WEBVTT 00:00:07.690 --> 00:00:12.950 When Gandhi was asked once to comment on European civilization, 00:00:12.950 --> 00:00:17.247 his quip was, "It would be a very good idea." 00:00:17.870 --> 00:00:20.520 When asked today about our views on the European Union, 00:00:20.520 --> 00:00:23.840 I think we can be excused to reply in a similar fashion. 00:00:23.840 --> 00:00:27.720 What a splendid idea it would be if we could only pull it off. 00:00:27.720 --> 00:00:30.000 United only in name, 00:00:30.000 --> 00:00:33.000 the European Union is, I'm afraid, 00:00:33.000 --> 00:00:36.410 in a process of disintegration as we speak. 00:00:36.410 --> 00:00:41.530 With the commitment and determination of a termite colony, 00:00:41.530 --> 00:00:43.630 which is eating into the foundations, 00:00:43.630 --> 00:00:46.370 very soon there will be nothing left but an empty shell, 00:00:46.370 --> 00:00:51.744 to remind us of the lofty ideal, that used to be the European Union. 00:00:53.410 --> 00:00:56.000 In Agatha Christie novels 00:00:56.000 --> 00:01:01.922 when the reader comes across in the prologue a group of characters, 00:01:03.120 --> 00:01:07.000 upper class characters usually that are congregating some chateau, 00:01:07.000 --> 00:01:10.000 the reader knows what to expect, a series of murders. 00:01:10.000 --> 00:01:14.000 Similarly, today when we hear that our European politicians are gathering today 00:01:14.000 --> 00:01:19.000 or together we know what to expect, a comedy of errors 00:01:19.000 --> 00:01:24.091 which will be wrapped up in triumphant rhetoric, 00:01:25.000 --> 00:01:28.090 but which very soon will prove to be nothing more 00:01:28.090 --> 00:01:31.301 than dangerous harmful waffle. 00:01:33.000 --> 00:01:35.250 To err is human. 00:01:35.250 --> 00:01:36.940 But to mess up spectacularly 00:01:36.940 --> 00:01:39.060 we need an elite made up of prime ministers, 00:01:39.060 --> 00:01:44.000 presidents, ministers, apparatchiks, opinion makers 00:01:44.000 --> 00:01:48.000 who are determined not to face up 00:01:48.000 --> 00:01:50.720 to a systemic crisis systematically. 00:01:50.720 --> 00:01:55.450 Alas, at least now we have enough evidence 00:01:55.450 --> 00:02:00.390 that renders all such denial inexcusable. 00:02:00.390 --> 00:02:03.230 Humanity has not surprised itself very often 00:02:03.230 --> 00:02:05.000 but it has done so twice in the past. 00:02:05.000 --> 00:02:10.558 Οnce in 1929 and yet again more recently in 2008. 00:02:11.000 --> 00:02:16.333 1929 ought to have taught us a very simple binary twin lesson. 00:02:17.240 --> 00:02:23.984 First that the first victim of such a crisis is the common currency. 00:02:25.000 --> 00:02:29.000 It was the gold standard in 1929, it is the Euro today. 00:02:29.000 --> 00:02:32.300 The second victim is of course truth and civility. 00:02:32.300 --> 00:02:36.480 One such terrible crisis hits the world. 00:02:36.480 --> 00:02:42.720 A Hobbesian war of all against all is unleashed on an unsuspecting humanity 00:02:42.720 --> 00:02:47.000 and the first victim is our capacity to recognize the systemic crisis 00:02:47.000 --> 00:02:49.360 we are in, as a systemic crisis. 00:02:49.360 --> 00:02:54.950 And therefore it renders us incapable of accepting our responsibility 00:02:54.950 --> 00:02:59.070 for at least a portion of that crisis. 00:03:00.450 --> 00:03:06.215 Thrillers begin with some cunning detective who is unmasking 00:03:07.260 --> 00:03:11.360 one shady character after the other. 00:03:11.360 --> 00:03:13.956 But good thrillers, I submit to you, 00:03:13.956 --> 00:03:17.322 do not end with the unveiling of the perpetrator. 00:03:17.322 --> 00:03:19.710 Τhey go one step further. 00:03:19.710 --> 00:03:22.716 Τhey reach the momentus moment 00:03:22.716 --> 00:03:28.416 when the cunning detective inadvertently unmasks himself. 00:03:29.662 --> 00:03:34.720 Bewildered he is staring at his own image in the mirror. 00:03:35.160 --> 00:03:39.070 This crisis is having a similar effect on all of us. 00:03:39.070 --> 00:03:41.590 Our masks are falling. 