1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,520 I am professor Hans Rosling, 2 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:04,719 and I follow day by day 3 00:00:04,719 --> 00:00:08,679 the informations about the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. 4 00:00:08,679 --> 00:00:13,439 The epidemic is getting worse, especially in Liberia. 5 00:00:13,439 --> 00:00:14,839 This graph shows 6 00:00:14,839 --> 00:00:17,280 the number of newly infected persons 7 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:19,640 per week in Liberia. 8 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,399 Here, it shows the number of persons infected; 9 00:00:22,399 --> 00:00:25,559 here, of the weeks, from the end of July 10 00:00:25,559 --> 00:00:27,399 until beginning of September. 11 00:00:27,399 --> 00:00:28,399 And you can see, 12 00:00:28,399 --> 00:00:29,760 that the number infected 13 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:34,520 kept increasing and increasing all the time. 14 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:35,920 The doctors and health staff 15 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:37,759 and the Government in Liberia 16 00:00:37,759 --> 00:00:40,320 did their best, together with the international support 17 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:43,640 but the treatments have today. 18 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:46,359 Patients die in the streets, 19 00:00:46,359 --> 00:00:47,600 or they die at home, 20 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:49,159 buried without protection. 21 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:52,960 So more and more are getting infected. 22 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:56,759 And the specialists have now done a prediction for the future; 23 00:00:56,759 --> 00:01:03,119 each patient here infects on average 1,7 other persons. 24 00:01:03,119 --> 00:01:06,480 And that means that just more and more and more will be infected. 25 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:09,519 So the epidemic, with present efforts, 26 00:01:09,519 --> 00:01:12,120 will continue like this. 27 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:14,599 And this is the uncertainty range; 28 00:01:14,599 --> 00:01:16,599 this means that it is possible 29 00:01:16,599 --> 00:01:19,640 that it will go almost straight up like this. 30 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:22,879 But this epidemic can be stopped 31 00:01:22,879 --> 00:01:26,879 if just enough hospitals, temporary hospitals, 32 00:01:26,879 --> 00:01:29,319 with enough beds, are put in place, 33 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,359 so that all patients 34 00:01:31,359 --> 00:01:33,560 with suspected or proven Ebola 35 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:35,959 can get the best treatment possible 36 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:39,040 and that they can be treated in a way 37 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:41,159 so they don't infect other, 38 00:01:41,159 --> 00:01:42,879 and that those who tragically die 39 00:01:42,879 --> 00:01:47,519 are buried without infecting others. 40 00:01:47,519 --> 00:01:49,480 But it must be put in place now, 41 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:52,280 otherwise it will continue like this! 42 00:01:52,280 --> 00:01:55,840 And then, so much more effort will be needed. 43 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,359 The sooner the help will come, 44 00:01:58,359 --> 00:02:09,038 the less resources are needed.