1 00:00:07,690 --> 00:00:12,950 When Gandhi was asked once to comment on European civilization, 2 00:00:12,950 --> 00:00:17,247 his quip was, "It would be a very good idea." 3 00:00:17,870 --> 00:00:20,520 When asked today about our views on the European Union, 4 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:23,840 I think we can be excused to reply in a similar fashion. 5 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:27,720 What a splendid idea it would be if we could only pull it off. 6 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:30,000 United only in name, 7 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:33,000 the European Union is, I'm afraid, 8 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:36,410 in a process of disintegration as we speak. 9 00:00:36,410 --> 00:00:41,530 With the commitment and determination of a termite colony, 10 00:00:41,530 --> 00:00:43,630 which is eating into the foundations, 11 00:00:43,630 --> 00:00:46,370 very soon there will be nothing left but an empty shell, 12 00:00:46,370 --> 00:00:51,744 to remind us of the lofty ideal, that used to be the European Union. 13 00:00:53,410 --> 00:00:56,000 In Agatha Christie novels 14 00:00:56,000 --> 00:01:01,922 when the reader comes across in the prologue a group of characters, 15 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:07,000 upper class characters usually that are congregating some chateau, 16 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:10,000 the reader knows what to expect, a series of murders. 17 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:14,000 Similarly, today when we hear that our European politicians are gathering today 18 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:19,000 or together we know what to expect, a comedy of errors 19 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:24,091 which will be wrapped up in triumphant rhetoric, 20 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,090 but which very soon will prove to be nothing more 21 00:01:28,090 --> 00:01:31,301 than dangerous harmful waffle. 22 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:35,250 To err is human. 23 00:01:35,250 --> 00:01:36,940 But to mess up spectacularly 24 00:01:36,940 --> 00:01:39,060 we need an elite made up of prime ministers, 25 00:01:39,060 --> 00:01:44,000 presidents, ministers, apparatchiks, opinion makers 26 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:48,000 who are determined not to face up 27 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:50,720 to a systemic crisis systematically. 28 00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:55,450 Alas, at least now we have enough evidence 29 00:01:55,450 --> 00:02:00,390 that renders all such denial inexcusable. 30 00:02:00,390 --> 00:02:03,230 Humanity has not surprised itself very often 31 00:02:03,230 --> 00:02:05,000 but it has done so twice in the past. 32 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:10,558 Οnce in 1929 and yet again more recently in 2008. 33 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:16,333 1929 ought to have taught us a very simple binary twin lesson. 34 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:23,984 First that the first victim of such a crisis is the common currency. 35 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:29,000 It was the gold standard in 1929, it is the Euro today. 36 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:32,300 The second victim is of course truth and civility. 37 00:02:32,300 --> 00:02:36,480 One such terrible crisis hits the world. 38 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:42,720 A Hobbesian war of all against all is unleashed on an unsuspecting humanity 39 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:47,000 and the first victim is our capacity to recognize the systemic crisis 40 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:49,360 we are in, as a systemic crisis. 41 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:54,950 And therefore it renders us incapable of accepting our responsibility 42 00:02:54,950 --> 00:02:59,070 for at least a portion of that crisis. 43 00:03:00,450 --> 00:03:06,215 Thrillers begin with some cunning detective who is unmasking 44 00:03:07,260 --> 00:03:11,360 one shady character after the other. 45 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,956 But good thrillers, I submit to you, 46 00:03:13,956 --> 00:03:17,322 do not end with the unveiling of the perpetrator. 47 00:03:17,322 --> 00:03:19,710 Τhey go one step further. 48 00:03:19,710 --> 00:03:22,716 Τhey reach the momentus moment 49 00:03:22,716 --> 00:03:28,416 when the cunning detective inadvertently unmasks himself. 50 00:03:29,662 --> 00:03:34,720 Bewildered he is staring at his own image in the mirror. 51 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:39,070 This crisis is having a similar effect on all of us. 52 00:03:39,070 --> 00:03:41,590 Our masks are falling. 