0:00:00.917,0:00:05.565 Right now, there's a lot[br]happening with the Moon. 0:00:05.565,0:00:08.932 China has announced plans[br]for an inhabited South Pole station 0:00:08.932,0:00:11.185 by the 2030s, 0:00:11.185,0:00:13.912 and the United States has[br]an official road map 0:00:13.912,0:00:18.598 seeking an increasing number of people[br]living and working in space. 0:00:18.598,0:00:21.203 This will start with[br]NASA's Artemis program, 0:00:21.203,0:00:24.745 an international program to send[br]the first woman and the next man 0:00:24.745,0:00:26.829 to the Moon this decade. 0:00:27.030,0:00:29.649 Billionaires and the private sector[br]are getting involved 0:00:29.649,0:00:32.035 in unprecedented ways. 0:00:32.035,0:00:35.450 There are over a hundred[br]launch companies around the world 0:00:35.450,0:00:38.943 and roughly a dozen private[br]lunar transportation companies 0:00:38.943,0:00:42.300 readying robotic missions[br]to the lunar surface. 0:00:42.600,0:00:47.078 We have reusable rockets[br]for the first time in human history. 0:00:47.089,0:00:49.478 This will enable the development[br]of infrastructure 0:00:49.478,0:00:51.645 and utilization of resources. 0:00:52.442,0:00:55.660 While estimates vary, scientists think 0:00:55.861,0:00:59.221 there could be up to a billion metric tons[br]of water ice on the Moon. 0:00:59.221,0:01:01.657 That's greater than the size of Lake Erie, 0:01:01.909,0:01:05.761 and enough water to support[br]perhaps hundreds of thousands of people 0:01:05.761,0:01:08.513 living and working on the Moon. 0:01:08.513,0:01:11.306 So although official plans[br]are always evolving, 0:01:11.306,0:01:15.978 there's real reason to think[br]that we could see people 0:01:15.978,0:01:17.795 starting to live and work on the Moon[br]in the next decade. 0:01:17.795,0:01:21.721 However, the Moon is roughly[br]the size of the continent of Africa, 0:01:22.039,0:01:24.958 and we're starting to see[br]that the key resources 0:01:24.958,0:01:27.432 may be concentrated in small areas 0:01:27.432,0:01:29.219 near the poles. 0:01:29.219,0:01:33.969 This raises important questions about[br]coordinating access to scarce resources, 0:01:34.206,0:01:38.861 and there are also legitimate questions[br]about going to the Moon: 0:01:38.861,0:01:41.771 colonialism, cultural heritage, 0:01:41.771,0:01:44.991 and reproducing the systemic inequalities[br]of today's capitalism. 0:01:45.442,0:01:47.292 And more to the point, 0:01:47.292,0:01:50.051 don't we have enough[br]big challenges here on Earth? 0:01:50.735,0:01:53.772 Internet governance, pandemics, terrorism, 0:01:53.772,0:01:57.742 and, perhaps most importantly,[br]climate crisis and biodiversity loss. 0:01:58.726,0:02:02.605 In some senses, 0:02:02.605,0:02:03.437 the idea of the Moon as just a destination 0:02:03.437,0:02:05.726 embodies these problematic qualities. 0:02:06.021,0:02:08.507 It conjures a frontier attitude 0:02:08.507,0:02:09.924 of conquest, 0:02:09.924,0:02:12.277 big rockets and expensive projects, 0:02:12.277,0:02:13.812 competition and winning. 0:02:14.886,0:02:17.655 But what's most interesting about the Moon 0:02:17.655,0:02:20.134 isn't the billionaires with their rockets, 0:02:20.134,0:02:23.860 or the same old[br]power struggle between states. 0:02:23.860,0:02:27.346 In fact, it's not the hardware at all. 0:02:27.346,0:02:29.232 It's the software. 0:02:29.232,0:02:31.309 It's the norms, customs and laws. 0:02:31.491,0:02:33.744 It's our social technologies. 0:02:33.744,0:02:36.505 And it's the opportunity to update 0:02:36.505,0:02:39.940 our democratic institutions 0:02:39.940,0:02:42.108 and the rule of law 0:02:42.108,0:02:44.787 to respond to a new era[br]of planetary-scale challenges. 