0:00:00.000,0:00:02.520 I am professor Hans Rosling, 0:00:02.520,0:00:04.719 and I follow day by day 0:00:04.719,0:00:08.679 the informations about[br]the Ebola outbreak in West Africa. 0:00:08.679,0:00:13.439 The epidemic is getting[br]worse, especially in Liberia. 0:00:13.439,0:00:14.839 This graph shows 0:00:14.839,0:00:17.280 the number of newly infected persons 0:00:17.280,0:00:19.640 per week in Liberia. 0:00:19.640,0:00:22.399 Here, it shows[br]the number of persons infected; 0:00:22.399,0:00:25.559 here, of the weeks, from the end of July 0:00:25.559,0:00:27.399 until beginning of September. 0:00:27.399,0:00:28.399 And you can see, 0:00:28.399,0:00:29.760 that the number infected 0:00:29.760,0:00:34.520 kept increasing and increasing[br]all the time. 0:00:34.520,0:00:35.920 The doctors and health staff 0:00:35.920,0:00:37.759 and the Government in Liberia 0:00:37.759,0:00:40.320 did their best, together[br]with the international support 0:00:40.320,0:00:43.640 but the treatments have today. 0:00:43.640,0:00:46.359 Patients die in the streets, 0:00:46.359,0:00:47.600 or they die at home, 0:00:47.600,0:00:49.159 buried without protection. 0:00:49.159,0:00:52.960 So more and more are getting infected. 0:00:52.960,0:00:56.759 And the specialists have now done[br]a prediction for the future; 0:00:56.759,0:01:03.119 each patient here infects[br]on average 1,7 other persons. 0:01:03.119,0:01:06.480 And that means that just more[br]and more and more will be infected. 0:01:06.480,0:01:09.519 So the epidemic, with present efforts, 0:01:09.519,0:01:12.120 will continue like this. 0:01:12.120,0:01:14.599 And this is the uncertainty range; 0:01:14.599,0:01:16.599 this means that it is possible 0:01:16.599,0:01:19.640 that it will go[br]almost straight up like this. 0:01:19.640,0:01:22.879 But this epidemic can be stopped 0:01:22.879,0:01:26.879 if just enough hospitals,[br]temporary hospitals, 0:01:26.879,0:01:29.319 with enough beds, are put in place, 0:01:29.319,0:01:31.359 so that all patients 0:01:31.359,0:01:33.560 with suspected or proven Ebola 0:01:33.560,0:01:35.959 can get the best treatment possible 0:01:35.959,0:01:39.040 and that they can be treated in a way 0:01:39.040,0:01:41.159 so they don't infect other, 0:01:41.159,0:01:42.879 and that those who tragically die 0:01:42.879,0:01:47.519 are buried without infecting others. 0:01:47.519,0:01:49.480 But it must be put in place now, 0:01:49.480,0:01:52.280 otherwise it will continue like this! 0:01:52.280,0:01:55.840 And then, so much[br]more effort will be needed. 0:01:55.840,0:01:58.359 The sooner the help will come, 0:01:58.359,0:02:09.038 the less resources are needed.