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the world we live in is a wash with data
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that comes pouring in from everywhere around us
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on is own this data is just noise and confusion
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to make sense of data
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to find the meaning in this
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we need a powerful brunch of science STATISTICS
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believe me thats nothing boring about
statistics , especially not today when we
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can make the data
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seen
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with statistics we can really make
sense of the world
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and there is more
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with statistics that data deluge as it
been called , is leading us to an ever
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greater understanding
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of life on Earth and the Universe beyond
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and thanks to the incredible power
of today's computers it may
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fundamentally transformed the process of
scientific discovery
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I kid you not
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statistics is now the sexiest subject
around
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Sztokholm, Szwecja
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did you know that there is a one million boats in
Sweden
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thats one boat per nine people
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is the highest number of boats per person in Europe
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Sweden also has .. the most McDonalds per person in Europe
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..... the most computers per person in Europe
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.. the most nuclear reactor per person in Europe
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being a statistician you dont like telling
your profession at dinner parties
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but really
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statistician shouldn't be shy becouse
everyone wants to understand whats going on
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and statystics
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gives us a perspective on the world we
live in that we cant get in any other way
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the average person spends 24 years of their life asleep
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statistics tells us whether the things we think
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and believe are actually true
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most men think theyre better drivers than women
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but they have almost double the fatal accidens per mile driven
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a statystics are far more useful
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than we usually like to admit
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in the last recession I was listen this
famous calling to a talk-radiostation
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the man complain
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in times like this when unemployment raised up to a thirteen percent and income
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is fallen by five percent
and suicide raised up climbing
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I get so angry that the government
is wasting money on things like
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connection of statystics
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Im not officially a statystician
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strictly speaking my field is global
health
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but i got really obsessed with stats
when I realized how much people in
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Sweden just don't know about the
rest of the world
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I started in our medical university Karolinska Instytut
an undergraduate
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course called global health
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these students coming to our section at
the highest grade you can get in the
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swedish college system so i thought
maybe they know everything i'm going to
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teach them about
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so I did the pretest
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when they came and one of the question
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from which I learned a lot was this one: which country has the highest child
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mortality of this five pairs
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I wont put you at the test here
but is Turkey which is highest, there Poland
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Russia,Pakistan and South Africa
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and these were the results of the
swedish students
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one point eight right answer
of the five possible
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that means that there was a place for a
professor of international health
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and for my course
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but one late night when I was compiling
the report I really realised
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my discovery , I have shown that swedish top
students know statisticaly
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significantly less about the world than
the chimpanzees
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because the chimpanzee would score
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half right, if I gave them two bananas
which Sri Lanka or Turkey
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would be right half of the cases
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but the students are not that. I did also
an unethical study of the
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professors of the Karolinska Instytut
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that hands of Nobel Prize in
medicine and they are on par with the
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chimpanzee there
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today there's more information
accessible than ever before
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and I work with my team at the Gapminder Fundation
using new tools
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that help everyone make sense of the
changing world
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we draw all the masses of data thats now
freely available from international
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institutions like the UN and the World Bank
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and its become my mission to share
the insights from this data
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with anyone who listen
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and to reveal
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how statistics is nothing to be frighten
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Im going to provide you a view
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of the global health situation
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across mankind
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and Im going to do that
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in a hopefully enjoyable way
so relax
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so we did this software which displaced it like this
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every bubble here is a country
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this is China
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this is India
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the size of the bubble is the population and
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I done the stage of race here
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between the sort of yellowish Ford here
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and the red Toyota down there
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and the brownish Volvo
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the Toyota has a very bad start down here, and US Ford is going offroad
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back, and the Volvo is doing quite fine
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this is the war, the Toyota got off tracking out to our best country
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coming on to a healthier side of Sweden
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thats it why I sold the Volvo and both the Toyota
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may have been drinking forward when
china phil donahue
