0:00:07.690,0:00:12.950 When Gandhi was asked once[br]to comment on European civilization, 0:00:12.950,0:00:17.247 his quip was,[br]"It would be a very good idea." 0:00:17.870,0:00:20.520 When asked today about[br]our views on the European Union, 0:00:20.520,0:00:23.840 I think we can be excused[br]to reply in a similar fashion. 0:00:23.840,0:00:27.720 What a splendid idea it would be [br]if we could only pull it off. 0:00:27.720,0:00:30.000 United only in name, 0:00:30.000,0:00:33.000 the European Union is, I'm afraid, 0:00:33.000,0:00:36.410 in a process of disintegration[br]as we speak. 0:00:36.410,0:00:41.530 With the commitment and determination[br]of a termite colony, 0:00:41.530,0:00:43.630 which is eating into the foundations, 0:00:43.630,0:00:46.370 very soon there will be nothing left[br]but an empty shell, 0:00:46.370,0:00:51.744 to remind us of the lofty ideal, [br]that used to be the European Union. 0:00:53.410,0:00:56.000 In Agatha Christie novels 0:00:56.000,0:01:01.922 when the reader comes across[br]in the prologue a group of characters, 0:01:03.120,0:01:07.000 upper class characters usually [br]that are congregating some chateau, 0:01:07.000,0:01:10.000 the reader knows what to expect,[br]a series of murders. 0:01:10.000,0:01:14.000 Similarly, today when we hear that our[br]European politicians are gathering today 0:01:14.000,0:01:19.000 or together we know what to expect, [br]a comedy of errors 0:01:19.000,0:01:24.091 which will be wrapped up[br]in triumphant rhetoric, 0:01:25.000,0:01:28.090 but which very soon will prove[br]to be nothing more 0:01:28.090,0:01:31.301 than dangerous harmful waffle. 0:01:33.000,0:01:35.250 To err is human. 0:01:35.250,0:01:36.940 But to mess up spectacularly 0:01:36.940,0:01:39.060 we need an elite [br]made up of prime ministers, 0:01:39.060,0:01:44.000 presidents, ministers, [br]apparatchiks, opinion makers 0:01:44.000,0:01:48.000 who are determined not to face up 0:01:48.000,0:01:50.720 to a systemic crisis systematically. 0:01:50.720,0:01:55.450 Alas, at least now we have enough evidence 0:01:55.450,0:02:00.390 that renders all such denial inexcusable. 0:02:00.390,0:02:03.230 Humanity has not surprised itself[br]very often 0:02:03.230,0:02:05.000 but it has done so twice in the past. 0:02:05.000,0:02:10.558 Οnce in 1929 and yet again[br]more recently in 2008. 0:02:11.000,0:02:16.333 1929 ought to have taught us[br]a very simple binary twin lesson. 0:02:17.240,0:02:23.984 First that the first victim of such [br]a crisis is the common currency. 0:02:25.000,0:02:29.000 It was the gold standard in 1929, [br]it is the Euro today. 0:02:29.000,0:02:32.300 The second victim[br]is of course truth and civility. 0:02:32.300,0:02:36.480 One such terrible crisis hits the world. 0:02:36.480,0:02:42.720 A Hobbesian war of all against all[br]is unleashed on an unsuspecting humanity 0:02:42.720,0:02:47.000 and the first victim is our capacity [br]to recognize the systemic crisis 0:02:47.000,0:02:49.360 we are in, as a systemic crisis. 0:02:49.360,0:02:54.950 And therefore it renders us incapable[br]of accepting our responsibility 0:02:54.950,0:02:59.070 for at least a portion of that crisis. 0:03:00.450,0:03:06.215 Thrillers begin with [br]some cunning detective who is unmasking 0:03:07.260,0:03:11.360 one shady character after the other. 0:03:11.360,0:03:13.956 But good thrillers, [br]I submit to you, 0:03:13.956,0:03:17.322 do not end with [br]the unveiling of the perpetrator. 0:03:17.322,0:03:19.710 Τhey go one step further. 0:03:19.710,0:03:22.716 Τhey reach the momentus moment 0:03:22.716,0:03:28.416 when the cunning detective[br]inadvertently unmasks himself. 0:03:29.662,0:03:34.720 Bewildered he is staring [br]at his own image in the mirror. 0:03:35.160,0:03:39.070 This crisis is having[br]a similar effect on all of us. 0:03:39.070,0:03:41.590 Our masks are falling. 