0:00:03.614,0:00:06.280
the world we live in is a wash with data
0:00:06.388,0:00:09.857
that comes pouring in from everywhere around us
0:00:10.349,0:00:14.330
on is own this data is just noise and confusion
0:00:14.515,0:00:16.393
to make sense of data
0:00:16.393,0:00:18.250
to find the meaning in this
0:00:18.250,0:00:22.650
we need a powerful brunch of science STATISTICS
0:00:22.650,0:00:27.542
believe me thats nothing boring about[br]statistics , especially not today when we
0:00:27.542,0:00:28.442
can make the data
0:00:28.442,0:00:30.423
seen
0:00:30.423,0:00:32.575
with statistics we can really make[br]sense of the world
0:00:32.575,0:00:35.091
and there is more
0:00:35.091,0:00:41.170
with statistics that data deluge as it[br]been called , is leading us to an ever
0:00:41.170,0:00:42.730
greater understanding
0:00:42.730,0:00:46.286
of life on Earth and the Universe beyond
0:00:46.348,0:00:51.540
and thanks to the incredible power[br]of today's computers it may
0:00:51.540,0:00:57.760
fundamentally transformed the process of[br]scientific discovery
0:00:57.760,0:00:59.070
I kid you not
0:00:59.070,0:01:06.070
statistics is now the sexiest subject[br]around
0:01:12.891,0:01:15.483
Sztokholm, Szwecja
0:01:22.698,0:01:25.860
did you know that there is a one million boats in[br]Sweden
0:01:25.860,0:01:28.269
thats one boat per nine people
0:01:28.269,0:01:31.614
is the highest number of boats per person in Europe
0:01:31.614,0:01:34.053
Sweden also has .. the most McDonalds per person in Europe
0:01:34.274,0:01:35.615
..... the most computers per person in Europe
0:01:36.558,0:01:38.597
.. the most nuclear reactor per person in Europe
0:01:41.770,0:01:45.870
being a statistician you dont like telling[br]your profession at dinner parties
0:01:45.870,0:01:46.759
but really
0:01:46.759,0:01:51.098
statistician shouldn't be shy becouse[br]everyone wants to understand whats going on
0:01:51.467,0:01:53.030
and statystics
0:01:53.030,0:01:58.846
gives us a perspective on the world we[br]live in that we cant get in any other way
0:01:59.092,0:02:03.639
the average person spends 24 years of their life asleep
0:02:04.008,0:02:06.691
statistics tells us whether the things we think
0:02:06.691,0:02:09.168
and believe are actually true
0:02:09.264,0:02:13.949
most men think theyre better drivers than women
0:02:14.179,0:02:19.495
but they have almost double the fatal accidens per mile driven
0:02:19.618,0:02:22.719
a statystics are far more useful
0:02:22.719,0:02:25.529
than we usually like to admit
0:02:25.529,0:02:29.499
in the last recession I was listen this[br]famous calling to a talk-radiostation
0:02:29.945,0:02:31.099
the man complain
0:02:31.099,0:02:35.836
in times like this when unemployment raised up to a thirteen percent and income
0:02:35.836,0:02:39.003
is fallen by five percent[br]and suicide raised up climbing
0:02:39.234,0:02:43.533
I get so angry that the government[br]is wasting money on things like
0:02:43.533,0:02:45.296
connection of statystics
0:02:48.273,0:02:50.680
Im not officially a statystician
0:02:50.680,0:02:56.172
strictly speaking my field is global[br]health
0:02:58.061,0:03:03.498
but i got really obsessed with stats[br]when I realized how much people in
0:03:03.498,0:03:07.439
Sweden just don't know about the[br]rest of the world
0:03:07.701,0:03:12.069
I started in our medical university Karolinska Instytut[br]an undergraduate
0:03:12.069,0:03:13.979
course called global health
0:03:13.979,0:03:17.072
these students coming to our section at[br]the highest grade you can get in the
0:03:17.072,0:03:20.333
swedish college system so i thought[br]maybe they know everything i'm going to
0:03:20.333,0:03:21.639
teach them about
0:03:21.639,0:03:23.419
so I did the pretest
0:03:23.419,0:03:25.677
when they came and one of the question
0:03:25.677,0:03:29.419
from which I learned a lot was this one: which country has the highest child
0:03:29.419,0:03:32.749
mortality of this five pairs
0:03:32.749,0:03:36.759
I wont put you at the test here[br]but is Turkey which is highest, there Poland
0:03:36.759,0:03:39.420
Russia,Pakistan and South Africa
0:03:40.235,0:03:41.980
and these were the results of the[br]swedish students
0:03:41.980,0:03:44.879
one point eight right answer[br]of the five possible
0:03:44.879,0:03:48.250
that means that there was a place for a[br]professor of international health
0:03:48.250,0:03:50.349
and for my course
0:03:50.349,0:03:55.339
but one late night when I was compiling[br]the report I really realised
0:03:55.339,0:04:01.199
my discovery , I have shown that swedish top[br]students know statisticaly
0:04:01.199,0:04:06.469
significantly less about the world than[br]the chimpanzees
0:04:06.469,0:04:09.069
because the chimpanzee would score
0:04:09.069,0:04:12.480
half right, if I gave them two bananas[br]which Sri Lanka or Turkey
0:04:12.480,0:04:14.290
would be right half of the cases
0:04:14.290,0:04:18.100
but the students are not that. I did also[br]an unethical study of the
0:04:18.100,0:04:20.630
professors of the Karolinska Instytut
0:04:20.630,0:04:24.270
that hands of Nobel Prize in[br]medicine and they are on par with the
0:04:24.270,0:04:27.029
chimpanzee there
0:04:28.614,0:04:32.890
today there's more information[br]accessible than ever before
0:04:32.890,0:04:37.800
and I work with my team at the Gapminder Fundation[br]using new tools
0:04:37.800,0:04:41.949
that help everyone make sense of the[br]changing world
0:04:41.949,0:04:46.529
we draw all the masses of data thats now[br]freely available from international
0:04:46.529,0:04:50.470
institutions like the UN and the World Bank
0:04:50.470,0:04:54.174
and its become my mission to share[br]the insights from this data
0:04:54.297,0:04:55.874
with anyone who listen
0:04:55.874,0:04:57.054
and to reveal
0:04:57.089,0:05:00.922
how statistics is nothing to be frighten
0:05:02.753,0:05:05.159
Im going to provide you a view
0:05:05.159,0:05:07.449
of the global health situation
0:05:07.449,0:05:09.409
across mankind
0:05:09.409,0:05:11.349
and Im going to do that
0:05:11.349,0:05:14.527
in a hopefully enjoyable way[br]so relax
0:05:14.527,0:05:17.210
so we did this software which displaced it like this
0:05:17.210,0:05:19.168
every bubble here is a country
0:05:19.168,0:05:20.633
this is China
0:05:20.633,0:05:21.795
this is India
0:05:21.795,0:05:23.819
the size of the bubble is the population and
0:05:23.819,0:05:26.150
I done the stage of race here
0:05:26.150,0:05:28.530
between the sort of yellowish Ford here
0:05:28.530,0:05:30.712
and the red Toyota down there
0:05:30.712,0:05:31.990
and the brownish Volvo
0:05:33.098,0:05:38.110
the Toyota has a very bad start down here, and US Ford is going offroad
0:05:38.110,0:05:39.319
back, and the Volvo is doing quite fine
0:05:39.319,0:05:42.430
this is the war, the Toyota got off tracking out to our best country
0:05:42.430,0:05:43.981
coming on to a healthier side of Sweden
0:05:43.981,0:05:47.900
thats it why I sold the Volvo and both the Toyota
0:05:49.870,0:05:51.820
may have been drinking forward when[br]china phil donahue
0:05:51.820,0:05:53.119
planning by multiple
0:05:53.119,0:05:56.949
diners covered in this endeavor more[br]student central planning and they were
0:05:56.949,0:06:00.059
dennis one morning it would be looking[br]at
0:06:00.059,0:06:02.289
united states
0:06:02.289,0:06:04.340
or they broke my frame
0:06:04.340,0:06:08.990
washington blvd phil rachel identified[br]on the back of the fda_ relating and
0:06:08.990,0:06:15.990
it makes life interesting
0:06:20.789,0:06:23.329
when we come to the usa_
0:06:23.329,0:06:24.639
leaders in
0:06:24.639,0:06:28.889
cars
0:06:28.889,0:06:32.110
there are many here who shared my vision
0:06:32.110,0:06:34.319
public dave accessible in use
0:06:34.319,0:06:36.449
part everyone
0:06:36.449,0:06:38.550
the city of san francisco
0:06:38.550,0:06:39.650
is in the league
0:06:39.650,0:06:43.269
opening upbeat state government every
0:06:43.269,0:06:48.639
