1 00:00:00,917 --> 00:00:05,565 Right now, there's a lot happening with the Moon. 2 00:00:05,565 --> 00:00:08,932 China has announced plans for an inhabited South Pole station 3 00:00:08,932 --> 00:00:11,185 by the 2030s, 4 00:00:11,185 --> 00:00:13,912 and the United States has an official road map 5 00:00:13,912 --> 00:00:18,598 seeking an increasing number of people living and working in space. 6 00:00:18,598 --> 00:00:21,203 This will start with NASA's Artemis program, 7 00:00:21,203 --> 00:00:24,745 an international program to send the first woman and the next man 8 00:00:24,745 --> 00:00:26,829 to the Moon this decade. 9 00:00:27,030 --> 00:00:29,649 Billionaires and the private sector are getting involved 10 00:00:29,649 --> 00:00:32,035 in unprecedented ways. 11 00:00:32,035 --> 00:00:35,450 There are over a hundred launch companies around the world 12 00:00:35,450 --> 00:00:38,943 and roughly a dozen private lunar transportation companies 13 00:00:38,943 --> 00:00:42,300 readying robotic missions to the lunar surface. 14 00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:47,078 We have reusable rockets for the first time in human history. 15 00:00:47,089 --> 00:00:49,478 This will enable the development of infrastructure 16 00:00:49,478 --> 00:00:51,645 and utilization of resources. 17 00:00:52,442 --> 00:00:55,660 While estimates vary, scientists think 18 00:00:55,861 --> 00:00:59,221 there could be up to a billion metric tons of water ice on the Moon. 19 00:00:59,221 --> 00:01:01,657 That's greater than the size of Lake Erie, 20 00:01:01,909 --> 00:01:05,761 and enough water to support perhaps hundreds of thousands of people 21 00:01:05,761 --> 00:01:08,513 living and working on the Moon. 22 00:01:08,513 --> 00:01:11,306 So although official plans are always evolving, 23 00:01:11,306 --> 00:01:15,978 there's real reason to think that we could see people 24 00:01:15,978 --> 00:01:17,795 starting to live and work on the Moon in the next decade. 25 00:01:17,795 --> 00:01:21,721 However, the Moon is roughly the size of the continent of Africa, 26 00:01:22,039 --> 00:01:24,958 and we're starting to see that the key resources 27 00:01:24,958 --> 00:01:27,432 may be concentrated in small areas 28 00:01:27,432 --> 00:01:29,219 near the poles. 29 00:01:29,219 --> 00:01:33,969 This raises important questions about coordinating access to scarce resources, 30 00:01:34,206 --> 00:01:38,861 and there are also legitimate questions about going to the Moon: 31 00:01:38,861 --> 00:01:41,771 colonialism, cultural heritage, 32 00:01:41,771 --> 00:01:44,991 and reproducing the systemic inequalities of today's capitalism. 33 00:01:45,442 --> 00:01:47,292 And more to the point, 34 00:01:47,292 --> 00:01:50,051 don't we have enough big challenges here on Earth? 35 00:01:50,735 --> 00:01:53,772 Internet governance, pandemics, terrorism, 36 00:01:53,772 --> 00:01:57,742 and, perhaps most importantly, climate crisis and biodiversity loss. 37 00:01:58,726 --> 00:02:02,605 In some senses, 38 00:02:02,605 --> 00:02:03,437 the idea of the Moon as just a destination 39 00:02:03,437 --> 00:02:05,726 embodies these problematic qualities. 40 00:02:06,021 --> 00:02:08,507 It conjures a frontier attitude 41 00:02:08,507 --> 00:02:09,924 of conquest, 42 00:02:09,924 --> 00:02:12,277 big rockets and expensive projects, 43 00:02:12,277 --> 00:02:13,812 competition and winning. 44 00:02:14,886 --> 00:02:17,655 But what's most interesting about the Moon 45 00:02:17,655 --> 00:02:20,134 isn't the billionaires with their rockets, 46 00:02:20,134 --> 00:02:23,860 or the same old power struggle between states. 47 00:02:23,860 --> 00:02:27,346 In fact, it's not the hardware at all. 48 00:02:27,346 --> 00:02:29,232 It's the software. 49 00:02:29,232 --> 00:02:31,309 It's the norms, customs and laws. 50 00:02:31,491 --> 00:02:33,744 It's our social technologies. 51 00:02:33,744 --> 00:02:36,505 And it's the opportunity to update 52 00:02:36,505 --> 00:02:39,940 our democratic institutions 53 00:02:39,940 --> 00:02:42,108 and the rule of law 54 00:02:42,108 --> 00:02:44,787 to respond to a new era of planetary-scale challenges. 55 00:02:44,995 --> 00:02:47,955 I'm going to tell you about how the Moon can be a canvass 56 00:02:47,955 --> 00:02:50,674 for solving some of our biggest challenges here on Earth. 