[Script Info] Title: [Events] Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text Dialogue: 0,0:00:01.01,0:00:03.01,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,[ music ] Dialogue: 0,0:00:03.03,0:00:04.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,No Turning Back: Dialogue: 0,0:00:04.10,0:00:06.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,West Antarctic Glaciers in Irreversible Decline -- Dialogue: 0,0:00:06.79,0:00:09.14,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Presented by Science@NASA Dialogue: 0,0:00:09.16,0:00:10.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Over the years, Dialogue: 0,0:00:11.00,0:00:13.51,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,as temperatures around the world have ratcheted upward, Dialogue: 0,0:00:13.53,0:00:16.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,climate change researchers have kept a wary eye on one place Dialogue: 0,0:00:16.78,0:00:18.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,perhaps more than any other: Dialogue: 0,0:00:18.54,0:00:20.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The West Antarctic Ice Sheet, Dialogue: 0,0:00:20.21,0:00:23.26,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and particularly the fastest melting part of it, Dialogue: 0,0:00:23.28,0:00:25.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the glaciers that flow into the Amundsen Sea. Dialogue: 0,0:00:25.69,0:00:27.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In that region, Dialogue: 0,0:00:27.38,0:00:29.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,six glaciers hang in a precarious balance, Dialogue: 0,0:00:29.66,0:00:31.90,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,partially supported by land, Dialogue: 0,0:00:31.92,0:00:34.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and partially floating in waters just offshore. Dialogue: 0,0:00:34.70,0:00:36.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There's enough water frozen in the ice sheet Dialogue: 0,0:00:36.97,0:00:38.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that feeds these icy giants Dialogue: 0,0:00:38.49,0:00:40.95,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to raise global sea levels by 4 feet- Dialogue: 0,0:00:40.97,0:00:42.43,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if they were to melt. Dialogue: 0,0:00:42.45,0:00:45.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That's troubling because the glaciers are melting. Dialogue: 0,0:00:45.34,0:00:47.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Moreover, a new study finds that Dialogue: 0,0:00:47.49,0:00:49.89,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,their decline appears to be irreversible. Dialogue: 0,0:00:49.91,0:00:51.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'We've passed the point of no return,' Dialogue: 0,0:00:51.87,0:00:53.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,says Eric Rignot, Dialogue: 0,0:00:53.38,0:00:56.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a glaciologist working jointly at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory Dialogue: 0,0:00:56.58,0:00:59.37,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and the University of California, Irvine. Dialogue: 0,0:00:59.39,0:01:01.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Rignot and colleagues Dialogue: 0,0:01:01.21,0:01:03.79,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,have used 19 years of satellite radar data Dialogue: 0,0:01:03.81,0:01:05.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to map the fast-melting glaciers. Dialogue: 0,0:01:05.42,0:01:07.05,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In their paper, Dialogue: 0,0:01:07.07,0:01:08.77,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which has been accepted for publication Dialogue: 0,0:01:08.79,0:01:10.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in Geophysical Research Letters, Dialogue: 0,0:01:10.43,0:01:11.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they conclude that Dialogue: 0,0:01:11.82,0:01:13.35,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'this sector of West Antarctica Dialogue: 0,0:01:13.37,0:01:15.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is undergoing a marine ice sheet instability Dialogue: 0,0:01:15.94,0:01:18.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that will significantly contribute to sea level rise' Dialogue: 0,0:01:18.58,0:01:20.59,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,in the centuries ahead. Dialogue: 0,0:01:20.61,0:01:23.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,A key concept in the Rignot study is the Dialogue: 0,0:01:23.14,0:01:24.57,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'grounding line'- Dialogue: 0,0:01:24.59,0:01:26.86,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the dividing line between land and water underneath a glacier. Dialogue: 0,0:01:26.88,0:01:29.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Because virtually all melting occurs Dialogue: 0,0:01:29.62,0:01:31.87,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,where the glaciers' undersides touch the ocean, Dialogue: 0,0:01:31.89,0:01:34.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,pinpointing the grounding line is crucial Dialogue: 0,0:01:34.49,0:01:36.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,for estimating melt rates. Dialogue: 0,0:01:36.36,0:01:37.33,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The problem is, Dialogue: 0,0:01:37.35,0:01:40.93,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,grounding lines are buried under thousands of feet of glacial ice. Dialogue: 0,0:01:40.95,0:01:43.34,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'It's challenging for a human observer Dialogue: 0,0:01:43.36,0:01:45.