0:03:41.590,0:03:45.280 Unscrupulous bankers, inane politicians, 0:03:45.280,0:03:51.230 conniving entrepreneurs,[br]cynical academics, 0:03:51.310,0:03:55.000 uncritical citizens,[br]who are all being unmasked 0:03:55.050,0:04:00.760 but as their masks keep falling[br]the dejection is becoming generalized. 0:04:01.380,0:04:04.220 Meanwhile the human costs [br]are mounting up 0:04:04.220,0:04:06.130 and the only way of making sense of them 0:04:06.130,0:04:11.130 and measuring them sensibly [br]is by means of counting lost generations. 0:04:11.460,0:04:17.688 It is time to transform Europe [br]and to be transformed in the process. 0:04:18.740,0:04:23.000 Now, the medical profession[br]only very recently 0:04:23.000,0:04:26.721 managed to save[br]more people than it killed. 0:04:28.000,0:04:33.830 Up until the 1920s or so [br]the disease was preferable to the cure. 0:04:34.260,0:04:36.530 Similarly with the Εuro crisis now 0:04:36.530,0:04:39.350 our European leaders are enacting, 0:04:39.360,0:04:42.906 what I call a poisonous medicine. 0:04:42.906,0:04:45.552 Toxic bailouts, inane austerity. 0:04:45.552,0:04:50.340 We created, in order to salvage[br]a Εuro system, a currency union 0:04:50.340,0:04:54.000 which was never meant,[br]never designed to sustain 0:04:54.000,0:04:56.000 the catastrophe of 2008, 0:04:56.000,0:04:58.830 the shockwaves of that great earthquake. 0:04:58.830,0:05:01.000 What we have done is we created a scaffold 0:05:01.000,0:05:04.790 which is, instead of helping[br]the edifice from collapsing 0:05:04.790,0:05:06.750 it is putting more pressure on it. 0:05:06.750,0:05:09.730 We've created [br]this European Financial Stability 0:05:09.730,0:05:11.960 or Instability Facility 0:05:11.960,0:05:13.210 and we modeled it. 0:05:13.210,0:05:17.880 We created it in the image [br]of Lehman Brothers' infamous derivatives. 0:05:17.910,0:05:19.513 It was as if we took two stones 0:05:19.513,0:05:21.826 and we tied them together[br]by means of a string, 0:05:21.826,0:05:25.000 hoping they will float more readily. 0:05:25.000,0:05:27.900 The result of course[br]is the uncontrolled disintegration 0:05:27.900,0:05:30.320 that we are experiencing. 0:05:30.320,0:05:33.560 Now, by now most people[br]are realizing this. 0:05:33.560,0:05:39.000 So what we have here is[br]a new Jerusalem that is being canvased. 0:05:39.270,0:05:43.000 It comes in the form [br]of the so called "Federal Option." 0:05:43.000,0:05:47.380 Well-meaning Europeans [br]and some friends from federal field 0:05:47.380,0:05:52.788 recite this litany of federal concepts,[br]ideas, suggestions. 0:05:53.560,0:05:55.160 I'll just give you some. 0:05:55.160,0:06:00.000 We hear of the importance of forging[br]a Fiscal or a Transfer Union in Europe, 0:06:00.000,0:06:02.480 of having a Federal Treasury, 0:06:02.480,0:06:08.000 of giving a new Leviathan, [br]a new Economic Czar 0:06:08.000,0:06:13.262 the power to rule over all of us [br]with an armed fist and keep us in awe. 0:06:14.000,0:06:17.790 What we hear about is Centralized[br]Disposal of National Assets, 0:06:17.790,0:06:20.550 particularly of the Greek kind. 0:06:20.550,0:06:22.440 The laws of National Sovereignty 0:06:22.440,0:06:24.960 as a price we have [br]to pay for this Fiscal Union 0:06:24.960,0:06:27.320 and of course the dreaded treaty changes 0:06:27.320,0:06:32.554 that have to go through [br]27 parliaments and/or electorates. 0:06:33.430,0:06:37.000 I submit to you that this is both[br]unworkable and undesirable. 0:06:37.000,0:06:38.680 Why is it unworkable? 0:06:38.680,0:06:41.660 Because[br]- and this is a message to federalists - 0:06:41.660,0:06:45.220 the worst enemy of federalism[br]at the moment is itself. 0:06:45.220,0:06:48.000 And the reason why[br]I'm saying this is because 0:06:48.000,0:06:51.967 if we move in the federals' direction 0:06:52.500,0:06:56.000 the crisis is certain to outpace us. 0:06:56.000,0:06:57.820 It would run faster than we do. 0:06:57.820,0:07:02.000 And when the treaty changes take longer[br]than the collapse of the Euro, 0:07:02.000,0:07:06.000 all we will be left with [br]is the smouldering mess 0:07:06.000,0:07:09.420 in which there will be[br]nothing left to federate. 