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planning by multiple
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diners covered in this endeavor more
student central planning and they were
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dennis one morning it would be looking
at
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united states
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or they broke my frame
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washington blvd phil rachel identified
on the back of the fda_ relating and
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it makes life interesting
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when we come to the usa_
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leaders in
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cars
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there are many here who shared my vision
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public dave accessible in use
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part everyone
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the city of san francisco
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is in the league
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opening upbeat state government every
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even the police department is releasing
olympics crime reports
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is sufficient crime
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turned into a wonderfully attractive man
by two of the city's computer whizzes
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it's communities that these pics
connection
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crime's going as a matter of
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crime reports from the san francisco
police department
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uh... showing young dot sohn maps uh...
for citizens to be able to see patterns
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of crime around their neighborhoods in
san francisco
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the map is not just about individual
crimes but about broader patterns the
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show you where crime is clustered
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around the city which areas of high
crimes which a resume relatively low
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crime
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me
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dates
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don't
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here at the top of
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jones street
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nob hill
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quite nice neighborhood
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put the crime maps jealous is the
relationship between
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topography attempt to crime
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this was a higher up the helpful s
progress
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to the flats
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especially as soon as you get into that
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hello rely areas to demonstrate the
prime just to skyrocket
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we're hearing
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uh... uptown tenderloin district
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is one of the oldest condenses
neighborhoods in san francisco
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this is where you go to buy drugs
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right around here
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dissociate lots of uh... aggravated
assaults lots a lot of thefts
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basically they're huge part of the car
that happens in the
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city happens just by two just viruses
moderates
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k
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can you
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diffused beam him please sirens in your
neighborhood you can use them and to
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find out why
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if you are denied in an unfamiliar part
of town deconcini and that was streets
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to avoid
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if the neighbor gets bergen and you can
see isn't the one off why has there been
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a spike in logan crime
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you can use their neighborhood and a
word about its safety
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the fact that we have the ability to
turn off all the nighttime in the middle
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of the day crimes and show you just the
things that are happening during the
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commute
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is a statistical operation
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but i think to people that are
interacting with the thing it feels very
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much more like they're just sort of
browsing the website or shopping on
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amazon there their looking at data and
they don't realize they're doing
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statistics
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what's most exciting for me
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is that public statistics is making
citizen
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powerful
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and the authorities moral compass
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we have community meetings typically use
a tent
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and what citizens are now doing are
bringing printouts of the maps which
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show where crimes are taking place and
they're demanding services from the
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police department and the police
department is now having to change how
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they police
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how they provide policing services
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highs and the date is showing what is
working and what isn't
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people in san francisco roadster using
public data to max social inequalities
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and see how to improve society
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possibilities parts and
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i think ur dream
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government data analysis project would
really be focused on life information on
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stuff that was being reported and pushed
out of the world over the internet as it
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was happening you know trash pickups
traffic accidents pluses
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through the kind of staffs gathering
power of the internet it's possible to
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really begin to see that the workings of
the city's displayed as a unified in
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advance
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that's why we are heading
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towards the world on fri data for the
former statistical insights that come
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from it
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accessible to everyone
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empowering us as citizens
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electing household dot rulers to walk
home
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along waiting for him as the districts
began
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specter's x art is central to our store
one enter our governments in our society
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it was all rumors out there was stalked
in the collection of statistics in the
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first place the order that wanted to
asked
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in fact wind statistics
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comes from
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misstate
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more than statistics began two centuries
ago
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one think ought to go in and spread and
never stop
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and guess who was fun
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the chinese have confucius
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the italians have done vientiane the
british have shakespeare
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and we have picked up the elected