57 00:02:50,674 --> 00:02:55,797 I've been kind obsessed with this topic 58 00:02:55,797 --> 00:02:57,120 since I was a teenager. 59 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:00,925 I've spent the last two decades working on international space policy, 60 00:03:01,259 --> 00:03:05,911 but also on small community projects with bottom-up governance design. 61 00:03:06,653 --> 00:03:08,555 When I was 17, 62 00:03:08,555 --> 00:03:11,307 I went to a UN conference 63 00:03:11,307 --> 00:03:13,741 on the peaceful uses of outer space in Vienna. 64 00:03:13,741 --> 00:03:17,787 Over two weeks, 160 young people from over 60 countries 65 00:03:17,787 --> 00:03:22,318 were crammed into a big hotel next to the UN building. 66 00:03:22,318 --> 00:03:24,348 We were invited to make recommendations 67 00:03:24,348 --> 00:03:25,943 to Member States 68 00:03:25,943 --> 00:03:28,643 about the role of space in humanity's future. 69 00:03:28,643 --> 00:03:30,048 After the conference, 70 00:03:30,048 --> 00:03:31,766 some of us were so inspired 71 00:03:31,766 --> 00:03:34,605 that we actually decided to keep living together. 72 00:03:34,922 --> 00:03:39,766 Now, living with 20 people might sound kind of crazy, 73 00:03:39,766 --> 00:03:44,920 but over the years it enabled us to create a high-trust group 74 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:49,731 that allowed us to experiment with these social technologies. 75 00:03:49,731 --> 00:03:53,330 We designed governance systems ranging from assigning a CEO 76 00:03:53,330 --> 00:03:55,866 to using a jury process, 77 00:03:55,866 --> 00:03:58,326 and as we grew into our careers, 78 00:03:58,326 --> 00:04:01,561 and we moved from DC think tanks to working for NASA 79 00:04:01,561 --> 00:04:05,582 to starting our own companies, 80 00:04:05,582 --> 00:04:07,955 these experiments enabled us to see 81 00:04:07,955 --> 00:04:09,190 how even small groups 82 00:04:09,190 --> 00:04:11,685 could be a petri dish 83 00:04:11,685 --> 00:04:14,488 for important societal questions such as representation, 84 00:04:14,488 --> 00:04:18,216 sustainability or opportunity. 85 00:04:18,216 --> 00:04:20,069 People often talk about the Moon 86 00:04:20,069 --> 00:04:22,306 as a petri dish, 87 00:04:22,306 --> 00:04:24,657 or even a blank slate, 88 00:04:24,657 --> 00:04:26,610 but because of the legal agreements 89 00:04:27,211 --> 00:04:28,512 that govern the Moon, 90 00:04:28,512 --> 00:04:31,899 it actually has something very important in common 91 00:04:31,899 --> 00:04:34,518 with our global challenges here on Earth. 92 00:04:34,518 --> 00:04:38,478 They both involve issues 93 00:04:38,478 --> 00:04:40,465 that require us to think beyond territory and borders, 94 00:04:40,465 --> 00:04:44,006 meaning the Moon is actually more of a template 95 00:04:44,006 --> 00:04:46,359 than a blank slate. 96 00:04:46,359 --> 00:04:49,460 Signed in 1967, 97 00:04:49,460 --> 00:04:50,737 the Outer Space Treaty 98 00:04:50,737 --> 00:04:54,393 is the defining treaty governing activities in outer space, 99 00:04:54,393 --> 00:04:55,756 including the Moon, 100 00:04:55,756 --> 00:04:58,343 and it has two key ingredients 101 00:04:58,343 --> 00:05:00,228 that radically alter the basis 102 00:05:00,228 --> 00:05:02,853 on which laws can be constructed. 103 00:05:03,190 --> 00:05:09,276 The first is a requirement for free access to all areas of a celestial body. 104 00:05:09,276 --> 00:05:13,854 And the second is that the Moon and other celestial bodies 105 00:05:13,854 --> 00:05:17,523 are not subject to national appropriation. 106 00:05:17,790 --> 00:05:20,767 Now, this is crazy, 107 00:05:20,767 --> 00:05:23,839 because the entire earthly international system -- 108 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:25,932 the United Nations, 109 00:05:25,932 --> 00:05:28,707 the system of treaties and international agreements, 110 00:05:28,707 --> 00:05:31,455 is built on the idea of state sovereignty, 111 00:05:31,788 --> 00:05:35,458 on the appropriation of land and resources within borders 112 00:05:35,458 --> 00:05:38,405 and the autonomy to control free access 113 00:05:38,405 --> 00:05:39,841 within those borders. 