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,to figure out where they are,' Rignot explains. Dialogue: 0,0:01:45.44,0:01:48.65,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'There's nothing obvious that sticks out on the surface to say, Dialogue: 0,0:01:48.67,0:01:50.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'This is where the glacier goes afloat.'' Dialogue: 0,0:01:50.69,0:01:52.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,To find the hidden grounding lines, Dialogue: 0,0:01:53.01,0:01:55.28,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they examined radar images of the glaciers Dialogue: 0,0:01:55.30,0:01:58.85,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,made by the European Space Agency's Earth Remote Sensing satellites Dialogue: 0,0:01:58.87,0:02:01.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from 1992 to 2011. Dialogue: 0,0:02:01.23,0:02:04.06,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Glaciers flex in response to tides. Dialogue: 0,0:02:04.08,0:02:06.15,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,By analyzing the flexing motions, Dialogue: 0,0:02:06.17,0:02:08.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they were able to trace the grounding lines. Dialogue: 0,0:02:08.18,0:02:10.29,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This led to a key discovery. Dialogue: 0,0:02:10.31,0:02:12.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In all the glaciers they studied, Dialogue: 0,0:02:12.82,0:02:15.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,grounding lines were rapidly retreating away from the sea. Dialogue: 0,0:02:15.85,0:02:17.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'In this sector, Dialogue: 0,0:02:17.44,0:02:18.83,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,we are seeing retreat rates Dialogue: 0,0:02:18.85,0:02:21.31,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that we don't see anywhere else on Earth,' Rignot says. Dialogue: 0,0:02:21.33,0:02:23.78,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Smith Glacier's line moved the fastest, Dialogue: 0,0:02:23.80,0:02:25.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,retreating 22 miles upstream. Dialogue: 0,0:02:25.94,0:02:29.19,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The other lines retreated from 6 to 19 miles. Dialogue: 0,0:02:29.21,0:02:31.98,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,As the glaciers melt and lose weight, Dialogue: 0,0:02:32.00,0:02:34.13,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,they float off the land where they used to sit. Dialogue: 0,0:02:34.15,0:02:36.42,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Water gets underneath the glacier Dialogue: 0,0:02:36.44,0:02:38.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and pushes the grounding line inland. Dialogue: 0,0:02:38.38,0:02:39.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This, in turn, Dialogue: 0,0:02:39.78,0:02:42.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,reduces friction between the glacier and its bed. Dialogue: 0,0:02:42.12,0:02:43.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The glacier speeds up, Dialogue: 0,0:02:43.58,0:02:45.64,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,stretches out and thins, Dialogue: 0,0:02:45.66,0:02:48.21,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,which drives the grounding line to retreat farther inland. Dialogue: 0,0:02:48.23,0:02:50.63,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,This is a positive feedback loop Dialogue: 0,0:02:50.65,0:02:52.58,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that leads to out of control melting. Dialogue: 0,0:02:52.60,0:02:56.55,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The only natural factor that can slow or stop this process Dialogue: 0,0:02:56.57,0:02:58.47,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is a 'pinning point' in the bedrock -- Dialogue: 0,0:02:58.49,0:03:01.69,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,a bump or projection that snags the glacier from underneath Dialogue: 0,0:03:01.71,0:03:03.72,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and keeps it from sliding toward the sea. Dialogue: 0,0:03:03.74,0:03:06.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,To investigate this possibility, Dialogue: 0,0:03:06.04,0:03:09.10,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the researchers made a novel map of the bed beneath the glaciers Dialogue: 0,0:03:09.12,0:03:11.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,using radar and other data from satellites Dialogue: 0,0:03:11.58,0:03:13.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and NASA's airborne IceBridge mission. Dialogue: 0,0:03:13.46,0:03:17.07,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,The map revealed that the glaciers had already floated off Dialogue: 0,0:03:17.09,0:03:19.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,many of their small pinning points. Dialogue: 0,0:03:19.42,0:03:21.91,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,In short, there seems to be no turning back. Dialogue: 0,0:03:21.93,0:03:24.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'At current melt rates,' concludes Rignot, Dialogue: 0,0:03:24.26,0:03:27.67,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,'these glaciers will be 'history' within a few hundred years.' Dialogue: 0,0:03:27.69,0:03:30.99,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,For more news about climate change and other hot topics, Dialogue: 0,0:03:31.01,0:03:34.41,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,stay tuned to Science.nasa.gov.