0:00:16.822,0:00:18.623 We're living in a time 0:00:18.959,0:00:22.961 in which we're polluting our world[br]at an alarming rate, 0:00:24.082,0:00:27.990 in which the majority[br]of people in the West 0:00:27.990,0:00:30.221 are not getting enough physical activity, 0:00:30.572,0:00:36.810 and in which we're spending a lot of time,[br]wasting a lot of time and money and energy 0:00:36.810,0:00:38.330 stuck in traffic. 0:00:39.472,0:00:45.302 Thankfully, we're also living in a time[br]in which riding a bicycle is awesome. 0:00:45.330,0:00:46.330 (Laughter) 0:00:46.359,0:00:47.539 It makes you feel good. 0:00:47.539,0:00:49.834 You arrive at your destination [br]feeling energized 0:00:49.834,0:00:51.764 and connected with the world around you. 0:00:51.764,0:00:54.279 It's good for your health, [br]it's good for the planet, 0:00:54.279,0:00:56.824 and it helps to make[br]our cities more livable. 0:00:58.138,0:01:00.998 So, how can we get more people cycling? 0:01:00.998,0:01:04.829 Well, it's a combination[br]of infrastructure, improving safety, 0:01:05.047,0:01:08.669 and changing people's[br]perceptions and behavior. 0:01:09.480,0:01:12.829 And one of the things that I've been doing[br]over the years is looking at 0:01:12.829,0:01:17.655 how we can apply behavior change theory[br]to getting more people cycling. 0:01:17.998,0:01:21.369 And I have just one idea [br]that I'd like to share with you today. 0:01:22.320,0:01:25.252 And that is, that when we're looking[br]to encourage people 0:01:25.252,0:01:28.660 to adopt the behavior of cycling to work, 0:01:28.950,0:01:31.770 we need to understand[br]that this overall behavior 0:01:31.770,0:01:35.550 is actually made up[br]of lots of sub-behaviors and stages 0:01:35.550,0:01:39.041 that people go through[br]from not cycling, to thinking about it, 0:01:39.275,0:01:43.377 to trying it out, to getting a bike,[br]to cycling a little bit, a little bit more 0:01:43.377,0:01:44.856 and cycling to work. 0:01:46.039,0:01:49.756 And within each of these sub-behaviors[br]are a number of barriers 0:01:49.791,0:01:53.064 that people need to overcome[br]to get to the next stage. 0:01:53.442,0:01:55.971 And so, it is important[br]that we understand this 0:01:55.971,0:01:59.281 when we're trying to encourage [br]people to take up cycling. 0:01:59.481,0:02:03.023 Because if we say to someone [br]who is down here, as a non-cyclist, 0:02:03.234,0:02:04.760 "Hey, you should cycle to work. 0:02:04.760,0:02:05.770 It's good for you. 0:02:05.770,0:02:08.173 You'll save money; [br]it's good for the environment," 0:02:08.173,0:02:09.369 it's kind of a big ask. 0:02:09.629,0:02:15.150 And we need to keep this in mind[br]because our energy is much better spent 0:02:15.150,0:02:18.753 focusing on the next little step [br]that we can get people to take. 0:02:20.282,0:02:23.544 And one of the strategies [br]that we have found to be quite effective 0:02:23.544,0:02:26.386 in getting non-cyclists to take up cycling 0:02:26.386,0:02:29.136 is simply encouraging them [br]to have some fun 0:02:29.136,0:02:31.491 and ride a bike for just 10 minutes. 0:02:32.471,0:02:34.746 And what we find[br]when people do this is they go, 0:02:34.746,0:02:37.307 "Hmm, actually, this isn't so bad. 0:02:37.597,0:02:40.641 This isn't as hard or as scary [br]as I thought cycling was. 0:02:40.908,0:02:43.209 This is actually quite easy[br]and quite fun." 0:02:43.444,0:02:46.130 And that's a fantastic first little step 0:02:46.130,0:02:49.051 that we can get people to take [br]on this wider journey. 