even the police department is releasing[br]olympics crime reports
0:06:48.639,0:06:50.600
is sufficient crime
0:06:50.600,0:06:56.330
turned into a wonderfully attractive man[br]by two of the city's computer whizzes
0:06:56.330,0:07:03.330
it's communities that these pics[br]connection
0:07:07.850,0:07:09.570
crime's going as a matter of
0:07:09.570,0:07:12.349
crime reports from the san francisco[br]police department
0:07:12.349,0:07:16.810
uh... showing young dot sohn maps uh...[br]for citizens to be able to see patterns
0:07:16.810,0:07:19.690
of crime around their neighborhoods in[br]san francisco
0:07:19.690,0:07:23.759
the map is not just about individual[br]crimes but about broader patterns the
0:07:23.759,0:07:26.209
show you where crime is clustered
0:07:26.209,0:07:29.569
around the city which areas of high[br]crimes which a resume relatively low
0:07:29.569,0:07:31.409
crime
0:07:31.409,0:07:32.719
me
0:07:32.719,0:07:34.060
dates
0:07:34.060,0:07:37.909
don't
0:07:37.909,0:07:39.139
here at the top of
0:07:39.139,0:07:40.440
jones street
0:07:40.440,0:07:43.380
nob hill
0:07:43.380,0:07:45.729
quite nice neighborhood
0:07:45.729,0:07:49.440
put the crime maps jealous is the[br]relationship between
0:07:49.440,0:07:51.680
topography attempt to crime
0:07:51.680,0:07:58.680
this was a higher up the helpful s[br]progress
0:07:59.099,0:08:03.339
to the flats
0:08:03.339,0:08:05.639
especially as soon as you get into that
0:08:05.639,0:08:12.639
hello rely areas to demonstrate the[br]prime just to skyrocket
0:08:19.889,0:08:21.569
we're hearing
0:08:21.569,0:08:25.690
uh... uptown tenderloin district
0:08:25.690,0:08:30.559
is one of the oldest condenses[br]neighborhoods in san francisco
0:08:30.559,0:08:32.820
this is where you go to buy drugs
0:08:32.820,0:08:37.289
right around here
0:08:37.289,0:08:41.930
dissociate lots of uh... aggravated[br]assaults lots a lot of thefts
0:08:41.930,0:08:45.300
basically they're huge part of the car[br]that happens in the
0:08:45.300,0:08:50.280
city happens just by two just viruses[br]moderates
0:08:50.280,0:08:53.010
k
0:08:53.010,0:08:55.550
can you
0:08:55.550,0:09:00.400
diffused beam him please sirens in your[br]neighborhood you can use them and to
0:09:00.400,0:09:02.820
find out why
0:09:02.820,0:09:07.700
if you are denied in an unfamiliar part[br]of town deconcini and that was streets
0:09:07.700,0:09:09.230
to avoid
0:09:09.230,0:09:13.520
if the neighbor gets bergen and you can[br]see isn't the one off why has there been
0:09:13.520,0:09:17.550
a spike in logan crime
0:09:17.550,0:09:20.360
you can use their neighborhood and a[br]word about its safety
0:09:20.360,0:09:24.259
the fact that we have the ability to[br]turn off all the nighttime in the middle
0:09:24.259,0:09:27.329
of the day crimes and show you just the[br]things that are happening during the
0:09:27.329,0:09:28.100
commute
0:09:28.100,0:09:30.300
is a statistical operation
0:09:30.300,0:09:33.410
but i think to people that are[br]interacting with the thing it feels very
0:09:33.410,0:09:37.160
much more like they're just sort of[br]browsing the website or shopping on
0:09:37.160,0:09:41.370
amazon there their looking at data and[br]they don't realize they're doing
0:09:41.370,0:09:44.260
statistics
0:09:44.260,0:09:46.150
what's most exciting for me
0:09:46.150,0:09:49.300
is that public statistics is making[br]citizen
0:09:49.300,0:09:50.340
powerful
0:09:50.340,0:09:57.340
and the authorities moral compass
0:10:01.180,0:10:04.480
we have community meetings typically use[br]a tent
0:10:04.480,0:10:10.180
and what citizens are now doing are[br]bringing printouts of the maps which
0:10:10.180,0:10:14.950
show where crimes are taking place and[br]they're demanding services from the
0:10:14.950,0:10:19.070
police department and the police[br]department is now having to change how
0:10:19.070,0:10:20.970
they police
0:10:20.970,0:10:23.540
how they provide policing services
0:10:23.540,0:10:29.010
highs and the date is showing what is[br]working and what isn't
0:10:29.010,0:10:34.109
people in san francisco roadster using[br]public data to max social inequalities
0:10:34.109,0:10:37.110
and see how to improve society
0:10:37.110,0:10:40.080
possibilities parts and
0:10:40.080,0:10:41.450
i think ur dream
0:10:41.450,0:10:46.430
government data analysis project would[br]really be focused on life information on
0:10:46.430,0:10:50.339
stuff that was being reported and pushed[br]out of the world over the internet as it
0:10:50.339,0:10:55.570
was happening you know trash pickups[br]traffic accidents pluses
0:10:55.570,0:10:58.920
through the kind of staffs gathering[br]power of the internet it's possible to
0:10:58.920,0:11:03.900
really begin to see that the workings of[br]the city's displayed as a unified in
0:11:03.900,0:11:08.050
advance
0:11:08.050,0:11:10.080
that's why we are heading
0:11:10.080,0:11:14.240
towards the world on fri data for the[br]former statistical insights that come
0:11:14.240,0:11:14.880
from it
0:11:14.880,0:11:16.400
accessible to everyone
0:11:16.400,0:11:18.320
empowering us as citizens
0:11:18.320,0:11:22.350
electing household dot rulers to walk[br]home
0:11:22.350,0:11:27.180
along waiting for him as the districts[br]began
0:11:27.180,0:11:33.800
specter's x art is central to our store[br]one enter our governments in our society
0:11:33.800,0:11:38.210
it was all rumors out there was stalked[br]in the collection of statistics in the
0:11:38.210,0:11:45.210
first place the order that wanted to[br]asked
0:11:47.410,0:11:49.990
in fact wind statistics
0:11:49.990,0:11:50.850
comes from
0:11:50.850,0:11:52.520
misstate
0:11:52.520,0:11:55.950
more than statistics began two centuries[br]ago
0:11:55.950,0:11:59.710
one think ought to go in and spread and[br]never stop
0:11:59.710,0:12:03.590
and guess who was fun
0:12:03.590,0:12:06.600
the chinese have confucius
0:12:06.600,0:12:10.310
the italians have done vientiane the[br]british have shakespeare
0:12:10.310,0:12:12.829
and we have picked up the elected
0:12:12.829,0:12:16.540
the first ever systematic collection of[br]statistics
0:12:16.540,0:12:21.240
since the year seventeen forty nine we[br]have collected
0:12:21.240,0:12:23.510
date dot on every
0:12:23.510,0:12:24.640
that it's a bit
0:12:24.640,0:12:29.640
and we are proud of
0:12:29.640,0:12:34.150
the cabin baggage he courted information[br]from every parish in sweden
0:12:34.150,0:12:34.889
it was you
0:12:34.889,0:12:39.220
quantity of data and it was the first[br]time antigovernment
0:12:39.220,0:12:46.010
could get an accurate picture on xp
0:12:46.010,0:12:50.490
uh... huh
0:12:50.490,0:12:53.630
the greatest military power in northern[br]new
0:12:53.630,0:12:58.040
popeye seventeen forty nine always start[br]with
0:12:58.040,0:13:02.420
and other conference growing stronger
0:13:02.420,0:13:04.110
room armstrong
0:13:04.110,0:13:06.950
for to have twenty million people
0:13:06.950,0:13:10.480
enough to rival the britain and frogs
0:13:10.480,0:13:14.040
de
0:13:14.040,0:13:19.080
party mood swings and that's this[br]impasse
0:13:19.080,0:13:24.540
analysis of abell back if you need that[br]sweet land two million inhabitants
0:13:24.540,0:13:28.030
singing and playing what what pollen[br]decline
0:13:28.030,0:13:30.920
it also had a very small population
0:13:30.920,0:13:37.920
the government was horrified by this[br]strike what is the enemies
0:13:38.030,0:13:41.350
opted to have been directed towards the[br]showed that many women died in
0:13:41.350,0:13:42.700
childbirth
0:13:42.700,0:13:44.690
and many children died young
0:13:44.690,0:13:48.900
self-government took action to improve[br]the health of the people
0:13:48.900,0:13:50.070
this
0:13:50.070,0:13:54.050
is the beginning awards and sweet
0:13:54.050,0:13:59.859
it took more than fifteen years before[br]the war strings belgians danes dutch
0:13:59.859,0:14:02.540
french germans italians
0:14:02.540,0:14:03.929
playing in the british