00:03:41.590 --> 00:03:45.280 Unscrupulous bankers, inane politicians, 00:03:45.280 --> 00:03:51.230 conniving entrepreneurs, cynical academics, 00:03:51.310 --> 00:03:55.000 uncritical citizens, who are all being unmasked 00:03:55.050 --> 00:04:00.760 but as their masks keep falling the dejection is becoming generalized. 00:04:01.380 --> 00:04:04.220 Meanwhile the human costs are mounting up 00:04:04.220 --> 00:04:06.130 and the only way of making sense of them 00:04:06.130 --> 00:04:11.130 and measuring them sensibly is by means of counting lost generations. 00:04:11.460 --> 00:04:17.688 It is time to transform Europe and to be transformed in the process. 00:04:18.740 --> 00:04:23.000 Now, the medical profession only very recently 00:04:23.000 --> 00:04:26.721 managed to save more people than it killed. 00:04:28.000 --> 00:04:33.830 Up until the 1920s or so the disease was preferable to the cure. 00:04:34.260 --> 00:04:36.530 Similarly with the Εuro crisis now 00:04:36.530 --> 00:04:39.350 our European leaders are enacting, 00:04:39.360 --> 00:04:42.906 what I call a poisonous medicine. 00:04:42.906 --> 00:04:45.552 Toxic bailouts, inane austerity. 00:04:45.552 --> 00:04:50.340 We created, in order to salvage a Εuro system, a currency union 00:04:50.340 --> 00:04:54.000 which was never meant, never designed to sustain 00:04:54.000 --> 00:04:56.000 the catastrophe of 2008, 00:04:56.000 --> 00:04:58.830 the shockwaves of that great earthquake. 00:04:58.830 --> 00:05:01.000 What we have done is we created a scaffold 00:05:01.000 --> 00:05:04.790 which is, instead of helping the edifice from collapsing 00:05:04.790 --> 00:05:06.750 it is putting more pressure on it. 00:05:06.750 --> 00:05:09.730 We've created this European Financial Stability 00:05:09.730 --> 00:05:11.960 or Instability Facility 00:05:11.960 --> 00:05:13.210 and we modeled it. 00:05:13.210 --> 00:05:17.880 We created it in the image of Lehman Brothers' infamous derivatives. 00:05:17.910 --> 00:05:19.513 It was as if we took two stones 00:05:19.513 --> 00:05:21.826 and we tied them together by means of a string, 00:05:21.826 --> 00:05:25.000 hoping they will float more readily. 00:05:25.000 --> 00:05:27.900 The result of course is the uncontrolled disintegration 00:05:27.900 --> 00:05:30.320 that we are experiencing. 00:05:30.320 --> 00:05:33.560 Now, by now most people are realizing this. 00:05:33.560 --> 00:05:39.000 So what we have here is a new Jerusalem that is being canvased. 00:05:39.270 --> 00:05:43.000 It comes in the form of the so called "Federal Option." 00:05:43.000 --> 00:05:47.380 Well-meaning Europeans and some friends from federal field 00:05:47.380 --> 00:05:52.788 recite this litany of federal concepts, ideas, suggestions. 00:05:53.560 --> 00:05:55.160 I'll just give you some. 00:05:55.160 --> 00:06:00.000 We hear of the importance of forging a Fiscal or a Transfer Union in Europe, 00:06:00.000 --> 00:06:02.480 of having a Federal Treasury, 00:06:02.480 --> 00:06:08.000 of giving a new Leviathan, a new Economic Czar 00:06:08.000 --> 00:06:13.262 the power to rule over all of us with an armed fist and keep us in awe. 00:06:14.000 --> 00:06:17.790 What we hear about is Centralized Disposal of National Assets, 00:06:17.790 --> 00:06:20.550 particularly of the Greek kind. 00:06:20.550 --> 00:06:22.440 The laws of National Sovereignty 00:06:22.440 --> 00:06:24.960 as a price we have to pay for this Fiscal Union 00:06:24.960 --> 00:06:27.320 and of course the dreaded treaty changes 00:06:27.320 --> 00:06:32.554 that have to go through 27 parliaments and/or electorates. 00:06:33.430 --> 00:06:37.000 I submit to you that this is both unworkable and undesirable. 00:06:37.000 --> 00:06:38.680 Why is it unworkable? 00:06:38.680 --> 00:06:41.660 Because - and this is a message to federalists - 00:06:41.660 --> 00:06:45.220 the worst enemy of federalism at the moment is itself. 00:06:45.220 --> 00:06:48.000 And the reason why I'm saying this is because 00:06:48.000 --> 00:06:51.967 if we move in the federals' direction 00:06:52.500 --> 00:06:56.000 the crisis is certain to outpace us. 00:06:56.000 --> 00:06:57.820 It would run faster than we do. 00:06:57.820 --> 00:07:02.000 And when the treaty changes take longer than the collapse of the Euro, 00:07:02.000 --> 00:07:06.000 all we will be left with is the smouldering mess 00:07:06.000 --> 00:07:09.420 in which there will be nothing left to federate. 