0:02:44.995,0:02:47.955 I'm going to tell you about[br]how the Moon can be a canvass 0:02:47.955,0:02:50.674 for solving some of our biggest[br]challenges here on Earth. 0:02:50.674,0:02:55.797 I've been kind obsessed with this topic 0:02:55.797,0:02:57.120 since I was a teenager. 0:02:57.120,0:03:00.925 I've spent the last two decades[br]working on international space policy, 0:03:01.259,0:03:05.911 but also on small community projects[br]with bottom-up governance design. 0:03:06.653,0:03:08.555 When I was 17, 0:03:08.555,0:03:11.307 I went to a UN conference 0:03:11.307,0:03:13.741 on the peaceful uses[br]of outer space in Vienna. 0:03:13.741,0:03:17.787 Over two weeks, 160 young people[br]from over 60 countries 0:03:17.787,0:03:22.318 were crammed into a big hotel[br]next to the UN building. 0:03:22.318,0:03:24.348 We were invited to make recommendations 0:03:24.348,0:03:25.943 to Member States 0:03:25.943,0:03:28.643 about the role of space[br]in humanity's future. 0:03:28.643,0:03:30.048 After the conference, 0:03:30.048,0:03:31.766 some of us were so inspired 0:03:31.766,0:03:34.605 that we actually decided[br]to keep living together. 0:03:34.922,0:03:39.766 Now, living with 20 people[br]might sound kind of crazy, 0:03:39.766,0:03:44.920 but over the years it enabled us[br]to create a high-trust group 0:03:44.920,0:03:49.731 that allowed us to experiment[br]with these social technologies. 0:03:49.731,0:03:53.330 We designed governance systems[br]ranging from assigning a CEO 0:03:53.330,0:03:55.866 to using a jury process, 0:03:55.866,0:03:58.326 and as we grew into our careers, 0:03:58.326,0:04:01.561 and we moved from DC think tanks[br]to working for NASA 0:04:01.561,0:04:05.582 to starting our own companies, 0:04:05.582,0:04:07.955 these experiments enabled us to see 0:04:07.955,0:04:09.190 how even small groups 0:04:09.190,0:04:11.685 could be a petri dish 0:04:11.685,0:04:14.488 for important societal questions[br]such as representation, 0:04:14.488,0:04:18.216 sustainability or opportunity. 0:04:18.216,0:04:20.069 People often talk about the Moon 0:04:20.069,0:04:22.306 as a petri dish, 0:04:22.306,0:04:24.657 or even a blank slate, 0:04:24.657,0:04:26.610 but because of the legal agreements 0:04:27.211,0:04:28.512 that govern the Moon, 0:04:28.512,0:04:31.899 it actually has something[br]very important in common 0:04:31.899,0:04:34.518 with our global challenges here on Earth. 0:04:34.518,0:04:38.478 They both involve issues 0:04:38.478,0:04:40.465 that require us to think[br]beyond territory and borders, 0:04:40.465,0:04:44.006 meaning the Moon is actually[br]more of a template 0:04:44.006,0:04:46.359 than a blank slate. 0:04:46.359,0:04:49.460 Signed in 1967, 0:04:49.460,0:04:50.737 the Outer Space Treaty 0:04:50.737,0:04:54.393 is the defining treaty governing[br]activities in outer space, 0:04:54.393,0:04:55.756 including the Moon, 0:04:55.756,0:04:58.343 and it has two key ingredients 0:04:58.343,0:05:00.228 that radically alter the basis 0:05:00.228,0:05:02.853 on which laws can be constructed. 0:05:03.190,0:05:09.276 The first is a requirement for free access[br]to all areas of a celestial body. 0:05:09.276,0:05:13.854 And the second is that the Moon[br]and other celestial bodies 0:05:13.854,0:05:17.523 are not subject to national appropriation. 0:05:17.790,0:05:20.767 Now, this is crazy, 0:05:20.767,0:05:23.839 because the entire earthly[br]international system -- 0:05:23.839,0:05:25.932 the United Nations, 0:05:25.932,0:05:28.707 the system of treaties[br]and international agreements, 0:05:28.707,0:05:31.455 is built on the idea of state sovereignty, 0:05:31.788,0:05:35.458 on the appropriation of land[br]and resources within borders 0:05:35.458,0:05:38.405 and the autonomy to control free access 0:05:38.405,0:05:39.841 within those borders. 