1 00:00:01,341 --> 00:00:05,327 Right now, there's a lot happening with the Moon. 2 00:00:05,351 --> 00:00:09,162 China has announced plans for an inhabited South Pole station 3 00:00:09,186 --> 00:00:11,041 by the 2030s, 4 00:00:11,065 --> 00:00:13,652 and the United States has an official road map 5 00:00:13,676 --> 00:00:18,473 seeking an increasing number of people living and working in space. 6 00:00:18,497 --> 00:00:20,949 This will start with NASA's Artemis program, 7 00:00:20,973 --> 00:00:24,926 an international program to send the first woman and the next man 8 00:00:24,950 --> 00:00:26,854 to the Moon this decade. 9 00:00:26,878 --> 00:00:29,576 Billionaires and the private sector are getting involved 10 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:31,367 in unprecedented ways. 11 00:00:31,852 --> 00:00:35,244 There are over a hundred launch companies around the world 12 00:00:35,268 --> 00:00:38,919 and roughly a dozen private lunar transportation companies 13 00:00:38,943 --> 00:00:41,905 readying robotic missions to the lunar surface. 14 00:00:42,754 --> 00:00:46,619 We have reusable rockets for the first time in human history. 15 00:00:47,167 --> 00:00:49,716 This will enable the development of infrastructure 16 00:00:49,740 --> 00:00:51,707 and utilization of resources. 17 00:00:52,227 --> 00:00:54,767 While estimates vary, scientists think 18 00:00:54,791 --> 00:00:58,902 there could be up to a billion metric tons of water ice on the Moon. 19 00:00:58,926 --> 00:01:01,354 That's greater than the size of Lake Erie, 20 00:01:01,378 --> 00:01:05,351 and enough water to support perhaps hundreds of thousands of people 21 00:01:05,375 --> 00:01:07,505 living and working on the Moon. 22 00:01:08,092 --> 00:01:11,099 So although official plans are always evolving, 23 00:01:11,123 --> 00:01:13,738 there's real reason to think that we could see people 24 00:01:13,762 --> 00:01:15,555 starting to live and work on the Moon 25 00:01:15,579 --> 00:01:16,789 in the next decade. 26 00:01:17,559 --> 00:01:22,148 However, the Moon is roughly the size of the continent of Africa, 27 00:01:22,172 --> 00:01:24,934 and we're starting to see that the key resources 28 00:01:24,958 --> 00:01:27,232 may be concentrated in small areas 29 00:01:27,256 --> 00:01:28,562 near the poles. 30 00:01:29,053 --> 00:01:34,062 This raises important questions about coordinating access to scarce resources. 31 00:01:34,872 --> 00:01:38,670 And there are also legitimate questions about going to the Moon: 32 00:01:38,694 --> 00:01:40,672 colonialism, cultural heritage 33 00:01:40,696 --> 00:01:44,723 and reproducing the systemic inequalities of today's capitalism. 34 00:01:45,442 --> 00:01:47,268 And more to the point: 35 00:01:47,292 --> 00:01:50,051 Don't we have enough big challenges here on Earth? 36 00:01:50,433 --> 00:01:54,787 Internet governance, pandemics, terrorism and, perhaps most importantly, 37 00:01:54,811 --> 00:01:57,500 climate crisis and biodiversity loss. 38 00:01:58,519 --> 00:01:59,686 In some senses, 39 00:01:59,710 --> 00:02:03,165 the idea of the Moon as just a destination 40 00:02:03,189 --> 00:02:05,997 embodies these problematic qualities. 41 00:02:06,021 --> 00:02:08,119 It conjures a frontier attitude 42 00:02:08,143 --> 00:02:09,537 of conquest, 43 00:02:09,561 --> 00:02:11,913 big rockets and expensive projects, 44 00:02:11,937 --> 00:02:13,812 competition and winning. 45 00:02:14,671 --> 00:02:17,305 But what's most interesting about the Moon 46 00:02:17,329 --> 00:02:19,870 isn't the billionaires with their rockets 47 00:02:19,894 --> 00:02:22,927 or the same old power struggle between states. 48 00:02:23,495 --> 00:02:26,140 In fact, it's not the hardware at all. 49 00:02:26,837 --> 00:02:28,700 It's the software. 50 00:02:28,724 --> 00:02:31,244 It's the norms, customs and laws. 51 00:02:31,268 --> 00:02:33,497 It's our social technologies. 52 00:02:33,902 --> 00:02:37,668 And it's the opportunity to update our democratic institutions 53 00:02:37,692 --> 00:02:39,521 and the rule of law 54 00:02:39,545 --> 00:02:43,559 to respond to a new era of planetary-scale challenges. 