53 00:03:41,590 --> 00:03:45,280 Unscrupulous bankers, inane politicians, 54 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:51,230 conniving entrepreneurs, cynical academics, 55 00:03:51,310 --> 00:03:55,000 uncritical citizens, who are all being unmasked 56 00:03:55,050 --> 00:04:00,760 but as their masks keep falling the dejection is becoming generalized. 57 00:04:01,380 --> 00:04:04,220 Meanwhile the human costs are mounting up 58 00:04:04,220 --> 00:04:06,130 and the only way of making sense of them 59 00:04:06,130 --> 00:04:11,130 and measuring them sensibly is by means of counting lost generations. 60 00:04:11,460 --> 00:04:17,688 It is time to transform Europe and to be transformed in the process. 61 00:04:18,740 --> 00:04:23,000 Now, the medical profession only very recently 62 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:26,721 managed to save more people than it killed. 63 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:33,830 Up until the 1920s or so the disease was preferable to the cure. 64 00:04:34,260 --> 00:04:36,530 Similarly with the Εuro crisis now 65 00:04:36,530 --> 00:04:39,350 our European leaders are enacting, 66 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:42,906 what I call a poisonous medicine. 67 00:04:42,906 --> 00:04:45,552 Toxic bailouts, inane austerity. 68 00:04:45,552 --> 00:04:50,340 We created, in order to salvage a Εuro system, a currency union 69 00:04:50,340 --> 00:04:54,000 which was never meant, never designed to sustain 70 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:56,000 the catastrophe of 2008, 71 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,830 the shockwaves of that great earthquake. 72 00:04:58,830 --> 00:05:01,000 What we have done is we created a scaffold 73 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:04,790 which is, instead of helping the edifice from collapsing 74 00:05:04,790 --> 00:05:06,750 it is putting more pressure on it. 75 00:05:06,750 --> 00:05:09,730 We've created this European Financial Stability 76 00:05:09,730 --> 00:05:11,960 or Instability Facility 77 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:13,210 and we modeled it. 78 00:05:13,210 --> 00:05:17,880 We created it in the image of Lehman Brothers' infamous derivatives. 79 00:05:17,910 --> 00:05:19,513 It was as if we took two stones 80 00:05:19,513 --> 00:05:21,826 and we tied them together by means of a string, 81 00:05:21,826 --> 00:05:25,000 hoping they will float more readily. 82 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:27,900 The result of course is the uncontrolled disintegration 83 00:05:27,900 --> 00:05:30,320 that we are experiencing. 84 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,560 Now, by now most people are realizing this. 85 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:39,000 So what we have here is a new Jerusalem that is being canvased. 86 00:05:39,270 --> 00:05:43,000 It comes in the form of the so called "Federal Option." 87 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:47,380 Well-meaning Europeans and some friends from federal field 88 00:05:47,380 --> 00:05:52,788 recite this litany of federal concepts, ideas, suggestions. 89 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:55,160 I'll just give you some. 90 00:05:55,160 --> 00:06:00,000 We hear of the importance of forging a Fiscal or a Transfer Union in Europe, 91 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,480 of having a Federal Treasury, 92 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:08,000 of giving a new Leviathan, a new Economic Czar 93 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:13,262 the power to rule over all of us with an armed fist and keep us in awe. 94 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:17,790 What we hear about is Centralized Disposal of National Assets, 95 00:06:17,790 --> 00:06:20,550 particularly of the Greek kind. 96 00:06:20,550 --> 00:06:22,440 The laws of National Sovereignty 97 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:24,960 as a price we have to pay for this Fiscal Union 98 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:27,320 and of course the dreaded treaty changes 99 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:32,554 that have to go through 27 parliaments and/or electorates. 100 00:06:33,430 --> 00:06:37,000 I submit to you that this is both unworkable and undesirable. 101 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:38,680 Why is it unworkable? 102 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:41,660 Because - and this is a message to federalists - 103 00:06:41,660 --> 00:06:45,220 the worst enemy of federalism at the moment is itself. 