0:00:00.888,0:00:02.976 Thirteen trillion dollars in wealth 0:00:03.000,0:00:05.976 has evaporated over the course[br]of the last two years. 0:00:06.553,0:00:08.850 We've questioned the future of capitalism. 0:00:08.874,0:00:11.226 We've questioned the financial industry. 0:00:11.250,0:00:13.226 We've looked at our government oversight. 0:00:13.250,0:00:14.944 We've questioned where we're going. 0:00:14.968,0:00:16.277 And yet, at the same time, 0:00:16.301,0:00:19.177 this very well may be[br]a seminal moment in American history, 0:00:19.201,0:00:23.526 an opportunity for the consumer[br]to actually take control and guide us 0:00:23.550,0:00:25.726 to a new trajectory in America. 0:00:25.750,0:00:27.475 I'm calling this The Great Unwind. 0:00:27.499,0:00:28.501 (Laughter) 0:00:28.525,0:00:31.126 And the idea is a simple, simple idea, 0:00:31.150,0:00:35.230 which is the fact that the consumer[br]has moved from a state of anxiety 0:00:35.254,0:00:36.412 to action. 0:00:36.436,0:00:40.675 Consumers who represent 72 percent[br]of the GDP of America 0:00:40.699,0:00:44.143 have actually started, just like banks[br]and just like businesses, 0:00:44.167,0:00:48.251 to de-leverage, to unwind[br]their leverage in daily life, 0:00:48.275,0:00:51.226 to remove themselves[br]from the liability and risk 0:00:51.250,0:00:54.126 that presents itself as they move forward. 0:00:54.150,0:00:56.883 So, to understand this --[br]and I'm going to stress this -- 0:00:56.907,0:00:59.070 it's not about the consumer[br]being in retreat. 0:00:59.094,0:01:00.454 The consumer is empowered. 0:01:00.478,0:01:03.735 To understand this, we'll step back[br]and look at what's happened 0:01:03.759,0:01:05.654 over the last year and a half. 0:01:05.678,0:01:07.897 So if you've been gone,[br]this is the CliffsNotes 0:01:07.921,0:01:09.545 on what's happened in the economy. 0:01:09.569,0:01:10.573 (Laughter) 0:01:10.597,0:01:13.667 Unemployment up. Housing values down.[br]Equity markets down. 0:01:13.691,0:01:15.297 Commodity prices are like this. 0:01:15.321,0:01:17.569 If you're a mom trying to manage a budget, 0:01:17.593,0:01:20.258 and oil was 150 dollars[br]a barrel last summer, 0:01:20.282,0:01:22.055 and it's somewhere between 50 and 70, 0:01:22.079,0:01:23.242 do you plan vacations? 0:01:23.266,0:01:24.424 How do you buy? 0:01:24.448,0:01:27.368 What's your strategy in your household?[br]Will the bailout work? 0:01:27.392,0:01:30.567 We have national debt, Detroit,[br]currency valuations, health care -- 0:01:30.591,0:01:31.888 all these issues facing us. 0:01:31.912,0:01:34.638 You put them all together,[br]mix them up in a bouillabaisse, 0:01:34.662,0:01:37.993 and you have consumer confidence[br]that's basically a ticking time bomb. 0:01:38.017,0:01:40.994 In fact, let's go back and look[br]at what caused this crisis, 0:01:41.018,0:01:43.496 because the consumer,[br]all of us, in our daily lives, 0:01:43.520,0:01:45.996 actually contributed[br]a large part to the problem. 0:01:46.020,0:01:48.800 This is something I call[br]the 50-20 paradox. 0:01:48.824,0:01:51.576 It took us 50 years 0:01:51.600,0:01:55.356 to reach annual savings ratings[br]of almost 10 percent. 0:01:55.380,0:01:56.576 Fifty years. 0:01:56.600,0:01:59.478 Do you know what this was right here?[br]This was World War II. 0:01:59.502,0:02:01.316 Do you know why savings was so high? 0:02:01.340,0:02:04.650 There was nothing to buy,[br]unless you wanted to buy some rivets. 0:02:04.674,0:02:07.604 What happened, though,[br]over the course of the last 20 years, 0:02:07.628,0:02:11.788 we went from a 10 percent savings rate[br]to a negative savings rate. 0:02:11.812,0:02:13.465 Because we binged. 0:02:13.489,0:02:17.282 We bought extra-large cars,[br]supersized everything, 0:02:17.306,0:02:20.014 we bought remedies[br]for restless leg syndrome. 