00:07:09.420 --> 00:07:15.469 But there is a second reason why this Federal Option needs to be shunt 00:07:15.900 --> 00:07:20.790 and it is that if the United States of Europe is a good idea, 00:07:20.790 --> 00:07:26.770 it is not an idea that should be wasted and subsumed 00:07:26.770 --> 00:07:31.533 in the context of trying to solve the current crisis. 00:07:32.000 --> 00:07:35.630 Let me put it very simply. The Federal Option will only be possible 00:07:35.630 --> 00:07:38.790 once the crisis is over, not as an antidote to the crisis. 00:07:38.790 --> 00:07:42.650 We will only be capable and worthy of federation, 00:07:42.650 --> 00:07:45.360 when as European we can imagine the future 00:07:45.360 --> 00:07:47.620 in which Greeks and Germans 00:07:47.620 --> 00:07:51.810 will be voting in Greek and German politicians to represent us. 00:07:51.810 --> 00:07:56.920 We will only be able to affect a decent Federal Europe 00:07:56.920 --> 00:08:01.660 when we can imagine a situation where our national armies 00:08:01.660 --> 00:08:06.000 are dissolved and are merged into a common European Defense force. 00:08:06.000 --> 00:08:10.280 We are only going to be able to put together a decent Federation 00:08:10.280 --> 00:08:15.650 if we can imagine a situation where our views are assessed 00:08:15.650 --> 00:08:19.490 within Europe on the basis of their merits and the merits alone, 00:08:19.490 --> 00:08:23.000 what the ancient Athenians used to refer as "Isigoria." 00:08:23.000 --> 00:08:25.666 As opposed to judging what somebody says 00:08:25.666 --> 00:08:28.492 on the basis of the who they are, what accent they speak in 00:08:28.492 --> 00:08:30.490 which country they come from, 00:08:30.490 --> 00:08:34.330 and finally at a symbolic, but a very important level, 00:08:34.330 --> 00:08:39.320 let me say this, we are only going to be capable of a proper federation 00:08:39.320 --> 00:08:43.810 when we can decide as Europeans what to print on our euro notes. 00:08:43.810 --> 00:08:50.215 Instead of these abstract bridges and gates that symbolize one thing, 00:08:50.690 --> 00:08:55.000 our incapacity to agree on common symbols. 00:08:55.000 --> 00:08:59.000 So if I'm right that the new Jerusalem is not really a new Jerusalem, 00:08:59.000 --> 00:09:04.750 and that it is putting forward an unworkable and undesirable idea, 00:09:04.750 --> 00:09:09.000 which will also lead to uncontrolled disintegration, 00:09:09.000 --> 00:09:11.360 then what is the alternative? 00:09:11.360 --> 00:09:14.520 Well, let me suggest to you that before we agree in an alternative, 00:09:14.520 --> 00:09:17.000 perhaps we should agree on some shared principles 00:09:17.000 --> 00:09:19.820 that should govern our future. 00:09:19.820 --> 00:09:24.867 Τhese future principles may seem contradictory 00:09:26.000 --> 00:09:28.000 but they can be rendered harmoniously 00:09:28.000 --> 00:09:30.000 and if they can't then we have no future. 00:09:30.000 --> 00:09:32.380 Let me give you examples. 00:09:32.380 --> 00:09:36.230 One principle is that I think we should end the perfectly partitioned Europe 00:09:36.230 --> 00:09:39.750 that we created in Maastricht in order to create the Euro, 00:09:39.750 --> 00:09:43.770 while at the same time however, strengthening National Sovereignty 00:09:43.770 --> 00:09:48.290 and empowering National Responsibility within that model. 00:09:48.310 --> 00:09:50.490 Another set. 00:09:50.490 --> 00:09:52.030 End the soothest solidarity 00:09:52.030 --> 00:09:54.440 which is being imposed upon the Dutch and the Germans 00:09:54.440 --> 00:09:59.110 in order to give bailouts, pretend bailouts to the Greeks and to the Irish. 00:09:59.110 --> 00:10:03.380 Stop inane austerity which is only making the debt crisis worse. 