1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Right now, there's a lot happening with the Moon. 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 China has announced plans for an inhabited South Pole station 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 by the 2030s, 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the United States has an official road map 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 seeking an increasing number of people living and working in space. 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This will start with NASA's Artemis program, 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 an international program to send the first woman and the next man 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to the Moon this decade. 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Billionaires and the private sector are getting involved 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in unprecedented ways. 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There are over a hundred launch companies around the world 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and roughly a dozen private lunar transportation companies 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 readying robotic missions to the lunar surface. 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have reusable rockets for the first time in human history. 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This will enable the development of infrastructure 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and utilization of resources. 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 While estimates vary, scientists think 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there could be up to a billion metric tons of water ice on the Moon. 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 That's greater than the size of Lake Erie, 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and enough water to support perhaps hundreds of thousands of people 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 living and working on the Moon. 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So although official plans are always evolving, 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 there's real reason to think that we could see people 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 starting to live and work on the Moon in the next decade. 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 However, the Moon is roughly the size of the continent of Africa, 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and we're starting to see that the key resources 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 may be concentrated in small areas 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 near the poles. 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This raises important questions about coordinating access to scarce resources, 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and there are also legitimate questions about going to the Moon: 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 colonialism, cultural heritage, 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and reproducing the systemic inequalities of today's capitalism. 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And more to the point, 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 don't we have enough big challenges here on Earth? 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Internet governance, pandemics, terrorism, 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and, perhaps most importantly, climate crisis and biodiversity loss. 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In some senses, 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the idea of the Moon as just a destination 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 embodies these problematic qualities. 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It conjures a frontier attitude 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of conquest, 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 big rockets and expensive projects, 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 competition and winning. 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But what's most interesting about the Moon 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 isn't the billionaires with their rockets, 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or the same old power struggle between states. 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In fact, it's not the hardware at all. 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's the software. 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's the norms, customs and laws. 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's our social technologies. 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And it's the opportunity to update 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 our democratic institutions 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the rule of law 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to respond to a new era of planetary-scale challenges. 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I'm going to tell you about how the Moon can be a canvass 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for solving some of our biggest challenges here on Earth. 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I've been kind obsessed with this topic 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 since I was a teenager. 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I've spent the last two decades working on international space policy, 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but also on small community projects with bottom-up governance design. 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 When I was 17, 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I went to a UN conference 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on the peaceful uses of outer space in Vienna. 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Over two weeks, 160 young people from over 60 countries 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 were crammed into a big hotel next to the UN building. 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We were invited to make recommendations 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to Member States 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 about the role of space in humanity's future. 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 After the conference, 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 some of us were so inspired 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that we actually decided to keep living together. 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, living with 20 people might sound kind of crazy, 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but over the years it enabled us to create a high-trust group 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that allowed us to experiment with these social technologies. 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We designed governance systems ranging from assigning a CEO 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to using a jury process, 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and as we grew into our careers, 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and we moved from DC think tanks to working for NASA 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to starting our own companies, 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 these experiments enabled us to see 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 how even small groups 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 could be a petri dish 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for important societal questions such as representation, 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 sustainability or opportunity. 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 People often talk about the Moon 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as a petri dish, 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or even a blank slate, 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but because of the legal agreements 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that govern the Moon, 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it actually has something very important in common 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 with our global challenges here on Earth. 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 They both involve issues 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that require us to think beyond territory and borders, 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 meaning the Moon is actually more of a template 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 than a blank slate. 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Signed in 1967, 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the Outer Space Treaty 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is the defining treaty governing activities in outer space, 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 including the Moon, 100 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and it has two key ingredients 101 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that radically alter the basis 102 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on which laws can be constructed. 103 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The first is a requirement for free access to all areas of a celestial body. 104 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And the second is that the Moon and other celestial bodies 105 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 are not subject to national appropriation. 106 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, this is crazy, 107 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because the entire earthly international system -- 108 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the United Nations, 109 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the system of treaties and international agreements, 110 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is built on the idea of state sovereignty, 111 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on the appropriation of land and resources within borders 112 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the autonomy to control free access 113 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 within those borders. 114 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 By doing away with both of these, 115 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we create the conditions for what are called the commons. 