0:14:03.929,0:14:10.929
caught up with sweet and in collecting[br]and using statistics
0:14:24.380,0:14:30.030
it was cool political risks was looking[br]for reasons useful statistics
0:14:30.030,0:14:34.530
don't skip them much more control[br]understanding of calls the society house
0:14:34.530,0:14:37.089
working parents developing and
0:14:37.089,0:14:38.499
essentially so they could
0:14:38.499,0:14:43.850
control it
0:14:43.850,0:14:47.970
guest governments who woke up to the[br]following statistics
0:14:47.970,0:14:49.740
right across your room
0:14:49.740,0:14:53.090
nineteenth-century societies went and[br]that is perfect
0:14:53.090,0:14:55.160
it
0:14:55.160,0:14:57.690
despite the state's doctor britton
0:14:57.690,0:15:01.100
with its royal statistical sense like a[br]mom
0:15:01.100,0:15:06.440
with soon statisticians nearby
0:15:06.440,0:15:10.430
i loved looking at old copies of the[br]rules to cisco such a x's
0:15:10.430,0:15:12.140
full of sorts polled stuff
0:15:12.140,0:15:15.820
deserve wonderful papers in eighteen[br]forty it's which shows a matter of
0:15:15.820,0:15:16.400
england
0:15:16.400,0:15:21.530
and the rates of boston to uni scanty[br]and so you can identifier it quickly the
0:15:21.530,0:15:24.240
areas with high rates of blasted
0:15:24.240,0:15:28.620
bikini sangeeta toys next recital off[br]that norfolk seems to talk to the past
0:15:28.620,0:15:33.440
decade waiting for tips
0:15:33.440,0:15:37.230
one of the founders of the royal[br]statistical society was the great
0:15:37.230,0:15:39.850
victoria mathematician an inventor
0:15:39.850,0:15:42.510
charles bandage
0:15:42.510,0:15:47.850
in eighteen forty two he read the latest[br]poll unbiased equally great victorian
0:15:47.850,0:15:50.550
and for intensive
0:15:50.550,0:15:53.560
vision of the scene contain the lines
0:15:53.560,0:15:54.560
feel a cop
0:15:54.560,0:15:58.390
and feel like i don't have a rollins[br]before the morning
0:15:58.390,0:16:03.320
every moment dot is a man every moment[br]one is bold
0:16:03.320,0:16:05.629
sloppiness that decision was about the[br]ch
0:16:05.629,0:16:09.569
that he could not containing the cell's[br]he dashed off a letter to tennis on
0:16:09.569,0:16:14.260
explaining that the course of population[br]growth the lines should reach
0:16:14.260,0:16:18.910
every moment dot is a man and one under[br]sixteen is born
0:16:18.910,0:16:24.020
and he added that the except finger is[br]one point zero six seven but something
0:16:24.020,0:16:31.020
must be conceded to the north of meat
0:16:32.340,0:16:36.000
in the nineteenth century scholars or we[br]work to do
0:16:36.000,0:16:39.300
mason work in mission missile sites
0:16:39.300,0:16:43.000
they were holding update almost[br]everything
0:16:43.000,0:16:46.290
but numbers of the dylan ten minutes
0:16:46.290,0:16:48.240
you have to animal house
0:16:48.240,0:16:54.860
and that's what makes the tasks
0:16:54.860,0:17:00.120
you're when the first statisticians[br]began to get to greet swimming analyzing
0:17:00.120,0:17:01.050
the data
0:17:01.050,0:17:03.290
pcs upon the average
0:17:03.290,0:17:07.720
according to the average of everyone[br]with
0:17:07.720,0:17:14.720
that what's so great the bottom have[br]reached is that you can take a mass
0:17:15.150,0:17:22.150
something and use it to the single[br]numbers and googling
0:17:22.390,0:17:28.130
and we trust is unique collected lines[br]reviews have reduced their content price
0:17:28.130,0:17:34.560
for populations
0:17:34.560,0:17:38.930
mhm
0:17:38.930,0:17:43.860
with unhooked it might have called[br]newspaper
0:17:43.860,0:17:46.400
and short tensioner
0:17:46.400,0:17:49.490
exhorting people to fulfill accelerated
0:17:49.490,0:17:52.700
crashed her friend against all
0:17:52.700,0:17:54.850
devastating hideous
0:17:54.850,0:17:56.750
powerful sink
0:17:56.750,0:17:59.860
none of the second one
0:17:59.860,0:18:04.140
the young man he didn't have a driving[br]license was driving a car under the
0:18:04.140,0:18:08.330
influence of drugs and alcohol
0:18:08.330,0:18:10.470
questions that the district
0:18:10.470,0:18:12.169
was remarkable
0:18:12.169,0:18:14.120
absolutely remarkable
0:18:14.120,0:18:15.640
field at the number
0:18:15.640,0:18:17.210
the people who die
0:18:17.210,0:18:18.760
each year
0:18:18.760,0:18:20.180
in traffic crashes
0:18:20.180,0:18:24.750
incendiary a constant
0:18:24.750,0:18:26.740
all these individual dents
0:18:26.740,0:18:28.580
somehow when you some of them all up
0:18:28.580,0:18:30.320
stays the same number
0:18:30.320,0:18:31.960
every year
0:18:31.960,0:18:33.230
and every year
0:18:33.230,0:18:36.130
two-and-a-half times as many men
0:18:36.130,0:18:39.120
traffic crashes since women and it's a[br]constant
0:18:39.120,0:18:40.409
and every year
0:18:40.409,0:18:42.970
the rich indulgent estoppel
0:18:42.970,0:18:44.730
to reaching into it
0:18:44.730,0:18:47.570
that these remarkable regularities
0:18:47.570,0:18:49.130
so that
0:18:49.130,0:18:51.560
individual particular things
0:18:51.560,0:18:57.030
sum up sum up into a social phenomena
0:18:57.030,0:18:59.950
let's see what's we then have done the[br]houston post about
0:18:59.950,0:19:03.850
that social programs that's where we[br]were reminded shift attention a little
0:19:03.850,0:19:05.410
bit changing running
0:19:05.410,0:19:10.559
and averages from entire country when is[br]the average income tried mechanically
0:19:10.559,0:19:13.390
family size and called the marshall
0:19:13.390,0:19:15.010
but they are getting up
0:19:15.010,0:19:16.310
billy wright was a bit
0:19:16.310,0:19:18.000
singapore advice toddler
0:19:18.000,0:19:20.659
defeat is the most probably found in the[br]world
0:19:20.659,0:19:24.429
marshall and only played should be a[br]real if looking at the time for them to
0:19:24.429,0:19:28.210
get independent but then they started to[br]grow the economy and they made a social
0:19:28.210,0:19:29.920
investment they caught the wave in the[br]area
0:19:29.920,0:19:32.960
throughout the magnificent help system[br]that he could help you with this
0:19:32.960,0:19:39.960
remember never forget what i had nothing[br]on the
0:19:41.530,0:19:42.350
useful
0:19:42.350,0:19:49.330
as averages are safe don't tell you the[br]whole story
0:19:49.330,0:19:50.429
on average
0:19:50.429,0:19:53.210
swedish people i was like a less than[br]two x
0:19:53.210,0:19:57.360
this is because a few people only have[br]one leg or no legs
0:19:57.360,0:19:58.390
and no one
0:19:58.390,0:20:00.260
affiliate
0:20:00.260,0:20:02.710
almost everybody in sweden
0:20:02.710,0:20:07.020
has more blended average number alexis
0:20:07.020,0:20:14.020
variation that guy's yes those important[br]that the other
0:20:16.960,0:20:19.460
but how do you get a handle on millions
0:20:19.460,0:20:23.530
for this to transform numbers into[br]shapes
0:20:23.530,0:20:28.760
next look again at the number of adult[br]women in sweden for heath heights
0:20:28.760,0:20:30.659
looking digitizes shade
0:20:30.659,0:20:36.810
shows how much they are heights vary[br]from the average in hawaii blackberries
0:20:36.810,0:20:39.220
the shape to set the date that makes its[br]way
0:20:39.220,0:20:41.620
if distribution
0:20:41.620,0:20:46.200
this if the income distribution all[br]shylock nineteen seventy
0:20:46.200,0:20:50.179
this is being done here is the jewish[br]and or the united states nineteen
0:20:50.179,0:20:54.190
seventy-eight almost no overlap and what[br]has happened
0:20:54.190,0:20:58.590
china's growing it's not so equal any[br]longer and he's appearing here
0:20:58.590,0:21:01.030
overlooking the united states
0:21:01.030,0:21:08.030
almost like a ghost isn't it time[br]previous get a
0:21:17.430,0:21:23.420
physician-assisted slow distribution[br]systems once she says to himself says
0:21:23.420,0:21:26.270
the states
0:21:26.270,0:21:29.769
dance card president on the south[br]estimated
0:21:29.769,0:21:32.580
he did the machine that could be a[br]producer