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the first ever systematic collection of
statistics
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since the year seventeen forty nine we
have collected
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date dot on every
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that it's a bit
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and we are proud of
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the cabin baggage he courted information
from every parish in sweden
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it was you
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quantity of data and it was the first
time antigovernment
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could get an accurate picture on xp
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uh... huh
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the greatest military power in northern
new
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popeye seventeen forty nine always start
with
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and other conference growing stronger
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room armstrong
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for to have twenty million people
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enough to rival the britain and frogs
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de
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party mood swings and that's this
impasse
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analysis of abell back if you need that
sweet land two million inhabitants
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singing and playing what what pollen
decline
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it also had a very small population
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the government was horrified by this
strike what is the enemies
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opted to have been directed towards the
showed that many women died in
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childbirth
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and many children died young
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self-government took action to improve
the health of the people
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this
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is the beginning awards and sweet
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it took more than fifteen years before
the war strings belgians danes dutch
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french germans italians
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playing in the british
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caught up with sweet and in collecting
and using statistics
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it was cool political risks was looking
for reasons useful statistics
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don't skip them much more control
understanding of calls the society house
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working parents developing and
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essentially so they could
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control it
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guest governments who woke up to the
following statistics
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right across your room
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nineteenth-century societies went and
that is perfect
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it
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despite the state's doctor britton
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with its royal statistical sense like a
mom
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with soon statisticians nearby
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i loved looking at old copies of the
rules to cisco such a x's
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full of sorts polled stuff
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deserve wonderful papers in eighteen
forty it's which shows a matter of
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england
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and the rates of boston to uni scanty
and so you can identifier it quickly the
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areas with high rates of blasted
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bikini sangeeta toys next recital off
that norfolk seems to talk to the past
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00:15:28,620 --> 00:15:33,440
decade waiting for tips
260
00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:37,230
one of the founders of the royal
statistical society was the great
261
00:15:37,230 --> 00:15:39,850
victoria mathematician an inventor
262
00:15:39,850 --> 00:15:42,510
charles bandage
263
00:15:42,510 --> 00:15:47,850
in eighteen forty two he read the latest
poll unbiased equally great victorian
264
00:15:47,850 --> 00:15:50,550
and for intensive
265
00:15:50,550 --> 00:15:53,560
vision of the scene contain the lines
266
00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:54,560
feel a cop
267
00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:58,390
and feel like i don't have a rollins
before the morning
268
00:15:58,390 --> 00:16:03,320
every moment dot is a man every moment
one is bold
269
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:05,629
sloppiness that decision was about the
ch
270
00:16:05,629 --> 00:16:09,569
that he could not containing the cell's
he dashed off a letter to tennis on
271
00:16:09,569 --> 00:16:14,260
explaining that the course of population
growth the lines should reach
272
00:16:14,260 --> 00:16:18,910
every moment dot is a man and one under
sixteen is born
273
00:16:18,910 --> 00:16:24,020
and he added that the except finger is
one point zero six seven but something
274
00:16:24,020 --> 00:16:31,020
must be conceded to the north of meat
275
00:16:32,340 --> 00:16:36,000
in the nineteenth century scholars or we
work to do
276
00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:39,300
mason work in mission missile sites
277
00:16:39,300 --> 00:16:43,000
they were holding update almost
everything
278
00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:46,290
but numbers of the dylan ten minutes
279
00:16:46,290 --> 00:16:48,240
you have to animal house
280
00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:54,860
and that's what makes the tasks
281
00:16:54,860 --> 00:17:00,120
you're when the first statisticians
began to get to greet swimming analyzing
282
00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:01,050
the data
283
00:17:01,050 --> 00:17:03,290
pcs upon the average
284
00:17:03,290 --> 00:17:07,720
according to the average of everyone
with
285
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:14,720
that what's so great the bottom have
reached is that you can take a mass
286
00:17:15,150 --> 00:17:22,150
something and use it to the single
numbers and googling
287
00:17:22,390 --> 00:17:28,130
and we trust is unique collected lines
reviews have reduced their content price
288
00:17:28,130 --> 00:17:34,560
for populations
289
00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:38,930
mhm
290
00:17:38,930 --> 00:17:43,860
with unhooked it might have called
newspaper
291
00:17:43,860 --> 00:17:46,400
and short tensioner
292
00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:49,490
exhorting people to fulfill accelerated
293
00:17:49,490 --> 00:17:52,700
crashed her friend against all
294
00:17:52,700 --> 00:17:54,850
devastating hideous
295
00:17:54,850 --> 00:17:56,750
powerful sink
296
00:17:56,750 --> 00:17:59,860
none of the second one
297
00:17:59,860 --> 00:18:04,140
the young man he didn't have a driving
license was driving a car under the
298
00:18:04,140 --> 00:18:08,330
influence of drugs and alcohol
299
00:18:08,330 --> 00:18:10,470
questions that the district
300
00:18:10,470 --> 00:18:12,169
was remarkable
301
00:18:12,169 --> 00:18:14,120
absolutely remarkable
302
00:18:14,120 --> 00:18:15,640
field at the number
303
00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:17,210
the people who die
304
00:18:17,210 --> 00:18:18,760
each year
305
00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:20,180
in traffic crashes
306
00:18:20,180 --> 00:18:24,750
incendiary a constant
307
00:18:24,750 --> 00:18:26,740
all these individual dents
308
00:18:26,740 --> 00:18:28,580
somehow when you some of them all up
309
00:18:28,580 --> 00:18:30,320
stays the same number
310
00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:31,960
every year
311
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:33,230
and every year
312
00:18:33,230 --> 00:18:36,130
two-and-a-half times as many men
313
00:18:36,130 --> 00:18:39,120
traffic crashes since women and it's a
constant
314
00:18:39,120 --> 00:18:40,409
and every year
315
00:18:40,409 --> 00:18:42,970
the rich indulgent estoppel
316
00:18:42,970 --> 00:18:44,730
to reaching into it
317
00:18:44,730 --> 00:18:47,570
that these remarkable regularities
318
00:18:47,570 --> 00:18:49,130
so that
319
00:18:49,130 --> 00:18:51,560
individual particular things
320
00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:57,030
sum up sum up into a social phenomena
321
00:18:57,030 --> 00:18:59,950
let's see what's we then have done the
houston post about
322
00:18:59,950 --> 00:19:03,850
that social programs that's where we
were reminded shift attention a little
323
00:19:03,850 --> 00:19:05,410
bit changing running
324
00:19:05,410 --> 00:19:10,559
and averages from entire country when is
the average income tried mechanically
325