0:02:20.038,0:02:23.944 All these things together[br]basically created a factor 0:02:23.968,0:02:26.556 where the consumer drove us[br]headlong into the crisis 0:02:26.580,0:02:27.853 that we face today. 0:02:27.877,0:02:34.154 The personal debt-to-income ratio[br]basically went from 65 to 135 percent 0:02:34.178,0:02:36.686 in the span of about 15 years. 0:02:36.710,0:02:38.797 So consumers got over-leveraged. 0:02:38.821,0:02:42.002 And of course our banks did as well,[br]as did our federal government. 0:02:42.026,0:02:44.092 This is an absolutely staggering chart. 0:02:44.116,0:02:48.723 It shows leverage,[br]trended out from 1919 to 2009. 0:02:48.747,0:02:51.399 And what you end up seeing[br]is the whole phenomenon 0:02:51.423,0:02:55.279 that we are actually stepping forth[br]and basically leveraging 0:02:55.303,0:02:58.482 future education, future children[br]in our households. 0:02:58.506,0:03:01.606 So if you look at this in the context[br]of visualizing the bailout, 0:03:01.630,0:03:04.126 what you can see is,[br]if you stack up dollar bills, 0:03:04.150,0:03:06.392 first of all, 360,000 dollars 0:03:06.416,0:03:08.935 is about the size of a five-foot-four guy. 0:03:08.959,0:03:13.236 But if you stack it up, you see[br]this amazing, staggering amount of dollars 0:03:13.260,0:03:16.126 that have been put into the system[br]to fund and bail us out. 0:03:16.150,0:03:18.315 So this is the first 315 billion. 0:03:18.339,0:03:20.112 But I read this fact the other day, 0:03:20.136,0:03:23.446 that one trillion seconds[br]equals 32,000 years. 0:03:23.470,0:03:24.787 So if you think about that, 0:03:24.811,0:03:27.307 the context, the casualness[br]with which we talk about 0:03:27.331,0:03:29.584 trillion-dollar bailout here[br]and trillion there, 0:03:29.608,0:03:32.993 we are stacking ourselves up[br]for long-term leverage. 0:03:33.017,0:03:35.669 However, consumers have moved. 0:03:35.693,0:03:37.732 They are taking responsibility. 0:03:37.756,0:03:40.285 What we're seeing[br]is an uptake in the savings rate. 0:03:40.309,0:03:43.024 In fact, 11 straight months[br]of savings have happened 0:03:43.048,0:03:44.695 since the beginning of the crisis. 0:03:44.719,0:03:47.083 We're working our way back up[br]to that 10 percent. 0:03:47.107,0:03:49.037 Also, remarkably, in the fourth quarter, 0:03:49.061,0:03:52.442 spending dropped[br]to its lowest level in 62 years -- 0:03:52.466,0:03:55.126 almost a 3.7 percent decline. 0:03:55.150,0:03:59.030 Visa now reports that more people[br]are using debit cards than credit cards. 0:03:59.054,0:04:02.447 So we're starting to pay for things[br]with money that we have. 0:04:02.471,0:04:06.126 And we're starting to be much more careful[br]about how we save and invest. 0:04:06.150,0:04:08.126 But that's not really the whole story, 0:04:08.150,0:04:11.067 because this has also been a dramatic[br]time of transformation. 0:04:11.091,0:04:13.717 And you've got to admit,[br]over the last year and a half, 0:04:13.741,0:04:15.809 consumers have been doing[br]some weird things. 0:04:15.833,0:04:18.124 It's pretty staggering,[br]what we've lived through. 0:04:18.148,0:04:20.844 If you take into account[br]that 80 percent of all Americans 0:04:20.868,0:04:22.264 were born after World War II, 0:04:22.288,0:04:24.021 this was essentially our Depression. 0:04:24.045,0:04:26.850 And so, as a result,[br]some crazy things have happened. 0:04:26.874,0:04:28.224 I'll give you some examples. 0:04:28.248,0:04:32.913 Let's talk about dentists, vasectomies,[br]guns and shark attacks. 0:04:32.937,0:04:34.725 (Laughter) 0:04:34.749,0:04:38.632 Dentists report molars --[br]people grinding their teeth, 0:04:38.656,0:04:41.019 coming in and reporting[br]that they've had stress. 0:04:41.043,0:04:44.465 So there's an increase in people[br]having to have their fillings replaced. 