00:10:03.380 --> 00:10:09.020 Ignore all the calls for debt buybacks which will not work, 00:10:09.020 --> 00:10:14.000 but at the same time integrate investment and management of our problems 00:10:14.000 --> 00:10:18.000 like existing debt and banking losses. 00:10:18.000 --> 00:10:20.913 This is what I refer to as decentralized europeanization 00:10:20.913 --> 00:10:23.056 so allow me an acronym. 00:10:23.056 --> 00:10:25.000 Decent Europe. 00:10:25.000 --> 00:10:26.470 Europeanize what? 00:10:26.470 --> 00:10:28.480 Free realms. 00:10:28.480 --> 00:10:32.000 We need a management of existing debt at a European level. 00:10:32.000 --> 00:10:34.000 We need management of the banking sector 00:10:34.000 --> 00:10:36.340 which is collapsing all over us, 00:10:36.340 --> 00:10:42.000 and we need a europeanized investment policy in aggregate. 00:10:42.000 --> 00:10:44.990 How do we do this without treaty changes and federation? 00:10:44.990 --> 00:10:47.890 We already have existing institutions in Europe 00:10:47.890 --> 00:10:50.810 and each one of them can be assigned one of these tasks. 00:10:50.810 --> 00:10:52.710 I'm not going to go into this. 00:10:52.710 --> 00:10:54.440 This is not the place or the time. 00:10:54.440 --> 00:10:58.000 You can see more of this proposal elsewhere. 00:10:58.000 --> 00:11:00.620 All I want to do now is to give you a flavor 00:11:00.620 --> 00:11:03.610 of what the whole purpose of this is. 00:11:03.610 --> 00:11:06.460 Decentralized europeanization creates circumstances 00:11:06.460 --> 00:11:08.900 for national sovereignty and national responsibility 00:11:08.900 --> 00:11:09.970 to be strengthened. 00:11:09.970 --> 00:11:14.233 Because if we integrate these three spheres in Europe 00:11:14.233 --> 00:11:17.916 of existing debt, of banks and investment flows, 00:11:17.916 --> 00:11:19.730 then at the national level 00:11:19.730 --> 00:11:22.820 each member state can run a balanced budget, 00:11:22.820 --> 00:11:25.180 and can learn to live within its means, 00:11:25.180 --> 00:11:29.000 and also to be empowered within these limits 00:11:29.000 --> 00:11:33.000 to exercise a full national sovereignty. 00:11:33.000 --> 00:11:36.330 So I present this Decent Europe proposal to you 00:11:36.330 --> 00:11:40.360 as if you want a forger of a future Federation's prerequisite, 00:11:40.360 --> 00:11:44.288 which I already mentioned and I won't mention again. 00:11:45.810 --> 00:11:48.300 Let me finish by reminding you of a myth, 00:11:48.300 --> 00:11:50.810 according which Sibyl of Cumae 00:11:50.810 --> 00:11:54.840 offered Tarquinius Superbus, the king of Rome at the time, 00:11:54.840 --> 00:11:59.000 the nine books of wisdom at a price that Tarquinius considered to be exorbitant 00:11:59.000 --> 00:12:01.320 and therefore he said no to the offer. 00:12:01.320 --> 00:12:06.000 Sibyl as you all know started burning one of these volumes after the other 00:12:06.000 --> 00:12:10.000 until Tarquinius relented agreeing to pay the original high price 00:12:10.000 --> 00:12:13.000 for the remaining three volumes. 00:12:13.000 --> 00:12:17.470 Let me suggest that the European crisis is following Sibyl's strategy. 00:12:17.470 --> 00:12:21.000 The problem is that our European leaders keep saying no 00:12:21.000 --> 00:12:23.460 and therefore threatening 00:12:23.460 --> 00:12:29.250 to allow our common heritage to burn in its entirety. 00:12:29.880 --> 00:12:35.350 Decentralized europeanization offers Europe a chance 00:12:35.770 --> 00:12:39.260 to save its last three books of wisdom or the equivalent. 00:12:39.260 --> 00:12:43.240 It offers us a chance to usher in a new era 00:12:43.240 --> 00:12:47.000 in which Europeans, Northern and Southern, 00:12:47.000 --> 00:12:51.270 Western and Eastern, can stare into each others eyes 00:12:51.270 --> 00:12:54.350 and see and recognize a partner. 00:12:54.350 --> 00:12:56.620 If we miss this chance, 00:12:56.620 --> 00:12:59.310 then Europe is going to be dragging the whole planet 00:12:59.310 --> 00:13:03.080 into a despicable mire for a third time in a century. 00:13:03.460 --> 00:13:08.780 It is our duty and over overarching obligation to prevent this. 00:13:09.000 --> 00:13:10.670 Thank you. 00:13:10.790 --> 00:13:13.825 (Applause)