00:19:10,559 --> 00:19:13,390
family size and called the marshall
326
00:19:13,390 --> 00:19:15,010
but they are getting up
327
00:19:15,010 --> 00:19:16,310
billy wright was a bit
328
00:19:16,310 --> 00:19:18,000
singapore advice toddler
329
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:20,659
defeat is the most probably found in the
world
330
00:19:20,659 --> 00:19:24,429
marshall and only played should be a
real if looking at the time for them to
331
00:19:24,429 --> 00:19:28,210
get independent but then they started to
grow the economy and they made a social
332
00:19:28,210 --> 00:19:29,920
investment they caught the wave in the
area
333
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,960
throughout the magnificent help system
that he could help you with this
334
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:39,960
remember never forget what i had nothing
on the
335
00:19:41,530 --> 00:19:42,350
useful
336
00:19:42,350 --> 00:19:49,330
as averages are safe don't tell you the
whole story
337
00:19:49,330 --> 00:19:50,429
on average
338
00:19:50,429 --> 00:19:53,210
swedish people i was like a less than
two x
339
00:19:53,210 --> 00:19:57,360
this is because a few people only have
one leg or no legs
340
00:19:57,360 --> 00:19:58,390
and no one
341
00:19:58,390 --> 00:20:00,260
affiliate
342
00:20:00,260 --> 00:20:02,710
almost everybody in sweden
343
00:20:02,710 --> 00:20:07,020
has more blended average number alexis
344
00:20:07,020 --> 00:20:14,020
variation that guy's yes those important
that the other
345
00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:19,460
but how do you get a handle on millions
346
00:20:19,460 --> 00:20:23,530
for this to transform numbers into
shapes
347
00:20:23,530 --> 00:20:28,760
next look again at the number of adult
women in sweden for heath heights
348
00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:30,659
looking digitizes shade
349
00:20:30,659 --> 00:20:36,810
shows how much they are heights vary
from the average in hawaii blackberries
350
00:20:36,810 --> 00:20:39,220
the shape to set the date that makes its
way
351
00:20:39,220 --> 00:20:41,620
if distribution
352
00:20:41,620 --> 00:20:46,200
this if the income distribution all
shylock nineteen seventy
353
00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:50,179
this is being done here is the jewish
and or the united states nineteen
354
00:20:50,179 --> 00:20:54,190
seventy-eight almost no overlap and what
has happened
355
00:20:54,190 --> 00:20:58,590
china's growing it's not so equal any
longer and he's appearing here
356
00:20:58,590 --> 00:21:01,030
overlooking the united states
357
00:21:01,030 --> 00:21:08,030
almost like a ghost isn't it time
previous get a
358
00:21:17,430 --> 00:21:23,420
physician-assisted slow distribution
systems once she says to himself says
359
00:21:23,420 --> 00:21:26,270
the states
360
00:21:26,270 --> 00:21:29,769
dance card president on the south
estimated
361
00:21:29,769 --> 00:21:32,580
he did the machine that could be a
producer
362
00:21:32,580 --> 00:21:37,390
and he found thinking so many different
sets of nationalist betty mehendi than
363
00:21:37,390 --> 00:21:39,630
normal distribution
364
00:21:39,630 --> 00:21:42,720
sleepless pieces arms
365
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:44,169
non-cancerous
366
00:21:44,169 --> 00:21:46,720
or stephen beard families
367
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:52,370
the normal distribution shaped return
time and time again
368
00:21:52,370 --> 00:21:56,560
under statisticians soon from any on the
regulations
369
00:21:56,560 --> 00:22:02,360
each produced by a particular kind of
natural or social
370
00:22:02,360 --> 00:22:03,940
everest at the station
371
00:22:03,940 --> 00:22:05,780
their favorite
372
00:22:05,780 --> 00:22:10,460
fossil distribution procedure is raised
by favorite distribution texas absolute
373
00:22:10,460 --> 00:22:15,970
crap done
374
00:22:15,970 --> 00:22:20,460
inquest solution a describes how likely
it is that out of the ordinary things
375
00:22:20,460 --> 00:22:25,610
will happen emotional on the muscle what
we know that when everybody gets revises
376
00:22:25,610 --> 00:22:29,640
enough we won't lose again three buses
and gruesome
377
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:34,510
amazingly the partial shade please show
us the probability that in any given our
378
00:22:34,510 --> 00:22:39,860
word when we get four five or six months
is one of us is the time
379
00:22:39,860 --> 00:22:43,900
the exact shape changes pediatrics
380
00:22:43,900 --> 00:22:47,919
but whether it's how many people will
win the lottery check
381
00:22:47,919 --> 00:22:52,740
or how many people in the former cold
symptoms mimic plus one shape we give
382
00:22:52,740 --> 00:22:57,690
the probabilities
383
00:22:57,690 --> 00:23:01,249
the wonderful example but this was
applied to the late nineteenth century
384
00:23:01,249 --> 00:23:05,470
was to can teach she is the number of
prashant offices calorie offices and
385
00:23:05,470 --> 00:23:07,460
kicked to death by the horses
386
00:23:07,460 --> 00:23:11,380
as some use of the nuns and here's the
ones from his too
387
00:23:11,380 --> 00:23:14,120
up to seven i think one ticking died
here
388
00:23:14,120 --> 00:23:19,970
and buttons distribution permanent
bizarre taf crushing cavalry officer
389
00:23:19,970 --> 00:23:21,720
skip taft cases
390
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:25,380
usually obey the constitution
391
00:23:25,380 --> 00:23:32,380
just
392
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:36,530
tests
393
00:23:36,530 --> 00:23:41,780
cert
394
00:23:41,780 --> 00:23:43,460
going
395
00:23:43,460 --> 00:23:47,400
so statisticians use she c you then
396
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:53,320
candidate ability using images of warmth
kinds to communicate statistics to a
397
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:54,789
wider public
398
00:23:54,789 --> 00:23:56,090
because
399
00:23:56,090 --> 00:23:57,980
it's a story in the numbers
400
00:23:57,980 --> 00:24:03,780
he's told by a beautiful and clever
image thank everyone understand
401
00:24:03,780 --> 00:24:06,529
of the pioneers of statistically
graphics
402
00:24:06,529 --> 00:24:13,529
my favorite is florence unlike
403
00:24:22,710 --> 00:24:26,380
tire they're not many people don't
realize it actually she was there was a
404
00:24:26,380 --> 00:24:28,190
passion statistician
405
00:24:28,190 --> 00:24:31,190
and not just of a vehicle out
406
00:24:31,190 --> 00:24:35,270
she said that understand god's thoughts
we must study statistics but these are
407
00:24:35,270 --> 00:24:37,450
the measure of his purpose
408
00:24:37,450 --> 00:24:42,190
it's just it's less river villages
detailer alternative
409
00:24:42,190 --> 00:24:46,380
flashes nine-years-old she started
collecting data heard it was different
410
00:24:46,380 --> 00:24:50,820
fruits and vegetables she felt prelim
into different tables trying to organize
411
00:24:50,820 --> 00:24:55,010
them in some standard for so we have one
of the playing fields first to school
412
00:24:55,010 --> 00:25:02,010
tables at the age of mine
413
00:25:04,860 --> 00:25:08,039
immediately fifties florence nightingale
414
00:25:08,039 --> 00:25:11,850
went to the crime he had to cancel
british cash infusion
415
00:25:11,850 --> 00:25:14,980
she was forty five i want to discuss
416
00:25:14,980 --> 00:25:18,160
these soldiers being blown to bits on
the battlefield
417
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:22,290
there were many many more soldiers dying
from the sees his state court in the
418
00:25:22,290 --> 00:25:25,590
armies filthy hostels
419
00:25:25,590 --> 00:25:29,409
so florence nightingale began compton
content
420
00:25:29,409 --> 00:25:35,730
for two years she recorded mortality
data unique too touristy
421
00:25:35,730 --> 00:25:40,980
it was over she persuaded the government
to set up a royal commission of inquiry
422
00:25:40,980 --> 00:25:45,100
and gathered her dating devastating
report
423
00:25:45,100 --> 00:25:48,269
this amended took place in the
statistically history books
424
00:25:48,269 --> 00:25:50,340
on the graphics shields
425
00:25:50,340 --> 00:25:51,830
and one in particular
426
00:25:51,830 --> 00:25:54,299
the polar area graph
427
00:25:54,299 --> 00:25:56,650
for each month of the war
428
00:25:56,650 --> 00:26:00,360
usually low wage represented the
soldiers who are dying from preventable
429
00:26:00,360 --> 00:26:02,390
disease
430
00:26:02,390 --> 00:26:05,370
much more of a bridges more deaths from
431
00:26:05,370 --> 00:26:07,500
owns and the plaque wages
432
00:26:07,500 --> 00:26:10,990
deaths from accidents and public works
433
00:26:10,990 --> 00:26:13,840
nineteen days graphics mercele cleaner
434
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:14,619
me working
435
00:26:14,619 --> 00:26:17,330
possible treatment
436
00:26:17,330 --> 00:26:20,049
the usual cigarette from start to get
storms just adjust
437
00:26:20,049 --> 00:26:24,530
tables in tables and figures are you've
got to really tedious stocks that unless
438
00:26:24,530 --> 00:26:28,220
you're actually dedicated statisticians
will be quite difficult spot the patents
439
00:26:28,220 --> 00:26:29,250
quite naturally
440
00:26:29,250 --> 00:26:30,840
but an visualizations
441
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:34,710
they tell a story to tell a story
immediately and use of color
442
00:26:34,710 --> 00:26:36,400
and usage schenk
443
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:39,850
you do to really tell a powerful story
and now it is of course we can make
444
00:26:39,850 --> 00:26:41,370
things move as well
445
00:26:41,370 --> 00:26:44,790
for such here would love to have played