0:07:09.420,0:07:15.469 But there is a second reason [br]why this Federal Option needs to be shunt 0:07:15.900,0:07:20.790 and it is that if the United States[br]of Europe is a good idea, 0:07:20.790,0:07:26.770 it is not an idea that should be[br]wasted and subsumed 0:07:26.770,0:07:31.533 in the context of trying[br]to solve the current crisis. 0:07:32.000,0:07:35.630 Let me put it very simply.[br]The Federal Option will only be possible 0:07:35.630,0:07:38.790 once the crisis is over, [br]not as an antidote to the crisis. 0:07:38.790,0:07:42.650 We will only be capable [br]and worthy of federation, 0:07:42.650,0:07:45.360 when as European we can imagine the future 0:07:45.360,0:07:47.620 in which Greeks and Germans 0:07:47.620,0:07:51.810 will be voting in Greek and German[br]politicians to represent us. 0:07:51.810,0:07:56.920 We will only be able to affect [br]a decent Federal Europe 0:07:56.920,0:08:01.660 when we can imagine a situation [br]where our national armies 0:08:01.660,0:08:06.000 are dissolved and are merged[br]into a common European Defense force. 0:08:06.000,0:08:10.280 We are only going to be able [br]to put together a decent Federation 0:08:10.280,0:08:15.650 if we can imagine a situation[br]where our views are assessed 0:08:15.650,0:08:19.490 within Europe on the basis[br]of their merits and the merits alone, 0:08:19.490,0:08:23.000 what the ancient Athenians[br]used to refer as "Isigoria." 0:08:23.000,0:08:25.666 As opposed to judging what somebody says 0:08:25.666,0:08:28.492 on the basis of the who they are,[br]what accent they speak in 0:08:28.492,0:08:30.490 which country they come from, 0:08:30.490,0:08:34.330 and finally at a symbolic, [br]but a very important level, 0:08:34.330,0:08:39.320 let me say this, we are only going [br]to be capable of a proper federation 0:08:39.320,0:08:43.810 when we can decide as Europeans[br]what to print on our euro notes. 0:08:43.810,0:08:50.215 Instead of these abstract bridges[br]and gates that symbolize one thing, 0:08:50.690,0:08:55.000 our incapacity to agree on common symbols. 0:08:55.000,0:08:59.000 So if I'm right that the new Jerusalem[br]is not really a new Jerusalem, 0:08:59.000,0:09:04.750 and that it is putting forward [br]an unworkable and undesirable idea, 0:09:04.750,0:09:09.000 which will also lead [br]to uncontrolled disintegration, 0:09:09.000,0:09:11.360 then what is the alternative? 0:09:11.360,0:09:14.520 Well, let me suggest to you[br]that before we agree in an alternative, 0:09:14.520,0:09:17.000 perhaps we should agree[br]on some shared principles 0:09:17.000,0:09:19.820 that should govern our future. 0:09:19.820,0:09:24.867 Τhese future principles [br]may seem contradictory 0:09:26.000,0:09:28.000 but they can be rendered harmoniously 0:09:28.000,0:09:30.000 and if they can't then we have no future. 0:09:30.000,0:09:32.380 Let me give you examples. 0:09:32.380,0:09:36.230 One principle is that I think we should[br]end the perfectly partitioned Europe 0:09:36.230,0:09:39.750 that we created in Maastricht[br]in order to create the Euro, 0:09:39.750,0:09:43.770 while at the same time however, [br]strengthening National Sovereignty 0:09:43.770,0:09:48.290 and empowering National Responsibility[br]within that model. 0:09:48.310,0:09:50.490 Another set. 0:09:50.490,0:09:52.030 End the soothest solidarity 0:09:52.030,0:09:54.440 which is being imposed upon[br]the Dutch and the Germans 0:09:54.440,0:09:59.110 in order to give bailouts, pretend[br]bailouts to the Greeks and to the Irish. 0:09:59.110,0:10:03.380 Stop inane austerity which is only[br]making the debt crisis worse. 