0:05:39.841,0:05:42.463 By doing away with both of these, 0:05:42.463,0:05:45.333 we create the conditions[br]for what are called the commons. 0:05:45.767,0:05:47.039 Based on the work 0:05:47.039,0:05:50.142 of Nobel Prize-winning[br]economist Elinor Ostrom, 0:05:50.142,0:05:54.487 global commons are those resources[br]that we all share, 0:05:54.487,0:05:56.991 that require us to work together[br]to manage and protect 0:05:56.991,0:06:00.717 important aspects[br]of our survival and wellbeing, 0:06:00.885,0:06:03.421 like climate or the oceans. 0:06:03.637,0:06:05.222 Commons-based approaches 0:06:05.222,0:06:09.016 offer a greenfield for institution design 0:06:09.016,0:06:10.636 that's only beginning to be explored 0:06:10.636,0:06:13.071 at the global and interplanetary level. 0:06:13.303,0:06:14.921 What do property rights look like, 0:06:14.921,0:06:16.506 and how do we manage resources, 0:06:16.506,0:06:19.082 when the traditional tools[br]of external authority 0:06:19.265,0:06:21.901 and private property don't apply? 0:06:22.469,0:06:24.404 Though we don't have all the answers, 0:06:24.404,0:06:27.846 climate, internet governance,[br]authoritarianism, 0:06:27.846,0:06:31.716 these are all deeply existential threats 0:06:31.716,0:06:34.719 that we have failed to address[br]with our current ways of thinking. 0:06:34.719,0:06:38.264 Successful paths forward[br]will require us to develop new tools. 0:06:39.215,0:06:43.285 So how do we incorporate[br]commons-based logic 0:06:43.285,0:06:46.437 into our global and space institutions? 0:06:46.670,0:06:50.885 Well, here's one attempt 0:06:50.885,0:06:52.787 that came from an unlikely source. 0:06:52.787,0:06:54.707 As a young activist in World War II, 0:06:54.707,0:06:58.976 Arvid Pardo was arrested[br]for anti-fascist organizing 0:06:58.976,0:07:03.454 and held under death sentence[br]by the Gestapo. 0:07:03.454,0:07:04.327 After the war, 0:07:04.327,0:07:05.830 he worked his way[br]into the diplomatic corps, 0:07:05.830,0:07:07.823 eventually becoming 0:07:07.823,0:07:11.384 the first permanent representative[br]of Malta to the United Nations. 0:07:11.751,0:07:14.654 Pardo saw that international law[br]did not have the tools 0:07:14.654,0:07:18.240 to address management[br]of shared global resources, 0:07:18.240,0:07:20.374 such as the high seas. 0:07:20.575,0:07:25.571 He also saw an opportunity to advocate[br]for equitable sharing between nations. 0:07:26.156,0:07:32.259 In 1967, Pardo gave a famous speech[br]to the United Nations 0:07:32.259,0:07:33.678 introducing the idea 0:07:33.678,0:07:35.512 that the oceans and their resources 0:07:35.512,0:07:38.848 were the "common heritage of mankind." 0:07:39.049,0:07:43.095 The phrase was eventually adopted[br]as part of the Law of the Sea Treaty, 0:07:43.095,0:07:47.197 probably the most sophisticated[br]commons management regime 0:07:47.197,0:07:48.816 on the planet today. 0:07:48.816,0:07:50.934 It was seen as a watershed moment, 0:07:50.934,0:07:53.328 a constitution for the seas. 0:07:53.628,0:07:56.851 But the language proved so controversial 0:07:56.851,0:08:00.571 that it took over 12 years[br]to gain enough signatures 0:08:00.571,0:08:02.489 for the treaty to enter into force, 0:08:02.489,0:08:05.064 and some states still refuse to sign it. 0:08:05.883,0:08:10.419 The objection was not so much[br]about sharing per se, 0:08:10.419,0:08:12.971 but the obligation to share. 0:08:12.971,0:08:16.915 States felt that the principle of equality 0:08:16.915,0:08:18.934 undermined their autonomy 0:08:18.934,0:08:21.736 and state sovereignty, 0:08:21.736,0:08:23.939 the same autonomy and state sovereignty 0:08:23.939,0:08:26.365 that underpins international law. 0:08:26.631,0:08:29.317 So in many ways, 0:08:29.317,0:08:31.753 the story of the common heritage principle 0:08:31.753,0:08:33.472 is a tragedy, 0:08:33.472,0:08:38.915 but it's powerful because[br]it makes plain the ways 0:08:38.915,0:08:40.470 in which the current world order 0:08:40.470,0:08:42.518 will put up antibodies and defenses 0:08:42.518,0:08:46.264 and resist attempts at structural reform. 