1 00:00:00,810 --> 00:00:04,806 What would the world look like if extreme climate change becomes reality? 2 00:00:04,830 --> 00:00:06,366 Well, here's just one example. 3 00:00:06,390 --> 00:00:09,546 If temperatures were to rise by three more degrees Celsius, 4 00:00:09,570 --> 00:00:12,556 Shanghai, a city of 24 million people in China, 5 00:00:12,580 --> 00:00:14,371 will be wiped off the map. 6 00:00:14,395 --> 00:00:16,396 And it's not just the only coastal city 7 00:00:16,420 --> 00:00:19,166 that's at risk of disappearing beneath rising sea levels. 8 00:00:19,190 --> 00:00:22,796 Globally, 2019 was the second hottest year on record. 9 00:00:22,820 --> 00:00:24,305 Cities all throughout the world 10 00:00:24,329 --> 00:00:26,666 experienced record-setting summer temperatures. 11 00:00:26,690 --> 00:00:30,036 In June 2019, temperatures in Churu, India, 12 00:00:30,060 --> 00:00:32,686 exceeded 120 degrees Fahrenheit, 13 00:00:32,710 --> 00:00:34,966 to the point that the government warned citizens 14 00:00:34,990 --> 00:00:39,257 to avoid drinking coffee, tea and alcohol out of fear of overheating. 15 00:00:39,797 --> 00:00:44,486 Heat waves are becoming more severe and commonplace due to climate change, 16 00:00:44,510 --> 00:00:49,016 projected to lead to deaths at the same rate as all infectious diseases combined. 17 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:50,214 This map here 18 00:00:50,238 --> 00:00:54,372 shows the increase in the severity and prevalence of heat waves 19 00:00:54,396 --> 00:00:57,217 if the world follows a moderate warming scenario. 20 00:00:57,241 --> 00:01:01,056 By 2050, summertime highs of 95 degrees Fahrenheit, 21 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:02,660 or 35 degrees Celsius, 22 00:01:02,684 --> 00:01:05,271 will become the new normal in nearly 1,000 cities, 23 00:01:05,295 --> 00:01:09,253 triple the number of cities that currently experience these sweltering temperatures. 24 00:01:09,277 --> 00:01:12,817 But the irony is that cities are not just affected by climate change, 25 00:01:12,841 --> 00:01:14,506 they're also causing it. 26 00:01:14,530 --> 00:01:18,656 Cities consume between 60 and 80 percent of global energy resources 27 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:23,186 and account for approximately 70 percent of global carbon dioxide emissions. 28 00:01:23,210 --> 00:01:24,906 As we can see here in this map, 29 00:01:24,930 --> 00:01:26,635 the light blue and the yellow areas 30 00:01:26,659 --> 00:01:29,222 correspond to those with the highest fossil fuel-based 31 00:01:29,246 --> 00:01:30,406 carbon dioxide emissions 32 00:01:30,430 --> 00:01:33,490 and also correspond to major urban centers. 33 00:01:33,952 --> 00:01:36,016 Aside from cities' energy consumption, 34 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:38,656 growing urban areas convert the planet's green surfaces 35 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:39,957 to buildings and pavement, 36 00:01:39,981 --> 00:01:42,286 and these can absorb more of the sun's energy 37 00:01:42,310 --> 00:01:45,250 than the natural grasslands and forests that they've replaced, 38 00:01:45,274 --> 00:01:48,186 making urban areas hotter than their surrounding environments. 39 00:01:48,210 --> 00:01:51,020 This phenomenon is called the "urban heat island effect." 40 00:01:51,044 --> 00:01:55,256 Here in Singapore, downtown neighborhoods can be as much as seven degrees Celsius, 41 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:56,746 or 13 degrees Fahrenheit, 42 00:01:56,770 --> 00:01:59,346 hotter than the rainforests that were once here. 43 00:01:59,370 --> 00:02:02,476 While it's true that cities are contributing to climate change, 44 00:02:02,500 --> 00:02:06,686 they're also key actors in forging low carbon emission pathways. 45 00:02:06,710 --> 00:02:10,316 In dense cities like New York City and Tokyo, for instance, 46 00:02:10,340 --> 00:02:11,676 the average resident 47 00:02:11,700 --> 00:02:15,636 is responsible for over two tons of carbon dioxide emissions per capita. 48 00:02:15,660 --> 00:02:18,766 This is less than a single passenger car emits 49 00:02:18,790 --> 00:02:20,966 in a single year in the United States. 50 00:02:20,990 --> 00:02:24,069 Cities around the world are stepping up to tackle climate change, 51 00:02:24,093 --> 00:02:25,267 with ambitious policies 52 00:02:25,291 --> 00:02:28,246 that often exceed the requirements of national governments. 53 00:02:28,270 --> 00:02:30,116 Take Copenhagen, for example. 54 00:02:30,140 --> 00:02:33,308 It's committed to become carbon neutral by 2025, 55 00:02:33,332 --> 00:02:37,661 and Glasgow in Scotland also plans to become carbon neutral by 2030. 56 00:02:37,685 --> 00:02:41,149 Today, there are more than 10,000 cities all around the world 57 00:02:41,173 --> 00:02:43,951 that are committing to their own ambitious climate actions, 58 00:02:43,975 --> 00:02:46,346 plans that include emissions reduction targets, 59 00:02:46,370 --> 00:02:48,976 clean energy and sustainable transit projects, 60 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,146 and also energy efficiency policies 61 00:02:51,170 --> 00:02:55,436 that can save people and cities money, energy and emissions. 62 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:58,696 Recent analysis shows that just 6,000 cities, 63 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:00,586 combined with regions and companies, 64 00:03:00,610 --> 00:03:04,226 are undertaking climate initiatives that can reduce global emissions 65 00:03:04,250 --> 00:03:08,376 by up to two gigatons of carbon dioxide equivalent in 2030. 66 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:11,986 That's roughly four percent of the world's total annual emissions 67 00:03:12,010 --> 00:03:14,296 on top of what national governments have pledged. 