0:10:03.380,0:10:09.020 Ignore all the calls for debt buybacks[br]which will not work, 0:10:09.020,0:10:14.000 but at the same time integrate investment[br]and management of our problems 0:10:14.000,0:10:18.000 like existing debt and banking losses. 0:10:18.000,0:10:20.913 This is what I refer to[br]as decentralized europeanization 0:10:20.913,0:10:23.056 so allow me an acronym. 0:10:23.056,0:10:25.000 Decent Europe. 0:10:25.000,0:10:26.470 Europeanize what? 0:10:26.470,0:10:28.480 Free realms. 0:10:28.480,0:10:32.000 We need a management [br]of existing debt at a European level. 0:10:32.000,0:10:34.000 We need management of the banking sector 0:10:34.000,0:10:36.340 which is collapsing all over us, 0:10:36.340,0:10:42.000 and we need a europeanized[br]investment policy in aggregate. 0:10:42.000,0:10:44.990 How do we do this[br]without treaty changes and federation? 0:10:44.990,0:10:47.890 We already have existing[br]institutions in Europe 0:10:47.890,0:10:50.810 and each one of them[br]can be assigned one of these tasks. 0:10:50.810,0:10:52.710 I'm not going to go into this. 0:10:52.710,0:10:54.440 This is not the place or the time. 0:10:54.440,0:10:58.000 You can see more [br]of this proposal elsewhere. 0:10:58.000,0:11:00.620 All I want to do now[br]is to give you a flavor 0:11:00.620,0:11:03.610 of what the whole purpose of this is. 0:11:03.610,0:11:06.460 Decentralized europeanization[br]creates circumstances 0:11:06.460,0:11:08.900 for national sovereignty[br]and national responsibility 0:11:08.900,0:11:09.970 to be strengthened. 0:11:09.970,0:11:14.233 Because if we integrate[br]these three spheres in Europe 0:11:14.233,0:11:17.916 of existing debt, of banks [br]and investment flows, 0:11:17.916,0:11:19.730 then at the national level 0:11:19.730,0:11:22.820 each member state [br]can run a balanced budget, 0:11:22.820,0:11:25.180 and can learn to live within its means, 0:11:25.180,0:11:29.000 and also to be empowered[br]within these limits 0:11:29.000,0:11:33.000 to exercise a full national sovereignty. 0:11:33.000,0:11:36.330 So I present[br]this Decent Europe proposal to you 0:11:36.330,0:11:40.360 as if you want a forger [br]of a future Federation's prerequisite, 0:11:40.360,0:11:44.288 which I already mentioned[br]and I won't mention again. 0:11:45.810,0:11:48.300 Let me finish by reminding you of a myth, 0:11:48.300,0:11:50.810 according which Sibyl of Cumae 0:11:50.810,0:11:54.840 offered Tarquinius Superbus,[br]the king of Rome at the time, 0:11:54.840,0:11:59.000 the nine books of wisdom at a price that[br]Tarquinius considered to be exorbitant 0:11:59.000,0:12:01.320 and therefore he said no to the offer. 0:12:01.320,0:12:06.000 Sibyl as you all know started burning [br]one of these volumes after the other 0:12:06.000,0:12:10.000 until Tarquinius relented agreeing[br]to pay the original high price 0:12:10.000,0:12:13.000 for the remaining three volumes. 0:12:13.000,0:12:17.470 Let me suggest that the European crisis[br]is following Sibyl's strategy. 0:12:17.470,0:12:21.000 The problem is that our European leaders[br]keep saying no 0:12:21.000,0:12:23.460 and therefore threatening 0:12:23.460,0:12:29.250 to allow our common heritage[br]to burn in its entirety. 0:12:29.880,0:12:35.350 Decentralized europeanization[br]offers Europe a chance 0:12:35.770,0:12:39.260 to save its last three books [br]of wisdom or the equivalent. 0:12:39.260,0:12:43.240 It offers us a chance [br]to usher in a new era 0:12:43.240,0:12:47.000 in which Europeans, [br]Northern and Southern, 0:12:47.000,0:12:51.270 Western and Eastern,[br]can stare into each others eyes 0:12:51.270,0:12:54.350 and see and recognize a partner. 0:12:54.350,0:12:56.620 If we miss this chance, 0:12:56.620,0:12:59.310 then Europe is going [br]to be dragging the whole planet 0:12:59.310,0:13:03.080 into a despicable mire[br]for a third time in a century. 0:13:03.460,0:13:08.780 It is our duty and over overarching [br]obligation to prevent this. 0:13:09.000,0:13:10.670 Thank you. 0:13:10.790,0:13:13.825 (Applause)