114 00:05:39,841 --> 00:05:42,463 By doing away with both of these, 115 00:05:42,463 --> 00:05:45,333 we create the conditions for what are called the commons. 116 00:05:45,767 --> 00:05:47,039 Based on the work 117 00:05:47,039 --> 00:05:50,142 of Nobel Prize-winning economist Elinor Ostrom, 118 00:05:50,142 --> 00:05:54,487 global commons are those resources that we all share, 119 00:05:54,487 --> 00:05:56,991 that require us to work together to manage and protect 120 00:05:56,991 --> 00:06:00,717 important aspects of our survival and wellbeing, 121 00:06:00,885 --> 00:06:03,421 like climate or the oceans. 122 00:06:03,637 --> 00:06:05,222 Commons-based approaches 123 00:06:05,222 --> 00:06:09,016 offer a greenfield for institution design 124 00:06:09,016 --> 00:06:10,636 that's only beginning to be explored 125 00:06:10,636 --> 00:06:13,071 at the global and interplanetary level. 126 00:06:13,303 --> 00:06:14,921 What do property rights look like, 127 00:06:14,921 --> 00:06:16,506 and how do we manage resources, 128 00:06:16,506 --> 00:06:19,082 when the traditional tools of external authority 129 00:06:19,265 --> 00:06:21,901 and private property don't apply? 130 00:06:22,469 --> 00:06:24,404 Though we don't have all the answers, 131 00:06:24,404 --> 00:06:27,846 climate, internet governance, authoritarianism, 132 00:06:27,846 --> 00:06:31,716 these are all deeply existential threats 133 00:06:31,716 --> 00:06:34,719 that we have failed to address with our current ways of thinking. 134 00:06:34,719 --> 00:06:38,264 Successful paths forward will require us to develop new tools. 135 00:06:39,215 --> 00:06:43,285 So how do we incorporate commons-based logic 136 00:06:43,285 --> 00:06:46,437 into our global and space institutions? 137 00:06:46,670 --> 00:06:50,885 Well, here's one attempt 138 00:06:50,885 --> 00:06:52,787 that came from an unlikely source. 139 00:06:52,787 --> 00:06:54,707 As a young activist in World War II, 140 00:06:54,707 --> 00:06:58,976 Arvid Pardo was arrested for anti-fascist organizing 141 00:06:58,976 --> 00:07:03,454 and held under death sentence by the Gestapo. 142 00:07:03,454 --> 00:07:04,327 After the war, 143 00:07:04,327 --> 00:07:05,830 he worked his way into the diplomatic corps, 144 00:07:05,830 --> 00:07:07,823 eventually becoming 145 00:07:07,823 --> 00:07:11,384 the first permanent representative of Malta to the United Nations. 146 00:07:11,751 --> 00:07:14,654 Pardo saw that international law did not have the tools 147 00:07:14,654 --> 00:07:18,240 to address management of shared global resources, 148 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:20,374 such as the high seas. 149 00:07:20,575 --> 00:07:25,571 He also saw an opportunity to advocate for equitable sharing between nations. 150 00:07:26,156 --> 00:07:32,259 In 1967, Pardo gave a famous speech to the United Nations 151 00:07:32,259 --> 00:07:33,678 introducing the idea 152 00:07:33,678 --> 00:07:35,512 that the oceans and their resources 153 00:07:35,512 --> 00:07:38,848 were the "common heritage of mankind." 154 00:07:39,049 --> 00:07:43,095 The phrase was eventually adopted as part of the Law of the Sea Treaty, 155 00:07:43,095 --> 00:07:47,197 probably the most sophisticated commons management regime 156 00:07:47,197 --> 00:07:48,816 on the planet today. 157 00:07:48,816 --> 00:07:50,934 It was seen as a watershed moment, 158 00:07:50,934 --> 00:07:53,328 a constitution for the seas. 159 00:07:53,628 --> 00:07:56,851 But the language proved so controversial 160 00:07:56,851 --> 00:08:00,571 that it took over 12 years to gain enough signatures 161 00:08:00,571 --> 00:08:02,489 for the treaty to enter into force, 162 00:08:02,489 --> 00:08:05,064 and some states still refuse to sign it. 163 00:08:05,883 --> 00:08:10,419 The objection was not so much about sharing per se, 164 00:08:10,419 --> 00:08:12,971 but the obligation to share. 165 00:08:12,971 --> 00:08:16,915 States felt that the principle of equality 166 00:08:16,915 --> 00:08:18,934 undermined their autonomy 167 00:08:18,934 --> 00:08:21,736 and state sovereignty, 168 00:08:21,736 --> 00:08:23,939 the same autonomy and state sovereignty 169 00:08:23,939 --> 00:08:26,365 that underpins international law. 170 00:08:26,631 --> 00:08:29,317 So in many ways, 171 00:08:29,317 --> 00:08:31,753 the story of the common heritage principle 172 00:08:31,753 --> 00:08:33,472 is a tragedy, 173 00:08:33,472 --> 00:08:38,915 but it's powerful because it makes plain the ways 174 00:08:38,915 --> 00:08:40,470 in which the current world order 175 00:08:40,470 --> 00:08:42,518 will put up antibodies and defenses 176 00:08:42,518 --> 00:08:46,264 and resist attempts at structural reform. 