with should have been
446
00:26:44,790 --> 00:26:49,590
jews wonderful animation semantics
447
00:26:49,590 --> 00:26:51,380
ru
448
00:26:51,380 --> 00:26:54,149
today a hundred and fifty years old
449
00:26:54,149 --> 00:26:57,959
nightingale is graphics are rightly
regarded as a class in
450
00:26:57,959 --> 00:27:02,109
they lead to a revolution in nursing
health care in hygiene hospitals
451
00:27:02,109 --> 00:27:06,900
worldwide wheat cv innumerable times
that
452
00:27:06,900 --> 00:27:11,640
the statistical graphics has become an
art form where it's a very old learned
453
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:17,180
by deciding to restore passionate about
it is relaxing there
454
00:27:17,180 --> 00:27:19,970
will lure
455
00:27:19,970 --> 00:27:23,169
remember more
456
00:27:23,169 --> 00:27:27,420
in rice's two billion pounds are ground
457
00:27:27,420 --> 00:27:31,100
this image arose frustration with the
reporting of
458
00:27:31,100 --> 00:27:34,480
billion panna medicine a media fire in
japan in pounds for this war
459
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,870
fifty billion pounds this or still
doesn't common sense is known as the two
460
00:27:37,870 --> 00:27:41,270
enormous to get your mind round source
craigslist data from various news
461
00:27:41,270 --> 00:27:43,460
sources in trade the star graham
462
00:27:43,460 --> 00:27:49,050
squares hero scaled according to the
billion pan-am outs
463
00:27:49,050 --> 00:27:51,880
we see numbers visualize like this
464
00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:54,240
the start of a different kind of
relationship with them
465
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:57,029
uh... because of see patterns you see
the scale of them
466
00:27:57,029 --> 00:27:59,710
here at the corner this little square
thirty seven billion
467
00:27:59,710 --> 00:28:03,309
i was the cost projected cost iraq war
in two thousand three
468
00:28:03,309 --> 00:28:05,460
as you can see it's grown exponentially
469
00:28:05,460 --> 00:28:06,589
of the last few years
470
00:28:06,589 --> 00:28:08,309
so the total cost house around about
471
00:28:08,309 --> 00:28:11,210
two thousand five hundred billion
472
00:28:11,210 --> 00:28:14,540
it's funny 'cause when you visualize two
sticks on this you understand them when
473
00:28:14,540 --> 00:28:15,970
you understand them
474
00:28:15,970 --> 00:28:22,970
you can really start puts things into
perspective
475
00:28:24,530 --> 00:28:28,900
we should learn stations right at the
heart of my own walked to
476
00:28:28,900 --> 00:28:31,140
i teach global health
477
00:28:31,140 --> 00:28:33,940
and i know having the data is not enough
478
00:28:33,940 --> 00:28:40,000
i have to show it in ways people both
enjoy and i understand
479
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:44,580
i'm going to try something i've never
done before animating the dating really
480
00:28:44,580 --> 00:28:45,980
stinks
481
00:28:45,980 --> 00:28:50,870
with a bit of technical assistance from
the crew
482
00:28:50,870 --> 00:28:52,500
so here we go
483
00:28:52,500 --> 00:28:54,360
first taxes for help
484
00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:55,940
life expectancy
485
00:28:55,940 --> 00:29:01,620
from twenty-five years seventy-five
years and out here access for work
486
00:29:01,620 --> 00:29:03,159
income per person
487
00:29:03,159 --> 00:29:04,240
four hundred
488
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:07,040
four thousand and forty thousand dollars
489
00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:09,600
so down here
490
00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:10,649
and sick
491
00:29:10,649 --> 00:29:15,580
and cop here is rich and health
492
00:29:15,580 --> 00:29:18,840
i want to show the world two hundred
years ago
493
00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:21,410
in eighteen ten
494
00:29:21,410 --> 00:29:23,000
here come all the countries
495
00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:26,289
you know ground station away hideously
496
00:29:26,289 --> 00:29:29,850
acrobats tells us army or and the
american deal
497
00:29:29,850 --> 00:29:34,179
and the soyuz over the country bubble
soulless eyes of the population
498
00:29:34,179 --> 00:29:38,760
and eighteen ten it is pretty crowded
down there wasn't it congress were
499
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:42,539
sickened pork life expectancy will be
lost
500
00:29:42,539 --> 00:29:47,460
in oregon please everyting you kate and
then the lance was like it better off
501
00:29:47,460 --> 00:29:48,799
not much
502
00:29:48,799 --> 00:29:49,720
and now
503
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,920
wise dot the world
504
00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:57,410
industrial revolution makes companies in
europe and elsewhere
505
00:29:57,410 --> 00:29:59,210
move away from the rest
506
00:29:59,210 --> 00:30:04,049
apologize countries in asia and africa
best backed down there
507
00:30:04,049 --> 00:30:08,540
and eventually the western countries get
healthier and healthier
508
00:30:08,540 --> 00:30:14,430
and now we slow down to show the impact
on the first world war and the spanish
509
00:30:14,430 --> 00:30:15,850
flu epidemic
510
00:30:15,850 --> 00:30:18,549
what does it
511
00:30:18,549 --> 00:30:22,990
and now i speed up through the nineteen
twenties and the nineteen thirties and
512
00:30:22,990 --> 00:30:26,910
in spite of the great depression was to
come visit for john doe was greater
513
00:30:26,910 --> 00:30:32,510
wealth and helped and some others try to
follow but most interesting down here
514
00:30:32,510 --> 00:30:37,340
up often the tragedies of the second
world war we stop a bit to look at the
515
00:30:37,340 --> 00:30:39,670
world in nineteen forty eight
516
00:30:39,670 --> 00:30:42,200
nineteen forty eight was a great year
517
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:43,610
the war was over
518
00:30:43,610 --> 00:30:48,080
sweden topped the metal table at the
winter olympics and i was born
519
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:49,480
buffet differences
520
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:53,019
between the congress of the world was
wider than ever
521
00:30:53,019 --> 00:30:57,140
united states was in the frog japan was
catching up
522
00:30:57,140 --> 00:31:02,030
brazil is way behind iran was getting a
little richard from lloyd but still had
523
00:31:02,030 --> 00:31:03,080
short life
524
00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:05,509
and dictation giants
525
00:31:05,509 --> 00:31:09,759
china india pakistan bangladesh in
indonesia and they were still poor
526
00:31:09,759 --> 00:31:11,190
instinct on here
527
00:31:11,190 --> 00:31:12,999
but he'll play is about to happen
528
00:31:12,999 --> 00:31:14,320
gila delegate
529
00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:18,840
in my lifetime former colonies gained
independence and then finally they
530
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:23,620
starting to get healthier and healthy it
and healthier and in the nineteen
531
00:31:23,620 --> 00:31:24,510
seventies
532
00:31:24,510 --> 00:31:28,060
then countries indication that the
american student of catch up with the
533
00:31:28,060 --> 00:31:30,080
western countries the meeting with me
534
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:34,509
emerging economies sunny method of
follows some african rostock in civil
535
00:31:34,509 --> 00:31:39,830
war and i was hit by a charity and now
we can see the wall today in the most
536
00:31:39,830 --> 00:31:43,340
up-to-date statistics
537
00:31:43,340 --> 00:31:45,980
most people today in the mid
538
00:31:45,980 --> 00:31:48,919
but then you should get friends at the
same time between them
539
00:31:48,919 --> 00:31:51,630
best of congress and the worst of cuts
540
00:31:51,630 --> 00:31:52,390
and i will say
541
00:31:52,390 --> 00:31:54,800
lives in the qualities with the income
542
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:58,610
these problems shel country average s
but i just think that
543
00:31:58,610 --> 00:32:02,420
they china i can split it into provinces
544
00:32:02,420 --> 00:32:05,500
bearing goes shanghai
545
00:32:05,500 --> 00:32:11,370
it is the same boat as it related and a
interpol reliant on those white show it
546
00:32:11,370 --> 00:32:12,759
is like pakistan
547
00:32:12,759 --> 00:32:15,200
any text picket fence
548
00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:19,860
the rural parts are like calling africa
549
00:32:19,860 --> 00:32:21,070
and yet
550
00:32:21,070 --> 00:32:25,360
despite the enormous disparities to date
we have seen two hundred years of
551
00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:27,420
remarkable progress
552
00:32:27,420 --> 00:32:31,890
that's a huge historical gap between the
west and the rest is not closed eight
553
00:32:31,890 --> 00:32:35,860
we have become an entirely new
converging world
554
00:32:35,860 --> 00:32:39,580
and i see it clearly friend into the
future we can you need to treat a green
555
00:32:39,580 --> 00:32:44,410
technology and bs its full impossible
that everyone can make it to the healthy
556
00:32:44,410 --> 00:32:48,550
wealthy corner
557
00:32:48,550 --> 00:32:50,120
wenjie dot c
558
00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:53,929
for the last few minutes is a story of
two hundred congress
559
00:32:53,929 --> 00:32:56,610
showing over two hundred years and
beyond
560
00:32:56,610 --> 00:32:58,450
it involve plotting on
561
00:32:58,450 --> 00:33:01,340
one hundred and twenty thousand numbers
562
00:33:01,340 --> 00:33:08,139
pretty neat
563
00:33:08,139 --> 00:33:09,149
so
564
00:33:09,149 --> 00:33:13,450
with statistics we can begin to see