104 00:06:45,220 --> 00:06:48,000 And the reason why I'm saying this is because 105 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,967 if we move in the federals' direction 106 00:06:52,500 --> 00:06:56,000 the crisis is certain to outpace us. 107 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:57,820 It would run faster than we do. 108 00:06:57,820 --> 00:07:02,000 And when the treaty changes take longer than the collapse of the Euro, 109 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:06,000 all we will be left with is the smouldering mess 110 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:09,420 in which there will be nothing left to federate. 111 00:07:09,420 --> 00:07:15,469 But there is a second reason why this Federal Option needs to be shunt 112 00:07:15,900 --> 00:07:20,790 and it is that if the United States of Europe is a good idea, 113 00:07:20,790 --> 00:07:26,770 it is not an idea that should be wasted and subsumed 114 00:07:26,770 --> 00:07:31,533 in the context of trying to solve the current crisis. 115 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:35,630 Let me put it very simply. The Federal Option will only be possible 116 00:07:35,630 --> 00:07:38,790 once the crisis is over, not as an antidote to the crisis. 117 00:07:38,790 --> 00:07:42,650 We will only be capable and worthy of federation, 118 00:07:42,650 --> 00:07:45,360 when as European we can imagine the future 119 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:47,620 in which Greeks and Germans 120 00:07:47,620 --> 00:07:51,810 will be voting in Greek and German politicians to represent us. 121 00:07:51,810 --> 00:07:56,920 We will only be able to affect a decent Federal Europe 122 00:07:56,920 --> 00:08:01,660 when we can imagine a situation where our national armies 123 00:08:01,660 --> 00:08:06,000 are dissolved and are merged into a common European Defense force. 124 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:10,280 We are only going to be able to put together a decent Federation 125 00:08:10,280 --> 00:08:15,650 if we can imagine a situation where our views are assessed 126 00:08:15,650 --> 00:08:19,490 within Europe on the basis of their merits and the merits alone, 127 00:08:19,490 --> 00:08:23,000 what the ancient Athenians used to refer as "Isigoria." 128 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:25,666 As opposed to judging what somebody says 129 00:08:25,666 --> 00:08:28,492 on the basis of the who they are, what accent they speak in 130 00:08:28,492 --> 00:08:30,490 which country they come from, 131 00:08:30,490 --> 00:08:34,330 and finally at a symbolic, but a very important level, 132 00:08:34,330 --> 00:08:39,320 let me say this, we are only going to be capable of a proper federation 133 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:43,810 when we can decide as Europeans what to print on our euro notes. 134 00:08:43,810 --> 00:08:50,215 Instead of these abstract bridges and gates that symbolize one thing, 135 00:08:50,690 --> 00:08:55,000 our incapacity to agree on common symbols. 136 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:59,000 So if I'm right that the new Jerusalem is not really a new Jerusalem, 137 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:04,750 and that it is putting forward an unworkable and undesirable idea, 138 00:09:04,750 --> 00:09:09,000 which will also lead to uncontrolled disintegration, 139 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:11,360 then what is the alternative? 140 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:14,520 Well, let me suggest to you that before we agree in an alternative, 141 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:17,000 perhaps we should agree on some shared principles 142 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:19,820 that should govern our future. 143 00:09:19,820 --> 00:09:24,867 Τhese future principles may seem contradictory 144 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:28,000 but they can be rendered harmoniously 145 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,000 and if they can't then we have no future. 146 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,380 Let me give you examples. 147 00:09:32,380 --> 00:09:36,230 One principle is that I think we should end the perfectly partitioned Europe 148 00:09:36,230 --> 00:09:39,750 that we created in Maastricht in order to create the Euro, 149 00:09:39,750 --> 00:09:43,770 while at the same time however, strengthening National Sovereignty 150 00:09:43,770 --> 00:09:48,290 and empowering National Responsibility within that model. 151 00:09:48,310 --> 00:09:50,490 Another set. 152 00:09:50,490 --> 00:09:52,030 End the pseudo solidarity 153 00:09:52,030 --> 00:09:54,440 which is being imposed upon the Dutch and the Germans 154 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:59,110 in order to give bailouts, pretend bailouts to the Greeks and to the Irish. 155 00:09:59,110 --> 00:10:03,380 Stop inane austerity which is only making the debt crisis worse. 