55 00:02:44,439 --> 00:02:47,660 I'm going to tell you about how the Moon can be a canvas 56 00:02:47,684 --> 00:02:50,915 for solving some of our biggest challenges here on Earth. 57 00:02:51,550 --> 00:02:56,522 I've been kind of obsessed with this topic since I was a teenager. 58 00:02:56,546 --> 00:03:01,294 I've spent the last two decades working on international space policy, 59 00:03:01,318 --> 00:03:05,608 but also on small community projects with bottom-up governance design. 60 00:03:06,462 --> 00:03:07,870 When I was 17, 61 00:03:07,894 --> 00:03:11,206 I went to a UN conference on the peaceful uses of outer space 62 00:03:11,230 --> 00:03:12,403 in Vienna. 63 00:03:13,002 --> 00:03:17,429 Over two weeks, 160 young people from over 60 countries 64 00:03:17,453 --> 00:03:20,861 were crammed into a big hotel next to the UN building. 65 00:03:21,405 --> 00:03:23,412 We were invited to make recommendations 66 00:03:23,436 --> 00:03:24,603 to Member States 67 00:03:24,627 --> 00:03:27,565 about the role of space in humanity's future. 68 00:03:28,452 --> 00:03:29,834 After the conference, 69 00:03:29,858 --> 00:03:31,553 some of us were so inspired 70 00:03:31,577 --> 00:03:34,416 that we actually decided to keep living together. 71 00:03:34,779 --> 00:03:39,130 Now, living with 20 people might sound kind of crazy, 72 00:03:39,154 --> 00:03:44,665 but over the years, it enabled us to create a high-trust group 73 00:03:44,689 --> 00:03:49,228 that allowed us to experiment with these social technologies. 74 00:03:49,252 --> 00:03:53,273 We designed governance systems ranging from assigning a CEO 75 00:03:53,297 --> 00:03:55,409 to using a jury process. 76 00:03:55,941 --> 00:03:58,420 And as we grew into our careers, 77 00:03:58,444 --> 00:04:01,883 and we moved from DC think tanks to working for NASA 78 00:04:01,907 --> 00:04:04,400 to starting our own companies, 79 00:04:04,424 --> 00:04:06,952 these experiments enabled us to see 80 00:04:06,976 --> 00:04:09,980 how even small groups could be a petri dish 81 00:04:10,004 --> 00:04:13,732 for important societal questions such as representation, 82 00:04:13,756 --> 00:04:16,016 sustainability or opportunity. 83 00:04:16,993 --> 00:04:20,741 People often talk about the Moon as a petri dish 84 00:04:20,765 --> 00:04:22,610 or even a blank slate. 85 00:04:23,506 --> 00:04:27,797 But because of the legal agreements that govern the Moon, 86 00:04:27,821 --> 00:04:30,989 it actually has something very important in common 87 00:04:31,013 --> 00:04:33,608 with our global challenges here on Earth. 88 00:04:34,343 --> 00:04:40,538 They both involve issues that require us to think beyond territory and borders, 89 00:04:40,562 --> 00:04:43,166 meaning the Moon is actually more of a template 90 00:04:43,190 --> 00:04:44,778 than a blank slate. 91 00:04:45,922 --> 00:04:51,288 Signed in 1967, the Outer Space Treaty is the defining treaty 92 00:04:51,312 --> 00:04:53,466 governing activities in outer space, 93 00:04:53,490 --> 00:04:54,829 including the Moon. 94 00:04:55,645 --> 00:04:57,804 And it has two key ingredients 95 00:04:57,828 --> 00:05:02,357 that radically alter the basis on which laws can be constructed. 96 00:05:02,904 --> 00:05:08,966 The first is a requirement for free access to all areas of a celestial body. 97 00:05:09,935 --> 00:05:13,951 And the second is that the Moon and other celestial bodies 98 00:05:13,975 --> 00:05:17,598 are not subject to national appropriation. 99 00:05:17,622 --> 00:05:20,406 Now, this is crazy, 100 00:05:20,430 --> 00:05:24,168 because the entire earthly international system -- 101 00:05:24,192 --> 00:05:25,418 the United Nations, 102 00:05:25,442 --> 00:05:28,294 the system of treaties and international agreements -- 103 00:05:28,318 --> 00:05:31,588 is built on the idea of state sovereignty, 104 00:05:31,612 --> 00:05:34,919 on the appropriation of land and resources within borders 105 00:05:34,943 --> 00:05:38,744 and the autonomy to control free access within those borders. 106 00:05:39,618 --> 00:05:41,839 By doing away with both of these, 107 00:05:41,863 --> 00:05:45,132 we create the conditions for what are called the "commons." 