0:21:32.580,0:21:37.390
and he found thinking so many different[br]sets of nationalist betty mehendi than
0:21:37.390,0:21:39.630
normal distribution
0:21:39.630,0:21:42.720
sleepless pieces arms
0:21:42.720,0:21:44.169
non-cancerous
0:21:44.169,0:21:46.720
or stephen beard families
0:21:46.720,0:21:52.370
the normal distribution shaped return[br]time and time again
0:21:52.370,0:21:56.560
under statisticians soon from any on the[br]regulations
0:21:56.560,0:22:02.360
each produced by a particular kind of[br]natural or social
0:22:02.360,0:22:03.940
everest at the station
0:22:03.940,0:22:05.780
their favorite
0:22:05.780,0:22:10.460
fossil distribution procedure is raised[br]by favorite distribution texas absolute
0:22:10.460,0:22:15.970
crap done
0:22:15.970,0:22:20.460
inquest solution a describes how likely[br]it is that out of the ordinary things
0:22:20.460,0:22:25.610
will happen emotional on the muscle what[br]we know that when everybody gets revises
0:22:25.610,0:22:29.640
enough we won't lose again three buses[br]and gruesome
0:22:29.640,0:22:34.510
amazingly the partial shade please show[br]us the probability that in any given our
0:22:34.510,0:22:39.860
word when we get four five or six months[br]is one of us is the time
0:22:39.860,0:22:43.900
the exact shape changes pediatrics
0:22:43.900,0:22:47.919
but whether it's how many people will[br]win the lottery check
0:22:47.919,0:22:52.740
or how many people in the former cold[br]symptoms mimic plus one shape we give
0:22:52.740,0:22:57.690
the probabilities
0:22:57.690,0:23:01.249
the wonderful example but this was[br]applied to the late nineteenth century
0:23:01.249,0:23:05.470
was to can teach she is the number of[br]prashant offices calorie offices and
0:23:05.470,0:23:07.460
kicked to death by the horses
0:23:07.460,0:23:11.380
as some use of the nuns and here's the[br]ones from his too
0:23:11.380,0:23:14.120
up to seven i think one ticking died[br]here
0:23:14.120,0:23:19.970
and buttons distribution permanent[br]bizarre taf crushing cavalry officer
0:23:19.970,0:23:21.720
skip taft cases
0:23:21.720,0:23:25.380
usually obey the constitution
0:23:25.380,0:23:32.380
just
0:23:34.520,0:23:36.530
tests
0:23:36.530,0:23:41.780
cert
0:23:41.780,0:23:43.460
going
0:23:43.460,0:23:47.400
so statisticians use she c you then
0:23:47.400,0:23:53.320
candidate ability using images of warmth[br]kinds to communicate statistics to a
0:23:53.320,0:23:54.789
wider public
0:23:54.789,0:23:56.090
because
0:23:56.090,0:23:57.980
it's a story in the numbers
0:23:57.980,0:24:03.780
he's told by a beautiful and clever[br]image thank everyone understand
0:24:03.780,0:24:06.529
of the pioneers of statistically[br]graphics
0:24:06.529,0:24:13.529
my favorite is florence unlike
0:24:22.710,0:24:26.380
tire they're not many people don't[br]realize it actually she was there was a
0:24:26.380,0:24:28.190
passion statistician
0:24:28.190,0:24:31.190
and not just of a vehicle out
0:24:31.190,0:24:35.270
she said that understand god's thoughts[br]we must study statistics but these are
0:24:35.270,0:24:37.450
the measure of his purpose
0:24:37.450,0:24:42.190
it's just it's less river villages[br]detailer alternative
0:24:42.190,0:24:46.380
flashes nine-years-old she started[br]collecting data heard it was different
0:24:46.380,0:24:50.820
fruits and vegetables she felt prelim[br]into different tables trying to organize
0:24:50.820,0:24:55.010
them in some standard for so we have one[br]of the playing fields first to school
0:24:55.010,0:25:02.010
tables at the age of mine
0:25:04.860,0:25:08.039
immediately fifties florence nightingale
0:25:08.039,0:25:11.850
went to the crime he had to cancel[br]british cash infusion
0:25:11.850,0:25:14.980
she was forty five i want to discuss
0:25:14.980,0:25:18.160
these soldiers being blown to bits on[br]the battlefield
0:25:18.160,0:25:22.290
there were many many more soldiers dying[br]from the sees his state court in the
0:25:22.290,0:25:25.590
armies filthy hostels
0:25:25.590,0:25:29.409
so florence nightingale began compton[br]content
0:25:29.409,0:25:35.730
for two years she recorded mortality[br]data unique too touristy
0:25:35.730,0:25:40.980
it was over she persuaded the government[br]to set up a royal commission of inquiry
0:25:40.980,0:25:45.100
and gathered her dating devastating[br]report
0:25:45.100,0:25:48.269
this amended took place in the[br]statistically history books
0:25:48.269,0:25:50.340
on the graphics shields
0:25:50.340,0:25:51.830
and one in particular
0:25:51.830,0:25:54.299
the polar area graph
0:25:54.299,0:25:56.650
for each month of the war
0:25:56.650,0:26:00.360
usually low wage represented the[br]soldiers who are dying from preventable
0:26:00.360,0:26:02.390
disease
0:26:02.390,0:26:05.370
much more of a bridges more deaths from
0:26:05.370,0:26:07.500
owns and the plaque wages
0:26:07.500,0:26:10.990
deaths from accidents and public works
0:26:10.990,0:26:13.840
nineteen days graphics mercele cleaner
0:26:13.840,0:26:14.619
me working
0:26:14.619,0:26:17.330
possible treatment
0:26:17.330,0:26:20.049
the usual cigarette from start to get[br]storms just adjust
0:26:20.049,0:26:24.530
tables in tables and figures are you've[br]got to really tedious stocks that unless
0:26:24.530,0:26:28.220
you're actually dedicated statisticians[br]will be quite difficult spot the patents
0:26:28.220,0:26:29.250
quite naturally
0:26:29.250,0:26:30.840
but an visualizations
0:26:30.840,0:26:34.710
they tell a story to tell a story[br]immediately and use of color
0:26:34.710,0:26:36.400
and usage schenk
0:26:36.400,0:26:39.850
you do to really tell a powerful story[br]and now it is of course we can make
0:26:39.850,0:26:41.370
things move as well
0:26:41.370,0:26:44.790
for such here would love to have played[br]with should have been
0:26:44.790,0:26:49.590
jews wonderful animation semantics
0:26:49.590,0:26:51.380
ru
0:26:51.380,0:26:54.149
today a hundred and fifty years old
0:26:54.149,0:26:57.959
nightingale is graphics are rightly[br]regarded as a class in
0:26:57.959,0:27:02.109
they lead to a revolution in nursing[br]health care in hygiene hospitals
0:27:02.109,0:27:06.900
worldwide wheat cv innumerable times[br]that
0:27:06.900,0:27:11.640
the statistical graphics has become an[br]art form where it's a very old learned
0:27:11.640,0:27:17.180
by deciding to restore passionate about[br]it is relaxing there
0:27:17.180,0:27:19.970
will lure
0:27:19.970,0:27:23.169
remember more
0:27:23.169,0:27:27.420
in rice's two billion pounds are ground
0:27:27.420,0:27:31.100
this image arose frustration with the[br]reporting of
0:27:31.100,0:27:34.480
billion panna medicine a media fire in[br]japan in pounds for this war
0:27:34.480,0:27:37.870
fifty billion pounds this or still[br]doesn't common sense is known as the two
0:27:37.870,0:27:41.270
enormous to get your mind round source[br]craigslist data from various news
0:27:41.270,0:27:43.460
sources in trade the star graham
0:27:43.460,0:27:49.050
squares hero scaled according to the[br]billion pan-am outs
0:27:49.050,0:27:51.880
we see numbers visualize like this
0:27:51.880,0:27:54.240
the start of a different kind of[br]relationship with them
0:27:54.240,0:27:57.029
uh... because of see patterns you see[br]the scale of them
0:27:57.029,0:27:59.710
here at the corner this little square[br]thirty seven billion
0:27:59.710,0:28:03.309
i was the cost projected cost iraq war[br]in two thousand three
0:28:03.309,0:28:05.460
as you can see it's grown exponentially
0:28:05.460,0:28:06.589
of the last few years
0:28:06.589,0:28:08.309
so the total cost house around about
0:28:08.309,0:28:11.210
two thousand five hundred billion
0:28:11.210,0:28:14.540
it's funny 'cause when you visualize two[br]sticks on this you understand them when
0:28:14.540,0:28:15.970
you understand them
0:28:15.970,0:28:22.970
you can really start puts things into[br]perspective
0:28:24.530,0:28:28.900
we should learn stations right at the[br]heart of my own walked to