0:04:44.489,0:04:47.783 Gun sales, according to the FBI,[br]who does background checks, 0:04:47.807,0:04:50.901 are up almost 25 percent since January. 0:04:50.925,0:04:55.578 Vasectomies are up 48 percent,[br]according to the Cornell Institute. 0:04:55.602,0:04:58.006 And lastly, but a very good point, 0:04:58.030,0:05:00.606 hopefully not related[br]to the former point I just made, 0:05:00.630,0:05:04.093 which is that shark attacks[br]are at their lowest level from 2003. 0:05:04.117,0:05:05.638 Does anybody know why? 0:05:06.011,0:05:07.193 (Laughter) 0:05:07.217,0:05:08.385 No one's at the beach. 0:05:08.409,0:05:10.305 So there's a bright side to everything. 0:05:10.329,0:05:12.515 But seriously, what we see happening, 0:05:12.539,0:05:15.800 and the reason I want to stress[br]that the consumer is not in retreat, 0:05:15.824,0:05:17.839 is that this is a tremendous opportunity 0:05:17.863,0:05:20.457 for the consumer who drove us[br]into this recession 0:05:20.481,0:05:22.006 to lead us right back out. 0:05:22.030,0:05:25.372 What I mean by that is we can[br]move from mindless consumption 0:05:25.396,0:05:27.424 to mindful consumption. 0:05:27.448,0:05:28.608 Right? 0:05:28.632,0:05:29.707 (Applause) 0:05:29.731,0:05:31.763 If you think about the last three decades, 0:05:31.787,0:05:35.069 the consumer has moved[br]from savvy about marketing in the '90s, 0:05:35.093,0:05:39.070 to gathering all these amazing social[br]and search tools in this decade. 0:05:39.094,0:05:42.423 But the one thing holding them back[br]is the ability to discriminate. 0:05:42.447,0:05:43.784 By restricting their demand, 0:05:43.808,0:05:47.126 consumers can actually align[br]their values with their spending, 0:05:47.150,0:05:50.730 and drive capitalism and business[br]to not just be about more, 0:05:50.754,0:05:51.920 but to be about better. 0:05:51.944,0:05:53.921 We're going to explain that right now. 0:05:53.945,0:05:56.726 Based on Y&R's BrandAsset Valuator, 0:05:56.750,0:05:59.451 proprietary tool of VML[br]and Young & Rubicam, 0:05:59.475,0:06:02.359 we set out to understand[br]what's been happening in the crisis 0:06:02.383,0:06:03.924 with the consumer marketplace. 0:06:03.948,0:06:06.165 We found a couple[br]of really interesting things. 0:06:06.189,0:06:08.616 We're going to go[br]through four value shifts 0:06:08.640,0:06:10.976 that we see driving[br]new consumer behaviors, 0:06:11.000,0:06:13.057 that offer new management principles. 0:06:13.081,0:06:14.891 The first cultural value shift we see 0:06:14.915,0:06:17.541 is this tendency toward something[br]we call "liquid life." 0:06:17.565,0:06:18.715 This is the movement 0:06:18.739,0:06:21.820 from Americans defining[br]their success on having things 0:06:21.844,0:06:23.126 to having liquidity, 0:06:23.150,0:06:25.842 because the less excess[br]that you have around you, 0:06:25.866,0:06:28.018 the more nimble and fleet of foot you are. 0:06:28.042,0:06:30.512 As a result, déclassé consumption is in. 0:06:30.536,0:06:34.471 Déclassé consumption is the whole idea[br]that spending money frivolously 0:06:34.495,0:06:37.233 makes you look a little bit anti-fashion. 0:06:37.257,0:06:39.746 The management principle[br]is dollars and cents. 0:06:39.770,0:06:42.614 So let's look at some examples[br]of this déclassé consumption 0:06:42.638,0:06:44.066 that falls out of this value. 0:06:44.090,0:06:46.387 The first thing is,[br]something must be happening 0:06:46.411,0:06:48.487 when P. Diddy vows to tone down his bling. 0:06:48.511,0:06:49.525 (Laughter) 0:06:49.549,0:06:51.891 But seriously, we also have[br]this phenomenon 0:06:51.915,0:06:53.840 on Madison Avenue and in other places, 0:06:53.864,0:06:56.787 where people are actually[br]walking out of luxury boutiques 0:06:56.811,0:07:00.624 with ordinary, generic paper bags[br]to hide the brand purchases. 