108 00:05:45,719 --> 00:05:49,912 Based on the work of Nobel Prize-winning economist Elinor Ostrom, 109 00:05:49,936 --> 00:05:53,743 global commons are those resources that we all share 110 00:05:53,767 --> 00:05:56,645 that require us to work together to manage and protect 111 00:05:56,669 --> 00:06:00,551 important aspects of our survival and well-being, 112 00:06:00,575 --> 00:06:02,970 like climate or the oceans. 113 00:06:03,414 --> 00:06:07,748 Commons-based approaches offer a greenfield for institution design 114 00:06:07,772 --> 00:06:09,581 that's only beginning to be explored 115 00:06:09,605 --> 00:06:12,741 at the global and interplanetary level. 116 00:06:12,765 --> 00:06:14,445 What do property rights look like? 117 00:06:14,469 --> 00:06:16,208 And how do we manage resources 118 00:06:16,232 --> 00:06:20,668 when the traditional tools of external authority and private property 119 00:06:20,692 --> 00:06:21,902 don't apply? 120 00:06:22,429 --> 00:06:24,687 Though we don't have all the answers, 121 00:06:24,711 --> 00:06:27,822 climate, internet governance, authoritarianism -- 122 00:06:27,846 --> 00:06:30,593 these are all deeply existential threats 123 00:06:30,617 --> 00:06:33,665 that we have failed to address with our current ways of thinking. 124 00:06:34,486 --> 00:06:38,580 Successful paths forward will require us to develop new tools. 125 00:06:39,143 --> 00:06:43,014 So how do we incorporate commons-based logic 126 00:06:43,038 --> 00:06:46,399 into our global and space institutions? 127 00:06:47,088 --> 00:06:51,862 Well, here's one attempt that came from an unlikely source. 128 00:06:51,886 --> 00:06:54,810 As a young activist in World War II, 129 00:06:54,834 --> 00:06:58,134 Arvid Pardo was arrested for anti-fascist organizing 130 00:06:58,158 --> 00:07:01,340 and held under death sentence by the Gestapo. 131 00:07:01,856 --> 00:07:03,105 After the war, 132 00:07:03,129 --> 00:07:06,092 he worked his way into the diplomatic corps, 133 00:07:06,116 --> 00:07:09,779 eventually becoming the first permanent representative of Malta 134 00:07:09,803 --> 00:07:11,528 to the United Nations. 135 00:07:11,552 --> 00:07:15,197 Pardo saw that international law did not have the tools 136 00:07:15,221 --> 00:07:18,248 to address management of shared global resources, 137 00:07:18,272 --> 00:07:19,976 such as the high seas. 138 00:07:20,683 --> 00:07:25,796 He also saw an opportunity to advocate for equitable sharing between nations. 139 00:07:26,156 --> 00:07:31,310 In 1967, Pardo gave a famous speech to the United Nations, 140 00:07:31,334 --> 00:07:32,959 introducing the idea 141 00:07:32,983 --> 00:07:38,706 that the oceans and their resources were the "common heritage of mankind." 142 00:07:38,730 --> 00:07:43,071 The phrase was eventually adopted as part of the Law of the Sea Treaty, 143 00:07:43,095 --> 00:07:46,243 probably the most sophisticated commons-management regime 144 00:07:46,267 --> 00:07:47,665 on the planet today. 145 00:07:48,070 --> 00:07:50,603 It was seen as a watershed moment, 146 00:07:50,627 --> 00:07:53,125 a constitution for the seas. 147 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:56,749 But the language proved so controversial 148 00:07:56,773 --> 00:07:59,729 that it took over 12 years to gain enough signatures 149 00:07:59,753 --> 00:08:01,889 for the treaty to enter into force, 150 00:08:01,913 --> 00:08:05,064 and some states still refuse to sign it. 151 00:08:06,208 --> 00:08:10,145 The objection was not so much about sharing per se, 152 00:08:10,169 --> 00:08:12,370 but the obligation to share. 153 00:08:13,124 --> 00:08:18,314 States felt that the principle of equality undermined their autonomy 154 00:08:18,338 --> 00:08:20,719 and state sovereignty, 155 00:08:20,743 --> 00:08:25,615 the same autonomy and state sovereignty that underpins international law. 156 00:08:26,631 --> 00:08:29,030 So in many ways, 157 00:08:29,054 --> 00:08:31,622 the story of the common heritage principle 158 00:08:31,646 --> 00:08:32,930 is a tragedy. 