0:08:46.264,0:08:49.333 But here's the thing: 0:08:49.333,0:08:52.869 the outer space treaty has already[br]made these structural reforms. 0:08:53.219,0:08:55.550 At the height of the Cold War, 0:08:55.550,0:08:58.519 terrified that each[br]would get to the Moon first, 0:08:58.519,0:09:00.733 the United States and the USSR 0:09:00.733,0:09:04.099 made the Westphalian equivalent[br]of a deal with the devil. 0:09:04.432,0:09:09.677 By requiring free access[br]and preventing territorial appropriation, 0:09:09.677,0:09:12.913 we are required to redesign[br]our most basic institutions 0:09:13.680,0:09:15.309 and perhaps in doing so 0:09:15.309,0:09:18.895 learn something new[br]we can apply here on Earth. 0:09:18.895,0:09:22.889 So although the Moon might seem[br]a little far away sometimes, 0:09:22.889,0:09:25.476 how we answer basic questions now 0:09:25.476,0:09:28.795 will set precedent[br]for who has a seat at the table 0:09:28.795,0:09:31.198 and what consent looks like, 0:09:31.198,0:09:34.159 and these are questions of social technology, 0:09:34.159,0:09:36.692 not rockets and hardware. 0:09:36.926,0:09:40.397 In fact, these conversations[br]are starting to happen right now. 0:09:41.013,0:09:44.320 The space community is discussing[br]basic shared agreements 0:09:44.320,0:09:49.020 such as, how do we designate[br]lunar areas as heritage sites? 0:09:49.020,0:09:52.208 And how do we get permission[br]for where to land 0:09:52.208,0:09:55.409 when traditional external authority 0:09:55.609,0:09:57.011 doesn't apply? 0:09:57.011,0:09:59.581 How do we enforce requirements[br]for coordination 0:09:59.581,0:10:02.658 when it's against the rules[br]to tell people where to go? 0:10:02.974,0:10:06.560 And how do we manage[br]access to scarce resources 0:10:06.560,0:10:09.129 such as water, minerals, 0:10:09.129,0:10:12.222 or even the peaks of eternal light, 0:10:12.222,0:10:14.732 craters that sit[br]at just the right latitude 0:10:14.732,0:10:19.001 to receive near constant exposure[br]to sunlight, and therefore power? 0:10:19.261,0:10:24.056 Now, some people think[br]that the lack of rules on the Moon 0:10:24.056,0:10:25.174 is terrifying. 0:10:25.174,0:10:29.594 And there are legitimately[br]some terrifying elements of it. 0:10:29.594,0:10:33.273 If there are no rules on the Moon, 0:10:33.273,0:10:36.211 then won't we end up[br]in a first-come, first-served situation? 0:10:36.408,0:10:39.043 And we might, 0:10:39.043,0:10:40.895 if we dismiss this moment. 0:10:41.412,0:10:44.689 But not if we're willing to be bold 0:10:44.689,0:10:46.874 and to engage the challenge. 0:10:46.874,0:10:50.561 As we learned in our communities[br]of self-governance, 0:10:50.561,0:10:54.556 it's easier to create something new[br]than trying to dismantle the old. 0:10:54.556,0:10:56.644 And where else but the Moon 0:10:56.644,0:11:01.537 can we prototype[br]new institutions at global scale 0:11:01.537,0:11:05.143 in a self-contained environment[br]with the exact design constraints needed 0:11:05.143,0:11:08.547 for our biggest challenges here on Earth? 0:11:08.814,0:11:11.066 Back in 1999, 0:11:11.066,0:11:14.570 the United Nations taught[br]a group of young space geeks 0:11:14.570,0:11:16.905 that we could think bigger, 0:11:16.905,0:11:20.331 that we could impact nations[br]if we chose to. 0:11:20.598,0:11:23.708 Today, the stage is set for the next step, 0:11:24.586,0:11:26.436 to envision what comes after 0:11:26.436,0:11:28.561 territory and borders. 0:11:29.363,0:11:30.515 Thank you.