0:07:00.648,0:07:03.625 We see high-end haggling in fashion today, 0:07:03.649,0:07:06.126 high-end haggling[br]for luxury and real estate. 0:07:06.150,0:07:08.522 We also see just a relaxing of ego, 0:07:08.546,0:07:10.798 and sort of a dismantling of artifice. 0:07:10.822,0:07:14.669 This is a story on the yacht club[br]that's all basically blue collar. 0:07:14.693,0:07:16.867 Blue-collar yacht club --[br]where you can join, 0:07:16.891,0:07:20.126 but you've got to work in the boatyard[br]as condition of membership. 0:07:20.150,0:07:24.811 We also see the trend toward tourism[br]that's a little bit more low-key: 0:07:24.835,0:07:27.962 agritourism -- going to vineyards[br]and going to farms. 0:07:27.986,0:07:31.611 And then we also see this movement[br]forward from dollars and cents. 0:07:31.635,0:07:34.350 What businesses can do to connect[br]with these new mindsets 0:07:34.374,0:07:35.541 is really interesting. 0:07:35.565,0:07:37.410 A couple things that are kind of cool. 0:07:37.434,0:07:41.127 One is that Frito-Lay figured out[br]this liquidity thing with their consumer. 0:07:41.151,0:07:44.554 They found their consumer had more[br]money at the beginning of the month, 0:07:44.578,0:07:45.987 less at the end of the month. 0:07:46.011,0:07:48.024 So they started to change their packaging: 0:07:48.048,0:07:50.070 larger packs at the beginning[br]of the month, 0:07:50.094,0:07:52.114 smaller packaging at the end of the month. 0:07:52.138,0:07:54.857 Really interestingly, too,[br]was the San Francisco Giants. 0:07:54.881,0:07:57.126 They've just instituted dynamic pricing. 0:07:57.150,0:08:00.369 It takes into account everything[br]from the pitcher match-ups, 0:08:00.393,0:08:02.236 to the weather, to the team records, 0:08:02.260,0:08:04.664 in setting prices for the consumer. 0:08:04.688,0:08:09.719 Another quick example of these types[br]of movements is the rise of Zynga. 0:08:09.743,0:08:12.023 Zynga has risen on the consumer's desire 0:08:12.047,0:08:14.059 to not want to be locked in to fixed cost. 0:08:14.083,0:08:16.843 Again, this theme is about variable[br]cost, variable living. 0:08:16.867,0:08:18.739 So micro-payments have become huge. 0:08:18.763,0:08:21.342 And lastly, some people are using Hulu 0:08:21.366,0:08:23.438 as a device to get rid[br]of their cable bill. 0:08:23.462,0:08:27.052 So, really clever ideas there[br]that are being taken ahold of 0:08:27.076,0:08:29.247 and that marketers[br]are starting to understand. 0:08:29.271,0:08:31.901 The second of the four values[br]is this movement toward 0:08:31.925,0:08:33.230 ethics and fair play. 0:08:33.254,0:08:36.391 We see that play itself out[br]with empathy and respect. 0:08:36.415,0:08:38.036 The consumer is demanding it. 0:08:38.060,0:08:41.226 And, as a result, businesses[br]must provide not only value, 0:08:41.250,0:08:42.402 but values. 0:08:42.426,0:08:45.599 Increasingly, consumers are looking[br]at the culture of the company, 0:08:45.623,0:08:47.368 at their conduct in the marketplace. 0:08:47.392,0:08:49.060 So we see with empathy and respect 0:08:49.084,0:08:51.880 lots of really hopeful things[br]come out of this recession. 0:08:51.904,0:08:53.295 I'll give you a few examples. 0:08:53.319,0:08:55.844 One is the rise toward communities[br]and neighborhoods, 0:08:55.868,0:08:59.582 and increased emphasis on your neighbors[br]as your support system. 0:08:59.606,0:09:03.653 Also, a wonderful by-product[br]of a really lousy thing, 0:09:03.677,0:09:05.045 which has been unemployment, 0:09:05.069,0:09:07.870 is a rise in volunteerism[br]that's been noted in our country. 0:09:07.894,0:09:11.564 We also see the phenomenon --[br]some of you may have "boomerang kids" -- 0:09:11.588,0:09:13.225 these are "boomerang alumni," 0:09:13.249,0:09:15.982 where universities are actually[br]reconnecting with alumni 0:09:16.006,0:09:18.787 and helping them with jobs,[br]sharing skills and retraining. 