156 00:10:03,380 --> 00:10:09,020 Ignore all the calls for debt buybacks which will not work, 157 00:10:09,020 --> 00:10:14,000 but at the same time integrate investment and management of our problems 158 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:18,000 like existing debt and banking losses. 159 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:20,913 This is what I refer to as decentralized europeanization 160 00:10:20,913 --> 00:10:23,056 so allow me an acronym. 161 00:10:23,056 --> 00:10:25,000 Decent Europe. 162 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:26,470 Europeanize what? 163 00:10:26,470 --> 00:10:28,480 Free realms. 164 00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:32,000 We need a management of existing debt at a European level. 165 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,000 We need management of the banking sector 166 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:36,340 which is collapsing all over us, 167 00:10:36,340 --> 00:10:42,000 and we need a europeanized investment policy in aggregate. 168 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,990 How do we do this without treaty changes and federation? 169 00:10:44,990 --> 00:10:47,890 We already have existing institutions in Europe 170 00:10:47,890 --> 00:10:50,810 and each one of them can be assigned one of these tasks. 171 00:10:50,810 --> 00:10:52,710 I'm not going to go into this. 172 00:10:52,710 --> 00:10:54,440 This is not the place or the time. 173 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:58,000 You can see more of this proposal elsewhere. 174 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:00,620 All I want to do now is to give you a flavor 175 00:11:00,620 --> 00:11:03,610 of what the whole purpose of this is. 176 00:11:03,610 --> 00:11:06,460 Decentralized europeanization creates circumstances 177 00:11:06,460 --> 00:11:08,900 for national sovereignty and national responsibility 178 00:11:08,900 --> 00:11:09,970 to be strengthened. 179 00:11:09,970 --> 00:11:14,233 Because if we integrate these three spheres in Europe 180 00:11:14,233 --> 00:11:17,916 of existing debt, of banks and investment flows, 181 00:11:17,916 --> 00:11:19,730 then at the national level 182 00:11:19,730 --> 00:11:22,820 each member state can run a balanced budget, 183 00:11:22,820 --> 00:11:25,180 and can learn to live within its means, 184 00:11:25,180 --> 00:11:29,000 and also to be empowered within these limits 185 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:33,000 to exercise a full national sovereignty. 186 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:36,330 So I present this Decent Europe proposal to you 187 00:11:36,330 --> 00:11:40,360 as if you want a forger of a future Federation's prerequisite, 188 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:44,288 which I already mentioned and I won't mention again. 189 00:11:45,810 --> 00:11:48,300 Let me finish by reminding you of a myth, 190 00:11:48,300 --> 00:11:50,810 according which Sibyl of Cumae 191 00:11:50,810 --> 00:11:54,840 offered Tarquinius Superbus, the king of Rome at the time, 192 00:11:54,840 --> 00:11:59,000 the nine books of wisdom at a price that Tarquinius considered to be exorbitant 193 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:01,320 and therefore he said no to the offer. 194 00:12:01,320 --> 00:12:06,000 Sibyl as you all know started burning one of these volumes after the other 195 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:10,000 until Tarquinius relented agreeing to pay the original high price 196 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:13,000 for the remaining three volumes. 197 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:17,470 Let me suggest that the European crisis is following Sibyl's strategy. 198 00:12:17,470 --> 00:12:21,000 The problem is that our European leaders keep saying no 199 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:23,460 and therefore threatening 200 00:12:23,460 --> 00:12:29,250 to allow our common heritage to burn in its entirety. 201 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:35,350 Decentralized europeanization offers Europe a chance 202 00:12:35,770 --> 00:12:39,260 to save its last three books of wisdom or the equivalent. 203 00:12:39,260 --> 00:12:43,240 It offers us a chance to usher in a new era 204 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:47,000 in which Europeans, Northern and Southern, 205 00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:51,270 Western and Eastern, can stare into each others eyes 206 00:12:51,270 --> 00:12:54,350 and see and recognize a partner. 207 00:12:54,350 --> 00:12:56,620 If we miss this chance, 208 00:12:56,620 --> 00:12:59,310 then Europe is going to be dragging the whole planet 209 00:12:59,310 --> 00:13:03,080 into a despicable mire for a third time in a century. 210 00:13:03,460 --> 00:13:08,780 It is our duty and over overarching obligation to prevent this. 211 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:10,670 Thank you. 212 00:13:10,790 --> 00:13:13,825 (Applause)