things as they really are
565
00:33:13,450 --> 00:33:17,290
from tables update dental and reduce
these tributions and issuing this
566
00:33:17,290 --> 00:33:23,330
nation's statistics gives us a clear
description of the world
567
00:33:23,330 --> 00:33:28,630
athletes distinctly cannot only
discovered much is happening
568
00:33:28,630 --> 00:33:35,630
bottles explore why by using the
powerful analytical method correlation
569
00:33:35,679 --> 00:33:38,429
just looking at one thing at the time is
intended for
570
00:33:38,429 --> 00:33:42,150
you've got to look at the relationships
between finance has a chance to have a
571
00:33:42,150 --> 00:33:43,380
very together
572
00:33:43,380 --> 00:33:46,590
in that sport correlation is a pack and
that's why i stopped trying to
573
00:33:46,590 --> 00:33:52,940
understand to crysis is that they're
really going on in the world in society
574
00:33:52,940 --> 00:33:57,240
most of us today would recognize that
crying correlates to poverty
575
00:33:57,240 --> 00:34:00,340
that infection correlates to poor
sanitation
576
00:34:00,340 --> 00:34:06,810
and that knowledge of statistics
correlates to being great at balancing
577
00:34:06,810 --> 00:34:10,589
relations can be very pretty
578
00:34:10,589 --> 00:34:13,149
i got a joke about silly correlations
579
00:34:13,149 --> 00:34:15,820
that was that the american i was afraid
of a heart attack
580
00:34:15,820 --> 00:34:18,969
and he found out that the japanese
581
00:34:18,969 --> 00:34:23,019
the marriage of fat
582
00:34:23,019 --> 00:34:25,509
action this heart attacks than the
american
583
00:34:25,509 --> 00:34:26,670
but on the other hand
584
00:34:26,670 --> 00:34:28,789
also follow up with a friend
585
00:34:28,789 --> 00:34:32,829
eat as much practically americans and
they want to know why
586
00:34:32,829 --> 00:34:39,829
also and less artifacts
587
00:34:41,889 --> 00:34:45,339
this next round of the lead
groundbreaking coronation
588
00:34:45,339 --> 00:34:48,970
is the link that was established in the
nineteen fifties between smoking and
589
00:34:48,970 --> 00:34:51,299
lung cancer
590
00:34:51,299 --> 00:34:53,689
notlong after the second world war
591
00:34:53,689 --> 00:34:55,969
a british doctors reach abroad
592
00:34:55,969 --> 00:34:59,969
investigated lung cancer patient in
twenty long on hospitals
593
00:34:59,969 --> 00:35:04,349
and he became system that the only thing
they have in common with smoking
594
00:35:04,349 --> 00:35:05,500
so certain
595
00:35:05,500 --> 00:35:07,489
she stopped smoking inside
596
00:35:07,489 --> 00:35:08,789
on the page
597
00:35:08,789 --> 00:35:11,449
runs social
598
00:35:11,449 --> 00:35:14,499
moderates a discussion of the early days
just
599
00:35:14,499 --> 00:35:18,489
linking smoking to lung cancer
simplicial smoking shortly that thing
600
00:35:18,489 --> 00:35:21,849
that we've come about life's account be
bad for you
601
00:35:21,849 --> 00:35:24,009
maybe it's jeans
602
00:35:24,009 --> 00:35:28,450
maybe people would genetically
predisposed to get lung cancer are also
603
00:35:28,450 --> 00:35:33,119
genetically predisposed to smoke
604
00:35:33,119 --> 00:35:36,649
maybe it's not the smoking maybe its air
pollution
605
00:35:36,649 --> 00:35:41,809
that smokers are somehow more exposed to
air pollution non-smokers
606
00:35:41,809 --> 00:35:43,149
maybe it's not
607
00:35:43,149 --> 00:35:45,289
smoking maybe it's public
608
00:35:45,289 --> 00:35:51,769
so now we've got three alternate
explanations apart from chance
609
00:35:51,769 --> 00:35:53,589
parties coronation
610
00:35:53,589 --> 00:35:58,300
digging flight cause-and-effect returned
on created the biggest existed to study
611
00:35:58,300 --> 00:35:59,969
of smoking thing
612
00:35:59,969 --> 00:36:03,719
he began cracking the life some forty
thousand british dot
613
00:36:03,719 --> 00:36:06,910
some of whom smoke and some of whom did
614
00:36:06,910 --> 00:36:09,869
and get this enough data to acquire
anything in mind
615
00:36:09,869 --> 00:36:14,189
if the doctor smoke within likelihood of
getting cancer
616
00:36:14,189 --> 00:36:18,229
eventually he not only showed a
correlation between smoking and lung
617
00:36:18,229 --> 00:36:23,299
cancer platforms to a correlation
between stopping smoking and reducing
618
00:36:23,299 --> 00:36:24,479
the risk
619
00:36:24,479 --> 00:36:28,679
this messiahs at its best
620
00:36:28,679 --> 00:36:31,449
what correlations do not replace
621
00:36:31,449 --> 00:36:32,999
he's human sort
622
00:36:32,999 --> 00:36:35,869
good think about what it means
623
00:36:35,869 --> 00:36:40,079
knew what a good scientist has if he
comes up with the correlation
624
00:36:40,079 --> 00:36:40,859
ease
625
00:36:40,859 --> 00:36:45,399
try as hard as she or he possibly can to
disprove it
626
00:36:45,399 --> 00:36:47,489
to break it down to get rid of it
627
00:36:47,489 --> 00:36:49,079
to try and refute it
628
00:36:49,079 --> 00:36:53,459
and if it was stones all those efforts
629
00:36:53,459 --> 00:36:56,439
demolishing it and it's still standing
out
630
00:36:56,439 --> 00:37:00,719
then cautiously say weary might have
something here
631
00:37:00,719 --> 00:37:03,209
bernard
632
00:37:03,209 --> 00:37:05,699
bed
633
00:37:05,699 --> 00:37:08,639
benetton
634
00:37:08,639 --> 00:37:13,919
character
635
00:37:13,919 --> 00:37:16,739
ho
636
00:37:16,739 --> 00:37:22,049
henry lee and the scientist date that is
to be able to jim and finance
637
00:37:22,049 --> 00:37:26,659
the good news is that the more we had
the more correlations will find the more
638
00:37:26,659 --> 00:37:28,399
theories will test
639
00:37:28,399 --> 00:37:35,399
and the more discoveries that we are
likely to make
640
00:37:35,569 --> 00:37:40,920
and history shows park total sum of the
information bruising usually keeps as we
641
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:43,389
develop new technologies
642
00:37:43,389 --> 00:37:47,469
the mention of the printing press kicked
off the first day an information
643
00:37:47,469 --> 00:37:49,199
explosion
644
00:37:49,199 --> 00:37:53,089
he complained about the glove the books
that i mean print by the year is
645
00:37:53,089 --> 00:37:55,339
seventeen hundred
646
00:37:55,339 --> 00:38:02,299
didn't make six this tax each as high is
montane forest
647
00:38:02,299 --> 00:38:05,070
then starting in the nineteenth century
648
00:38:05,070 --> 00:38:07,720
they came a second information
revolution
649
00:38:07,720 --> 00:38:11,509
with the telegraph gramophone and can
later
650
00:38:11,509 --> 00:38:13,509
radio and tv
651
00:38:13,509 --> 00:38:17,119
to obtain long-term information exploded
652
00:38:17,119 --> 00:38:20,839
them by the nineteen fifties the
information available to us all
653
00:38:20,839 --> 00:38:25,509
had multiplied six thousand pints
654
00:38:25,509 --> 00:38:30,279
thanks to the computer linked to the
independently went digital
655
00:38:30,279 --> 00:38:37,279
mainland of belize we have now he's
wanting mentioned the
656
00:38:39,359 --> 00:38:44,409
seemed a little denoble politically than
right
657
00:38:44,409 --> 00:38:51,249
printed page pete wilson killed by
658
00:38:51,249 --> 00:38:53,390
five megabytes enough of it
659
00:38:53,390 --> 00:38:57,420
people aren't insured
660
00:38:57,420 --> 00:38:58,950
pending dot lights
661
00:38:58,950 --> 00:39:05,929
that's a dvd movies
662
00:39:05,929 --> 00:39:10,409
to metabolize is himself millions off of
things
663
00:39:10,409 --> 00:39:14,739
faceplate everyday
664
00:39:14,739 --> 00:39:20,119
stoplights is the data recorder every
second by the world's largest particle
665
00:39:20,119 --> 00:39:25,119
accelerator so much higher tiny
fractions
666
00:39:25,119 --> 00:39:26,879
six exabytes
667
00:39:26,879 --> 00:39:33,879
is what you have secrecy
668
00:39:37,749 --> 00:39:39,529
but we had that's not good
669
00:39:39,529 --> 00:39:44,499
in two thousand nine the internet added
up to five hundred except and in two
670
00:39:44,499 --> 00:39:47,559
thousand to in yes the here
671
00:39:47,559 --> 00:39:54,559
stepping down to more than what is it
that way
672
00:39:55,299 --> 00:39:56,939
back in the world
673
00:39:56,939 --> 00:39:59,919
here to tell all this data into print
674
00:39:59,919 --> 00:40:02,610
it would make ninety stacks of both
675
00:40:02,610 --> 00:40:08,069
sandy treat you from here and all the
way you do this
676
00:40:08,069 --> 00:40:10,949
dazed and then you just answering
677
00:40:10,949 --> 00:40:17,509
with today's computers and statistics
i'm confident we can handle it
678
00:40:17,509 --> 00:40:21,819
when it comes to on the date on the
internet powerhouse of statistical
679
00:40:21,819 --> 00:40:28,819
analysis is the silicon valley giant
680
00:40:33,399 --> 00:40:37,659
the average person over their lifetime
is exposed to about a hundred million
681
00:40:37,659 --> 00:40:43,209
words conversation so if you multiply
that by the six billion people on the
682
00:40:43,209 --> 00:40:44,450
planet data
683
00:40:44,450 --> 00:40:48,300
brown words about the world to the
number of words that will has available
684
00:40:48,300 --> 00:40:51,899
to that he wants to talk
685
00:40:51,899 --> 00:40:54,059
whose computers happen
686
00:40:54,059 --> 00:40:58,749
finally every document webpage in image
they can find
687
00:40:58,749 --> 00:41:04,639
fagan hunt for patents and correlations
in all this date dot doing statistics on
688
00:41:04,639 --> 00:41:06,669
them that sixty
689
00:41:06,669 --> 00:41:07,749
and for me
690
00:41:07,749 --> 00:41:12,499
will be has one project that the
particular excite statistical language
691
00:41:12,499 --> 00:41:14,869
translation
692
00:41:14,869 --> 00:41:19,819
who wanted to provide access to all the
winds information matter what languages
693
00:41:19,819 --> 00:41:22,540
there's just so much information on the