0:28:28.900,0:28:31.140
i teach global health
0:28:31.140,0:28:33.940
and i know having the data is not enough
0:28:33.940,0:28:40.000
i have to show it in ways people both[br]enjoy and i understand
0:28:40.000,0:28:44.580
i'm going to try something i've never[br]done before animating the dating really
0:28:44.580,0:28:45.980
stinks
0:28:45.980,0:28:50.870
with a bit of technical assistance from[br]the crew
0:28:50.870,0:28:52.500
so here we go
0:28:52.500,0:28:54.360
first taxes for help
0:28:54.360,0:28:55.940
life expectancy
0:28:55.940,0:29:01.620
from twenty-five years seventy-five[br]years and out here access for work
0:29:01.620,0:29:03.159
income per person
0:29:03.159,0:29:04.240
four hundred
0:29:04.240,0:29:07.040
four thousand and forty thousand dollars
0:29:07.040,0:29:09.600
so down here
0:29:09.600,0:29:10.649
and sick
0:29:10.649,0:29:15.580
and cop here is rich and health
0:29:15.580,0:29:18.840
i want to show the world two hundred[br]years ago
0:29:18.840,0:29:21.410
in eighteen ten
0:29:21.410,0:29:23.000
here come all the countries
0:29:23.000,0:29:26.289
you know ground station away hideously
0:29:26.289,0:29:29.850
acrobats tells us army or and the[br]american deal
0:29:29.850,0:29:34.179
and the soyuz over the country bubble[br]soulless eyes of the population
0:29:34.179,0:29:38.760
and eighteen ten it is pretty crowded[br]down there wasn't it congress were
0:29:38.760,0:29:42.539
sickened pork life expectancy will be[br]lost
0:29:42.539,0:29:47.460
in oregon please everyting you kate and[br]then the lance was like it better off
0:29:47.460,0:29:48.799
not much
0:29:48.799,0:29:49.720
and now
0:29:49.720,0:29:52.920
wise dot the world
0:29:52.920,0:29:57.410
industrial revolution makes companies in[br]europe and elsewhere
0:29:57.410,0:29:59.210
move away from the rest
0:29:59.210,0:30:04.049
apologize countries in asia and africa[br]best backed down there
0:30:04.049,0:30:08.540
and eventually the western countries get[br]healthier and healthier
0:30:08.540,0:30:14.430
and now we slow down to show the impact[br]on the first world war and the spanish
0:30:14.430,0:30:15.850
flu epidemic
0:30:15.850,0:30:18.549
what does it
0:30:18.549,0:30:22.990
and now i speed up through the nineteen[br]twenties and the nineteen thirties and
0:30:22.990,0:30:26.910
in spite of the great depression was to[br]come visit for john doe was greater
0:30:26.910,0:30:32.510
wealth and helped and some others try to[br]follow but most interesting down here
0:30:32.510,0:30:37.340
up often the tragedies of the second[br]world war we stop a bit to look at the
0:30:37.340,0:30:39.670
world in nineteen forty eight
0:30:39.670,0:30:42.200
nineteen forty eight was a great year
0:30:42.200,0:30:43.610
the war was over
0:30:43.610,0:30:48.080
sweden topped the metal table at the[br]winter olympics and i was born
0:30:48.080,0:30:49.480
buffet differences
0:30:49.480,0:30:53.019
between the congress of the world was[br]wider than ever
0:30:53.019,0:30:57.140
united states was in the frog japan was[br]catching up
0:30:57.140,0:31:02.030
brazil is way behind iran was getting a[br]little richard from lloyd but still had
0:31:02.030,0:31:03.080
short life
0:31:03.080,0:31:05.509
and dictation giants
0:31:05.509,0:31:09.759
china india pakistan bangladesh in[br]indonesia and they were still poor
0:31:09.759,0:31:11.190
instinct on here
0:31:11.190,0:31:12.999
but he'll play is about to happen
0:31:12.999,0:31:14.320
gila delegate
0:31:14.320,0:31:18.840
in my lifetime former colonies gained[br]independence and then finally they
0:31:18.840,0:31:23.620
starting to get healthier and healthy it[br]and healthier and in the nineteen
0:31:23.620,0:31:24.510
seventies
0:31:24.510,0:31:28.060
then countries indication that the[br]american student of catch up with the
0:31:28.060,0:31:30.080
western countries the meeting with me
0:31:30.080,0:31:34.509
emerging economies sunny method of[br]follows some african rostock in civil
0:31:34.509,0:31:39.830
war and i was hit by a charity and now[br]we can see the wall today in the most
0:31:39.830,0:31:43.340
up-to-date statistics
0:31:43.340,0:31:45.980
most people today in the mid
0:31:45.980,0:31:48.919
but then you should get friends at the[br]same time between them
0:31:48.919,0:31:51.630
best of congress and the worst of cuts
0:31:51.630,0:31:52.390
and i will say
0:31:52.390,0:31:54.800
lives in the qualities with the income
0:31:54.800,0:31:58.610
these problems shel country average s[br]but i just think that
0:31:58.610,0:32:02.420
they china i can split it into provinces
0:32:02.420,0:32:05.500
bearing goes shanghai
0:32:05.500,0:32:11.370
it is the same boat as it related and a[br]interpol reliant on those white show it
0:32:11.370,0:32:12.759
is like pakistan
0:32:12.759,0:32:15.200
any text picket fence
0:32:15.200,0:32:19.860
the rural parts are like calling africa
0:32:19.860,0:32:21.070
and yet
0:32:21.070,0:32:25.360
despite the enormous disparities to date[br]we have seen two hundred years of
0:32:25.360,0:32:27.420
remarkable progress
0:32:27.420,0:32:31.890
that's a huge historical gap between the[br]west and the rest is not closed eight
0:32:31.890,0:32:35.860
we have become an entirely new[br]converging world
0:32:35.860,0:32:39.580
and i see it clearly friend into the[br]future we can you need to treat a green
0:32:39.580,0:32:44.410
technology and bs its full impossible[br]that everyone can make it to the healthy
0:32:44.410,0:32:48.550
wealthy corner
0:32:48.550,0:32:50.120
wenjie dot c
0:32:50.120,0:32:53.929
for the last few minutes is a story of[br]two hundred congress
0:32:53.929,0:32:56.610
showing over two hundred years and[br]beyond
0:32:56.610,0:32:58.450
it involve plotting on
0:32:58.450,0:33:01.340
one hundred and twenty thousand numbers
0:33:01.340,0:33:08.139
pretty neat
0:33:08.139,0:33:09.149
so
0:33:09.149,0:33:13.450
with statistics we can begin to see[br]things as they really are
0:33:13.450,0:33:17.290
from tables update dental and reduce[br]these tributions and issuing this
0:33:17.290,0:33:23.330
nation's statistics gives us a clear[br]description of the world
0:33:23.330,0:33:28.630
athletes distinctly cannot only[br]discovered much is happening
0:33:28.630,0:33:35.630
bottles explore why by using the[br]powerful analytical method correlation
0:33:35.679,0:33:38.429
just looking at one thing at the time is[br]intended for
0:33:38.429,0:33:42.150
you've got to look at the relationships[br]between finance has a chance to have a
0:33:42.150,0:33:43.380
very together
0:33:43.380,0:33:46.590
in that sport correlation is a pack and[br]that's why i stopped trying to
0:33:46.590,0:33:52.940
understand to crysis is that they're[br]really going on in the world in society
0:33:52.940,0:33:57.240
most of us today would recognize that[br]crying correlates to poverty
0:33:57.240,0:34:00.340
that infection correlates to poor[br]sanitation
0:34:00.340,0:34:06.810
and that knowledge of statistics[br]correlates to being great at balancing
0:34:06.810,0:34:10.589
relations can be very pretty
0:34:10.589,0:34:13.149
i got a joke about silly correlations
0:34:13.149,0:34:15.820
that was that the american i was afraid[br]of a heart attack
0:34:15.820,0:34:18.969
and he found out that the japanese
0:34:18.969,0:34:23.019
the marriage of fat
0:34:23.019,0:34:25.509
action this heart attacks than the[br]american
0:34:25.509,0:34:26.670
but on the other hand
0:34:26.670,0:34:28.789
also follow up with a friend
0:34:28.789,0:34:32.829
eat as much practically americans and[br]they want to know why
0:34:32.829,0:34:39.829
also and less artifacts
0:34:41.889,0:34:45.339
this next round of the lead[br]groundbreaking coronation
0:34:45.339,0:34:48.970
is the link that was established in the[br]nineteen fifties between smoking and
0:34:48.970,0:34:51.299
lung cancer
0:34:51.299,0:34:53.689
notlong after the second world war
0:34:53.689,0:34:55.969
a british doctors reach abroad
0:34:55.969,0:34:59.969