0:02:50.387,0:02:51.611 So taking a step back 0:02:51.611,0:02:54.523 and looking at the question[br]of how do we get people cycling, 0:02:54.523,0:02:57.554 what about the infrastructure [br]and improving safety? 0:02:58.100,0:03:02.211 Well, thankfully, all the solutions[br]already exist there out in the world. 0:03:02.586,0:03:06.366 If you go to any good cycling conference,[br]you will find the technical expertise, 0:03:06.366,0:03:07.617 the case studies, 0:03:07.617,0:03:09.450 the wheels already invented 0:03:09.450,0:03:12.798 that we can bring into our cities,[br]adapt, and roll out, 0:03:13.049,0:03:15.833 that will result in more people cycling. 0:03:16.877,0:03:18.695 So if the solutions are already there, 0:03:18.695,0:03:21.962 why aren't we seeing [br]their widespread application? 0:03:22.452,0:03:24.138 Well, there's a number of reasons, 0:03:24.138,0:03:29.495 and one of them is that many people[br]don't believe it's possible 0:03:30.124,0:03:32.437 to get more people cycling in their city. 0:03:32.797,0:03:34.843 "Oh, it's too far,[br]there's too much traffic, 0:03:34.843,0:03:37.331 it's too dangerous, [br]it's too hot, it's too wet." 0:03:38.000,0:03:41.983 And thankfully, we now have evidence[br]from around the world 0:03:42.127,0:03:45.210 that the possible is indeed possible. 0:03:46.173,0:03:50.001 So, looking at Spain and Seville,[br]they invested in cycle lanes 0:03:50.001,0:03:53.386 and went from 0.5 per cent[br]of trips by bicycle 0:03:53.410,0:03:55.748 to 6.6 per cent of trips by bike 0:03:55.748,0:03:57.088 in just six years. 0:03:57.771,0:04:01.347 In Portland, they increased cycling [br]by more than 200 per cent. 0:04:02.726,0:04:06.557 In Denver, you can see they increased[br]the number of cycle lanes 0:04:06.578,0:04:10.994 and had a corresponding increase [br]in the number of people riding bikes. 0:04:11.748,0:04:13.778 And I could show you[br]evidence of this trend 0:04:13.778,0:04:16.433 from around the U.S. and around the world. 0:04:17.478,0:04:20.189 Now, just to be clear[br]about what I'm not saying. 0:04:20.361,0:04:23.987 I'm not saying that you can turn[br]every city in the U.S. or the world 0:04:23.987,0:04:26.374 into a Copenhagen or an Amsterdam, 0:04:26.374,0:04:30.494 where about half of all the trips[br]are done by bike. 0:04:30.512,0:04:31.948 That's amazing. 0:04:32.169,0:04:35.342 However, our cities are laid out [br]quite differently. 0:04:36.473,0:04:37.500 But in the U.S., 0:04:37.500,0:04:41.895 about 40 per cent of all trips[br]are less than three miles. 0:04:42.918,0:04:47.897 And it's within these short trips[br]that the opportunity lies for cycling. 0:04:49.661,0:04:53.455 So, what I am saying is that[br]if we want to get more people cycling, 0:04:53.455,0:04:54.832 if we commit to it, 0:04:54.832,0:04:57.230 then it is absolutely possible for us 0:04:57.230,0:05:01.403 to get five per cent or more of trips[br]in our cities done by bike. 0:05:02.818,0:05:04.954 And finally, I think it's interesting that 0:05:04.954,0:05:08.713 when we look at some of the other problems[br]that we're facing in the world today, 0:05:08.943,0:05:11.623 one of the barriers that we may by facing 0:05:11.623,0:05:16.326 is that many people[br]don't believe in what's possible. 0:05:18.960,0:05:21.323 But thankfully, I feel [br]that the tide is turning 0:05:21.327,0:05:25.440 and more people are believing[br]in what's possible in their own lives, 0:05:25.451,0:05:28.990 for our communities, and for our planet. 0:05:29.191,0:05:33.636 And so, let's keep on believing [br]that we can make the possible our reality. 0:05:34.188,0:05:35.590 And let's make it happen. 0:05:35.590,0:05:37.038 Thank you. 0:05:37.038,0:05:39.042 (Applause)