internet you can help
694
00:41:22,540 --> 00:41:27,710
to translate it all bike and into every
possible language we figured we'd have
695
00:41:27,710 --> 00:41:32,989
to be able to do machine translation
696
00:41:32,989 --> 00:41:37,249
in the past program has tried to teach
their computers to free speech language
697
00:41:37,249 --> 00:41:39,689
as the system dramatically lose
698
00:41:39,689 --> 00:41:42,819
much like the women which is much more
difficult
699
00:41:42,819 --> 00:41:44,219
his feet in front
700
00:41:44,219 --> 00:41:48,880
because no one set the rules to cash in
online which informix subtlety in
701
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:51,169
ambiguity
702
00:41:51,169 --> 00:41:53,019
having eaten hot lunch
703
00:41:53,019 --> 00:41:55,169
because depart
704
00:41:55,169 --> 00:41:57,069
well that's all this weekend correct
705
00:41:57,069 --> 00:42:01,279
written like that it would imply that
the coach has eaten lunch
706
00:42:01,279 --> 00:42:04,309
it will be far letters
707
00:42:04,309 --> 00:42:06,279
having eating my lunch
708
00:42:06,279 --> 00:42:09,249
we departed in the collection
709
00:42:09,249 --> 00:42:10,480
those rules are helpful
710
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:14,440
and they are are useful most the time
but they don't turn out that the true
711
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:18,809
all the time ten the insight using
statistical machine translation
712
00:42:18,809 --> 00:42:23,059
is saying wealthy gotta have all these
exceptions anyways maybe you can get by
713
00:42:23,059 --> 00:42:27,309
without having its wheels maybe he can
treat everything as an exception nasa
714
00:42:27,309 --> 00:42:34,309
says we want to
715
00:42:37,899 --> 00:42:41,759
but the computer is doing when when he's
learning how to translate is too low
716
00:42:41,759 --> 00:42:47,149
in correlations between boats and
correlations between phrases so we'd be
717
00:42:47,149 --> 00:42:50,239
we feed this system very large amounts
of data
718
00:42:50,239 --> 00:42:53,969
and then the system is seeing that uh...
certain good research the phrase
719
00:42:53,969 --> 00:42:58,739
correlates very often to the other
language
720
00:42:58,739 --> 00:43:00,069
websites
721
00:43:00,069 --> 00:43:04,909
parents office translation between in
your fifty seven different languages
722
00:43:04,909 --> 00:43:09,509
it does this purely a statistically
having correlated the huge collection of
723
00:43:09,509 --> 00:43:12,479
multilingual texans
724
00:43:12,479 --> 00:43:16,139
the people to build the system don't
need to know chinese in order to the
725
00:43:16,139 --> 00:43:19,719
chinese strings just a little beaten
noah rebekah but the expertise that's
726
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:23,519
needed is basically knowledge of
statistics knowledge of computer science
727
00:43:23,519 --> 00:43:27,700
that knowledge of infrastructure to bolt
those very large computational systems
728
00:43:27,700 --> 00:43:29,999
that we are building for doing that
729
00:43:29,999 --> 00:43:33,729
okay so then i'm going to invite yahoo
com political good from my office in
730
00:43:33,729 --> 00:43:34,699
stockholm
731
00:43:34,699 --> 00:43:40,869
to try the translator for myself
732
00:43:40,869 --> 00:43:44,199
okay
733
00:43:44,199 --> 00:43:46,329
linden
734
00:43:46,329 --> 00:43:49,839
or
735
00:43:49,839 --> 00:43:54,319
located so it says remains finance
ministers appointed
736
00:43:54,319 --> 00:43:56,609
and a gold ring in your your
737
00:43:56,609 --> 00:44:03,609
so here's the problem is that if you're
a cash
738
00:44:06,199 --> 00:44:09,029
rockport fat cats
739
00:44:09,029 --> 00:44:12,910
starts
740
00:44:12,910 --> 00:44:14,489
from school
741
00:44:14,489 --> 00:44:15,689
na
742
00:44:15,689 --> 00:44:18,259
these corp
743
00:44:18,259 --> 00:44:22,479
and his same sex partnerships as
stockholm snoopy shop and his partners
744
00:44:22,479 --> 00:44:25,029
three-years-old
745
00:44:25,029 --> 00:44:27,029
hume
746
00:44:27,029 --> 00:44:28,700
expire
747
00:44:28,700 --> 00:44:30,769
except after bachchan
748
00:44:30,769 --> 00:44:35,930
okay so so that's uh... those kinds of
riches and her one of the challenges in
749
00:44:35,930 --> 00:44:39,829
in translation to be really does
frighten theater kathleen sharp slide
750
00:44:39,829 --> 00:44:42,529
you excuse me
751
00:44:42,529 --> 00:44:45,389
causing more often than not it would
probably be it is
752
00:44:45,389 --> 00:44:46,259
crack
753
00:44:46,259 --> 00:44:51,399
or the fact that madison i do you do you
do it would be all that and wallet dot
754
00:44:51,399 --> 00:44:55,429
oc oxford
755
00:44:55,429 --> 00:44:59,859
cream when sweeney's taking part in a
pickle it's not to win but to be below
756
00:44:59,859 --> 00:45:00,839
which
757
00:45:00,839 --> 00:45:04,889
that yes the
758
00:45:04,889 --> 00:45:06,849
cartwright
759
00:45:06,849 --> 00:45:09,819
uh... drug-related
760
00:45:09,819 --> 00:45:10,509
xd
761
00:45:10,509 --> 00:45:11,589
atpase
762
00:45:11,589 --> 00:45:13,679
i don't
763
00:45:13,679 --> 00:45:14,639
aspect
764
00:45:14,639 --> 00:45:16,739
apart by fax
765
00:45:16,739 --> 00:45:19,939
partnerships chuck
766
00:45:19,939 --> 00:45:21,450
controlled lead real good
767
00:45:21,450 --> 00:45:25,789
but if they succeed with what's next
that'll be a remarkable
768
00:45:25,789 --> 00:45:29,839
one other exciting possibilities is
combining machine translation technology
769
00:45:29,839 --> 00:45:31,739
with the speech recognition technology
770
00:45:31,739 --> 00:45:35,359
now both of these are statistical in
nature them
771
00:45:35,359 --> 00:45:38,089
machine translation relies on the
statistics
772
00:45:38,089 --> 00:45:40,379
of mapping from one language to another
773
00:45:40,379 --> 00:45:44,689
personally speech recognition relies on
the statistics of matt mapping from a
774
00:45:44,689 --> 00:45:47,419
sound form to the words
775
00:45:47,419 --> 00:45:48,849
when we put them together
776
00:45:48,849 --> 00:45:53,089
now we have the capability of having
instant conversation between two people
777
00:45:53,089 --> 00:45:57,759
that don't speak a common lecture that
uh... i can talk to you in my language
778
00:45:57,759 --> 00:46:02,699
you hear me in your language and you can
answer back and in real time you can
779
00:46:02,699 --> 00:46:04,259
make that translation
780
00:46:04,259 --> 00:46:11,259
can bring to get people together and
allow them to speak
781
00:46:20,809 --> 00:46:24,540
the intimate is just one how many
technologies
782
00:46:24,540 --> 00:46:28,339
created together massive amounts of data
783
00:46:28,339 --> 00:46:32,619
scientists studying our send our
environment
784
00:46:32,619 --> 00:46:38,189
now use and implantable ancients
instruments to mention the processes up
785
00:46:38,189 --> 00:46:42,179
our plans
786
00:46:42,179 --> 00:46:49,179
all around us are sensors continuously
measuring temperature water flow
787
00:46:49,629 --> 00:46:55,219
and high in order to our satellites busy
engaging cloud formations forest growth
788
00:46:55,219 --> 00:46:56,729
and snow cover
789
00:46:56,729 --> 00:47:01,339
scientists beacons instrument in the
uh...
790
00:47:01,339 --> 00:47:02,649
not
791
00:47:02,649 --> 00:47:07,939
and pointing up to the skies above are
powerful new telescopes connecting the
792
00:47:07,939 --> 00:47:14,939
universe
793
00:47:19,389 --> 00:47:21,570
what's happening in last commonly
794
00:47:21,570 --> 00:47:28,570
east difficult how profoundly different
torrent update dot is transforming side
795
00:47:29,059 --> 00:47:34,319
astronomers on our interesting man in
june mysteries of the cost must
796
00:47:34,319 --> 00:47:36,999
compliance peacekeeping net
797
00:47:36,999 --> 00:47:43,999
all these new delhi
798
00:47:49,259 --> 00:47:52,329
because he's a very big place things got
billions of stars in it
799
00:47:52,329 --> 00:47:56,559
and so to put together a coherent
picture of the whole galaxy requires
800
00:47:56,559 --> 00:47:58,569
cutting enormous amount of data
801
00:47:58,569 --> 00:48:02,669
and before you could you afford sky
survey with sensitive diesel detectors
802
00:48:02,669 --> 00:48:07,009
that meant that you could matt many many
stars all once is very difficult to
803
00:48:07,009 --> 00:48:14,009
build up enough data on the for the past
804
00:48:14,049 --> 00:48:19,170
in the past launch surveys of the night
sky had to be done by exposing thousands
805
00:48:19,170 --> 00:48:21,509
of large photographic dates
806
00:48:21,509 --> 00:48:28,509
off these thirties scoop takes twenty
five years or more to compete
807
00:48:28,799 --> 00:48:33,469
then in the nineteen nineties came
digital a strong
808
00:48:33,469 --> 00:48:38,979
region increasing both moms and the
accessibility affairs
809
00:48:38,979 --> 00:48:43,019
the slow in the sky survey is the
world's biggest yes
810
00:48:43,019 --> 00:48:47,889
using a massive digital sensor mounted
on the back of a custom-built
811
00:48:47,889 --> 00:48:50,119
telescoping new mexico
812
00:48:50,119 --> 00:48:54,280
it stand the sky indictments tonight
forty two years
813
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:58,979
building up a complicit picture in
unprecedented resolutions
814
00:48:58,979 --> 00:49:03,459
sort of some of the best steepest survey
data that we have in stock
815
00:49:03,459 --> 00:49:10,459
those on our own galaxy anand until he
sees further away from us
816
00:49:13,359 --> 00:49:16,429
school the slow moving test is on the
internet
817
00:49:16,429 --> 00:49:22,029
and we did astronomers have identifying
millions of users to unknown stars and
818
00:49:22,029 --> 00:49:23,289
galaxies
819
00:49:23,289 --> 00:49:25,520
you want to call on the fifteenth of
these
820