177 00:08:46,264 --> 00:08:49,333 But here's the thing: 178 00:08:49,333 --> 00:08:52,869 the outer space treaty has already made these structural reforms. 179 00:08:53,219 --> 00:08:55,550 At the height of the Cold War, 180 00:08:55,550 --> 00:08:58,519 terrified that each would get to the Moon first, 181 00:08:58,519 --> 00:09:00,733 the United States and the USSR 182 00:09:00,733 --> 00:09:04,099 made the Westphalian equivalent of a deal with the devil. 183 00:09:04,432 --> 00:09:09,677 By requiring free access and preventing territorial appropriation, 184 00:09:09,677 --> 00:09:12,913 we are required to redesign our most basic institutions 185 00:09:13,680 --> 00:09:15,309 and perhaps in doing so 186 00:09:15,309 --> 00:09:18,895 learn something new we can apply here on Earth. 187 00:09:18,895 --> 00:09:22,889 So although the Moon might seem a little far away sometimes, 188 00:09:22,889 --> 00:09:25,476 how we answer basic questions now 189 00:09:25,476 --> 00:09:28,795 will set precedent for who has a seat at the table 190 00:09:28,795 --> 00:09:31,198 and what consent looks like, 191 00:09:31,198 --> 00:09:34,159 and these are questions of social technology, 192 00:09:34,159 --> 00:09:36,692 not rockets and hardware. 193 00:09:36,926 --> 00:09:40,397 In fact, these conversations are starting to happen right now. 194 00:09:41,013 --> 00:09:44,320 The space community is discussing basic shared agreements 195 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:49,020 such as, how do we designate lunar areas as heritage sites? 196 00:09:49,020 --> 00:09:52,208 And how do we get permission for where to land 197 00:09:52,208 --> 00:09:55,409 when traditional external authority 198 00:09:55,609 --> 00:09:57,011 doesn't apply? 199 00:09:57,011 --> 00:09:59,581 How do we enforce requirements for coordination 200 00:09:59,581 --> 00:10:02,658 when it's against the rules to tell people where to go? 201 00:10:02,974 --> 00:10:06,560 And how do we manage access to scarce resources 202 00:10:06,560 --> 00:10:09,129 such as water, minerals, 203 00:10:09,129 --> 00:10:12,222 or even the peaks of eternal light, 204 00:10:12,222 --> 00:10:14,732 craters that sit at just the right latitude 205 00:10:14,732 --> 00:10:19,001 to receive near constant exposure to sunlight, and therefore power? 206 00:10:19,261 --> 00:10:24,056 Now, some people think that the lack of rules on the Moon 207 00:10:24,056 --> 00:10:25,174 is terrifying. 208 00:10:25,174 --> 00:10:29,594 And there are legitimately some terrifying elements of it. 209 00:10:29,594 --> 00:10:33,273 If there are no rules on the Moon, 210 00:10:33,273 --> 00:10:36,211 then won't we end up in a first-come, first-served situation? 211 00:10:36,408 --> 00:10:39,043 And we might, 212 00:10:39,043 --> 00:10:40,895 if we dismiss this moment. 213 00:10:41,412 --> 00:10:44,689 But not if we're willing to be bold 214 00:10:44,689 --> 00:10:46,874 and to engage the challenge. 215 00:10:46,874 --> 00:10:50,561 As we learned in our communities of self-governance, 216 00:10:50,561 --> 00:10:54,556 it's easier to create something new than trying to dismantle the old. 217 00:10:54,556 --> 00:10:56,644 And where else but the Moon 218 00:10:56,644 --> 00:11:01,537 can we prototype new institutions at global scale 219 00:11:01,537 --> 00:11:05,143 in a self-contained environment with the exact design constraints needed 220 00:11:05,143 --> 00:11:08,547 for our biggest challenges here on Earth? 221 00:11:08,814 --> 00:11:11,066 Back in 1999, 222 00:11:11,066 --> 00:11:14,570 the United Nations taught a group of young space geeks 223 00:11:14,570 --> 00:11:16,905 that we could think bigger, 224 00:11:16,905 --> 00:11:20,331 that we could impact nations if we chose to. 225 00:11:20,598 --> 00:11:23,708 Today, the stage is set for the next step, 226 00:11:24,586 --> 00:11:26,436 to envision what comes after 227 00:11:26,436 --> 00:11:28,561 territory and borders. 228 00:11:29,363 --> 00:11:30,515 Thank you.