investigated lung cancer patient in[br]twenty long on hospitals
0:34:59.969,0:35:04.349
and he became system that the only thing[br]they have in common with smoking
0:35:04.349,0:35:05.500
so certain
0:35:05.500,0:35:07.489
she stopped smoking inside
0:35:07.489,0:35:08.789
on the page
0:35:08.789,0:35:11.449
runs social
0:35:11.449,0:35:14.499
moderates a discussion of the early days[br]just
0:35:14.499,0:35:18.489
linking smoking to lung cancer[br]simplicial smoking shortly that thing
0:35:18.489,0:35:21.849
that we've come about life's account be[br]bad for you
0:35:21.849,0:35:24.009
maybe it's jeans
0:35:24.009,0:35:28.450
maybe people would genetically[br]predisposed to get lung cancer are also
0:35:28.450,0:35:33.119
genetically predisposed to smoke
0:35:33.119,0:35:36.649
maybe it's not the smoking maybe its air[br]pollution
0:35:36.649,0:35:41.809
that smokers are somehow more exposed to[br]air pollution non-smokers
0:35:41.809,0:35:43.149
maybe it's not
0:35:43.149,0:35:45.289
smoking maybe it's public
0:35:45.289,0:35:51.769
so now we've got three alternate[br]explanations apart from chance
0:35:51.769,0:35:53.589
parties coronation
0:35:53.589,0:35:58.300
digging flight cause-and-effect returned[br]on created the biggest existed to study
0:35:58.300,0:35:59.969
of smoking thing
0:35:59.969,0:36:03.719
he began cracking the life some forty[br]thousand british dot
0:36:03.719,0:36:06.910
some of whom smoke and some of whom did
0:36:06.910,0:36:09.869
and get this enough data to acquire[br]anything in mind
0:36:09.869,0:36:14.189
if the doctor smoke within likelihood of[br]getting cancer
0:36:14.189,0:36:18.229
eventually he not only showed a[br]correlation between smoking and lung
0:36:18.229,0:36:23.299
cancer platforms to a correlation[br]between stopping smoking and reducing
0:36:23.299,0:36:24.479
the risk
0:36:24.479,0:36:28.679
this messiahs at its best
0:36:28.679,0:36:31.449
what correlations do not replace
0:36:31.449,0:36:32.999
he's human sort
0:36:32.999,0:36:35.869
good think about what it means
0:36:35.869,0:36:40.079
knew what a good scientist has if he[br]comes up with the correlation
0:36:40.079,0:36:40.859
ease
0:36:40.859,0:36:45.399
try as hard as she or he possibly can to[br]disprove it
0:36:45.399,0:36:47.489
to break it down to get rid of it
0:36:47.489,0:36:49.079
to try and refute it
0:36:49.079,0:36:53.459
and if it was stones all those efforts
0:36:53.459,0:36:56.439
demolishing it and it's still standing[br]out
0:36:56.439,0:37:00.719
then cautiously say weary might have[br]something here
0:37:00.719,0:37:03.209
bernard
0:37:03.209,0:37:05.699
bed
0:37:05.699,0:37:08.639
benetton
0:37:08.639,0:37:13.919
character
0:37:13.919,0:37:16.739
ho
0:37:16.739,0:37:22.049
henry lee and the scientist date that is[br]to be able to jim and finance
0:37:22.049,0:37:26.659
the good news is that the more we had[br]the more correlations will find the more
0:37:26.659,0:37:28.399
theories will test
0:37:28.399,0:37:35.399
and the more discoveries that we are[br]likely to make
0:37:35.569,0:37:40.920
and history shows park total sum of the[br]information bruising usually keeps as we
0:37:40.920,0:37:43.389
develop new technologies
0:37:43.389,0:37:47.469
the mention of the printing press kicked[br]off the first day an information
0:37:47.469,0:37:49.199
explosion
0:37:49.199,0:37:53.089
he complained about the glove the books[br]that i mean print by the year is
0:37:53.089,0:37:55.339
seventeen hundred
0:37:55.339,0:38:02.299
didn't make six this tax each as high is[br]montane forest
0:38:02.299,0:38:05.070
then starting in the nineteenth century
0:38:05.070,0:38:07.720
they came a second information[br]revolution
0:38:07.720,0:38:11.509
with the telegraph gramophone and can[br]later
0:38:11.509,0:38:13.509
radio and tv
0:38:13.509,0:38:17.119
to obtain long-term information exploded
0:38:17.119,0:38:20.839
them by the nineteen fifties the[br]information available to us all
0:38:20.839,0:38:25.509
had multiplied six thousand pints
0:38:25.509,0:38:30.279
thanks to the computer linked to the[br]independently went digital
0:38:30.279,0:38:37.279
mainland of belize we have now he's[br]wanting mentioned the
0:38:39.359,0:38:44.409
seemed a little denoble politically than[br]right
0:38:44.409,0:38:51.249
printed page pete wilson killed by
0:38:51.249,0:38:53.390
five megabytes enough of it
0:38:53.390,0:38:57.420
people aren't insured
0:38:57.420,0:38:58.950
pending dot lights
0:38:58.950,0:39:05.929
that's a dvd movies
0:39:05.929,0:39:10.409
to metabolize is himself millions off of[br]things
0:39:10.409,0:39:14.739
faceplate everyday
0:39:14.739,0:39:20.119
stoplights is the data recorder every[br]second by the world's largest particle
0:39:20.119,0:39:25.119
accelerator so much higher tiny[br]fractions
0:39:25.119,0:39:26.879
six exabytes
0:39:26.879,0:39:33.879
is what you have secrecy
0:39:37.749,0:39:39.529
but we had that's not good
0:39:39.529,0:39:44.499
in two thousand nine the internet added[br]up to five hundred except and in two
0:39:44.499,0:39:47.559
thousand to in yes the here
0:39:47.559,0:39:54.559
stepping down to more than what is it[br]that way
0:39:55.299,0:39:56.939
back in the world
0:39:56.939,0:39:59.919
here to tell all this data into print
0:39:59.919,0:40:02.610
it would make ninety stacks of both
0:40:02.610,0:40:08.069
sandy treat you from here and all the[br]way you do this
0:40:08.069,0:40:10.949
dazed and then you just answering
0:40:10.949,0:40:17.509
with today's computers and statistics[br]i'm confident we can handle it
0:40:17.509,0:40:21.819
when it comes to on the date on the[br]internet powerhouse of statistical
0:40:21.819,0:40:28.819
analysis is the silicon valley giant
0:40:33.399,0:40:37.659
the average person over their lifetime[br]is exposed to about a hundred million
0:40:37.659,0:40:43.209
words conversation so if you multiply[br]that by the six billion people on the
0:40:43.209,0:40:44.450
planet data
0:40:44.450,0:40:48.300
brown words about the world to the[br]number of words that will has available
0:40:48.300,0:40:51.899
to that he wants to talk
0:40:51.899,0:40:54.059
whose computers happen
0:40:54.059,0:40:58.749
finally every document webpage in image[br]they can find
0:40:58.749,0:41:04.639
fagan hunt for patents and correlations[br]in all this date dot doing statistics on
0:41:04.639,0:41:06.669
them that sixty
0:41:06.669,0:41:07.749
and for me
0:41:07.749,0:41:12.499
will be has one project that the[br]particular excite statistical language
0:41:12.499,0:41:14.869
translation
0:41:14.869,0:41:19.819
who wanted to provide access to all the[br]winds information matter what languages
0:41:19.819,0:41:22.540
there's just so much information on the[br]internet you can help
0:41:22.540,0:41:27.710
to translate it all bike and into every[br]possible language we figured we'd have
0:41:27.710,0:41:32.989
to be able to do machine translation
0:41:32.989,0:41:37.249
in the past program has tried to teach[br]their computers to free speech language
0:41:37.249,0:41:39.689
as the system dramatically lose
0:41:39.689,0:41:42.819
much like the women which is much more[br]difficult
0:41:42.819,0:41:44.219
his feet in front
0:41:44.219,0:41:48.880
because no one set the rules to cash in[br]online which informix subtlety in
0:41:48.880,0:41:51.169
ambiguity
0:41:51.169,0:41:53.019
having eaten hot lunch
0:41:53.019,0:41:55.169
because depart
0:41:55.169,0:41:57.069
well that's all this weekend correct
0:41:57.069,0:42:01.279
written like that it would imply that[br]the coach has eaten lunch
0:42:01.279,0:42:04.309
it will be far letters
0:42:04.309,0:42:06.279
having eating my lunch
0:42:06.279,0:42:09.249
we departed in the collection
0:42:09.249,0:42:10.480
those rules are helpful
0:42:10.480,0:42:14.440
and they are are useful most the time[br]but they don't turn out that the true
0:42:14.440,0:42:18.809
all the time ten the insight using[br]statistical machine translation
0:42:18.809,0:42:23.059