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:32,089
for statistical actions which we proved
disprove or even suggested new theories
821
00:49:32,089 --> 00:49:37,049
so we have decided it galaxies grounding
becomes florence county cities like the
822
00:49:37,049 --> 00:49:38,879
one we live in a teammate
823
00:49:38,879 --> 00:49:44,329
uh... not all at once we're not smoothly
specter five continuously
824
00:49:44,329 --> 00:49:46,629
incorporating beasley cannibalizing
825
00:49:46,629 --> 00:49:50,499
of smaller galaxies be dissolved and
then they become part of under the
826
00:49:50,499 --> 00:49:55,469
guidance systems
827
00:49:55,469 --> 00:50:01,689
is a startling idea and you still need
to is the evidence to support
828
00:50:01,689 --> 00:50:06,469
groups of stars that came from
cannibalized galaxies stunned often
829
00:50:06,469 --> 00:50:07,799
assume they kept
830
00:50:07,799 --> 00:50:13,479
artistically different prabhat the stars
because they move acted different
831
00:50:13,479 --> 00:50:15,219
each day despite
832
00:50:15,219 --> 00:50:17,719
when one of these distribution graphs
833
00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:19,490
means professional policy
834
00:50:19,490 --> 00:50:24,459
has found a group of stars or travelling
in a different way to the list
835
00:50:24,459 --> 00:50:29,689
error that tell-tale patterns she's
looking for
836
00:50:29,689 --> 00:50:32,039
the evidence is accumulating
837
00:50:32,039 --> 00:50:36,449
uh... this really is how galaxies girl
born in portland int l tells his ground
838
00:50:36,449 --> 00:50:40,349
and so this is an important part of of
understanding how galaxies form not only
839
00:50:40,349 --> 00:50:45,679
are posted every gals
840
00:50:45,679 --> 00:50:49,449
more database the more discoveries can
be made
841
00:50:49,449 --> 00:50:52,390
and the technology is getting better all
the
842
00:50:52,390 --> 00:50:56,549
the next big survey telescope starts at
seventeen twenty fifty
843
00:50:56,549 --> 00:50:59,939
do you still need docs
844
00:50:59,939 --> 00:51:06,939
slowed mistaken eighty years still
covered one quarter of the night sky
845
00:51:06,989 --> 00:51:08,250
the new tenants
846
00:51:08,250 --> 00:51:10,899
with gandhi and tires scott
847
00:51:10,899 --> 00:51:12,909
in even greater to resolution
848
00:51:12,909 --> 00:51:19,909
every three days
849
00:51:23,589 --> 00:51:26,559
the foster mom something still we have
today
850
00:51:26,559 --> 00:51:30,389
allows researchers inform sorts of
fields
851
00:51:30,389 --> 00:51:33,150
test this theory is on the previously i
mean
852
00:51:33,150 --> 00:51:35,619
mentioned in this case
853
00:51:35,619 --> 00:51:39,150
but more than this it's many even change
that
854
00:51:39,150 --> 00:51:42,639
condiment in ways insist
855
00:51:42,639 --> 00:51:45,350
with the power of today's computers up
856
00:51:45,350 --> 00:51:47,659
plied to all these things too
857
00:51:47,659 --> 00:51:54,659
and she was might even able to try to
convince
858
00:52:04,130 --> 00:52:05,840
potentially profoundly in
859
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:06,799
portant
860
00:52:06,799 --> 00:52:10,169
potential and the significance
861
00:52:10,169 --> 00:52:13,279
princeton science person even the most
exciting
862
00:52:13,279 --> 00:52:14,979
waste
863
00:52:14,979 --> 00:52:19,329
the potential to transform officer
powell scientist do science but even
864
00:52:19,329 --> 00:52:23,989
more sciences possible on what will come
with a constellation court
865
00:52:23,989 --> 00:52:28,049
both house and she's done for the war
science as possible discreetly
866
00:52:28,049 --> 00:52:31,939
compensation
867
00:52:31,939 --> 00:52:36,609
many of the dynamics of the natural
world nike interplay between the rain
868
00:52:36,609 --> 00:52:41,109
forest and the atmosphere are still
complex but we don't answer the agreed
869
00:52:41,109 --> 00:52:42,769
on the staff
870
00:52:42,769 --> 00:52:47,299
now computers are generating literally
tens of thousands of different
871
00:52:47,299 --> 00:52:53,349
simulations the hoa fees biological
systems might work dislike creating
872
00:52:53,349 --> 00:52:58,579
thousands of a hypothetical part of the
world's each and every one of the
873
00:52:58,579 --> 00:53:04,249
simulations his analyzed with statistics
to see if any part of good match will
874
00:53:04,249 --> 00:53:07,209
report is observed in nature
875
00:53:07,209 --> 00:53:11,059
the computers can now put domestic
degenerate
876
00:53:11,059 --> 00:53:13,059
and discard hypothesis
877
00:53:13,059 --> 00:53:17,679
with scarcely humans
878
00:53:17,679 --> 00:53:21,799
east new application six six
879
00:53:21,799 --> 00:53:24,409
often divided for future science
880
00:53:24,409 --> 00:53:26,279
is creating a new
881
00:53:26,279 --> 00:53:28,709
paradigm if you like
882
00:53:28,709 --> 00:53:31,889
in science midway between conducive
names
883
00:53:31,889 --> 00:53:34,599
which is increasingly
884
00:53:34,599 --> 00:53:37,509
between my country rises
885
00:53:37,509 --> 00:53:40,219
data centric or data driven
886
00:53:40,219 --> 00:53:41,190
ryland being
887
00:53:41,190 --> 00:53:43,979
hypothesis driven or experiment retreat
888
00:53:43,979 --> 00:53:47,960
so is exciting times in terms of the
science in terms of that
889
00:53:47,960 --> 00:53:49,829
computations
890
00:53:49,829 --> 00:53:56,829
and in terms of the statistics
891
00:53:58,319 --> 00:54:02,069
now we thought that sounds a bit
abstract inferior to continue
892
00:54:02,069 --> 00:54:04,719
how about one final frontier
893
00:54:04,719 --> 00:54:10,609
good statistics even make sense of your
feelings
894
00:54:10,609 --> 00:54:11,859
in california
895
00:54:11,859 --> 00:54:17,179
wariness one computer scientist is
harvesting the internet to try to do you
896
00:54:17,179 --> 00:54:24,179
find the patterns alvaro innermost
thoughts and emotions
897
00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:36,620
well this is the madness with madison
898
00:54:36,620 --> 00:54:40,259
represents a skyscraper views the world
899
00:54:40,259 --> 00:54:42,060
each of these brightly colored dots
900
00:54:42,060 --> 00:54:43,979
is an individual feelings
901
00:54:43,979 --> 00:54:45,779
expressed by someone out there
902
00:54:45,779 --> 00:54:47,989
blog artery
903
00:54:47,989 --> 00:54:50,630
and when you click on a diet explodes
904
00:54:50,630 --> 00:54:53,779
to have revealed the underlying feelings
doctors
905
00:54:53,779 --> 00:54:56,910
this is what people say they're feeling
906
00:54:56,910 --> 00:55:01,319
batter
907
00:55:01,319 --> 00:55:08,319
well
908
00:55:14,989 --> 00:55:18,230
so every minute we feel fine calls the
world's blogs
909
00:55:18,230 --> 00:55:22,399
case all the sentences that start with
the words aren't feeling feel
910
00:55:22,399 --> 00:55:25,229
interest them in the database
911
00:55:25,229 --> 00:55:27,009
we collect all the feelings
912
00:55:27,009 --> 00:55:29,199
and week at the most common
913
00:55:29,199 --> 00:55:36,199
they're better
914
00:55:37,819 --> 00:55:39,359
the same
915
00:55:39,359 --> 00:55:40,989
lecture
916
00:55:40,989 --> 00:55:47,729
sorry
917
00:55:47,729 --> 00:55:50,859
and we can take a look at anyone feeling
in analyzing
918
00:55:50,859 --> 00:55:54,109
right now a lot of people are feeling
happy
919
00:55:54,109 --> 00:55:56,599
we can take a look at all the people who
are happy
920
00:55:56,599 --> 00:56:00,369
and breakdown by age gender or location
921
00:56:00,369 --> 00:56:04,279
says bloggers have public profiles we
have that information and so we can ask
922
00:56:04,279 --> 00:56:05,609
questions like
923
00:56:05,609 --> 00:56:08,149
are women happier than men
924
00:56:08,149 --> 00:56:15,149
isn't happy with that the united states
925
00:56:19,189 --> 00:56:21,150
we find that as people get older
926
00:56:21,150 --> 00:56:23,579
make you happier
927
00:56:23,579 --> 00:56:25,400
and moreover we find that
928
00:56:25,400 --> 00:56:27,209
for younger people
929
00:56:27,209 --> 00:56:28,820
this as the happiness
930
00:56:28,820 --> 00:56:30,899
more with exciting
931
00:56:30,899 --> 00:56:32,809
and as people get water
932
00:56:32,809 --> 00:56:39,809
this essay happiness more peaceful
933
00:56:40,619 --> 00:56:44,679
and we also find that women feel love
tomorrow
934
00:56:44,679 --> 00:56:46,969
also more guilty
935
00:56:46,969 --> 00:56:49,929
moments could more often than women
936
00:56:49,929 --> 00:56:56,049
about someone
937
00:56:56,049 --> 00:56:59,269
as people even more and more of their
lives on line
938
00:56:59,269 --> 00:57:01,749
really behind digital traces
939
00:57:01,749 --> 00:57:03,919
and with these digital traces
940
00:57:03,919 --> 00:57:07,210
became deeply into the statistic
re-energize
941
00:57:07,210 --> 00:57:14,210
what it means to be sure
942
00:57:40,689 --> 00:57:43,199
so where does all of this leave office
943
00:57:43,199 --> 00:57:47,889
we generate i mean mention of the
quantities of data about everything you
944
00:57:47,889 --> 00:57:49,289
can think of
945
00:57:49,289 --> 00:57:52,099
analyzing to review the at it's
946
00:57:52,099 --> 00:57:53,239
amount
947
00:57:53,239 --> 00:57:56,259
not only expert but all of us
948
00:57:56,259 --> 00:58:03,259
understand the stories in the mail
949
00:58:07,139 --> 00:58:12,619
instead of being led astray by prejudice
with statistics at our fingertips
950
00:58:12,619 --> 00:58:18,039
alliance can be opened for a fact based
you whatever
951
00:58:18,039 --> 00:58:23,479
more than every before we can become all
sorts of are all the best it's pretty
952
00:58:23,479 --> 00:58:30,479
exciting isn't it
953
00:58:30,759 --> 00:58:31,939
stay here
954
00:58:31,939 --> 00:58:38,939
the with
955
00:58:40,929 --> 00:58:47,929
he indeed
956
00:58:53,599 --> 00:58:53,979
seyi