975 --> 00:06:54,326 is that we create living wage jobs, or make healthy products, 122 00:06:54,326 --> 00:06:57,577 or help, not harm, the environment. 123 00:06:57,577 --> 00:07:01,850 At Just Capital, we don't know, and it's not for us to decide. 124 00:07:01,850 --> 00:07:03,846 We're but messengers, 125 00:07:03,846 --> 00:07:07,956 but we have 100 percent confidence and faith in the American public 126 00:07:07,956 --> 00:07:09,190 to get it right. 127 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:13,410 So we'll release the findings this September for the first time, 128 00:07:13,410 --> 00:07:15,850 and then next year, we'll poll again, 129 00:07:15,850 --> 00:07:18,149 and we'll take the additive step this time 130 00:07:18,149 --> 00:07:21,168 of ranking the 1,000 largest U.S. companies 131 00:07:21,168 --> 00:07:25,720 from number one to number 1,000 and everything in between. 132 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:28,551 We're calling it the Just Index, 133 00:07:28,551 --> 00:07:33,800 and remember, we're an independent not-for-profit with no bias, 134 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:38,953 and we will be giving the American public a voice. 135 00:07:38,953 --> 00:07:43,156 And maybe over time, we'll find out that as people come to know 136 00:07:43,156 --> 00:07:45,176 which companies are the most just, 137 00:07:45,176 --> 00:07:49,216 human and economic resources will be driven towards them, 138 00:07:49,216 --> 00:07:51,190 and they'll become the most prosperous 139 00:07:51,190 --> 00:07:54,021 and help our country be the most prosperous. 140 00:07:55,351 --> 00:07:59,457 Now, capitalism has been responsible for every major innovation 141 00:07:59,457 --> 00:08:03,608 that's made this world a more inspiring and wonderful place to live in. 142 00:08:04,578 --> 00:08:07,443 Capitalism has to be based on justice. 143 00:08:07,443 --> 00:08:09,649 It has to be, and now more than ever, 144 00:08:09,649 --> 00:08:13,480 with economic divisions growing wider every day. 145 00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,498 It's estimated that 47 percent of American workers 146 00:08:16,498 --> 00:08:19,796 can be displaced in the next 20 years. 147 00:08:19,796 --> 00:08:21,769 I'm not against progress. 148 00:08:21,769 --> 00:08:26,650 I want the driverless car and the jet pack just like everyone else. 149 00:08:26,650 --> 00:08:32,500 But I'm pleading for recognition that with increased wealth and profits 150 00:08:32,500 --> 00:08:37,930 has to come greater corporate social responsibility. 151 00:08:37,930 --> 00:08:43,665 "If justice is removed," said Adam Smith, the father of capitalism, 152 00:08:43,665 --> 00:08:49,419 "the great, the immense fabric of human society must in a moment 153 00:08:49,419 --> 00:08:53,626 crumble into atoms." 154 00:08:53,626 --> 00:08:57,390 Now, when I was young, and there was a problem, 155 00:08:57,390 --> 00:09:01,573 my mama used to always sigh and shake her head and say, 156 00:09:01,573 --> 00:09:05,630 "Have mercy, have mercy." 157 00:09:05,630 --> 00:09:10,181 Now's not the time for us, for the rest of us to show them mercy. 158 00:09:10,181 --> 00:09:13,370 The time is now for us to show them fairness, 159 00:09:13,370 --> 00:09:15,846 and we can do that, you and I, 160 00:09:15,846 --> 00:09:21,100 by starting where we work, in the businesses that we operate in. 161 00:09:21,100 --> 00:09:24,460 And when we put justness on par with profits, 162 00:09:24,460 --> 00:09:28,408 we'll get the most wonderful thing in all the world. 163 00:09:28,408 --> 00:09:31,774 We'll take back our humanity. 164 00:09:31,774 --> 00:09:34,421 Thank you. 165 00:09:34,421 --> 00:09:38,246 (Applause)