is saying wealthy gotta have all these[br]exceptions anyways maybe you can get by
0:42:23.059,0:42:27.309
without having its wheels maybe he can[br]treat everything as an exception nasa
0:42:27.309,0:42:34.309
says we want to
0:42:37.899,0:42:41.759
but the computer is doing when when he's[br]learning how to translate is too low
0:42:41.759,0:42:47.149
in correlations between boats and[br]correlations between phrases so we'd be
0:42:47.149,0:42:50.239
we feed this system very large amounts[br]of data
0:42:50.239,0:42:53.969
and then the system is seeing that uh...[br]certain good research the phrase
0:42:53.969,0:42:58.739
correlates very often to the other[br]language
0:42:58.739,0:43:00.069
websites
0:43:00.069,0:43:04.909
parents office translation between in[br]your fifty seven different languages
0:43:04.909,0:43:09.509
it does this purely a statistically[br]having correlated the huge collection of
0:43:09.509,0:43:12.479
multilingual texans
0:43:12.479,0:43:16.139
the people to build the system don't[br]need to know chinese in order to the
0:43:16.139,0:43:19.719
chinese strings just a little beaten[br]noah rebekah but the expertise that's
0:43:19.719,0:43:23.519
needed is basically knowledge of[br]statistics knowledge of computer science
0:43:23.519,0:43:27.700
that knowledge of infrastructure to bolt[br]those very large computational systems
0:43:27.700,0:43:29.999
that we are building for doing that
0:43:29.999,0:43:33.729
okay so then i'm going to invite yahoo[br]com political good from my office in
0:43:33.729,0:43:34.699
stockholm
0:43:34.699,0:43:40.869
to try the translator for myself
0:43:40.869,0:43:44.199
okay
0:43:44.199,0:43:46.329
linden
0:43:46.329,0:43:49.839
or
0:43:49.839,0:43:54.319
located so it says remains finance[br]ministers appointed
0:43:54.319,0:43:56.609
and a gold ring in your your
0:43:56.609,0:44:03.609
so here's the problem is that if you're[br]a cash
0:44:06.199,0:44:09.029
rockport fat cats
0:44:09.029,0:44:12.910
starts
0:44:12.910,0:44:14.489
from school
0:44:14.489,0:44:15.689
na
0:44:15.689,0:44:18.259
these corp
0:44:18.259,0:44:22.479
and his same sex partnerships as[br]stockholm snoopy shop and his partners
0:44:22.479,0:44:25.029
three-years-old
0:44:25.029,0:44:27.029
hume
0:44:27.029,0:44:28.700
expire
0:44:28.700,0:44:30.769
except after bachchan
0:44:30.769,0:44:35.930
okay so so that's uh... those kinds of[br]riches and her one of the challenges in
0:44:35.930,0:44:39.829
in translation to be really does[br]frighten theater kathleen sharp slide
0:44:39.829,0:44:42.529
you excuse me
0:44:42.529,0:44:45.389
causing more often than not it would[br]probably be it is
0:44:45.389,0:44:46.259
crack
0:44:46.259,0:44:51.399
or the fact that madison i do you do you[br]do it would be all that and wallet dot
0:44:51.399,0:44:55.429
oc oxford
0:44:55.429,0:44:59.859
cream when sweeney's taking part in a[br]pickle it's not to win but to be below
0:44:59.859,0:45:00.839
which
0:45:00.839,0:45:04.889
that yes the
0:45:04.889,0:45:06.849
cartwright
0:45:06.849,0:45:09.819
uh... drug-related
0:45:09.819,0:45:10.509
xd
0:45:10.509,0:45:11.589
atpase
0:45:11.589,0:45:13.679
i don't
0:45:13.679,0:45:14.639
aspect
0:45:14.639,0:45:16.739
apart by fax
0:45:16.739,0:45:19.939
partnerships chuck
0:45:19.939,0:45:21.450
controlled lead real good
0:45:21.450,0:45:25.789
but if they succeed with what's next[br]that'll be a remarkable
0:45:25.789,0:45:29.839
one other exciting possibilities is[br]combining machine translation technology
0:45:29.839,0:45:31.739
with the speech recognition technology
0:45:31.739,0:45:35.359
now both of these are statistical in[br]nature them
0:45:35.359,0:45:38.089
machine translation relies on the[br]statistics
0:45:38.089,0:45:40.379
of mapping from one language to another
0:45:40.379,0:45:44.689
personally speech recognition relies on[br]the statistics of matt mapping from a
0:45:44.689,0:45:47.419
sound form to the words
0:45:47.419,0:45:48.849
when we put them together
0:45:48.849,0:45:53.089
now we have the capability of having[br]instant conversation between two people
0:45:53.089,0:45:57.759
that don't speak a common lecture that[br]uh... i can talk to you in my language
0:45:57.759,0:46:02.699
you hear me in your language and you can[br]answer back and in real time you can
0:46:02.699,0:46:04.259
make that translation
0:46:04.259,0:46:11.259
can bring to get people together and[br]allow them to speak
0:46:20.809,0:46:24.540
the intimate is just one how many[br]technologies
0:46:24.540,0:46:28.339
created together massive amounts of data
0:46:28.339,0:46:32.619
scientists studying our send our[br]environment
0:46:32.619,0:46:38.189
now use and implantable ancients[br]instruments to mention the processes up
0:46:38.189,0:46:42.179
our plans
0:46:42.179,0:46:49.179
all around us are sensors continuously[br]measuring temperature water flow
0:46:49.629,0:46:55.219
and high in order to our satellites busy[br]engaging cloud formations forest growth
0:46:55.219,0:46:56.729
and snow cover
0:46:56.729,0:47:01.339
scientists beacons instrument in the[br]uh...
0:47:01.339,0:47:02.649
not
0:47:02.649,0:47:07.939
and pointing up to the skies above are[br]powerful new telescopes connecting the
0:47:07.939,0:47:14.939
universe
0:47:19.389,0:47:21.570
what's happening in last commonly
0:47:21.570,0:47:28.570
east difficult how profoundly different[br]torrent update dot is transforming side
0:47:29.059,0:47:34.319
astronomers on our interesting man in[br]june mysteries of the cost must
0:47:34.319,0:47:36.999
compliance peacekeeping net
0:47:36.999,0:47:43.999
all these new delhi
0:47:49.259,0:47:52.329
because he's a very big place things got[br]billions of stars in it
0:47:52.329,0:47:56.559
and so to put together a coherent[br]picture of the whole galaxy requires
0:47:56.559,0:47:58.569
cutting enormous amount of data
0:47:58.569,0:48:02.669
and before you could you afford sky[br]survey with sensitive diesel detectors
0:48:02.669,0:48:07.009
that meant that you could matt many many[br]stars all once is very difficult to
0:48:07.009,0:48:14.009
build up enough data on the for the past
0:48:14.049,0:48:19.170
in the past launch surveys of the night[br]sky had to be done by exposing thousands
0:48:19.170,0:48:21.509
of large photographic dates
0:48:21.509,0:48:28.509
off these thirties scoop takes twenty[br]five years or more to compete
0:48:28.799,0:48:33.469
then in the nineteen nineties came[br]digital a strong
0:48:33.469,0:48:38.979
region increasing both moms and the[br]accessibility affairs
0:48:38.979,0:48:43.019
the slow in the sky survey is the[br]world's biggest yes
0:48:43.019,0:48:47.889
using a massive digital sensor mounted[br]on the back of a custom-built
0:48:47.889,0:48:50.119
telescoping new mexico
0:48:50.119,0:48:54.280
it stand the sky indictments tonight[br]forty two years
0:48:54.280,0:48:58.979
building up a complicit picture in[br]unprecedented resolutions
0:48:58.979,0:49:03.459
sort of some of the best steepest survey[br]data that we have in stock
0:49:03.459,0:49:10.459
those on our own galaxy anand until he[br]sees further away from us
0:49:13.359,0:49:16.429
school the slow moving test is on the[br]internet
0:49:16.429,0:49:22.029
and we did astronomers have identifying[br]millions of users to unknown stars and
0:49:22.029,0:49:23.289
galaxies
0:49:23.289,0:49:25.520
you want to call on the fifteenth of[br]these
0:49:25.520,0:49:32.089
for statistical actions which we proved[br]disprove or even suggested new theories
0:49:32.089,0:49:37.049
so we have decided it galaxies grounding[br]becomes florence county cities like the
0:49:37.049,0:49:38.879
one we live in a teammate
0:49:38.879,0:49:44.329
uh... not all at once we're not smoothly[br]specter five continuously
0:49:44.329,0:49:46.629
incorporating beasley cannibalizing
0:49:46.629,0:49:50.499
of smaller galaxies be dissolved and[br]then they become part of under the
0:49:50.499,0:49:55.469
guidance systems
0:49:55.469,0:50:01.689