116 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Based on the work 117 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of Nobel Prize-winning economist Elinor Ostrom, 118 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 global commons are those resources that we all share, 119 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that require us to work together to manage and protect 120 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 important aspects of our survival and wellbeing, 121 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 like climate or the oceans. 122 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Commons-based approaches 123 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 offer a greenfield for institution design 124 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that's only beginning to be explored 125 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 at the global and interplanetary level. 126 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What do property rights look like, 127 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and how do we manage resources, 128 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when the traditional tools of external authority 129 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and private property don't apply? 130 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Though we don't have all the answers, 131 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 climate, internet governance, authoritarianism, 132 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 these are all deeply existential threats 133 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that we have failed to address with our current ways of thinking. 134 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Successful paths forward will require us to develop new tools. 135 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So how do we incorporate commons-based logic 136 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 into our global and space institutions? 137 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Well, here's one attempt 138 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that came from an unlikely source. 139 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As a young activist in World War II, 140 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Arvid Pardo was arrested for anti-fascist organizing 141 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and held under death sentence by the Gestapo. 142 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 After the war, 143 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 he worked his way into the diplomatic corps, 144 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 eventually becoming 145 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the first permanent representative of Malta to the United Nations. 146 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Pardo saw that international law did not have the tools 147 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to address management of shared global resources, 148 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 such as the high seas. 149 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 He also saw an opportunity to advocate for equitable sharing between nations. 150 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In 1967, Pardo gave a famous speech to the United Nations 151 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 introducing the idea 152 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that the oceans and their resources 153 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 were the "common heritage of mankind." 154 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The phrase was eventually adopted as part of the Law of the Sea Treaty, 155 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 probably the most sophisticated commons management regime 156 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on the planet today. 157 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It was seen as a watershed moment, 158 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 a constitution for the seas. 159 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But the language proved so controversial 160 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that it took over 12 years to gain enough signatures 161 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for the treaty to enter into force, 162 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and some states still refuse to sign it. 163 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The objection was not so much about sharing per se, 164 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but the obligation to share. 165 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 States felt that the principle of equality 166 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 undermined their autonomy 167 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and state sovereignty, 168 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the same autonomy and state sovereignty 169 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that underpins international law. 170 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So in many ways, 171 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the story of the common heritage principle 172 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is a tragedy, 173 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but it's powerful because it makes plain the ways 174 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in which the current world order 175 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will put up antibodies and defenses 176 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and resist attempts at structural reform. 177 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But here's the thing: 178 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the outer space treaty has already made these structural reforms. 179 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 At the height of the Cold War, 180 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 terrified that each would get to the Moon first, 181 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the United States and the USSR 182 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 made the Westphalian equivalent of a deal with the devil. 183 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 By requiring free access and preventing territorial appropriation, 184 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we are required to redesign our most basic institutions 185 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and perhaps in doing so 186 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 learn something new we can apply here on Earth. 187 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So although the Moon might seem a little far away sometimes, 188 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 how we answer basic questions now 189 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will set precedent for who has a seat at the table 190 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and what consent looks like, 191 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and these are questions of social technology, 192 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 not rockets and hardware. 193 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In fact, these conversations are starting to happen right now. 194 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The space community is discussing basic shared agreements 195 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 such as, how do we designate lunar areas as heritage sites? 196 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And how do we get permission for where to land 197 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when traditional external authority 198 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 doesn't apply? 199 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 How do we enforce requirements for coordination 200 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 when it's against the rules to tell people where to go? 201 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And how do we manage access to scarce resources 202 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 such as water, minerals, 203 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or even the peaks of eternal light, 204 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 craters that sit at just the right latitude 205 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to receive near constant exposure to sunlight, and therefore power? 206 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now, some people think that the lack of rules on the Moon 207 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is terrifying. 208 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And there are legitimately some terrifying elements of it. 209 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 If there are no rules on the Moon, 210 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 then won't we end up in a first-come, first-served situation? 211 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And we might, 212 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 if we dismiss this moment. 213 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But not if we're willing to be bold 214 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and to engage the challenge. 215 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As we learned in our communities of self-governance, 216 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it's easier to create something new than trying to dismantle the old. 217 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And where else but the Moon 218 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 can we prototype new institutions at global scale 219 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in a self-contained environment with the exact design constraints needed 220 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 for our biggest challenges here on Earth? 221 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Back in 1999, 222 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the United Nations taught a group of young space geeks 223 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that we could think bigger, 224 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that we could impact nations if we chose to. 225 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Today, the stage is set for the next step, 226 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to envision what comes after 227 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 territory and borders. 228 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Thank you.