0:09:18.811,0:09:21.359 We also talked about character[br]and professionalism. 0:09:21.383,0:09:25.126 We had this miracle on the Hudson[br]in New York City in January, 0:09:25.150,0:09:29.126 and suddenly Sully has become[br]a key name on BabyCenter. 0:09:29.150,0:09:30.220 (Laughter) 0:09:30.244,0:09:32.640 So, from a value and values standpoint, 0:09:32.664,0:09:35.617 what companies can do is connect[br]in lots of different ways. 0:09:35.641,0:09:37.533 Microsoft is doing something wonderful. 0:09:37.557,0:09:41.395 They are actually vowing to retrain[br]two million Americans with IT training, 0:09:41.419,0:09:44.521 using their existing infrastructure[br]to do something good. 0:09:44.545,0:09:47.006 Also, a really interesting[br]company is GORE-TEX. 0:09:47.030,0:09:49.740 GORE-TEX is all about[br]personal accountability 0:09:49.764,0:09:51.713 of their management and their employees, 0:09:51.737,0:09:55.295 to the point where they really[br]kind of shun the idea of bosses. 0:09:55.319,0:09:58.084 But they also talk about the fact[br]that their executives -- 0:09:58.108,0:10:01.180 all of their expense reports[br]are put onto their company intranet 0:10:01.204,0:10:02.383 for everyone to see. 0:10:02.407,0:10:04.126 Complete transparency. 0:10:04.150,0:10:06.426 Think twice before you have[br]that bottle of wine. 0:10:06.450,0:10:07.507 (Laughter) 0:10:07.531,0:10:10.304 The third of the four laws[br]of post-crisis consumerism 0:10:10.328,0:10:11.813 is about durable living. 0:10:11.837,0:10:14.374 We're seeing in our data[br]that consumers are realizing 0:10:14.398,0:10:16.126 this is a marathon, not a sprint. 0:10:16.150,0:10:19.009 They're digging in and looking[br]for ways to extract value 0:10:19.033,0:10:21.126 out of every purchase they make. 0:10:21.150,0:10:24.065 Witness the fact that Americans[br]are holding on to their cars 0:10:24.089,0:10:27.951 longer than ever before:[br]9.4 years on average, in March. 0:10:27.975,0:10:29.126 A record. 0:10:29.150,0:10:33.126 We also see the fact that libraries[br]have become a huge resource for America. 0:10:33.150,0:10:36.992 Did you know that 68 percent[br]of Americans now carry a library card? 0:10:37.016,0:10:39.481 The highest percentage ever[br]in our nation's history. 0:10:39.505,0:10:43.126 So what you see in this trend[br]is also the accumulation of knowledge. 0:10:43.150,0:10:44.869 Continuing education is up. 0:10:44.893,0:10:47.531 Everything is focused[br]on betterment, training, 0:10:47.555,0:10:49.340 development and moving forward. 0:10:49.364,0:10:51.901 We also see a big DIY movement. 0:10:52.424,0:10:56.588 I was fascinated to learn that 30 percent[br]of all homes in America 0:10:56.612,0:10:58.126 are actually built by owners. 0:10:58.150,0:11:00.008 That includes cottages and the like, 0:11:00.032,0:11:01.200 but 30 percent. 0:11:01.224,0:11:04.236 People are getting their hands dirty,[br]rolling up their sleeves. 0:11:04.260,0:11:05.427 They want these skills. 0:11:05.451,0:11:09.015 We see it with the phenomenon of raising[br]backyard hens, chickens and ducks. 0:11:09.039,0:11:11.727 And when you work out the math,[br]they say it doesn't work, 0:11:11.751,0:11:13.051 but the principle is there; 0:11:13.075,0:11:15.790 it's about being sustainable[br]and taking care of yourself. 0:11:15.814,0:11:18.425 Then we look at the High Line[br]in New York City, 0:11:18.449,0:11:21.217 an excellent use of reimagining[br]existing infrastructure 0:11:21.241,0:11:22.400 for something good, 0:11:22.424,0:11:24.459 which is a brand-new park[br]in New York City. 0:11:24.483,0:11:28.574 So what brands can do, and companies,[br]is pay dividends to consumers, 0:11:28.598,0:11:30.126 be a brand that lasts, 0:11:30.150,0:11:31.539 offer transparency, 0:11:31.563,0:11:34.057 promise you're going to be there[br]beyond today's sale. 0:11:34.081,0:11:36.126 Perfect example of that is Patagonia. 