is a startling idea and you still need[br]to is the evidence to support
0:50:01.689,0:50:06.469
groups of stars that came from[br]cannibalized galaxies stunned often
0:50:06.469,0:50:07.799
assume they kept
0:50:07.799,0:50:13.479
artistically different prabhat the stars[br]because they move acted different
0:50:13.479,0:50:15.219
each day despite
0:50:15.219,0:50:17.719
when one of these distribution graphs
0:50:17.719,0:50:19.490
means professional policy
0:50:19.490,0:50:24.459
has found a group of stars or travelling[br]in a different way to the list
0:50:24.459,0:50:29.689
error that tell-tale patterns she's[br]looking for
0:50:29.689,0:50:32.039
the evidence is accumulating
0:50:32.039,0:50:36.449
uh... this really is how galaxies girl[br]born in portland int l tells his ground
0:50:36.449,0:50:40.349
and so this is an important part of of[br]understanding how galaxies form not only
0:50:40.349,0:50:45.679
are posted every gals
0:50:45.679,0:50:49.449
more database the more discoveries can[br]be made
0:50:49.449,0:50:52.390
and the technology is getting better all[br]the
0:50:52.390,0:50:56.549
the next big survey telescope starts at[br]seventeen twenty fifty
0:50:56.549,0:50:59.939
do you still need docs
0:50:59.939,0:51:06.939
slowed mistaken eighty years still[br]covered one quarter of the night sky
0:51:06.989,0:51:08.250
the new tenants
0:51:08.250,0:51:10.899
with gandhi and tires scott
0:51:10.899,0:51:12.909
in even greater to resolution
0:51:12.909,0:51:19.909
every three days
0:51:23.589,0:51:26.559
the foster mom something still we have[br]today
0:51:26.559,0:51:30.389
allows researchers inform sorts of[br]fields
0:51:30.389,0:51:33.150
test this theory is on the previously i[br]mean
0:51:33.150,0:51:35.619
mentioned in this case
0:51:35.619,0:51:39.150
but more than this it's many even change[br]that
0:51:39.150,0:51:42.639
condiment in ways insist
0:51:42.639,0:51:45.350
with the power of today's computers up
0:51:45.350,0:51:47.659
plied to all these things too
0:51:47.659,0:51:54.659
and she was might even able to try to[br]convince
0:52:04.130,0:52:05.840
potentially profoundly in
0:52:05.840,0:52:06.799
portant
0:52:06.799,0:52:10.169
potential and the significance
0:52:10.169,0:52:13.279
princeton science person even the most[br]exciting
0:52:13.279,0:52:14.979
waste
0:52:14.979,0:52:19.329
the potential to transform officer[br]powell scientist do science but even
0:52:19.329,0:52:23.989
more sciences possible on what will come[br]with a constellation court
0:52:23.989,0:52:28.049
both house and she's done for the war[br]science as possible discreetly
0:52:28.049,0:52:31.939
compensation
0:52:31.939,0:52:36.609
many of the dynamics of the natural[br]world nike interplay between the rain
0:52:36.609,0:52:41.109
forest and the atmosphere are still[br]complex but we don't answer the agreed
0:52:41.109,0:52:42.769
on the staff
0:52:42.769,0:52:47.299
now computers are generating literally[br]tens of thousands of different
0:52:47.299,0:52:53.349
simulations the hoa fees biological[br]systems might work dislike creating
0:52:53.349,0:52:58.579
thousands of a hypothetical part of the[br]world's each and every one of the
0:52:58.579,0:53:04.249
simulations his analyzed with statistics[br]to see if any part of good match will
0:53:04.249,0:53:07.209
report is observed in nature
0:53:07.209,0:53:11.059
the computers can now put domestic[br]degenerate
0:53:11.059,0:53:13.059
and discard hypothesis
0:53:13.059,0:53:17.679
with scarcely humans
0:53:17.679,0:53:21.799
east new application six six
0:53:21.799,0:53:24.409
often divided for future science
0:53:24.409,0:53:26.279
is creating a new
0:53:26.279,0:53:28.709
paradigm if you like
0:53:28.709,0:53:31.889
in science midway between conducive[br]names
0:53:31.889,0:53:34.599
which is increasingly
0:53:34.599,0:53:37.509
between my country rises
0:53:37.509,0:53:40.219
data centric or data driven
0:53:40.219,0:53:41.190
ryland being
0:53:41.190,0:53:43.979
hypothesis driven or experiment retreat
0:53:43.979,0:53:47.960
so is exciting times in terms of the[br]science in terms of that
0:53:47.960,0:53:49.829
computations
0:53:49.829,0:53:56.829
and in terms of the statistics
0:53:58.319,0:54:02.069
now we thought that sounds a bit[br]abstract inferior to continue
0:54:02.069,0:54:04.719
how about one final frontier
0:54:04.719,0:54:10.609
good statistics even make sense of your[br]feelings
0:54:10.609,0:54:11.859
in california
0:54:11.859,0:54:17.179
wariness one computer scientist is[br]harvesting the internet to try to do you
0:54:17.179,0:54:24.179
find the patterns alvaro innermost[br]thoughts and emotions
0:54:33.960,0:54:36.620
well this is the madness with madison
0:54:36.620,0:54:40.259
represents a skyscraper views the world
0:54:40.259,0:54:42.060
each of these brightly colored dots
0:54:42.060,0:54:43.979
is an individual feelings
0:54:43.979,0:54:45.779
expressed by someone out there
0:54:45.779,0:54:47.989
blog artery
0:54:47.989,0:54:50.630
and when you click on a diet explodes
0:54:50.630,0:54:53.779
to have revealed the underlying feelings[br]doctors
0:54:53.779,0:54:56.910
this is what people say they're feeling
0:54:56.910,0:55:01.319
batter
0:55:01.319,0:55:08.319
well
0:55:14.989,0:55:18.230
so every minute we feel fine calls the[br]world's blogs
0:55:18.230,0:55:22.399
case all the sentences that start with[br]the words aren't feeling feel
0:55:22.399,0:55:25.229
interest them in the database
0:55:25.229,0:55:27.009
we collect all the feelings
0:55:27.009,0:55:29.199
and week at the most common
0:55:29.199,0:55:36.199
they're better
0:55:37.819,0:55:39.359
the same
0:55:39.359,0:55:40.989
lecture
0:55:40.989,0:55:47.729
sorry
0:55:47.729,0:55:50.859
and we can take a look at anyone feeling[br]in analyzing
0:55:50.859,0:55:54.109
right now a lot of people are feeling[br]happy
0:55:54.109,0:55:56.599
we can take a look at all the people who[br]are happy
0:55:56.599,0:56:00.369
and breakdown by age gender or location
0:56:00.369,0:56:04.279
says bloggers have public profiles we[br]have that information and so we can ask
0:56:04.279,0:56:05.609
questions like
0:56:05.609,0:56:08.149
are women happier than men
0:56:08.149,0:56:15.149
isn't happy with that the united states
0:56:19.189,0:56:21.150
we find that as people get older
0:56:21.150,0:56:23.579
make you happier
0:56:23.579,0:56:25.400
and moreover we find that
0:56:25.400,0:56:27.209
for younger people
0:56:27.209,0:56:28.820
this as the happiness
0:56:28.820,0:56:30.899
more with exciting
0:56:30.899,0:56:32.809
and as people get water
0:56:32.809,0:56:39.809
this essay happiness more peaceful
0:56:40.619,0:56:44.679
and we also find that women feel love[br]tomorrow
0:56:44.679,0:56:46.969
also more guilty
0:56:46.969,0:56:49.929
moments could more often than women
0:56:49.929,0:56:56.049
about someone
0:56:56.049,0:56:59.269
as people even more and more of their[br]lives on line
0:56:59.269,0:57:01.749
really behind digital traces
0:57:01.749,0:57:03.919
and with these digital traces
0:57:03.919,0:57:07.210
became deeply into the statistic[br]re-energize
0:57:07.210,0:57:14.210
what it means to be sure
0:57:40.689,0:57:43.199
so where does all of this leave office
0:57:43.199,0:57:47.889
we generate i mean mention of the[br]quantities of data about everything you
0:57:47.889,0:57:49.289
can think of
0:57:49.289,0:57:52.099
analyzing to review the at it's
0:57:52.099,0:57:53.239
amount
0:57:53.239,0:57:56.259
not only expert but all of us
0:57:56.259,0:58:03.259
understand the stories in the mail
0:58:07.139,0:58:12.619
instead of being led astray by prejudice[br]with statistics at our fingertips
0:58:12.619,0:58:18.039
alliance can be opened for a fact based[br]you whatever
0:58:18.039,0:58:23.479
more than every before we can become all[br]sorts of are all the best it's pretty
0:58:23.479,0:58:30.479
exciting isn't it
0:58:30.759,0:58:31.939
stay here
0:58:31.939,0:58:38.939
the with
0:58:40.929,0:58:47.929
he indeed
0:58:53.599,0:58:53.979
seyi