WEBVTT

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I am professor Hans Rosling,

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and I follow day by day

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the informations about
the Ebola outbreak in West Africa.

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The epidemic is getting
worse, especially in Liberia.

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This graph shows

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the number of newly infected persons

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per week in Liberia.

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Here, it shows
the number of persons infected;

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here, of the weeks, from the end of July

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until beginning of September.

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And you can see,

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that the number infected

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kept increasing and increasing
all the time.

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The doctors and health staff

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and the Government in Liberia

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did their best, together
with the international support

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but the treatments have today.

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Patients die in the streets,

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or they die at home,

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buried without protection.

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So more and more are getting infected.

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And the specialists have now done
a prediction for the future;

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each patient here infects
on average 1,7 other persons.

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And that means that just more
and more and more will be infected.

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So the epidemic, with present efforts,

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will continue like this.

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And this is the uncertainty range;

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this means that it is possible

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that it will go
almost straight up like this.

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But this epidemic can be stopped

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if just enough hospitals,
temporary hospitals,

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with enough beds, are put in place,

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so that all patients

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with suspected or proven Ebola

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can get the best treatment possible

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and that they can be treated in a way

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so they don't infect other,

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and that those who tragically die

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are buried without infecting others.

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But it must be put in place now,

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otherwise it will continue like this!

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And then, so much
more effort will be needed.

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The sooner the help will come,

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the less resources are needed.