0:11:36.150,0:11:37.864 Patagonia's "Footprint Chronicles" 0:11:37.888,0:11:41.686 basically goes through and tracks[br]every product they make, 0:11:41.710,0:11:43.500 and gives you social responsibility, 0:11:43.524,0:11:47.063 and helps you understand the ethics[br]behind the product they make. 0:11:47.087,0:11:48.869 Another great example is Fidelity. 0:11:48.893,0:11:52.579 Rather than instant cash-back rewards[br]on your credit or debit purchases, 0:11:52.603,0:11:57.499 this is about 529 rewards[br]for your student education. 0:11:57.523,0:11:59.610 Or the interesting company Sunrun. 0:11:59.634,0:12:00.789 I love this company. 0:12:00.813,0:12:02.880 They've created a consumer collective 0:12:02.904,0:12:05.250 where they put solar panels on households 0:12:05.274,0:12:07.369 and create a consumer-based utility, 0:12:07.393,0:12:09.091 where the electricity they generate 0:12:09.115,0:12:11.739 is basically pumped back out[br]into the marketplace. 0:12:11.763,0:12:13.499 So it's a consumer-driven co-op. 0:12:13.523,0:12:17.197 The fourth post-crisis[br]consumerism that we see 0:12:17.221,0:12:19.538 is this movement[br]about "return to the fold." 0:12:19.562,0:12:21.361 It's incredibly important right now. 0:12:21.385,0:12:23.969 Trust is not parceled out, as we all know. 0:12:23.993,0:12:26.185 It's now about connecting[br]to your communities, 0:12:26.209,0:12:27.971 connecting to your social networks. 0:12:27.995,0:12:29.709 In my book, I talked about the fact 0:12:29.733,0:12:32.408 that 72 percent of people trust[br]what other people say 0:12:32.432,0:12:33.883 about a brand or a company, 0:12:33.907,0:12:35.949 versus 15 percent on advertising. 0:12:35.973,0:12:39.693 So in that respect, cooperative[br]consumerism has really taken off. 0:12:39.717,0:12:42.700 This is about consumers working[br]together to get what they want 0:12:42.724,0:12:43.900 out of the marketplace. 0:12:43.924,0:12:45.901 Let's look at a couple of quick examples. 0:12:45.925,0:12:47.498 The artisanal movement is huge: 0:12:47.522,0:12:50.579 everything about locally[br]derived products and services, 0:12:50.603,0:12:52.387 supporting your local neighborhoods, 0:12:52.411,0:12:55.387 whether it's cheeses,[br]wines and other products. 0:12:55.411,0:12:58.069 Also this rise of local currencies. 0:12:58.093,0:13:01.068 Realizing that it's difficult[br]to get loans in this environment, 0:13:01.092,0:13:03.151 you're doing business[br]with people you trust 0:13:03.175,0:13:04.354 in your local markets. 0:13:04.378,0:13:08.246 So this rise of local currency[br]is another really interesting phenomenon. 0:13:08.270,0:13:11.892 And then they did a recent report[br]I thought was fascinating. 0:13:11.916,0:13:15.089 They actually started, in certain[br]communities in the United States, 0:13:15.113,0:13:17.140 to publish people's electricity usage. 0:13:17.164,0:13:20.475 And what they found out is when[br]that was available for public record, 0:13:20.499,0:13:23.569 the people's electricity usage[br]in those communities dropped. 0:13:24.511,0:13:27.126 Then we also look[br]at the idea of cow-pooling, 0:13:27.150,0:13:31.345 which is the whole phenomenon[br]of consumers organizing together 0:13:31.369,0:13:35.262 to buy meat from organic farms,[br]that they know is safe and controlled 0:13:35.286,0:13:37.472 in the way that they want it[br]to be controlled. 0:13:37.496,0:13:41.063 And then there's this other really[br]interesting movement in California, 0:13:41.087,0:13:42.570 which is about carrot mobs. 0:13:42.594,0:13:45.640 The traditional thing would be[br]to boycott, right? Have a stick. 0:13:45.664,0:13:47.010 Well, why not have a carrot? 