[Script Info]
Title: 
[Events]
Format: Layer, Start, End, Style, Name, MarginL, MarginR, MarginV, Effect, Text
Dialogue: 0,0:00:00.00,0:00:02.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm professor Hans Rosling.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:02.48,0:00:03.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,I'm going to show you
Dialogue: 0,0:00:03.68,0:00:05.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,why it is that the Ebola epidemic
Dialogue: 0,0:00:05.48,0:00:07.32,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,is so dangerous.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:07.32,0:00:10.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,It's because one patient, on average,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:10.48,0:00:13.44,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,keeps infecting two other persons.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:13.44,0:00:15.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That doesn't sound so dangerous,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:15.24,0:00:16.88,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but I will show you
Dialogue: 0,0:00:16.88,0:00:18.02,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,what it means in reality.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:18.02,0:00:23.08,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If this is the first person\Ninfected in the country,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:23.08,0:00:28.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,that person will infect two others,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:28.12,0:00:32.24,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and this one will infect two others,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:32.24,0:00:35.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,and this also.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:35.00,0:00:41.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Each of this ones infects two others.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:41.00,0:00:42.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That doesn't look too bad,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:42.84,0:00:47.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,but look what happens\Nwhen it continues.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:53.20,0:00:57.16,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There, it's already\N32 persons infected.
Dialogue: 0,0:00:57.16,0:00:58.92,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If we let this continue,
Dialogue: 0,0:00:58.92,0:01:02.52,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the epidemic will become dangerous\Nfor the whole world.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:02.52,0:01:06.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Let me show you the danger\Nin another way.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:06.20,0:01:07.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Look at the blocks.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:07.56,0:01:09.80,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Some diseases increase like this,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:09.80,0:01:11.60,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,from month to month:
Dialogue: 0,0:01:11.60,0:01:15.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:15.36,0:01:18.40,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,That's not how Ebola increases.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:18.40,0:01:21.56,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If one patient infects two others,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:21.56,0:01:24.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,it doubles from month to month,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:24.12,0:01:27.20,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,so this is what it happens with Ebola:
Dialogue: 0,0:01:27.20,0:01:41.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:41.84,0:01:47.84,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,And the next month,\Ntwice as many: 64!
Dialogue: 0,0:01:47.84,0:01:49.00,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,So you see,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:49.00,0:01:51.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,if actions are taken this month,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:51.12,0:01:53.36,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,this is how much resources are needed.
Dialogue: 0,0:01:53.36,0:01:57.12,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,If you delay the actions\Nfor another two months,
Dialogue: 0,0:01:57.12,0:02:01.48,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,you'll need\Nfour times as much resources.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:01.48,0:02:04.68,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,Not to mention\Nif you delay it further.
Dialogue: 0,0:02:04.68,0:02:06.76,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,There is no alternative:
Dialogue: 0,0:02:06.76,0:02:10.96,Default,,0000,0000,0000,,the Ebola epidemic has to be stopped now.