159 00:08:33,819 --> 00:08:36,788 But it's powerful because it makes plain 160 00:08:36,812 --> 00:08:42,433 the ways in which the current world order will put up antibodies and defenses 161 00:08:42,457 --> 00:08:45,378 and resist attempts at structural reform. 162 00:08:46,870 --> 00:08:49,087 But here's the thing: 163 00:08:49,111 --> 00:08:53,015 the Outer Space Treaty has already made these structural reforms. 164 00:08:53,832 --> 00:08:55,426 At the height of the Cold War, 165 00:08:55,450 --> 00:08:58,241 terrified that each would get to the Moon first, 166 00:08:58,265 --> 00:09:00,476 the United States and the USSR 167 00:09:00,500 --> 00:09:04,099 made the Westphalian equivalent of a deal with the devil. 168 00:09:04,613 --> 00:09:09,373 By requiring free access and preventing territorial appropriation, 169 00:09:09,397 --> 00:09:13,403 we are required to redesign our most basic institutions, 170 00:09:13,427 --> 00:09:15,197 and perhaps in doing so, 171 00:09:15,221 --> 00:09:18,024 learn something new we can apply here on Earth. 172 00:09:18,808 --> 00:09:22,865 So although the Moon might seem a little far away sometimes, 173 00:09:22,889 --> 00:09:25,358 how we answer basic questions now 174 00:09:25,382 --> 00:09:28,500 will set precedent for who has a seat at the table 175 00:09:28,524 --> 00:09:30,316 and what consent looks like. 176 00:09:30,928 --> 00:09:33,751 And these are questions of social technology, 177 00:09:33,775 --> 00:09:35,789 not rockets and hardware. 178 00:09:36,703 --> 00:09:40,818 In fact, these conversations are starting to happen right now. 179 00:09:41,381 --> 00:09:44,589 The space community is discussing basic shared agreements, 180 00:09:44,613 --> 00:09:49,264 such as how do we designate lunar areas as heritage sites, 181 00:09:49,288 --> 00:09:52,184 and how do we get permission for where to land 182 00:09:52,208 --> 00:09:54,456 when traditional external authority 183 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:56,098 doesn't apply? 184 00:09:56,122 --> 00:09:59,096 How do we enforce requirements for coordination 185 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:02,197 when it's against the rules to tell people where to go? 186 00:10:02,727 --> 00:10:06,338 And how do we manage access to scarce resources 187 00:10:06,362 --> 00:10:08,706 such as water, minerals, 188 00:10:08,730 --> 00:10:12,015 or even the peaks of eternal light -- 189 00:10:12,039 --> 00:10:14,668 craters that sit at just the right latitude 190 00:10:14,692 --> 00:10:17,355 to receive near-constant exposure to sunlight -- 191 00:10:17,379 --> 00:10:19,127 and therefore, power? 192 00:10:19,151 --> 00:10:23,151 Now, some people think that the lack of rules on the Moon 193 00:10:23,175 --> 00:10:24,738 is terrifying. 194 00:10:24,762 --> 00:10:28,794 And there are legitimately some terrifying elements of it. 195 00:10:29,961 --> 00:10:31,821 If there are no rules on the Moon, 196 00:10:31,845 --> 00:10:35,737 then won't we end up in a first-come, first-served situation? 197 00:10:36,451 --> 00:10:38,464 And we might, 198 00:10:38,488 --> 00:10:40,700 if we dismiss this moment. 199 00:10:41,470 --> 00:10:45,732 But not if we're willing to be bold and to engage the challenge. 200 00:10:46,826 --> 00:10:49,538 As we learned in our communities of self-governance, 201 00:10:49,562 --> 00:10:54,099 it's easier to create something new than trying to dismantle the old. 202 00:10:54,821 --> 00:10:56,681 And where else but the Moon 203 00:10:56,705 --> 00:11:00,900 can we prototype new institutions at global scale 204 00:11:00,924 --> 00:11:04,903 in a self-contained environment with the exact design constraints needed 205 00:11:04,927 --> 00:11:07,721 for our biggest challenges here on Earth? 206 00:11:09,197 --> 00:11:11,042 Back in 1999, 207 00:11:11,066 --> 00:11:14,546 the United Nations taught a group of young space geeks 208 00:11:14,570 --> 00:11:16,731 that we could think bigger, 209 00:11:16,755 --> 00:11:19,899 that we could impact nations if we chose to. 210 00:11:20,645 --> 00:11:24,340 Today, the stage is set for the next step: 211 00:11:24,364 --> 00:11:28,340 to envision what comes after territory and borders. 212 00:11:29,227 --> 00:11:30,379 Thank you.