0:13:47.034,0:13:50.338 So these are consumers organizing,[br]pooling their resources 0:13:50.362,0:13:53.126 to incentify companies to do good. 0:13:53.150,0:13:55.947 And then we look at what companies can do. 0:13:55.971,0:13:59.424 This is all the opportunity[br]about being a community organizer. 0:13:59.448,0:14:02.415 You have to realize[br]that you can't fight and control this. 0:14:02.439,0:14:04.049 You actually need to organize it. 0:14:04.073,0:14:06.598 You need to harness it.[br]You need to give it meaning. 0:14:06.622,0:14:09.834 And there's lots of really[br]interesting examples here. 0:14:09.858,0:14:14.651 First is just the rise of the fact[br]that Zagat's has actually moved out of 0:14:14.675,0:14:16.903 and diversified from rating restaurants, 0:14:16.927,0:14:19.126 into actually rating health care. 0:14:19.150,0:14:21.279 So what credentials does Zagat's have? 0:14:21.303,0:14:22.473 Well, they have a lot, 0:14:22.497,0:14:24.341 because it's their network of people. 0:14:24.365,0:14:26.908 So that becomes[br]a very powerful force for them 0:14:26.932,0:14:29.126 to make their brand more elastic. 0:14:29.150,0:14:31.407 Then you look at the phenomenon of Kogi. 0:14:31.936,0:14:34.913 This Kogi doesn't exist.[br]It's a moving truck. 0:14:34.937,0:14:36.536 It's a moving truck through L.A., 0:14:36.560,0:14:39.056 and the only way you can find it[br]is through Twitter. 0:14:39.080,0:14:40.137 (Laughter) 0:14:40.161,0:14:41.314 Or you look at 0:14:41.338,0:14:46.400 Johnson & Johnson's "Momversations,"[br]a phenomenal blog that's been built up, 0:14:46.424,0:14:50.554 where J&J basically is tapping[br]into the power of mommy bloggers, 0:14:50.578,0:14:55.026 allowing them to create a forum[br]where they can communicate and connect. 0:14:55.050,0:14:59.889 And it's also become a very valuable[br]advertising revenue for J&J as well. 0:14:59.913,0:15:04.127 This, plus the fact that you've got[br]phenomenal work from CEOs, 0:15:04.151,0:15:06.691 from Ford to Zappos,[br]connecting on Twitter, 0:15:06.715,0:15:08.126 creating an open environment, 0:15:08.150,0:15:11.188 allowing their employees[br]to be part of the process, 0:15:11.212,0:15:12.920 rather than hidden behind walls. 0:15:12.944,0:15:17.149 You see this rising force[br]in total transparency and openness 0:15:17.173,0:15:18.961 that companies are starting to adopt, 0:15:18.985,0:15:21.292 all because the consumer is demanding it. 0:15:21.316,0:15:23.262 So when we look at this and step back, 0:15:23.286,0:15:27.478 what I believe is that the crisis[br]that exists today is definitely real. 0:15:27.502,0:15:30.126 It's been tremendously[br]powerful for consumers. 0:15:30.150,0:15:33.713 But at the same time,[br]this is also a tremendous opportunity. 0:15:33.737,0:15:37.204 The Chinese character for crisis[br]is actually the same side 0:15:37.228,0:15:38.395 of the same coin. 0:15:38.419,0:15:40.126 Crisis equals opportunity. 0:15:40.150,0:15:43.644 What we're seeing with consumers[br]right now is the ability for them 0:15:43.668,0:15:46.304 to actually lead us forward[br]out of this recession. 0:15:46.328,0:15:51.126 So we believe that values-driven spending[br]will force capitalism to be better: 0:15:51.150,0:15:53.030 it will drive innovation; 0:15:53.054,0:15:55.155 it will make longer-lasting products; 0:15:55.179,0:15:57.775 it will create better,[br]more intuitive customer service; 0:15:57.799,0:16:00.676 and it will give us the opportunity[br]to connect with companies 0:16:00.700,0:16:02.771 that share the values that we share. 0:16:02.795,0:16:04.814 So when we look back and step out at this 0:16:04.838,0:16:08.126 and see the beginning of these trends[br]that we're seeing in our data, 0:16:08.150,0:16:10.999 we see a very hopeful picture[br]for the future of America. 0:16:11.023,0:16:12.191 Thank you very much. 0:16:12.215,0:16:14.031 (Applause)