68 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:15,766 And this is just the start. 69 00:03:15,790 --> 00:03:19,166 Imagine what could happen if 20,000 cities were to band together 70 00:03:19,190 --> 00:03:20,816 to curb climate change. 71 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:24,266 While this potential for cities' climate action sounds really promising, 72 00:03:24,290 --> 00:03:26,006 cities must work to make sure 73 00:03:26,030 --> 00:03:28,976 that these policies are implemented fairly and equitably. 74 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:31,676 Where you live in a city, your income, your race -- 75 00:03:31,700 --> 00:03:32,903 research is showing 76 00:03:32,927 --> 00:03:36,426 that these factors can determine your access to environmental benefits 77 00:03:36,450 --> 00:03:38,509 like green space and sustainable transit, 78 00:03:38,533 --> 00:03:41,604 and they can also determine your share of environmental burdens 79 00:03:41,628 --> 00:03:43,576 like air pollution and climate change. 80 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:45,804 We observe these neighborhood-level disparities 81 00:03:45,828 --> 00:03:49,041 particularly clearly in these side-by-side images of Los Angeles, 82 00:03:49,065 --> 00:03:52,216 comparing income on the left and tree cover on the right. 83 00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:55,176 The darkest green neighborhood has an average annual income 84 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:57,746 of over 100,000 US dollars per person. 85 00:03:57,770 --> 00:04:00,416 And over 70 percent of it has tree cover. 86 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,876 The blue neighborhoods towards the bottom of the map 87 00:04:02,900 --> 00:04:04,916 only have a third of the income per person 88 00:04:04,940 --> 00:04:07,156 and less than five percent tree cover. 89 00:04:07,180 --> 00:04:09,250 Seventy percent versus five. 90 00:04:09,660 --> 00:04:11,996 This disparity has real consequences. 91 00:04:12,020 --> 00:04:14,316 Green spaces are often public spaces, 92 00:04:14,340 --> 00:04:17,936 and they're known to be associated with social and economic well-being. 93 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:21,246 They can also reduce crime and foster social cohesion. 94 00:04:21,270 --> 00:04:24,366 Trees also can help to filter harmful air pollution 95 00:04:24,390 --> 00:04:26,706 and provide evaporative cooling and shade 96 00:04:26,730 --> 00:04:29,256 and relief for some of these high temperatures. 97 00:04:29,280 --> 00:04:31,287 So not only are those poorer neighborhoods 98 00:04:31,311 --> 00:04:34,036 at a greater disadvantage from access to green space, 99 00:04:34,060 --> 00:04:37,313 but they're also more vulnerable to air pollution and climate change. 100 00:04:37,337 --> 00:04:39,920 We can observe particularly pronounced disparities 101 00:04:39,944 --> 00:04:41,966 in urban heat according to race. 102 00:04:41,990 --> 00:04:46,776 Our latest research shows that 97 percent of major urban areas in the United States 103 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:50,096 are exposing Black populations and people of color 104 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:53,086 to a full degree Celsius higher of urban heat 105 00:04:53,110 --> 00:04:54,562 than their white counterparts. 106 00:04:54,586 --> 00:04:57,887 Take a look at this map of my hometown of Greenville, South Carolina. 107 00:04:57,911 --> 00:05:00,996 Unlike the name suggests it is not green for everyone. 108 00:05:01,020 --> 00:05:04,326 The hottest areas of the county shown on the map in red 109 00:05:04,350 --> 00:05:08,485 correspond with the highest percentages of Black and poor populations. 110 00:05:08,509 --> 00:05:10,905 And we're seeing similar patterns throughout cities 111 00:05:10,929 --> 00:05:12,696 all across the United States. 112 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:14,286 To address these inequalities, 113 00:05:14,310 --> 00:05:17,256 cities are starting to strategize and develop plans 114 00:05:17,280 --> 00:05:19,706 that can ensure that climate benefits 115 00:05:19,730 --> 00:05:22,536 are provided to all of their citizens equally. 116 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:26,056 Take Bogotá, the capital city of Colombia, for example. 117 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:28,756 It has one of the most extensive bike networks 118 00:05:28,780 --> 00:05:30,171 in all of Latin America, 119 00:05:30,195 --> 00:05:33,728 connecting people to jobs, education centers 120 00:05:33,752 --> 00:05:36,011 and recreational opportunities. 121 00:05:36,035 --> 00:05:41,622 A new bike highway project can allow for around 42,000 daily bicycle trips 122 00:05:41,646 --> 00:05:46,366 and potentially avoid 270,000 tons of greenhouse gas emissions. 123 00:05:46,390 --> 00:05:50,064 In Africa, where many cities lack universal access to electricity, 124 00:05:50,088 --> 00:05:53,836 mini-grids are providing approximately 73 million households 125 00:05:53,860 --> 00:05:55,396 with clean electricity. 126 00:05:55,420 --> 00:05:57,197 So as we can see from these examples, 127 00:05:57,221 --> 00:05:59,896 tackling climate change has to start in cities. 128 00:05:59,920 --> 00:06:02,840 Many cities are starting to flip the script on climate change, 129 00:06:02,864 --> 00:06:05,745 proving to be part of the solution and not just the problem, 130 00:06:05,769 --> 00:06:08,492 and bringing the kind of innovative solutions that we need 131 00:06:08,516 --> 00:06:10,795 for a more just and sustainable world. 132 00:06:11,435 --> 00:06:12,806 Thank you.